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Jeff Hawkins: Thousand Brains Theory of Intelligence | Lex Fridman Podcast #25


small model | large model

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The following is a conversation with Jeff Hawkins.
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He's the founder of the Redwood Center
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for Theoretical and Neuroscience in 2002
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and New Menta in 2005.
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In his 2004 book titled On Intelligence
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and in the research before and after,
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he and his team have worked to reverse engineer
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the New York Cortex and propose artificial intelligence
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architectures approaches and ideas
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that are inspired by the human brain.
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These ideas include hierarchical temporal memory,
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HTM from 2004, and New Work, The Thousand's Brain's Theory
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of Intelligence from 2017, 18, and 19.
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Jeff's ideas have been an inspiration
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to many who have looked for progress beyond the current
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machine learning approaches, but they have also received
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criticism for lacking a body of empirical evidence
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supporting the models.
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This is always a challenge when seeking more than small
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incremental steps forward in AI.
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Jeff is a brilliant mind and many of the ideas
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he has developed and aggregated from neuroscience
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are worth understanding and thinking about.
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There are limits to deep learning
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as it is currently defined.
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Forward progress in AI is shrouded in mystery.
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My hope is that conversations like this
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can help provide an inspiring spark for new ideas.
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This is the Artificial Intelligence Podcast.
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If you enjoy it, subscribe on YouTube,
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iTunes, or simply connect with me on Twitter
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at Lex Freedman spelled F R I D.
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And now here's my conversation with Jeff Hawkins.
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Are you more interested in understanding the human brain
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or in creating artificial systems
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that have many of the same qualities,
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but don't necessarily require that you actually understand
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the underpinning workings of our mind?
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So there's a clear answer to that question.
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My primary interest is understanding the human brain.
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No question about it, but I also firmly believe
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that we will not be able to create
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fully intelligent machines
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until we understand how the human brain works.
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So I don't see those as separate problems.
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I think there's limits to what can be done
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with machine intelligence
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if you don't understand the principles
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by which the brain works.
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And so I actually believe that studying the brain
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is actually the fastest way to get to machine intelligence.
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And within that, let me ask the impossible question.
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How do you not define, but at least think
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about what it means to be intelligent?
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So I didn't try to answer that question first.
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We said, let's just talk about how the brain works.
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And let's figure out how certain parts of the brain,
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mostly the neocortex, but some other parts too,
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the parts of the brain most associated with intelligence.
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And let's discover the principles by how they work.
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Because intelligence isn't just like some mechanism
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and it's not just some capabilities.
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It's like, okay, we don't even know where to begin
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on this stuff.
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And so now that we've made a lot of progress on this,
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after we've made a lot of progress
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on how the neocortex works, and we can talk about that,
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I now have a very good idea
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what's gonna be required to make intelligent machines.
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I can tell you today, some of the things
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are gonna be necessary, I believe,
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to create intelligent machines.
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Well, so we'll get there.
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We'll get to the neocortex and some of the theories
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of how the whole thing works.
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And you're saying, as we understand more and more
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about the neocortex, about our own human mind,
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we'll be able to start to more specifically define
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what it means to be intelligent.
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It's not useful to really talk about that until...
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I don't know if it's not useful.
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Look, there's a long history of AI, as you know.
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And there's been different approaches taken to it.
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And who knows?
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Maybe they're all useful.
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So the good old fashioned AI, the expert systems,
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the current convolutional neural networks,
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they all have their utility.
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They all have a value in the world.
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But I would think almost everyone agreed
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that none of them are really intelligent
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in a sort of a deep way that humans are.
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And so it's just the question of how do you get
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from where those systems were or are today
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to where a lot of people think we're gonna go.
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And there's a big, big gap there, a huge gap.
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And I think the quickest way of bridging that gap
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is to figure out how the brain does that.
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And then we can sit back and look and say,
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oh, what are these principles that the brain works on
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are necessary and which ones are not?
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Clearly, we don't have to build this in,
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and tellage machines aren't gonna be built
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out of organic living cells.
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But there's a lot of stuff that goes on the brain
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that's gonna be necessary.
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So let me ask maybe, before we get into the fun details,
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let me ask maybe a depressing or a difficult question.
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Do you think it's possible that we will never
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be able to understand how our brain works,
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that maybe there's aspects to the human mind
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like we ourselves cannot introspectively get to the core,
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that there's a wall you eventually hit?
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Yeah, I don't believe that's the case.
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I have never believed that's the case.
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There's not been a single thing we've ever,
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humans have ever put their minds to that we've said,
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oh, we reached the wall, we can't go any further.
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People keep saying that.
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People used to believe that about life, you know,
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Alain Vitao, right?
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There's like, what's the difference in living matter
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and nonliving matter?
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Something special you never understand.
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We no longer think that.
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So there's no historical evidence that suggests this is the case
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and I just never even consider that's a possibility.
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I would also say today, we understand so much
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about the neocortex.
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We've made tremendous progress in the last few years
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that I no longer think of as an open question.
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The answers are very clear to me and the pieces
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that we don't know are clear to me,
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but the framework is all there and it's like, oh, okay,
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we're gonna be able to do this.
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This is not a problem anymore.
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It just takes time and effort, but there's no mystery,
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a big mystery anymore.
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So then let's get into it for people like myself
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who are not very well versed in the human brain,
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except my own.
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Can you describe to me at the highest level,
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what are the different parts of the human brain
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and then zooming in on the neocortex,
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the parts of the neocortex and so on, a quick overview.
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Yeah, sure.
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The human brain, we can divide it roughly into two parts.
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There's the old parts, lots of pieces,
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and then there's the new part.
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The new part is the neocortex.
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It's new because it didn't exist before mammals.
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The only mammals have a neocortex and in humans
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and primates is very large.
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In the human brain, the neocortex occupies about 70 to 75%
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of the volume of the brain.
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It's huge.
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And the old parts of the brain are,
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there's lots of pieces there.
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There's a spinal cord and there's the brainstem
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and the cerebellum and the different parts
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of the basal ganglion and so on.
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In the old parts of the brain,
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you have the autonomic regulation,
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like breathing and heart rate.
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You have basic behaviors.
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So like walking and running are controlled
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by the old parts of the brain.
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All the emotional centers of the brain
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are in the old part of the brain.
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So when you feel anger or hungry,
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lust or things like that,
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those are all in the old parts of the brain.
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And we associate with the neocortex
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all the things we think about
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as sort of high level perception.
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And cognitive functions, anything from seeing and hearing
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and touching things to language, to mathematics
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and engineering and science and so on.
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Those are all associated with the neocortex.
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And they're certainly correlated.
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Our abilities in those regards are correlated
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with the relative size of our neocortex
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compared to other mammals.
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So that's like the rough division.
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And you obviously can't understand
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the neocortex completely isolated,
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but you can understand a lot of it
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with just a few interfaces
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to the old parts of the brain.
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And so it gives you a system to study.
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The other remarkable thing about the neocortex
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compared to the old parts of the brain
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is the neocortex is extremely uniform.
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It's not visually or anatomically,
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or it's very, it's like a,
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I always like to say it's like the size
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of a dinner napkin, about two and a half millimeters thick.
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And it looks remarkably the same everywhere.
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Everywhere you look in that two and a half millimeters
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is this detailed architecture.
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And it looks remarkably the same everywhere.
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And that's a cross species,
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a mouse versus a cat and a dog and a human.
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Where if you look at the old parts of the brain,
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there's lots of little pieces do specific things.
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So it's like the old parts of a brain evolved,
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like this is the part that controls heart rate
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and this is the part that controls this
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and this is this kind of thing.
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And that's this kind of thing.
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And these evolve for eons of a long, long time
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and they have those specific functions.
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And all of a sudden mammals come along
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and they got this thing called the neocortex
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and it got large by just replicating the same thing
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over and over and over again.
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This is like, wow, this is incredible.
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So all the evidence we have,
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and this is an idea that was first articulated
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in a very cogent and beautiful argument
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by a guy named Vernon Malkassel in 1978, I think it was,
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that the neocortex all works on the same principle.
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So language, hearing, touch, vision, engineering,
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all these things are basically underlying
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or all built in the same computational substrate.
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They're really all the same problem.
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So the low level of the building blocks all look similar.
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Yeah, and they're not even that low level.
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We're not talking about like neurons.
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We're talking about this very complex circuit
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that exists throughout the neocortex is remarkably similar.
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It is, it's like, yes, you see variations of it here
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and they're more of the cell, that's not old and so on.
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But what Malkassel argued was,
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it says, you know, if you take a section on neocortex,
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why is one a visual area and one is a auditory area?
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Or why is, and his answer was,
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it's because one is connected to eyes
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and one is connected to ears.
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Literally, you mean just as most closest
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in terms of the number of connections to the sensor?
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Literally, if you took the optic nerve
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and attached it to a different part of the neocortex,
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that part would become a visual region.
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This actually, this experiment was actually done
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by Murgankasur in developing, I think it was lemurs,
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I can't remember what it was, it's some animal.
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And there's a lot of evidence to this.
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You know, if you take a blind person,
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a person is born blind at birth,
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they're born with a visual neocortex.
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It doesn't, may not get any input from the eyes
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because of some congenital defect or something.
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And that region becomes, does something else.
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It picks up another task.
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So, and it's, so it's this very complex thing.
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It's not like, oh, they're all built on neurons.
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No, they're all built in this very complex circuit.
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And somehow that circuit underlies everything.
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And so this is, it's called the common cortical algorithm,
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if you will, some scientists just find it hard to believe.
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And they just say, I can't believe that's true.
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But the evidence is overwhelming in this case.
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And so a large part of what it means
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to figure out how the brain creates intelligence
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and what is intelligence in the brain
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is to understand what that circuit does.
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If you can figure out what that circuit does,
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as amazing as it is, then you can,
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then you understand what all these other cognitive functions are.
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So if you were to sort of put neocortex
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outside of your book on intelligence,
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you look, if you wrote a giant tome,
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a textbook on the neocortex,
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and you look maybe a couple of centuries from now,
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how much of what we know now would still be accurate
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two centuries from now.
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So how close are we in terms of understanding?
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I have to speak from my own particular experience here.
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So I run a small research lab here.
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It's like any other research lab.
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I'm sort of the principal investigator.
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There's actually two of us,
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and there's a bunch of other people.
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And this is what we do.
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We started the neocortex,
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and we publish our results and so on.
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So about three years ago,
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we had a real breakthrough in this field.
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Just tremendous breakthrough.
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We started, we now publish, I think, three papers on it.
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And so I have a pretty good understanding
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of all the pieces and what we're missing.
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I would say that almost all the empirical data
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we've collected about the brain, which is enormous.
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If you don't know the neuroscience literature,
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it's just incredibly big.
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And it's, for the most part, all correct.
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It's facts and experimental results
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and measurements and all kinds of stuff.
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But none of that has been really assimilated
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into a theoretical framework.
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It's data without, in the language of Thomas Kuhn,
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the historian, it would be sort of a preparadigm science.
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Lots of data, but no way to fit it in together.
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I think almost all of that's correct.
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There's gonna be some mistakes in there.
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And for the most part,
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there aren't really good cogent theories
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about how to put it together.
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It's not like we have two or three competing good theories,
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which ones are right and which ones are wrong.
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It's like, yeah, people just scratching their heads
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throwing things, you know, some people giving up
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on trying to figure out what the whole thing does.
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In fact, there's very, very few labs that we do
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that focus really on theory
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and all this unassimilated data and trying to explain it.
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So it's not like we've got it wrong.
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It's just that we haven't got it at all.
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So it's really, I would say, pretty early days
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in terms of understanding the fundamental theories,
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forces of the way our mind works.
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I don't think so.
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I would have said that's true five years ago.
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So as I said, we had some really big breakthroughs
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on this recently and we started publishing papers on this.
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So you can get to that.
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But so I don't think it's, you know, I'm an optimist
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and from where I sit today,
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most people would disagree with this,
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but from where I sit today, from what I know,
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it's not super early days anymore.
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We are, you know, the way these things go
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is it's not a linear path, right?
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00:13:48.200
You don't just start accumulating
link |
00:13:49.840
and get better and better and better.
link |
00:13:50.800
No, you got all the stuff you've collected.
link |
00:13:52.920
None of it makes sense.
link |
00:13:53.760
All these different things are just sort of around.
link |
00:13:55.640
And then you're going to have some breaking points
link |
00:13:57.120
all of a sudden, oh my God, now we got it right.
link |
00:13:59.400
That's how it goes in science.
link |
00:14:01.120
And I personally feel like we passed that little thing
link |
00:14:04.480
about a couple of years ago.
link |
00:14:06.320
All that big thing a couple of years ago.
link |
00:14:07.560
So we can talk about that.
link |
00:14:09.600
Time will tell if I'm right,
link |
00:14:11.000
but I feel very confident about it.
link |
00:14:12.640
That's when we'll just say it on tape like this.
link |
00:14:15.120
At least very optimistic.
link |
00:14:18.040
So let's, before those few years ago,
link |
00:14:20.160
let's take a step back to HTM,
link |
00:14:23.200
the hierarchical temporal memory theory,
link |
00:14:25.960
which you first proposed on intelligence
link |
00:14:27.480
and went through a few different generations.
link |
00:14:29.280
Can you describe what it is,
link |
00:14:31.200
how it would evolve through the three generations
link |
00:14:33.560
since you first put it on paper?
link |
00:14:35.360
Yeah, so one of the things that neuroscientists
link |
00:14:39.240
just sort of missed for many, many years.
link |
00:14:42.920
And especially people were thinking about theory
link |
00:14:45.720
was the nature of time in the brain.
link |
00:14:47.720
Brain's process, information through time,
link |
00:14:50.440
the information coming into the brain is constantly changing.
link |
00:14:53.280
The patterns from my speech right now,
link |
00:14:56.160
if you're listening to it at normal speed,
link |
00:14:58.520
would be changing on your ears
link |
00:15:00.080
about every 10 milliseconds or so, you'd have a change.
link |
00:15:02.680
This constant flow, when you look at the world,
link |
00:15:05.320
your eyes are moving constantly,
link |
00:15:06.800
three to five times a second,
link |
00:15:08.240
and the input's completely, completely.
link |
00:15:09.920
If I were to touch something like a coffee cup
link |
00:15:11.800
as I move my fingers, the input changes.
link |
00:15:13.880
So this idea that the brain works on time
link |
00:15:16.840
changing patterns is almost completely,
link |
00:15:19.640
or was almost completely missing
link |
00:15:21.080
from a lot of the basic theories like fears of vision
link |
00:15:23.520
and so on.
link |
00:15:24.360
It's like, oh no, we're gonna put this image in front of you
link |
00:15:26.280
and flash it and say, what is it?
link |
00:15:28.360
A convolutional neural network's worked that way today, right?
link |
00:15:31.120
Classified this picture.
link |
00:15:33.280
But that's not what vision is like.
link |
00:15:35.120
Vision is this sort of crazy time based pattern
link |
00:15:37.760
that's going all over the place,
link |
00:15:39.080
and so is touch and so is hearing.
link |
00:15:40.920
So the first part of a hierarchical temporal memory
link |
00:15:42.880
was the temporal part.
link |
00:15:44.280
It's to say, you won't understand the brain,
link |
00:15:47.680
nor will you understand intelligent machines
link |
00:15:49.360
unless you're dealing with time based patterns.
link |
00:15:51.720
The second thing was, the memory component of it was,
link |
00:15:54.760
is to say that we aren't just processing input,
link |
00:15:59.760
we learn a model of the world.
link |
00:16:02.000
And the memory stands for that model.
link |
00:16:04.000
The point of the brain, part of the neocortex,
link |
00:16:06.640
it learns a model of the world.
link |
00:16:07.840
We have to store things that are experiences
link |
00:16:10.840
in a form that leads to a model of the world.
link |
00:16:13.520
So we can move around the world,
link |
00:16:15.080
we can pick things up and do things
link |
00:16:16.240
and navigate and know how it's going on.
link |
00:16:17.520
So that's what the memory referred to.
link |
00:16:19.320
And many people just, they were thinking about like,
link |
00:16:22.320
certain processes without memory at all.
link |
00:16:24.480
They're just like processing things.
link |
00:16:26.120
And then finally, the hierarchical component
link |
00:16:28.320
was a reflection to that the neocortex,
link |
00:16:31.640
although it's just a uniform sheet of cells,
link |
00:16:33.920
different parts of it project to other parts,
link |
00:16:36.920
which project to other parts.
link |
00:16:38.680
And there is a sort of rough hierarchy in terms of that.
link |
00:16:42.400
So the hierarchical temporal memory is just saying,
link |
00:16:46.000
look, we should be thinking about the brain
link |
00:16:47.720
as time based, model memory based and hierarchical processing.
link |
00:16:54.760
And that was a placeholder for a bunch of components
link |
00:16:58.160
that we would then plug into that.
link |
00:17:00.720
We still believe all those things I just said,
link |
00:17:02.600
but we now know so much more that I'm stopping to use
link |
00:17:06.960
the word hierarchical temporal memory yet
link |
00:17:08.200
because it's insufficient to capture the stuff we know.
link |
00:17:11.320
So again, it's not incorrect,
link |
00:17:12.960
but I now know more and I would rather describe it
link |
00:17:15.800
more accurately.
link |
00:17:16.800
Yeah, so you're basically, we could think of HTM
link |
00:17:20.360
as emphasizing that there's three aspects of intelligence
link |
00:17:24.800
that are important to think about
link |
00:17:25.920
whatever the eventual theory converges to.
link |
00:17:28.880
So in terms of time, how do you think of nature of time
link |
00:17:32.480
across different time scales?
link |
00:17:33.880
So you mentioned things changing,
link |
00:17:36.800
sensory inputs changing every 10, 20 minutes.
link |
00:17:39.160
What about every few minutes?
link |
00:17:40.520
Every few months and years?
link |
00:17:42.120
Well, if you think about a neuroscience problem,
link |
00:17:44.840
the brain problem, neurons themselves can stay active
link |
00:17:49.640
for certain periods of time.
link |
00:17:51.560
They're parts of the brain where they stay active
link |
00:17:53.280
for minutes, so you could hold a certain perception
link |
00:17:56.680
or an activity for a certain period of time,
link |
00:18:01.320
but not most of them don't last that long.
link |
00:18:04.480
And so if you think about your thoughts
link |
00:18:07.160
or the activity neurons,
link |
00:18:09.080
if you're gonna wanna involve something
link |
00:18:10.680
that happened a long time ago,
link |
00:18:11.920
even just this morning, for example,
link |
00:18:14.400
the neurons haven't been active throughout that time.
link |
00:18:16.360
So you have to store that.
link |
00:18:17.800
So by I ask you, what did you have for breakfast today?
link |
00:18:20.720
That is memory.
link |
00:18:22.000
That is, you've built it into your model of the world now.
link |
00:18:24.160
You remember that and that memory is in the synapses,
link |
00:18:27.880
it's basically in the formation of synapses.
link |
00:18:30.080
And so you're sliding into what used to different time scales.
link |
00:18:36.760
There's time scales of which we are
link |
00:18:38.280
like understanding my language and moving about
link |
00:18:40.440
and seeing things rapidly and over time.
link |
00:18:41.840
That's the time scales of activities of neurons.
link |
00:18:44.280
But if you wanna get in longer time scales,
link |
00:18:46.200
then it's more memory and we have to invoke those memories
link |
00:18:48.840
to say, oh, yes, well, now I can remember
link |
00:18:50.960
what I had for breakfast because I stored that someplace.
link |
00:18:54.160
I may forget it tomorrow, but I'd store it for now.
link |
00:18:58.200
So does memory also need to have,
link |
00:19:02.880
so the hierarchical aspect of reality
link |
00:19:06.240
is not just about concepts,
link |
00:19:07.720
it's also about time.
link |
00:19:08.800
Do you think of it that way?
link |
00:19:10.280
Yeah, time is infused in everything.
link |
00:19:12.840
It's like, you really can't separate it out.
link |
00:19:15.560
If I ask you, what is your, how's the brain
link |
00:19:19.560
learn a model of this coffee cup here?
link |
00:19:21.360
I have a coffee cup, then I met the coffee cup.
link |
00:19:23.200
I said, well, time is not an inherent property
link |
00:19:26.000
of the model I have of this cup,
link |
00:19:28.520
whether it's a visual model or tactile model.
link |
00:19:31.440
I can sense it through time,
link |
00:19:32.600
but the model itself doesn't really have much time.
link |
00:19:34.880
If I asked you, if I say, well,
link |
00:19:36.560
what is the model of my cell phone?
link |
00:19:39.000
My brain has learned a model of the cell phones.
link |
00:19:41.480
If you have a smartphone like this,
link |
00:19:43.360
and I said, well, this has time aspects to it.
link |
00:19:45.680
I have expectations when I turn it on,
link |
00:19:48.040
what's gonna happen, what water,
link |
00:19:49.480
how long it's gonna take to do certain things,
link |
00:19:51.960
if I bring up an app, what sequences,
link |
00:19:54.040
and so I have instant, it's like melodies in the world,
link |
00:19:56.520
you know, melody has a sense of time.
link |
00:19:58.560
So many things in the world move and act,
link |
00:20:01.200
and there's a sense of time related to them.
link |
00:20:03.720
Some don't, but most things do actually.
link |
00:20:08.280
So it's sort of infused throughout the models of the world.
link |
00:20:12.120
You build a model of the world,
link |
00:20:13.720
you're learning the structure of the objects in the world,
link |
00:20:16.400
and you're also learning
link |
00:20:17.840
how those things change through time.
link |
00:20:20.760
Okay, so it really is just a fourth dimension
link |
00:20:23.920
that's infused deeply,
link |
00:20:25.280
and you have to make sure
link |
00:20:26.760
that your models of intelligence incorporate it.
link |
00:20:30.960
So, like you mentioned, the state of neuroscience
link |
00:20:34.840
is deeply empirical.
link |
00:20:36.000
A lot of data collection, it's, you know,
link |
00:20:40.120
that's where it is, you mentioned Thomas Kuhn, right?
link |
00:20:43.120
Yeah.
link |
00:20:44.560
And then you're proposing a theory of intelligence,
link |
00:20:48.040
and which is really the next step,
link |
00:20:50.520
the really important step to take,
link |
00:20:52.920
but why is HTM, or what we'll talk about soon,
link |
00:20:57.920
the right theory?
link |
00:21:01.160
So is it more in this, is it backed by intuition,
link |
00:21:05.160
is it backed by evidence, is it backed by a mixture of both?
link |
00:21:09.160
Is it kind of closer to where string theory is in physics,
link |
00:21:12.800
where there's mathematical components
link |
00:21:15.800
which show that, you know what,
link |
00:21:18.160
it seems that this,
link |
00:21:20.160
it fits together too well for it not to be true,
link |
00:21:23.560
which is where string theory is.
link |
00:21:25.360
Is that where you're kind of thinking?
link |
00:21:28.080
It's a mixture of all those things,
link |
00:21:30.080
although definitely where we are right now,
link |
00:21:32.080
it's definitely much more on the empirical side
link |
00:21:34.080
than, let's say, string theory.
link |
00:21:36.080
The way this goes about, we're theorists, right?
link |
00:21:39.080
So we look at all this data,
link |
00:21:41.080
and we're trying to come up with some sort of model
link |
00:21:43.080
that explains it, basically,
link |
00:21:45.080
and there's, unlike string theory,
link |
00:21:47.080
there's vast more amounts of empirical data here
link |
00:21:50.080
than I think that most physicists deal with.
link |
00:21:54.080
And so our challenge is to sort through that
link |
00:21:57.080
and figure out what kind of constructs would explain this.
link |
00:22:01.080
And when we have an idea,
link |
00:22:04.080
you come up with a theory of some sort,
link |
00:22:06.080
you have lots of ways of testing it.
link |
00:22:08.080
First of all, I am, you know,
link |
00:22:10.080
there are 100 years of assimilated,
link |
00:22:14.080
und assimilated empirical data from neuroscience.
link |
00:22:16.080
So we go back and repapers, and we say,
link |
00:22:18.080
oh, did someone find this already?
link |
00:22:20.080
We can predict X, Y, and Z,
link |
00:22:23.080
and maybe no one's even talked about it
link |
00:22:25.080
since 1972 or something,
link |
00:22:27.080
but we go back and find that, and we say,
link |
00:22:29.080
oh, either it can support the theory
link |
00:22:31.080
or it can invalidate the theory.
link |
00:22:33.080
And then we say, okay, we have to start over again.
link |
00:22:35.080
Oh, no, it's support. Let's keep going with that one.
link |
00:22:37.080
So the way I kind of view it,
link |
00:22:40.080
when we do our work, we come up,
link |
00:22:43.080
we look at all this empirical data,
link |
00:22:45.080
and it's what I call it is a set of constraints.
link |
00:22:47.080
We're not interested in something that's biologically inspired.
link |
00:22:49.080
We're trying to figure out how the actual brain works.
link |
00:22:52.080
So every piece of empirical data is a constraint on a theory.
link |
00:22:55.080
If you have the correct theory,
link |
00:22:57.080
it needs to explain every pin, right?
link |
00:22:59.080
So we have this huge number of constraints on the problem,
link |
00:23:02.080
which initially makes it very, very difficult.
link |
00:23:05.080
If you don't have many constraints,
link |
00:23:07.080
you can make up stuff all the day.
link |
00:23:09.080
You can say, oh, here's an answer to how you can do this,
link |
00:23:11.080
you can do that, you can do this.
link |
00:23:13.080
But if you consider all biology as a set of constraints,
link |
00:23:15.080
all neuroscience as a set of constraints,
link |
00:23:17.080
and even if you're working in one little part of the Neocortex,
link |
00:23:19.080
for example, there are hundreds and hundreds of constraints.
link |
00:23:21.080
There are a lot of empirical constraints
link |
00:23:23.080
that it's very, very difficult initially
link |
00:23:25.080
to come up with a theoretical framework for that.
link |
00:23:27.080
But when you do, and it solves all those constraints at once,
link |
00:23:31.080
you have a high confidence
link |
00:23:33.080
that you got something close to correct.
link |
00:23:36.080
It's just mathematically almost impossible not to be.
link |
00:23:39.080
So that's the curse and the advantage of what we have.
link |
00:23:43.080
The curse is we have to meet all these constraints,
link |
00:23:47.080
which is really hard.
link |
00:23:49.080
But when you do meet them,
link |
00:23:51.080
then you have a great confidence
link |
00:23:53.080
that you've discovered something.
link |
00:23:55.080
In addition, then we work with scientific labs.
link |
00:23:58.080
So we'll say, oh, there's something we can't find,
link |
00:24:00.080
we can predict something,
link |
00:24:02.080
but we can't find it anywhere in the literature.
link |
00:24:04.080
So we will then, we have people we collaborated with,
link |
00:24:07.080
we'll say, sometimes they'll say, you know what,
link |
00:24:09.080
I have some collected data, which I didn't publish,
link |
00:24:11.080
but we can go back and look at it
link |
00:24:13.080
and see if we can find that,
link |
00:24:15.080
which is much easier than designing a new experiment.
link |
00:24:17.080
You know, neuroscience experiments take a long time, years.
link |
00:24:20.080
So although some people are doing that now too.
link |
00:24:23.080
So, but between all of these things,
link |
00:24:27.080
I think it's a reasonable,
link |
00:24:29.080
it's actually a very, very good approach.
link |
00:24:32.080
We are blessed with the fact that we can test our theories
link |
00:24:35.080
out to yin and yang here,
link |
00:24:37.080
because there's so much on a similar data,
link |
00:24:39.080
and we can also falsify our theories very easily,
link |
00:24:41.080
which we do often.
link |
00:24:43.080
So it's kind of reminiscent to whenever that was with Copernicus,
link |
00:24:46.080
you know, when you figure out that the sun is at the center,
link |
00:24:49.080
the solar system as opposed to Earth,
link |
00:24:53.080
the pieces just fall into place.
link |
00:24:55.080
Yeah, I think that's the general nature of the Ha moments,
link |
00:24:59.080
is in Copernicus, it could be,
link |
00:25:02.080
you could say the same thing about Darwin,
link |
00:25:05.080
you could say the same thing about, you know,
link |
00:25:07.080
about the double helix,
link |
00:25:09.080
that people have been working on a problem for so long,
link |
00:25:13.080
and have all this data,
link |
00:25:14.080
and they can't make sense of it, they can't make sense of it.
link |
00:25:15.080
But when the answer comes to you,
link |
00:25:17.080
and everything falls into place,
link |
00:25:19.080
it's like, oh my gosh, that's it.
link |
00:25:21.080
That's got to be right.
link |
00:25:23.080
I asked both Jim Watson and Francis Crick about this.
link |
00:25:28.080
I asked them, you know,
link |
00:25:30.080
when you were working on trying to discover the structure
link |
00:25:33.080
of the double helix,
link |
00:25:35.080
and when you came up with the sort of,
link |
00:25:38.080
the structure that ended up being correct,
link |
00:25:42.080
but it was sort of a guess, you know,
link |
00:25:44.080
it wasn't really verified yet.
link |
00:25:46.080
I said, did you know that it was right?
link |
00:25:48.080
And they both said, absolutely.
link |
00:25:50.080
We absolutely knew it was right.
link |
00:25:52.080
And it doesn't matter if other people didn't believe it or not,
link |
00:25:55.080
we knew it was right, they'd get around to thinking it
link |
00:25:57.080
and agree with it eventually anyway.
link |
00:25:59.080
And that's the kind of thing you hear a lot with scientists
link |
00:26:01.080
who really are studying a difficult problem,
link |
00:26:04.080
and I feel that way too, about our work.
link |
00:26:07.080
Have you talked to Crick or Watson about the problem
link |
00:26:10.080
you're trying to solve, the, of finding the DNA of the brain?
link |
00:26:15.080
Yeah.
link |
00:26:16.080
In fact, Francis Crick was very interested in this,
link |
00:26:19.080
in the latter part of his life.
link |
00:26:21.080
And in fact, I got interested in brains
link |
00:26:23.080
by reading an essay he wrote in 1979
link |
00:26:26.080
called Thinking About the Brain.
link |
00:26:28.080
And that was when I decided
link |
00:26:30.080
I'm going to leave my profession of computers and engineering
link |
00:26:33.080
and become a neuroscientist.
link |
00:26:35.080
Just reading that one essay from Francis Crick.
link |
00:26:37.080
I got to meet him later in life.
link |
00:26:39.080
I got to, I spoke at the Salk Institute
link |
00:26:43.080
and he was in the audience
link |
00:26:44.080
and then I had a tea with him afterwards.
link |
00:26:47.080
You know, he was interested in a different problem.
link |
00:26:50.080
He was focused on consciousness.
link |
00:26:52.080
The easy problem, right?
link |
00:26:54.080
Well, I think it's the red herring
link |
00:26:58.080
and so we weren't really overlapping a lot there.
link |
00:27:01.080
Jim Watson, who's still alive,
link |
00:27:05.080
is also interested in this problem
link |
00:27:07.080
and when he was director of the Coltsman Harbor Laboratories,
link |
00:27:11.080
he was really sort of behind
link |
00:27:13.080
moving in the direction of neuroscience there.
link |
00:27:16.080
And so he had a personal interest in this field
link |
00:27:19.080
and I have met with him numerous times.
link |
00:27:23.080
And in fact, the last time,
link |
00:27:25.080
a little bit over a year ago,
link |
00:27:27.080
I gave a talk at Coltsman Harbor Labs
link |
00:27:30.080
about the progress we were making in our work.
link |
00:27:34.080
And it was a lot of fun because he said,
link |
00:27:39.080
well, you wouldn't be coming here
link |
00:27:41.080
unless you had something important to say,
link |
00:27:42.080
so I'm going to go attend your talk.
link |
00:27:44.080
So he sat in the very front row.
link |
00:27:46.080
Next to him was the director of the lab, Bruce Stillman.
link |
00:27:50.080
So these guys were in the front row of this auditorium, right?
link |
00:27:52.080
So nobody else in the auditorium wants to sit in the front row
link |
00:27:54.080
because there's Jim Watson there as the director.
link |
00:27:57.080
And I gave a talk and then I had dinner with Jim afterwards.
link |
00:28:03.080
But there's a great picture of my colleague,
link |
00:28:06.080
Subitai Amantik, where I'm up there
link |
00:28:08.080
sort of expiring the basics of this new framework we have.
link |
00:28:11.080
And Jim Watson's on the edge of his chair.
link |
00:28:13.080
He's literally on the edge of his chair,
link |
00:28:15.080
like, internally staring up at the screen.
link |
00:28:17.080
And when he discovered the structure of DNA,
link |
00:28:21.080
the first public talk he gave was at Coltsman Harbor Labs.
link |
00:28:25.080
And there's a picture, there's a famous picture
link |
00:28:27.080
of Jim Watson standing at the whiteboard
link |
00:28:29.080
with an overhead thing pointing at something,
link |
00:28:31.080
pointing at the double helix at this pointer.
link |
00:28:33.080
And it actually looks a lot like the picture of me.
link |
00:28:35.080
So there was a sort of funny, there's an area talking about the brain
link |
00:28:37.080
and there's Jim Watson staring up at the tent.
link |
00:28:39.080
And of course, there was, you know, whatever,
link |
00:28:41.080
60 years earlier he was standing pointing at the double helix.
link |
00:28:44.080
It's one of the great discoveries in all of, you know,
link |
00:28:47.080
whatever, by all the science, all science and DNA.
link |
00:28:50.080
So it's the funny that there's echoes of that in your presentation.
link |
00:28:54.080
Do you think in terms of evolutionary timeline and history,
link |
00:28:58.080
the development of the neocortex was a big leap?
link |
00:29:01.080
Or is it just a small step?
link |
00:29:06.080
So, like, if we ran the whole thing over again,
link |
00:29:09.080
from the birth of life on Earth,
link |
00:29:12.080
how likely would we develop the mechanism of the neocortex?
link |
00:29:15.080
Okay, well, those are two separate questions.
link |
00:29:17.080
One, was it a big leap?
link |
00:29:19.080
And one was how likely it is, okay?
link |
00:29:21.080
They're not necessarily related.
link |
00:29:23.080
Maybe correlated.
link |
00:29:25.080
And we don't really have enough data to make a judgment about that.
link |
00:29:28.080
I would say definitely it was a big leap.
link |
00:29:30.080
And I can tell you why.
link |
00:29:31.080
I don't think it was just another incremental step.
link |
00:29:34.080
I'll get that in a moment.
link |
00:29:36.080
I don't really have any idea how likely it is.
link |
00:29:38.080
If we look at evolution, we have one data point,
link |
00:29:41.080
which is Earth, right?
link |
00:29:43.080
Life formed on Earth billions of years ago,
link |
00:29:45.080
whether it was introduced here or it created it here
link |
00:29:48.080
or someone introduced it we don't really know,
link |
00:29:50.080
but it was here early.
link |
00:29:51.080
It took a long, long time to get to multicellular life.
link |
00:29:55.080
And then from multicellular life,
link |
00:29:58.080
it took a long, long time to get the neocortex.
link |
00:30:02.080
And we've only had the neocortex for a few hundred thousand years.
link |
00:30:05.080
So that's like nothing.
link |
00:30:07.080
Okay, so is it likely?
link |
00:30:09.080
Well, certainly it isn't something that happened right away on Earth.
link |
00:30:13.080
And there were multiple steps to get there.
link |
00:30:15.080
So I would say it's probably not going to something that would happen
link |
00:30:17.080
instantaneously on other planets that might have life.
link |
00:30:20.080
It might take several billion years on average.
link |
00:30:23.080
Is it likely?
link |
00:30:24.080
I don't know.
link |
00:30:25.080
But you'd have to survive for several billion years to find out.
link |
00:30:28.080
Probably.
link |
00:30:29.080
Is it a big leap?
link |
00:30:30.080
Yeah, I think it is a qualitative difference
link |
00:30:35.080
in all other evolutionary steps.
link |
00:30:38.080
I can try to describe that if you'd like.
link |
00:30:40.080
Sure, in which way?
link |
00:30:42.080
Yeah, I can tell you how.
link |
00:30:44.080
Pretty much, let's start with a little preface.
link |
00:30:48.080
Maybe the things that humans are able to do do not have obvious
link |
00:30:54.080
survival advantages precedent.
link |
00:30:59.080
We create music.
link |
00:31:00.080
Is there a really survival advantage to that?
link |
00:31:03.080
Maybe, maybe not.
link |
00:31:04.080
What about mathematics?
link |
00:31:05.080
Is there a real survival advantage to mathematics?
link |
00:31:09.080
You can stretch it.
link |
00:31:10.080
You can try to figure these things out, right?
link |
00:31:13.080
But most of evolutionary history, everything had immediate survival
link |
00:31:18.080
advantages to it.
link |
00:31:19.080
I'll tell you a story, which I like.
link |
00:31:22.080
It may not be true.
link |
00:31:25.080
But the story goes as follows.
link |
00:31:29.080
Organisms have been evolving since the beginning of life here on Earth.
link |
00:31:34.080
Adding this sort of complexity onto that and this sort of complexity onto that.
link |
00:31:37.080
And the brain itself is evolved this way.
link |
00:31:40.080
There's an old part, an older part, an older, older part to the brain that kind of just
link |
00:31:44.080
keeps calming on new things and we keep adding capabilities.
link |
00:31:47.080
When we got to the neocortex, initially it had a very clear survival advantage
link |
00:31:52.080
in that it produced better vision and better hearing and better touch and maybe
link |
00:31:56.080
a new place and so on.
link |
00:31:58.080
But what I think happens is that evolution took a mechanism, and this is in our
link |
00:32:04.080
recent theory, but it took a mechanism that evolved a long time ago for
link |
00:32:08.080
navigating in the world, for knowing where you are.
link |
00:32:10.080
These are the so called grid cells and place cells of that old part of the brain.
link |
00:32:14.080
And it took that mechanism for building maps of the world and knowing where you are
link |
00:32:21.080
on those maps and how to navigate those maps and turns it into a sort of a slim
link |
00:32:26.080
down idealized version of it.
link |
00:32:29.080
And that idealized version could now apply to building maps of other things,
link |
00:32:32.080
maps of coffee cups and maps of phones, maps of mathematics.
link |
00:32:36.080
Concepts, yes, and not just almost, exactly.
link |
00:32:40.080
And it just started replicating this stuff.
link |
00:32:44.080
You just think more and more and more.
link |
00:32:46.080
So we went from being sort of dedicated purpose neural hardware to solve certain
link |
00:32:51.080
problems that are important to survival to a general purpose neural hardware
link |
00:32:56.080
that could be applied to all problems and now it's escaped the orbit of survival.
link |
00:33:02.080
It's, we are now able to apply it to things which we find enjoyment, you know,
link |
00:33:08.080
but aren't really clearly survival characteristics.
link |
00:33:13.080
And that it seems to only have happened in humans to the large extent.
link |
00:33:19.080
And so that's what's going on where we sort of have, we've sort of escaped the
link |
00:33:24.080
gravity of evolutionary pressure in some sense in the near cortex.
link |
00:33:28.080
And it now does things which are not, that are really interesting,
link |
00:33:32.080
discovering models of the universe, which may not really help us.
link |
00:33:36.080
It doesn't matter.
link |
00:33:37.080
How does it help us surviving knowing that there might be multiple verses or that
link |
00:33:41.080
there might be, you know, the age of the universe or how do, you know,
link |
00:33:44.080
various stellar things occur?
link |
00:33:46.080
It doesn't really help us survive at all.
link |
00:33:47.080
But we enjoy it and that's what happened.
link |
00:33:50.080
Or at least not in the obvious way, perhaps.
link |
00:33:53.080
It is required, if you look at the entire universe in an evolutionary way,
link |
00:33:58.080
it's required for us to do interplanetary travel and therefore survive past our own fun.
link |
00:34:03.080
But you know, let's not get too quick.
link |
00:34:05.080
Yeah, but, you know, evolution works at one time frame.
link |
00:34:07.080
It's survival, if you think of survival of the phenotype,
link |
00:34:11.080
survival of the individual.
link |
00:34:13.080
What you're talking about there is spans well beyond that.
link |
00:34:16.080
So there's no genetic, I'm not transferring any genetic traits to my children.
link |
00:34:22.080
That are going to help them survive better on Mars.
link |
00:34:25.080
Totally different mechanism.
link |
00:34:27.080
So let's get into the new, as you've mentioned, this idea,
link |
00:34:32.080
I don't know if you have a nice name, thousand.
link |
00:34:35.080
We call it the thousand brain theory of intelligence.
link |
00:34:37.080
I like it.
link |
00:34:38.080
So can you talk about this idea of spatial view of concepts and so on?
link |
00:34:44.080
Yeah.
link |
00:34:45.080
So can I just describe sort of the, there's an underlying core discovery,
link |
00:34:49.080
which then everything comes from that.
link |
00:34:51.080
That's a very simple, this is really what happened.
link |
00:34:55.080
We were deep into problems about understanding how we build models of stuff in the world
link |
00:35:00.080
and how we make predictions about things.
link |
00:35:03.080
And I was holding a coffee cup just like this in my hand.
link |
00:35:07.080
And I had my finger was touching the side, my index finger.
link |
00:35:10.080
And then I moved it to the top and I was going to feel the rim at the top of the cup.
link |
00:35:15.080
And I asked myself a very simple question.
link |
00:35:18.080
I said, well, first of all, let's say I know that my brain predicts what it's going to feel
link |
00:35:22.080
before it touches it.
link |
00:35:23.080
You can just think about it and imagine it.
link |
00:35:25.080
And so we know that the brain's making predictions all the time.
link |
00:35:28.080
So the question is, what does it take to predict that?
link |
00:35:31.080
And there's a very interesting answer.
link |
00:35:33.080
First of all, it says the brain has to know it's touching a coffee cup.
link |
00:35:36.080
It has to have a model of a coffee cup.
link |
00:35:38.080
It needs to know where the finger currently is on the cup, relative to the cup.
link |
00:35:43.080
Because when I make a movement, it needs to know where it's going to be on the cup
link |
00:35:46.080
after the movement is completed, relative to the cup.
link |
00:35:50.080
And then it can make a prediction about what it's going to sense.
link |
00:35:53.080
So this told me that the neocortex, which is making this prediction,
link |
00:35:56.080
needs to know that it's sensing it's touching a cup.
link |
00:35:59.080
And it needs to know the location of my finger relative to that cup
link |
00:36:02.080
in a reference frame of the cup.
link |
00:36:04.080
It doesn't matter where the cup is relative to my body.
link |
00:36:06.080
It doesn't matter its orientation.
link |
00:36:08.080
None of that matters.
link |
00:36:09.080
It's where my finger is relative to the cup, which tells me then that the neocortex
link |
00:36:13.080
has a reference frame that's anchored to the cup.
link |
00:36:17.080
Because otherwise, I wouldn't be able to say the location
link |
00:36:19.080
and I wouldn't be able to predict my new location.
link |
00:36:21.080
And then we quickly, very instantly, you can say,
link |
00:36:24.080
well, every part of my skin could touch this cup
link |
00:36:26.080
and therefore every part of my skin is making predictions
link |
00:36:28.080
and every part of my skin must have a reference frame
link |
00:36:30.080
that it's using to make predictions.
link |
00:36:33.080
So the big idea is that throughout the neocortex,
link |
00:36:39.080
there are, everything is being stored and referenced in reference frames.
link |
00:36:47.080
You can think of them like XYZ reference frames,
link |
00:36:49.080
but they're not like that.
link |
00:36:50.080
We know a lot about the neural mechanisms for this.
link |
00:36:52.080
But the brain thinks in reference frames.
link |
00:36:55.080
And as an engineer, if you're an engineer, this is not surprising.
link |
00:36:58.080
You'd say, if I were to build a CAD model of the coffee cup,
link |
00:37:01.080
well, I would bring it up in some CAD software
link |
00:37:03.080
and I would assign some reference frame and say,
link |
00:37:05.080
this features at this location and so on.
link |
00:37:07.080
But the fact that this, the idea that this is occurring
link |
00:37:10.080
throughout the neocortex everywhere, it was a novel idea.
link |
00:37:14.080
And then a zillion things fell into place after that, a zillion.
link |
00:37:20.080
So now we think about the neocortex as processing information
link |
00:37:23.080
quite differently than we used to do it.
link |
00:37:25.080
We used to think about the neocortex as processing sensory data
link |
00:37:28.080
and extracting features from that sensory data
link |
00:37:30.080
and then extracting features from the features
link |
00:37:32.080
very much like a deep learning network does today.
link |
00:37:35.080
But that's not how the brain works at all.
link |
00:37:36.080
The brain works by assigning everything,
link |
00:37:39.080
every input, everything to reference frames,
link |
00:37:41.080
and there are thousands, hundreds of thousands of them
link |
00:37:44.080
active at once in your neocortex.
link |
00:37:47.080
It's a surprising thing to think about,
link |
00:37:49.080
but once you sort of internalize this,
link |
00:37:51.080
you understand that it explains almost every,
link |
00:37:54.080
almost all the mysteries we've had about this structure.
link |
00:37:57.080
So one of the consequences of that is that
link |
00:38:00.080
every small part of the neocortex, say a millimeter square,
link |
00:38:04.080
and there's 150,000 of those.
link |
00:38:06.080
So it's about 150,000 square millimeters.
link |
00:38:08.080
If you take every little square millimeter of the cortex,
link |
00:38:11.080
it's got some input coming into it,
link |
00:38:13.080
and it's going to have reference frames
link |
00:38:15.080
where it's assigning that input to.
link |
00:38:17.080
And each square millimeter can learn complete models of objects.
link |
00:38:21.080
So what do I mean by that?
link |
00:38:22.080
If I'm touching the coffee cup,
link |
00:38:23.080
well, if I just touch it in one place,
link |
00:38:25.080
I can't learn what this coffee cup is
link |
00:38:27.080
because I'm just feeling one part.
link |
00:38:29.080
But if I move it around the cup and touch it in different areas,
link |
00:38:32.080
I can build up a complete model of the cup
link |
00:38:34.080
because I'm now filling in that three dimensional map,
link |
00:38:36.080
which is the coffee cup.
link |
00:38:37.080
I can say, oh, what am I feeling in all these different locations?
link |
00:38:39.080
That's the basic idea.
link |
00:38:40.080
It's more complicated than that.
link |
00:38:42.080
But so through time, and we talked about time earlier,
link |
00:38:46.080
through time, even a single column,
link |
00:38:48.080
which is only looking at, or a single part of the cortex,
link |
00:38:50.080
which is only looking at a small part of the world,
link |
00:38:52.080
can build up a complete model of an object.
link |
00:38:54.080
And so if you think about the part of the brain,
link |
00:38:57.080
which is getting input from all my fingers,
link |
00:38:59.080
so they're spread across the top of your head here.
link |
00:39:01.080
This is the somatosensory cortex.
link |
00:39:03.080
There's columns associated with all the different areas of my skin.
link |
00:39:07.080
And what we believe is happening is that
link |
00:39:10.080
all of them are building models of this cup,
link |
00:39:12.080
every one of them, or things.
link |
00:39:15.080
Not every column or every part of the cortex
link |
00:39:18.080
builds models of everything,
link |
00:39:19.080
but they're all building models of something.
link |
00:39:21.080
And so when I touch this cup with my hand,
link |
00:39:26.080
there are multiple models of the cup being invoked.
link |
00:39:29.080
If I look at it with my eyes,
link |
00:39:30.080
there are again many models of the cup being invoked,
link |
00:39:32.080
because each part of the visual system,
link |
00:39:34.080
the brain doesn't process an image.
link |
00:39:36.080
That's a misleading idea.
link |
00:39:38.080
It's just like your fingers touching the cup,
link |
00:39:40.080
so different parts of my retina are looking at different parts of the cup.
link |
00:39:43.080
And thousands and thousands of models of the cup
link |
00:39:45.080
are being invoked at once.
link |
00:39:47.080
And they're all voting with each other,
link |
00:39:49.080
trying to figure out what's going on.
link |
00:39:50.080
So that's why we call it the thousand brains theory of intelligence,
link |
00:39:52.080
because there isn't one model of a cup.
link |
00:39:54.080
There are thousands of models of this cup.
link |
00:39:56.080
There are thousands of models of your cell phone,
link |
00:39:58.080
and about cameras and microphones and so on.
link |
00:40:01.080
It's a distributed modeling system,
link |
00:40:03.080
which is very different than what people have thought about it.
link |
00:40:05.080
So that's a really compelling and interesting idea.
link |
00:40:07.080
I have two first questions.
link |
00:40:09.080
So one, on the ensemble part of everything coming together,
link |
00:40:12.080
you have these thousand brains.
link |
00:40:14.080
How do you know which one has done the best job of forming the cup?
link |
00:40:19.080
Great question. Let me try to explain.
link |
00:40:20.080
There's a problem that's known in neuroscience
link |
00:40:23.080
called the sensor fusion problem.
link |
00:40:25.080
Yes.
link |
00:40:26.080
And so the idea is something like,
link |
00:40:28.080
oh, the image comes from the eye.
link |
00:40:29.080
There's a picture on the retina.
link |
00:40:30.080
And it gets projected to the neocortex.
link |
00:40:32.080
Oh, by now it's all sped out all over the place,
link |
00:40:35.080
and it's kind of squirrely and distorted,
link |
00:40:37.080
and pieces are all over the, you know,
link |
00:40:39.080
it doesn't look like a picture anymore.
link |
00:40:41.080
When does it all come back together again?
link |
00:40:43.080
Right?
link |
00:40:44.080
Or you might say, well, yes, but I also,
link |
00:40:46.080
I also have sounds or touches associated with the cup.
link |
00:40:48.080
So I'm seeing the cup and touching the cup.
link |
00:40:50.080
How do they get combined together again?
link |
00:40:52.080
So this is called the sensor fusion problem.
link |
00:40:54.080
As if all these disparate parts have to be brought together
link |
00:40:57.080
into one model someplace.
link |
00:40:59.080
That's the wrong idea.
link |
00:41:01.080
The right idea is that you get all these guys voting.
link |
00:41:03.080
There's auditory models of the cup,
link |
00:41:05.080
there's visual models of the cup,
link |
00:41:07.080
there's tactile models of the cup.
link |
00:41:09.080
In the vision system, there might be ones
link |
00:41:11.080
that are more focused on black and white,
link |
00:41:13.080
ones versioned on color.
link |
00:41:14.080
It doesn't really matter.
link |
00:41:15.080
There's just thousands and thousands of models of this cup.
link |
00:41:17.080
And they vote.
link |
00:41:18.080
They don't actually come together in one spot.
link |
00:41:20.080
Just literally think of it this way.
link |
00:41:22.080
Imagine you have, each columns are like about the size
link |
00:41:25.080
of a little piece of spaghetti.
link |
00:41:26.080
Okay?
link |
00:41:27.080
Like a two and a half millimeters tall
link |
00:41:28.080
and about a millimeter in white.
link |
00:41:30.080
They're not physical like, but you can think of them that way.
link |
00:41:33.080
And each one's trying to guess what this thing is or touching.
link |
00:41:36.080
Now they can, they can do a pretty good job
link |
00:41:38.080
if they're allowed to move over time.
link |
00:41:40.080
So I can reach my hand into a black box and move my finger
link |
00:41:42.080
around an object and if I touch enough space,
link |
00:41:44.080
it's like, okay, I know what it is.
link |
00:41:46.080
But often we don't do that.
link |
00:41:48.080
Often I can just reach and grab something with my hand
link |
00:41:50.080
all at once and I get it.
link |
00:41:51.080
Or if I had to look through the world through a straw,
link |
00:41:53.080
so I'm only invoking one little column,
link |
00:41:55.080
I can only see part of something because I have to move
link |
00:41:57.080
the straw around.
link |
00:41:58.080
But if I open my eyes to see the whole thing at once.
link |
00:42:00.080
So what we think is going on is all these little pieces
link |
00:42:02.080
of spaghetti, all these little columns in the cortex
link |
00:42:05.080
are all trying to guess what it is that they're sensing.
link |
00:42:08.080
They'll do a better guess if they have time
link |
00:42:10.080
and can move over time.
link |
00:42:11.080
So if I move my eyes and move my fingers.
link |
00:42:13.080
But if they don't, they have a, they have a poor guess.
link |
00:42:16.080
It's a, it's a probabilistic guess of what they might be touching.
link |
00:42:19.080
Now imagine they can post their probability
link |
00:42:22.080
at the top of little piece of spaghetti.
link |
00:42:24.080
Each one of them says, I think,
link |
00:42:25.080
and it's not really a probability distribution.
link |
00:42:27.080
It's more like a set of possibilities in the brain.
link |
00:42:29.080
It doesn't work as a probability distribution.
link |
00:42:31.080
It works as more like what we call a union.
link |
00:42:33.080
You could say, and one column says,
link |
00:42:35.080
I think it could be a coffee cup, a soda can or a water bottle.
link |
00:42:39.080
And another column says, I think it could be a coffee cup
link |
00:42:42.080
or a, you know, telephone or camera or whatever.
link |
00:42:45.080
Right.
link |
00:42:46.080
And all these guys are saying what they think it might be.
link |
00:42:49.080
And there's these long range connections
link |
00:42:51.080
in certain layers in the cortex.
link |
00:42:53.080
So there's some layers in some cell types in each column
link |
00:42:57.080
send the projections across the brain.
link |
00:42:59.080
And that's the voting occurs.
link |
00:43:01.080
And so there's a simple associative memory mechanism.
link |
00:43:04.080
We've described this in a recent paper and we've modeled this
link |
00:43:07.080
that says they can all quickly settle on the only
link |
00:43:11.080
or the one best answer for all of them.
link |
00:43:14.080
If there is a single best answer, they all vote and say,
link |
00:43:17.080
yep, it's got to be the coffee cup.
link |
00:43:19.080
And at that point, they all know it's a coffee cup.
link |
00:43:21.080
And at that point, everyone acts as if it's a coffee cup.
link |
00:43:23.080
Yeah, we know it's a coffee.
link |
00:43:24.080
Even though I've only seen one little piece of this world,
link |
00:43:26.080
I know it's a coffee cup I'm touching or I'm seeing or whatever.
link |
00:43:28.080
And so you can think of all these columns are looking
link |
00:43:31.080
at different parts and different places,
link |
00:43:33.080
different sensory input, different locations.
link |
00:43:35.080
They're all different.
link |
00:43:36.080
But this layer that's doing the voting, it solidifies.
link |
00:43:40.080
It crystallizes and says, oh, we all know what we're doing.
link |
00:43:43.080
And so you don't bring these models together in one model,
link |
00:43:46.080
you just vote and there's a crystallization of the vote.
link |
00:43:49.080
Great.
link |
00:43:50.080
That's at least a compelling way to think about the way you
link |
00:43:56.080
form a model of the world.
link |
00:43:58.080
Now, you talk about a coffee cup.
link |
00:44:00.080
Do you see this as far as I understand that you were proposing
link |
00:44:04.080
this as well, that this extends to much more than coffee cups?
link |
00:44:07.080
Yeah, it does.
link |
00:44:09.080
Or at least the physical world.
link |
00:44:11.080
It expands to the world of concepts.
link |
00:44:14.080
Yeah, it does.
link |
00:44:15.080
And well, the first, the primary phase of evidence for that
link |
00:44:18.080
is that the regions of the neocortex that are associated
link |
00:44:21.080
with language or high level thought or mathematics or things
link |
00:44:24.080
like that, they look like the regions of the neocortex
link |
00:44:26.080
that process vision and hearing and touch.
link |
00:44:28.080
They don't look any different or they look only marginally
link |
00:44:31.080
different.
link |
00:44:32.080
And so one would say, well, if Vernon Mountcastle,
link |
00:44:36.080
who proposed that all the parts of the neocortex
link |
00:44:39.080
are the same thing, if he's right, then the parts
link |
00:44:42.080
that are doing language or mathematics or physics
link |
00:44:44.080
are working on the same principle.
link |
00:44:46.080
They must be working on the principle of reference frames.
link |
00:44:48.080
So that's a little odd thought.
link |
00:44:51.080
But of course, we had no prior idea how these things happen.
link |
00:44:55.080
So let's go with that.
link |
00:44:57.080
And in our recent paper, we talked a little bit about that.
link |
00:45:01.080
I've been working on it more since.
link |
00:45:03.080
I have better ideas about it now.
link |
00:45:05.080
I'm sitting here very confident that that's what's happening.
link |
00:45:08.080
And I can give you some examples to help you think about that.
link |
00:45:11.080
It's not that we understand it completely,
link |
00:45:13.080
but I understand it better than I've described it in any paper
link |
00:45:15.080
so far.
link |
00:45:16.080
But we did put that idea out there.
link |
00:45:18.080
It's a good place to start.
link |
00:45:22.080
And the evidence would suggest it's how it's happening.
link |
00:45:25.080
And then we can start tackling that problem one piece at a time.
link |
00:45:27.080
What does it mean to do high level thought?
link |
00:45:29.080
What does it mean to do language?
link |
00:45:30.080
How would that fit into a reference framework?
link |
00:45:34.080
I don't know if you could tell me if there's a connection,
link |
00:45:38.080
but there's an app called Anki that helps you remember different concepts.
link |
00:45:42.080
And they talk about like a memory palace that helps you remember
link |
00:45:46.080
completely random concepts by trying to put them in a physical space
link |
00:45:50.080
in your mind and putting them next to each other.
link |
00:45:52.080
It's called the method of loci.
link |
00:45:54.080
For some reason, that seems to work really well.
link |
00:45:57.080
Now that's a very narrow kind of application of just remembering some facts.
link |
00:46:00.080
But that's a very, very telling one.
link |
00:46:03.080
Yes, exactly.
link |
00:46:04.080
So this seems like you're describing a mechanism why this seems to work.
link |
00:46:09.080
So basically the way what we think is going on is all things you know,
link |
00:46:13.080
all concepts, all ideas, words, everything, you know,
link |
00:46:17.080
are stored in reference frames.
link |
00:46:20.080
And so if you want to remember something,
link |
00:46:24.080
you have to basically navigate through a reference frame the same way
link |
00:46:27.080
a rat navigates to a man.
link |
00:46:28.080
Even the same way my finger rat navigates to this coffee cup.
link |
00:46:31.080
You are moving through some space.
link |
00:46:33.080
And so if you have a random list of things you would ask to remember
link |
00:46:37.080
by assigning them to a reference frame,
link |
00:46:39.080
you've already know very well to see your house, right?
link |
00:46:42.080
And the idea of the method of loci is you can say,
link |
00:46:44.080
okay, in my lobby, I'm going to put this thing.
link |
00:46:46.080
And then the bedroom, I put this one.
link |
00:46:48.080
I go down the hall, I put this thing.
link |
00:46:49.080
And then you want to recall those facts.
link |
00:46:51.080
So recall those things.
link |
00:46:52.080
You just walk mentally.
link |
00:46:53.080
You walk through your house.
link |
00:46:54.080
You're mentally moving through a reference frame that you already had.
link |
00:46:57.080
And that tells you there's two things that are really important about that.
link |
00:47:00.080
It tells us the brain prefers to store things in reference frames.
link |
00:47:03.080
And the method of recalling things or thinking, if you will,
link |
00:47:08.080
is to move mentally through those reference frames.
link |
00:47:11.080
You could move physically through some reference frames,
link |
00:47:13.080
like I could physically move through the reference frame of this coffee cup.
link |
00:47:16.080
I can also mentally move through the reference frame of the coffee cup,
link |
00:47:18.080
imagining me touching it.
link |
00:47:19.080
But I can also mentally move my house.
link |
00:47:22.080
And so now we can ask ourselves, are all concepts stored this way?
link |
00:47:26.080
There was some recent research using human subjects in fMRI.
link |
00:47:32.080
And I'm going to apologize for not knowing the name of the scientists who did this.
link |
00:47:36.080
But what they did is they put humans in this fMRI machine,
link |
00:47:41.080
which was one of these imaging machines.
link |
00:47:42.080
And they gave the humans tasks to think about birds.
link |
00:47:46.080
So they had different types of birds, and birds that looked big and small
link |
00:47:49.080
and long necks and long legs, things like that.
link |
00:47:51.080
And what they could tell from the fMRI was a very clever experiment.
link |
00:47:56.080
You get to tell when humans were thinking about the birds,
link |
00:48:00.080
that the birds, the knowledge of birds was arranged in a reference frame
link |
00:48:05.080
similar to the ones that are used when you navigate in a room.
link |
00:48:08.080
These are called grid cells.
link |
00:48:10.080
And there are grid cell like patterns of activity in the neocortex when they do this.
link |
00:48:14.080
So that, it's a very clever experiment.
link |
00:48:18.080
And what it basically says is that even when you're thinking about something abstract
link |
00:48:22.080
and you're not really thinking about it as a reference frame,
link |
00:48:24.080
it tells us the brain is actually using a reference frame.
link |
00:48:27.080
And it's using the same neural mechanisms.
link |
00:48:29.080
These grid cells are the basic same neural mechanisms that we propose
link |
00:48:32.080
that grid cells, which exist in the old part of the brain, the entomonic cortex,
link |
00:48:36.080
that that mechanism is now similar mechanism, is used throughout the neocortex.
link |
00:48:40.080
It's the same nature to preserve this interesting way of creating reference frames.
link |
00:48:44.080
And so now they have empirical evidence that when you think about concepts like birds
link |
00:48:49.080
that you're using reference frames that are built on grid cells.
link |
00:48:53.080
So that's similar to the method of loci.
link |
00:48:55.080
But in this case, the birds are related so that makes,
link |
00:48:57.080
they create their own reference frame, which is consistent with bird space.
link |
00:49:01.080
And when you think about something, you go through that.
link |
00:49:03.080
You can make the same example.
link |
00:49:04.080
Let's take a math mathematics.
link |
00:49:06.080
Let's say you want to prove a conjecture.
link |
00:49:08.080
Okay.
link |
00:49:09.080
What is a conjecture?
link |
00:49:10.080
A conjecture is a statement you believe to be true,
link |
00:49:13.080
but you haven't proven it.
link |
00:49:15.080
And so it might be an equation.
link |
00:49:17.080
I want to show that this is equal to that.
link |
00:49:19.080
And you have some places you start with.
link |
00:49:21.080
You say, well, I know this is true and I know this is true.
link |
00:49:23.080
And I think that maybe to get to the final proof,
link |
00:49:26.080
I need to go through some intermediate results.
link |
00:49:28.080
What I believe is happening is literally these equations
link |
00:49:33.080
or these points are assigned to a reference frame,
link |
00:49:36.080
a mathematical reference frame.
link |
00:49:38.080
And when you do mathematical operations,
link |
00:49:40.080
a simple one might be multiply or divide,
link |
00:49:42.080
maybe a little plus transform or something else.
link |
00:49:44.080
That is like a movement in the reference frame of the math.
link |
00:49:47.080
And so you're literally trying to discover a path
link |
00:49:50.080
from one location to another location in a space of mathematics.
link |
00:49:56.080
And if you can get to these intermediate results,
link |
00:49:58.080
then you know your map is pretty good
link |
00:50:00.080
and you know you're using the right operations.
link |
00:50:03.080
Much of what we think about is solving hard problems
link |
00:50:06.080
is designing the correct reference frame for that problem,
link |
00:50:09.080
how to organize the information, and what behaviors
link |
00:50:12.080
I want to use in that space to get me there.
link |
00:50:15.080
Yeah, so if you dig in on an idea of this reference frame,
link |
00:50:19.080
whether it's the math, you start a set of axioms
link |
00:50:21.080
to try to get to proving the conjecture.
link |
00:50:24.080
Can you try to describe, maybe take a step back,
link |
00:50:27.080
how you think of the reference frame in that context?
link |
00:50:30.080
Is it the reference frame that the axioms are happy in?
link |
00:50:35.080
Is it the reference frame that might contain everything?
link |
00:50:38.080
Is it a changing thing as you...
link |
00:50:41.080
You have many, many reference frames.
link |
00:50:43.080
In fact, the way the thousand brain theories of intelligence
link |
00:50:45.080
says that every single thing in the world has its own reference frame.
link |
00:50:48.080
So every word has its own reference frames.
link |
00:50:50.080
And we can talk about this.
link |
00:50:52.080
The mathematics work out this is no problem for neurons to do this.
link |
00:50:55.080
But how many reference frames does the coffee cup have?
link |
00:50:58.080
Well, let's say you ask how many reference frames
link |
00:51:03.080
could the column in my finger that's touching the coffee cup have
link |
00:51:07.080
because there are many, many models of the coffee cup.
link |
00:51:10.080
So there is no model of the coffee cup.
link |
00:51:12.080
There are many models of the coffee cup.
link |
00:51:14.080
And you can say, well, how many different things can my finger learn?
link |
00:51:17.080
Is this the question you want to ask?
link |
00:51:19.080
Imagine I say every concept, every idea,
link |
00:51:21.080
everything you've ever know about that you can say,
link |
00:51:23.080
I know that thing has a reference frame associated with it.
link |
00:51:28.080
And what we do when we build composite objects,
link |
00:51:30.080
we assign reference frames to point another reference frame.
link |
00:51:34.080
So my coffee cup has multiple components to it.
link |
00:51:37.080
It's got a limb.
link |
00:51:38.080
It's got a cylinder.
link |
00:51:39.080
It's got a handle.
link |
00:51:40.080
And those things have their own reference frames.
link |
00:51:43.080
And they're assigned to a master reference frame,
link |
00:51:45.080
which is called this cup.
link |
00:51:46.080
And now I have this mental logo on it.
link |
00:51:48.080
Well, that's something that exists elsewhere in the world.
link |
00:51:50.080
It's its own thing.
link |
00:51:51.080
So it has its own reference frame.
link |
00:51:52.080
So we now have to say, how can I assign the mental logo reference frame
link |
00:51:56.080
onto the cylinder or onto the coffee cup?
link |
00:51:59.080
So we talked about this in the paper that came out in December
link |
00:52:04.080
of this last year.
link |
00:52:06.080
The idea of how you can assign reference frames to reference frames,
link |
00:52:09.080
how neurons could do this.
link |
00:52:10.080
So my question is, even though you mentioned reference frames a lot,
link |
00:52:14.080
I almost feel it's really useful to dig into how you think
link |
00:52:18.080
of what a reference frame is.
link |
00:52:20.080
It was already helpful for me to understand that you think
link |
00:52:22.080
of reference frames as something there is a lot of.
link |
00:52:26.080
OK, so let's just say that we're going to have some neurons
link |
00:52:29.080
in the brain, not many actually, 10,000, 20,000,
link |
00:52:32.080
are going to create a whole bunch of reference frames.
link |
00:52:34.080
What does it mean?
link |
00:52:35.080
What is a reference frame?
link |
00:52:37.080
First of all, these reference frames are different than the ones
link |
00:52:40.080
you might be used to.
link |
00:52:42.080
We know lots of reference frames.
link |
00:52:43.080
For example, we know the Cartesian coordinates,
link |
00:52:45.080
XYZ, that's a type of reference frame.
link |
00:52:47.080
We know longitude and latitude.
link |
00:52:50.080
That's a different type of reference frame.
link |
00:52:52.080
If I look at a printed map, it might have columns,
link |
00:52:55.080
A through M and rows, 1 through 20,
link |
00:52:59.080
that's a different type of reference frame.
link |
00:53:01.080
It's kind of a Cartesian reference frame.
link |
00:53:04.080
The interesting thing about the reference frames in the brain,
link |
00:53:07.080
and we know this because these have been established
link |
00:53:09.080
through neuroscience studying the entorhinal cortex.
link |
00:53:12.080
So I'm not speculating here.
link |
00:53:13.080
This is known neuroscience in an old part of the brain.
link |
00:53:16.080
The way these cells create reference frames,
link |
00:53:18.080
they have no origin.
link |
00:53:20.080
So what it's more like, you have a point,
link |
00:53:24.080
a point in some space,
link |
00:53:26.080
and you, given a particular movement,
link |
00:53:29.080
you can then tell what the next point should be.
link |
00:53:32.080
And you can then tell what the next point would be.
link |
00:53:34.080
And so on.
link |
00:53:35.080
You can use this to calculate how to get from one point to another.
link |
00:53:40.080
So how do I get from my house to my home,
link |
00:53:43.080
or how do I get my finger from the side of my cup
link |
00:53:45.080
to the top of the cup?
link |
00:53:46.080
How do I get from the axioms to the conjecture?
link |
00:53:52.080
So it's a different type of reference frame.
link |
00:53:54.080
And I can, if you want, I can describe in more detail.
link |
00:53:57.080
I can paint a picture how you might want to think about that.
link |
00:53:59.080
It's really helpful to think.
link |
00:54:00.080
It's something you can move through.
link |
00:54:02.080
Yeah.
link |
00:54:03.080
But is it helpful to think of it as spatial in some sense,
link |
00:54:08.080
or is there something?
link |
00:54:09.080
No, it's definitely spatial.
link |
00:54:11.080
It's spatial in a mathematical sense.
link |
00:54:13.080
How many dimensions?
link |
00:54:14.080
Can it be a crazy number of dimensions?
link |
00:54:16.080
Well, that's an interesting question.
link |
00:54:17.080
In the old part of the brain, the entorhinal cortex,
link |
00:54:20.080
they studied rats.
link |
00:54:22.080
And initially, it looks like, oh, this is just two dimensional.
link |
00:54:24.080
It's like the rat is in some box in a maze or whatever,
link |
00:54:27.080
and they know whether the rat is using these two dimensional
link |
00:54:29.080
reference frames and know where it is in the maze.
link |
00:54:32.080
We say, OK, well, what about bats?
link |
00:54:35.080
That's a mammal, and they fly in three dimensional space.
link |
00:54:38.080
How do they do that?
link |
00:54:39.080
They seem to know where they are, right?
link |
00:54:41.080
So this is a current area of active research,
link |
00:54:44.080
and it seems like somehow the neurons in the entorhinal cortex
link |
00:54:47.080
can learn three dimensional space.
link |
00:54:50.080
We just, two members of our team, along with Ilefet from MIT,
link |
00:54:55.080
just released a paper this literally last week,
link |
00:54:59.080
it's on bioarchive, where they show that you can,
link |
00:55:03.080
the way these things work, and unless you want to,
link |
00:55:06.080
I won't get into the detail, but grid cells
link |
00:55:10.080
can represent any n dimensional space.
link |
00:55:12.080
It's not inherently limited.
link |
00:55:15.080
You can think of it this way, if you had two dimensional,
link |
00:55:18.080
the way it works is you had a bunch of two dimensional slices.
link |
00:55:21.080
That's the way these things work.
link |
00:55:22.080
There's a whole bunch of two dimensional models,
link |
00:55:24.080
and you can slice up any n dimensional space
link |
00:55:27.080
with two dimensional projections.
link |
00:55:29.080
And you could have one dimensional models.
link |
00:55:31.080
So there's nothing inherent about the mathematics
link |
00:55:34.080
about the way the neurons do this,
link |
00:55:36.080
which constrained the dimensionality of the space,
link |
00:55:39.080
which I think was important.
link |
00:55:41.080
So obviously, I have a three dimensional map of this cup.
link |
00:55:44.080
Maybe it's even more than that, I don't know.
link |
00:55:46.080
But it's a clearly three dimensional map of the cup.
link |
00:55:48.080
I don't just have a projection of the cup.
link |
00:55:50.080
But when I think about birds,
link |
00:55:52.080
or when I think about mathematics,
link |
00:55:53.080
perhaps it's more than three dimensions.
link |
00:55:55.080
Who knows?
link |
00:55:56.080
So in terms of each individual column
link |
00:56:00.080
building up more and more information over time,
link |
00:56:04.080
do you think that mechanism is well understood?
link |
00:56:06.080
In your mind, you've proposed a lot of architectures there.
link |
00:56:10.080
Is that a key piece, or is it, is the big piece,
link |
00:56:14.080
the thousand brain theory of intelligence,
link |
00:56:16.080
the ensemble of it all?
link |
00:56:18.080
Well, I think they're both big.
link |
00:56:19.080
I mean, clearly the concept, as a theorist,
link |
00:56:21.080
the concept is most exciting, right?
link |
00:56:23.080
A high level concept.
link |
00:56:24.080
A high level concept.
link |
00:56:25.080
This is a totally new way of thinking about
link |
00:56:26.080
how the near characteristics work.
link |
00:56:27.080
So that is appealing.
link |
00:56:29.080
It has all these ramifications.
link |
00:56:31.080
And with that, as a framework for how the brain works,
link |
00:56:34.080
you can make all kinds of predictions
link |
00:56:35.080
and solve all kinds of problems.
link |
00:56:36.080
Now we're trying to work through many of these details right now.
link |
00:56:38.080
Okay, how do the neurons actually do this?
link |
00:56:40.080
Well, it turns out, if you think about grid cells
link |
00:56:42.080
and place cells in the old parts of the brain,
link |
00:56:44.080
there's a lot that's known about them,
link |
00:56:46.080
but there's still some mysteries.
link |
00:56:47.080
There's a lot of debate about exactly the details,
link |
00:56:49.080
how these work, and what are the signs.
link |
00:56:50.080
And we have that same level of detail,
link |
00:56:52.080
that same level of concern.
link |
00:56:54.080
What we spend here, most of our time doing,
link |
00:56:56.080
is trying to make a very good list
link |
00:56:59.080
of the things we don't understand yet.
link |
00:57:02.080
That's the key part here.
link |
00:57:04.080
What are the constraints?
link |
00:57:05.080
It's not like, oh, this seems to work, we're done.
link |
00:57:07.080
It's like, okay, it kind of works,
link |
00:57:09.080
but these are other things we know it has to do,
link |
00:57:11.080
and it's not doing those yet.
link |
00:57:13.080
I would say we're well on the way here.
link |
00:57:15.080
We're not done yet.
link |
00:57:17.080
There's a lot of trickiness to this system,
link |
00:57:20.080
but the basic principles about how different layers
link |
00:57:23.080
in the neocortex are doing much of this, we understand.
link |
00:57:27.080
But there's some fundamental parts
link |
00:57:29.080
that we don't understand as well.
link |
00:57:30.080
So what would you say is one of the harder open problems,
link |
00:57:34.080
or one of the ones that have been bothering you,
link |
00:57:37.080
keeping you up at night the most?
link |
00:57:39.080
Well, right now, this is a detailed thing
link |
00:57:41.080
that wouldn't apply to most people, okay?
link |
00:57:43.080
Sure.
link |
00:57:44.080
But you want me to answer that question?
link |
00:57:45.080
Yeah, please.
link |
00:57:46.080
We've talked about, as if, oh, to predict
link |
00:57:49.080
what you're going to sense on this coffee cup,
link |
00:57:51.080
I need to know where my finger's going to be on the coffee cup.
link |
00:57:54.080
That is true, but it's insufficient.
link |
00:57:56.080
Think about my finger touching the edge of the coffee cup.
link |
00:57:59.080
My finger can touch it at different orientations.
link |
00:58:02.080
I can touch it at my finger around here.
link |
00:58:05.080
And that doesn't change.
link |
00:58:06.080
I can make that prediction, and somehow,
link |
00:58:09.080
so it's not just the location.
link |
00:58:10.080
There's an orientation component of this as well.
link |
00:58:13.080
This is known in the old part of the brain, too.
link |
00:58:15.080
There's things called head direction cells,
link |
00:58:17.080
which way the rat is facing.
link |
00:58:18.080
It's the same kind of basic idea.
link |
00:58:20.080
So if my finger were a rat, you know, in three dimensions,
link |
00:58:23.080
I have a three dimensional orientation,
link |
00:58:25.080
and I have a three dimensional location.
link |
00:58:27.080
If I was a rat, I would have a,
link |
00:58:29.080
I think it was a two dimensional location,
link |
00:58:31.080
or one dimensional orientation, like this,
link |
00:58:33.080
which way is it facing?
link |
00:58:35.080
So how the two components work together,
link |
00:58:38.080
how does it, I combine orientation,
link |
00:58:41.080
the orientation of my sensor,
link |
00:58:43.080
as well as the location,
link |
00:58:47.080
is a tricky problem.
link |
00:58:49.080
And I think I've made progress on it.
link |
00:58:52.080
So at a bigger version of that,
link |
00:58:55.080
the perspective is super interesting,
link |
00:58:57.080
but super specific.
link |
00:58:58.080
Yeah, I warned you.
link |
00:58:59.080
No, no, no, it's really good,
link |
00:59:01.080
but there's a more general version of that.
link |
00:59:04.080
Do you think context matters?
link |
00:59:06.080
The fact that we are in a building in North America,
link |
00:59:10.080
that we, in the day and age where we have mugs,
link |
00:59:15.080
I mean, there's all this extra information
link |
00:59:18.080
that you bring to the table about everything else in the room
link |
00:59:22.080
that's outside of just the coffee cup.
link |
00:59:24.080
Of course it is.
link |
00:59:25.080
How does it get connected, do you think?
link |
00:59:27.080
Yeah, and that is another really interesting question.
link |
00:59:30.080
I'm going to throw that under the rubric
link |
00:59:32.080
or the name of attentional problems.
link |
00:59:34.080
First of all, we have this model.
link |
00:59:36.080
I have many, many models.
link |
00:59:37.080
And also the question, does it matter?
link |
00:59:39.080
Well, it matters for certain things.
link |
00:59:41.080
Of course it does.
link |
00:59:42.080
Maybe what we think about as a coffee cup
link |
00:59:44.080
in another part of the world is viewed as something completely different.
link |
00:59:47.080
Or maybe our logo, which is very benign in this part of the world,
link |
00:59:51.080
it means something very different in another part of the world.
link |
00:59:53.080
So those things do matter.
link |
00:59:56.080
I think the way to think about it as the following,
link |
01:00:00.080
one way to think about it,
link |
01:00:01.080
is we have all these models of the world.
link |
01:00:03.080
And we model everything.
link |
01:00:06.080
And as I said earlier, I kind of snuck it in there.
link |
01:00:08.080
Our models are actually, we build composite structures.
link |
01:00:12.080
So every object is composed of other objects,
link |
01:00:15.080
which are composed of other objects,
link |
01:00:16.080
and they become members of other objects.
link |
01:00:18.080
So this room is chairs and a table and a room and walls and so on.
link |
01:00:21.080
Now we can just arrange these things in a certain way.
link |
01:00:24.080
And you go, oh, that's in the Nementa conference room.
link |
01:00:27.080
So, and what we do is when we go around the world,
link |
01:00:32.080
when we experience the world,
link |
01:00:34.080
by walking to a room, for example,
link |
01:00:36.080
the first thing I do is like, oh, I'm in this room.
link |
01:00:38.080
Do I recognize the room?
link |
01:00:39.080
Then I can say, oh, look, there's a table here.
link |
01:00:42.080
And by attending to the table,
link |
01:00:44.080
I'm then assigning this table in a context of the room.
link |
01:00:46.080
Then I say, oh, on the table, there's a coffee cup.
link |
01:00:48.080
Oh, and on the table, there's a logo.
link |
01:00:50.080
And in the logo, there's the word Nementa.
link |
01:00:52.080
So if you look in the logo, there's the letter E.
link |
01:00:54.080
And look, it has an unusual surf.
link |
01:00:56.080
It doesn't actually, but I pretend it does.
link |
01:00:59.080
So the point is your attention is kind of drilling deep in and out
link |
01:01:05.080
of these nested structures.
link |
01:01:07.080
And I can pop back up and I can pop back down.
link |
01:01:09.080
I can pop back up and I can pop back down.
link |
01:01:11.080
So when I attend to the coffee cup,
link |
01:01:13.080
I haven't lost the context of everything else,
link |
01:01:15.080
but it's sort of, there's this sort of nested structure.
link |
01:01:19.080
The attention filters the reference frame formation
link |
01:01:22.080
for that particular period of time.
link |
01:01:24.080
Yes.
link |
01:01:25.080
It basically, a moment to moment, you attend the subcomponents
link |
01:01:28.080
and then you can attend the subcomponents to subcomponents.
link |
01:01:30.080
You can move up and down.
link |
01:01:31.080
You can move up and down.
link |
01:01:32.080
We do that all the time.
link |
01:01:33.080
You're not even, now that I'm aware of it,
link |
01:01:35.080
I'm very conscious of it.
link |
01:01:37.080
But most people don't even think about this.
link |
01:01:40.080
You know, you just walk in a room and you don't say,
link |
01:01:42.080
oh, I looked at the chair and I looked at the board
link |
01:01:43.080
and looked at that word on the board
link |
01:01:44.080
and I looked over here.
link |
01:01:45.080
What's going on?
link |
01:01:46.080
Right.
link |
01:01:47.080
So what percentage of your day are you deeply aware of this?
link |
01:01:50.080
In what part can you actually relax and just be Jeff?
link |
01:01:53.080
Me personally, like my personal day.
link |
01:01:55.080
Yeah.
link |
01:01:56.080
Unfortunately, I'm afflicted with too much of the former.
link |
01:02:01.080
Well, unfortunately or unfortunately.
link |
01:02:03.080
Yeah.
link |
01:02:04.080
You don't think it's useful?
link |
01:02:05.080
Oh, it is useful.
link |
01:02:06.080
Totally useful.
link |
01:02:07.080
I think about this stuff almost all the time.
link |
01:02:09.080
And one of my primary ways of thinking is
link |
01:02:13.080
when I'm asleep at night,
link |
01:02:14.080
I always wake up in the middle of the night
link |
01:02:16.080
and I stay awake for at least an hour with my eyes shut
link |
01:02:19.080
in sort of a half sleep state thinking about these things.
link |
01:02:21.080
I come up with answers to problems very often
link |
01:02:23.080
in that sort of half sleeping state.
link |
01:02:25.080
I think about on my bike ride, I think about on walks.
link |
01:02:27.080
I'm just constantly thinking about this.
link |
01:02:29.080
I have to almost schedule time to not think about this stuff
link |
01:02:34.080
because it's very, it's mentally taxing.
link |
01:02:37.080
Are you, when you're thinking about this stuff,
link |
01:02:39.080
are you thinking introspectively,
link |
01:02:41.080
like almost taking a step outside of yourself
link |
01:02:43.080
and trying to figure out what is your mind doing right now?
link |
01:02:45.080
I do that all the time, but that's not all I do.
link |
01:02:48.080
I'm constantly observing myself.
link |
01:02:50.080
So as soon as I started thinking about grid cells,
link |
01:02:52.080
for example, and getting into that,
link |
01:02:54.080
I started saying, oh, well, grid cells can have my place of sense
link |
01:02:57.080
in the world.
link |
01:02:58.080
That's where you know where you are.
link |
01:02:59.080
And it's interesting, we always have a sense of where we are
link |
01:03:01.080
unless we're lost.
link |
01:03:02.080
And so I started at night when I got up to go to the bathroom,
link |
01:03:05.080
I would start trying to do it completely with my eyes closed
link |
01:03:07.080
all the time and I would test my sense of grid cells.
link |
01:03:09.080
I would walk five feet and say, okay, I think I'm here.
link |
01:03:13.080
Am I really there?
link |
01:03:14.080
What's my error?
link |
01:03:15.080
And then I would calculate my error again and see how the errors
link |
01:03:17.080
accumulate.
link |
01:03:18.080
So even something as simple as getting up in the middle of the
link |
01:03:20.080
night to go to the bathroom, I'm testing these theories out.
link |
01:03:22.080
It's kind of fun.
link |
01:03:23.080
I mean, the coffee cup is an example of that too.
link |
01:03:25.080
So I think I find that these sort of everyday introspections
link |
01:03:30.080
are actually quite helpful.
link |
01:03:32.080
It doesn't mean you can ignore the science.
link |
01:03:34.080
I mean, I spend hours every day reading ridiculously complex
link |
01:03:38.080
papers.
link |
01:03:39.080
That's not nearly as much fun,
link |
01:03:41.080
but you have to sort of build up those constraints and the knowledge
link |
01:03:44.080
about the field and who's doing what and what exactly they think
link |
01:03:47.080
is happening here.
link |
01:03:48.080
And then you can sit back and say, okay, let's try to have pieces
link |
01:03:51.080
all together.
link |
01:03:52.080
Let's come up with some, you know, I'm very in this group here
link |
01:03:56.080
and people, they know they do this.
link |
01:03:58.080
I do this all the time.
link |
01:03:59.080
I come in with these introspective ideas and say, well,
link |
01:04:01.080
there we ever thought about this.
link |
01:04:02.080
Now watch, well, let's all do this together.
link |
01:04:04.080
And it's helpful.
link |
01:04:06.080
It's not, as long as you don't, if all you did was that,
link |
01:04:10.080
then you're just making up stuff, right?
link |
01:04:12.080
But if you're constraining it by the reality of the neuroscience,
link |
01:04:15.080
then it's really helpful.
link |
01:04:17.080
So let's talk a little bit about deep learning and the successes
link |
01:04:22.080
in the applied space of neural networks, ideas of training model
link |
01:04:28.080
on data and these simple computational units,
link |
01:04:31.080
artificial neurons that with back propagation have statistical
link |
01:04:37.080
ways of being able to generalize from the training set on to
link |
01:04:42.080
data that similar to that training set.
link |
01:04:44.080
So where do you think are the limitations of those approaches?
link |
01:04:48.080
What do you think are strengths relative to your major efforts
link |
01:04:52.080
of constructing a theory of human intelligence?
link |
01:04:55.080
Yeah.
link |
01:04:56.080
Well, I'm not an expert in this field.
link |
01:04:58.080
I'm somewhat knowledgeable.
link |
01:04:59.080
So, but I'm not.
link |
01:05:00.080
A little bit in just your intuition.
link |
01:05:02.080
Well, I have a little bit more than intuition,
link |
01:05:04.080
but I just want to say like, you know, one of the things that you asked me,
link |
01:05:07.080
do I spend all my time thinking about neuroscience?
link |
01:05:09.080
I do.
link |
01:05:10.080
That's to the exclusion of thinking about things like convolutional neural
link |
01:05:12.080
networks.
link |
01:05:13.080
But I try to stay current.
link |
01:05:15.080
So look, I think it's great the progress they've made.
link |
01:05:18.080
It's fantastic.
link |
01:05:19.080
And as I mentioned earlier, it's very highly useful for many things.
link |
01:05:23.080
The models that we have today are actually derived from a lot of
link |
01:05:27.080
neuroscience principles.
link |
01:05:28.080
They are distributed processing systems and distributed memory systems,
link |
01:05:31.080
and that's how the brain works.
link |
01:05:33.080
And they use things that we might call them neurons,
link |
01:05:36.080
but they're really not neurons at all.
link |
01:05:37.080
So we can just, they're not really neurons.
link |
01:05:39.080
So they're distributed processing systems.
link |
01:05:42.080
And nature of hierarchy that came also from neuroscience.
link |
01:05:47.080
And so there's a lot of things, the learning rules, basically,
link |
01:05:50.080
not backprop, but other, you know, sort of heavy entire learning.
link |
01:05:52.080
I'll be curious to say they're not neurons at all.
link |
01:05:55.080
Can you describe in which way?
link |
01:05:56.080
I mean, some of it is obvious, but I'd be curious if you have specific
link |
01:06:00.080
ways in which you think are the biggest differences.
link |
01:06:02.080
Yeah, we had a paper in 2016 called Why Neurons of Thousands of Synapses.
link |
01:06:06.080
And if you read that paper, you'll know what I'm talking about here.
link |
01:06:11.080
A real neuron in the brain is a complex thing.
link |
01:06:14.080
Let's just start with the synapses on it, which is a connection between neurons.
link |
01:06:18.080
Real neurons can everywhere from five to 30,000 synapses on them.
link |
01:06:24.080
The ones near the cell body, the ones that are close to the soma, the cell body,
link |
01:06:30.080
those are like the ones that people model in artificial neurons.
link |
01:06:33.080
There's a few hundred of those.
link |
01:06:35.080
Maybe they can affect the cell.
link |
01:06:37.080
They can make the cell become active.
link |
01:06:39.080
95% of the synapses can't do that.
link |
01:06:43.080
They're too far away.
link |
01:06:44.080
So if you activate one of those synapses, it just doesn't affect the cell body
link |
01:06:47.080
enough to make any difference.
link |
01:06:49.080
Any one of them individually.
link |
01:06:50.080
Any one of them individually, or even if you do a mass of them.
link |
01:06:53.080
What real neurons do is the following.
link |
01:06:57.080
If you activate, or you get 10 to 20 of them active at the same time,
link |
01:07:04.080
meaning they're all receiving an input at the same time,
link |
01:07:06.080
and those 10 to 20 synapses or 40 synapses are within a very short distance
link |
01:07:10.080
on the dendrite, like 40 microns, a very small area.
link |
01:07:13.080
So if you activate a bunch of these right next to each other at some distant place,
link |
01:07:17.080
what happens is it creates what's called the dendritic spike.
link |
01:07:21.080
And dendritic spike travels through the dendrites
link |
01:07:24.080
and can reach the soma or the cell body.
link |
01:07:27.080
Now, when it gets there, it changes the voltage,
link |
01:07:31.080
which is sort of like going to make the cell fire,
link |
01:07:33.080
but never enough to make the cell fire.
link |
01:07:35.080
It's sort of what we call, it says we depolarize the cell.
link |
01:07:38.080
You raise the voltage a little bit, but not enough to do anything.
link |
01:07:41.080
It's like, well, what good is that?
link |
01:07:42.080
And then it goes back down again.
link |
01:07:44.080
So we proposed a theory, which I'm very confident in basics are,
link |
01:07:50.080
is that what's happening there is those 95% of the synapses
link |
01:07:54.080
are recognizing dozens to hundreds of unique patterns.
link |
01:07:58.080
They can write, you know, about 10, 20 synapses at a time,
link |
01:08:01.080
and they're acting like predictions.
link |
01:08:04.080
So the neuron actually is a predictive engine on its own.
link |
01:08:07.080
It can fire when it gets enough, what they call proximal input from those ones
link |
01:08:11.080
near the cell fire, but it can get ready to fire from dozens to hundreds
link |
01:08:15.080
of patterns that it recognizes from the other guys.
link |
01:08:17.080
And the advantage of this to the neuron is that when it actually does produce
link |
01:08:22.080
a spike in action potential, it does so slightly sooner than it would have otherwise.
link |
01:08:27.080
And so what could just slightly sooner?
link |
01:08:29.080
Well, the slightly sooner part is it, there's all the neurons in the,
link |
01:08:33.080
the excited throwing neurons in the brain are surrounded by these inhibitory neurons,
link |
01:08:36.080
and they're very fast, the inhibitory neurons, these baskets all.
link |
01:08:40.080
And if I get my spike out a little bit sooner than someone else,
link |
01:08:44.080
I inhibit all my neighbors around me, right?
link |
01:08:46.080
And what you end up with is a different representation.
link |
01:08:49.080
You end up with a representation that matches your prediction.
link |
01:08:52.080
It's a sparser representation, meaning fewer neurons are active,
link |
01:08:55.080
but it's much more specific.
link |
01:08:57.080
And so we showed how networks of these neurons can do very sophisticated temporal prediction, basically.
link |
01:09:04.080
So this summarizes real neurons in the brain are time based prediction engines,
link |
01:09:10.080
and there's no concept of this at all in artificial, what we call point neurons.
link |
01:09:17.080
I don't think you can mail the brain without them.
link |
01:09:19.080
I don't think you can build intelligence without them because it's where a large part of the time comes from.
link |
01:09:25.080
These are predictive models and the time is, there's a prior prediction and an action,
link |
01:09:31.080
and it's inherent through every neuron in the neocortex.
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01:09:34.080
So I would say that point neurons sort of model a piece of that,
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01:09:38.080
and not very well at that either, but, you know, like, for example, synapses are very unreliable,
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01:09:45.080
and you cannot assign any precision to them.
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01:09:49.080
So even one digit of precision is not possible.
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01:09:52.080
So the way real neurons work is they don't add these, they don't change these weights accurately,
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01:09:57.080
like artificial neural networks do.
link |
01:09:59.080
They basically form new synapses, and so what you're trying to always do is
link |
01:10:03.080
detect the presence of some 10 to 20 active synapses at the same time as opposed,
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01:10:09.080
and they're almost binary.
link |
01:10:11.080
It's like, because you can't really represent anything much finer than that.
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01:10:14.080
So these are the kind of, and I think that's actually another essential component
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01:10:18.080
because the brain works on sparse patterns, and all that mechanism is based on sparse patterns,
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01:10:24.080
and I don't actually think you could build real brains or machine intelligence
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01:10:28.080
without incorporating some of those ideas.
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01:10:30.080
It's hard to even think about the complexity that emerges from the fact that
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01:10:34.080
the timing of the firing matters in the brain, the fact that you form new synapses,
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01:10:40.080
and everything you just mentioned in the past couple minutes.
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01:10:44.080
Trust me, if you spend time on it, you can get your mind around it.
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01:10:47.080
It's not like it's no longer a mystery to me.
link |
01:10:49.080
No, but sorry, as a function in a mathematical way,
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01:10:53.080
can you start getting an intuition about what gets it excited, what not,
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01:10:58.080
and what kind of representation?
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01:11:00.080
Yeah, it's not as easy as there are many other types of neural networks
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01:11:04.080
that are more amenable to pure analysis, especially very simple networks.
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01:11:10.080
You know, oh, I have four neurons, and they're doing this.
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01:11:12.080
Can we describe them mathematically what they're doing type of thing?
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01:11:16.080
Even the complexity of convolutional neural networks today,
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01:11:19.080
it's sort of a mystery. They can't really describe the whole system.
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01:11:23.080
And so it's different.
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01:11:25.080
My colleague, Subitain Ahmad, he did a nice paper on this.
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01:11:31.080
You can get all the stuff on our website if you're interested.
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01:11:34.080
Talking about sort of mathematical properties of sparse representations,
link |
01:11:38.080
and so what we can do is we can show mathematically, for example,
link |
01:11:42.080
why 10 to 20 synapses to recognize a pattern is the correct number,
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01:11:46.080
is the right number you'd want to use.
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01:11:48.080
And by the way, that matches biology.
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01:11:50.080
We can show mathematically some of these concepts about the show
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01:11:55.080
why the brain is so robust to noise and error and fallout and so on.
link |
01:12:01.080
We can show that mathematically as well as empirically in simulations.
link |
01:12:05.080
But the system can't be analyzed completely.
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01:12:08.080
Any complex system can, and so that's out of the realm.
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01:12:12.080
But there is mathematical benefits and intuitions that can be derived from mathematics.
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01:12:19.080
And we try to do that as well.
link |
01:12:21.080
Most of our papers have a section about that.
link |
01:12:23.080
So I think it's refreshing and useful for me to be talking to you about deep neural networks,
link |
01:12:28.080
because your intuition basically says that we can't achieve anything like intelligence with artificial neural networks.
link |
01:12:36.080
Well, not in the current form.
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01:12:37.080
Not in the current form.
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01:12:38.080
I'm sure we can do it in the ultimate form, sure.
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01:12:40.080
So let me dig into it and see what your thoughts are there a little bit.
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01:12:43.080
So I'm not sure if you read this little blog post called Bitter Lesson by Rich Sutton recently.
link |
01:12:49.080
He's a reinforcement learning pioneer.
link |
01:12:51.080
I'm not sure if you're familiar with him.
link |
01:12:53.080
His basic idea is that all the stuff we've done in AI in the past 70 years, he's one of the old school guys.
link |
01:13:02.080
The biggest lesson learned is that all the tricky things we've done don't, you know, they benefit in the short term.
link |
01:13:10.080
But in the long term, what wins out is a simple general method that just relies on Moore's law on computation getting faster and faster.
link |
01:13:20.080
This is what he's saying.
link |
01:13:21.080
This is what has worked up to now.
link |
01:13:23.080
This is what has worked up to now.
link |
01:13:25.080
If you're trying to build a system, if we're talking about, he's not concerned about intelligence.
link |
01:13:31.080
He's concerned about a system that works in terms of making predictions on applied, narrow AI problems.
link |
01:13:38.080
That's what the discussion is about.
link |
01:13:41.080
That you just try to go as general as possible and wait years or decades for the computation to make it actually possible.
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01:13:50.080
Is he saying that as a criticism or is he saying this is a prescription of what we ought to be doing?
link |
01:13:54.080
Well, it's very difficult.
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01:13:55.080
He's saying this is what has worked.
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01:13:57.080
And yes, a prescription, but it's a difficult prescription because it says all the fun things you guys are trying to do.
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01:14:03.080
We are trying to do.
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01:14:05.080
He's part of the community.
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01:14:07.080
He's saying it's only going to be short term gains.
link |
01:14:11.080
This all leads up to a question, I guess, on artificial neural networks and maybe our own biological neural networks.
link |
01:14:19.080
Do you think if we just scale things up significantly?
link |
01:14:24.080
Take these dumb artificial neurons, the point neurons.
link |
01:14:28.080
I like that term.
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01:14:30.080
If we just have a lot more of them, do you think some of the elements that we see in the brain
link |
01:14:36.080
may start emerging?
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01:14:38.080
No, I don't think so.
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01:14:39.080
We can do bigger problems of the same type.
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01:14:43.080
I mean, it's been pointed out by many people that today's convolutional neural networks aren't really much different than the ones we had quite a while ago.
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01:14:50.080
We just, they're bigger and train more and we have more labeled data and so on.
link |
01:14:56.080
But I don't think you can get to the kind of things I know the brain can do and that we think about as intelligence by just scaling it up.
link |
01:15:03.080
So that may be, it's a good description of what's happened in the past, what's happened recently with the reemergence of artificial neural networks.
link |
01:15:12.080
It may be a good prescription for what's going to happen in the short term.
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01:15:17.080
But I don't think that's the path.
link |
01:15:19.080
I've said that earlier.
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01:15:20.080
There's an alternate path.
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01:15:21.080
I should mention to you, by the way, that we've made sufficient progress on our, the whole cortical theory in the last few years.
link |
01:15:29.080
But last year, we decided to start actively pursuing how we get these ideas embedded into machine learning.
link |
01:15:40.080
That's, again, being led by my colleague, and he's more of a machine learning guy.
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01:15:45.080
I'm more of an neuroscience guy.
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01:15:47.080
So this is now our, I wouldn't say our focus, but it is now an equal focus here because we need to proselytize what we've learned.
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01:15:58.080
And we need to show how it's beneficial to the machine learning.
link |
01:16:03.080
So we're putting, we have a plan in place right now.
link |
01:16:05.080
In fact, we just did our first paper on this.
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01:16:07.080
I can tell you about that.
link |
01:16:09.080
But, you know, one of the reasons I want to talk to you is because I'm trying to get more people in the machine learning community to say,
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01:16:15.080
I need to learn about this stuff.
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01:16:17.080
And maybe we should just think about this a bit more about what we've learned about the brain.
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01:16:21.080
And what are those team, what have they done?
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01:16:23.080
Is that useful for us?
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01:16:25.080
Yeah, so is there elements of all the, the cortical theory that things we've been talking about that may be useful in the short term?
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01:16:32.080
Yes, in the short term, yes.
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01:16:34.080
This is the, sorry to interrupt, but the, the open question is it, it certainly feels from my perspective that in the long term,
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01:16:41.080
some of the ideas we've been talking about will be extremely useful.
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01:16:44.080
The question is whether in the short term.
link |
01:16:46.080
Well, this is a, always what we, I would call the entrepreneur's dilemma.
link |
01:16:51.080
You have this long term vision, oh, we're going to all be driving electric cars or we're all going to have computers or we're all going to whatever.
link |
01:16:59.080
And, and you're at some point in time and you say, I can see that long term vision.
link |
01:17:03.080
I'm sure it's going to happen.
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01:17:04.080
How do I get there without killing myself, you know, without going out of business?
link |
01:17:07.080
That's the challenge.
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01:17:09.080
That's the dilemma.
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01:17:10.080
That's the really difficult thing to do.
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01:17:11.080
So we're facing that right now.
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01:17:13.080
So ideally what you'd want to do is find some steps along the way that you can get there incrementally.
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01:17:17.080
You don't have to like throw it all out and start over again.
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01:17:20.080
The first thing that we've done is we focus on these sparse representations.
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01:17:25.080
So just in case you don't know what that means or some of the listeners don't know what that means.
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01:17:30.080
In the brain, if I have like 10,000 neurons, what you would see is maybe 2% of them active at a time.
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01:17:37.080
You don't see 50%, you don't see 30%, you might see 2%.
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01:17:41.080
And it's always like that.
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01:17:42.080
For any set of sensory inputs.
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01:17:44.080
It doesn't matter anything.
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01:17:45.080
It doesn't matter any part of the brain.
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01:17:47.080
But which neurons differs?
link |
01:17:51.080
Which neurons are active?
link |
01:17:52.080
Yeah.
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01:17:53.080
So let me put this.
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01:17:54.080
Let's say I take 10,000 neurons that are representing something.
link |
01:17:56.080
They're sitting there in a little block together.
link |
01:17:58.080
It's a teeny little block of neurons, 10,000 neurons.
link |
01:18:00.080
And they're representing a location.
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01:18:01.080
They're representing a cop.
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01:18:02.080
They're representing the input from my sensors.
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01:18:04.080
I don't know.
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01:18:05.080
It doesn't matter.
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01:18:06.080
It's representing something.
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01:18:07.080
The way the representations occur, it's always a sparse representation.
link |
01:18:10.080
Meaning it's a population code.
link |
01:18:12.080
So which 200 cells are active tells me what's going on.
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01:18:15.080
It's not individual cells aren't that important at all.
link |
01:18:18.080
It's the population code that matters.
link |
01:18:20.080
And when you have sparse population codes,
link |
01:18:23.080
then all kinds of beautiful properties come out of them.
link |
01:18:26.080
So the brain uses sparse population codes that we've written
link |
01:18:29.080
and described these benefits in some of our papers.
link |
01:18:32.080
So they give this tremendous robustness to the systems.
link |
01:18:37.080
You know, brains are incredibly robust.
link |
01:18:39.080
Neurons are dying all the time and spasming and synapses falling apart.
link |
01:18:42.080
And, you know, all the time and it keeps working.
link |
01:18:45.080
So what Subitai and Louise, one of our other engineers here have done,
link |
01:18:52.080
have shown that they're introducing sparseness into convolutional neural networks.
link |
01:18:56.080
Now other people are thinking along these lines,
link |
01:18:58.080
but we're going about it in a more principled way, I think.
link |
01:19:00.080
And we're showing that if you enforce sparseness throughout these convolutional neural networks,
link |
01:19:06.080
in both the sort of which neurons are active and the connections between them,
link |
01:19:13.080
that you get some very desirable properties.
link |
01:19:15.080
So one of the current hot topics in deep learning right now are these adversarial examples.
link |
01:19:20.080
So, you know, you give me any deep learning network
link |
01:19:23.080
and I can give you a picture that looks perfect and you're going to call it, you know,
link |
01:19:27.080
you're going to say the monkey is, you know, an airplane.
link |
01:19:30.080
So that's a problem.
link |
01:19:32.080
And DARPA just announced some big thing and we're trying to, you know, have some contests for this.
link |
01:19:36.080
But if you enforce sparse representations here,
link |
01:19:40.080
many of these problems go away.
link |
01:19:41.080
They're much more robust and they're not easy to fool.
link |
01:19:45.080
So we've already shown some of those results,
link |
01:19:48.080
just literally in January or February, just like last month we did that.
link |
01:19:53.080
And you can, I think it's on bioarchive right now or on iCry, you can read about it.
link |
01:19:59.080
But so that's like a baby step.
link |
01:20:02.080
Okay. That's a take something from the brain.
link |
01:20:04.080
We know, we know about sparseness.
link |
01:20:05.080
We know why it's important.
link |
01:20:06.080
We know what it gives the brain.
link |
01:20:08.080
So let's try to enforce that onto this.
link |
01:20:09.080
What's your intuition why sparsity leads to robustness?
link |
01:20:12.080
Because it feels like it would be less robust.
link |
01:20:14.080
Why would you feel the rest robust to you?
link |
01:20:17.080
So it, it just feels like if the fewer neurons are involved,
link |
01:20:24.080
the more fragile the representation.
link |
01:20:26.080
Yeah, but I didn't say there was lots of few.
link |
01:20:28.080
I said, let's say 200.
link |
01:20:30.080
That's a lot.
link |
01:20:31.080
There's still a lot.
link |
01:20:32.080
Yeah.
link |
01:20:33.080
So here's an intuition for it.
link |
01:20:35.080
This is a bit technical.
link |
01:20:37.080
So for, you know, for engineers, machine learning people this be easy,
link |
01:20:41.080
but God's listeners, maybe not.
link |
01:20:44.080
If you're trying to classify something,
link |
01:20:46.080
you're trying to divide some very high dimensional space into different pieces, A and B.
link |
01:20:50.080
And you're trying to create some point where you say all these points in this high dimensional space are A
link |
01:20:55.080
and all these points in this high dimensional space are B.
link |
01:20:57.080
And if you have points that are close to that line, it's not very robust.
link |
01:21:03.080
It works for all the points you know about, but it's, it's not very robust
link |
01:21:07.080
because you can just move a little bit and you've crossed over the line.
link |
01:21:10.080
When you have sparse representations, imagine I pick, I have,
link |
01:21:14.080
I'm going to pick 200 cells active out of, out of 10,000.
link |
01:21:18.080
Okay.
link |
01:21:19.080
So I have 200 cells active.
link |
01:21:20.080
Now let's say I pick randomly another, a different representation, 200.
link |
01:21:24.080
The overlap between those is going to be very small, just a few.
link |
01:21:27.080
I can pick millions of samples randomly of 200 neurons and not one of them will overlap more than just a few.
link |
01:21:36.080
So one way to think about it is if I want to fool one of these representations to look like one of those other representations,
link |
01:21:43.080
I can't move just one cell or two cells or three cells or four cells.
link |
01:21:46.080
I have to move 100 cells.
link |
01:21:48.080
And that makes them robust.
link |
01:21:52.080
In terms of further, so you mentioned sparsity.
link |
01:21:56.080
Will we be the next thing?
link |
01:21:57.080
Yeah.
link |
01:21:58.080
Okay.
link |
01:21:59.080
So we have, we picked one.
link |
01:22:00.080
We don't know if it's going to work well yet.
link |
01:22:02.080
So again, we're trying to come up incremental ways of moving from brain theory to add pieces to machine learning,
link |
01:22:08.080
current machine learning world in one step at a time.
link |
01:22:12.080
So the next thing we're going to try to do is, is sort of incorporate some of the ideas of the, the thousand brains theory that you have many,
link |
01:22:20.080
many models and that are voting.
link |
01:22:22.080
Now that idea is not new.
link |
01:22:23.080
There's a mixture of models that's been around for a long time.
link |
01:22:26.080
But the way the brain does it is a little different.
link |
01:22:29.080
And, and the way it votes is different and the kind of way it represents uncertainty is different.
link |
01:22:36.080
So we're just starting this work, but we're going to try to see if we can sort of incorporate some of the principles of voting
link |
01:22:43.080
or principles of a thousand brain theory, like lots of simple models that talk to each other in a, in a very certain way.
link |
01:22:53.080
And can we build more machines and systems that learn faster and, and also, well, mostly are multimodal and robust to multimodal type of issues.
link |
01:23:07.080
So one of the challenges there is, you know, the machine learning computer vision community has certain sets of benchmarks.
link |
01:23:15.080
So it's a test based on which they compete.
link |
01:23:18.080
And I would argue, especially from your perspective, that those benchmarks aren't that useful for testing the aspects that the brain is good at or intelligent.
link |
01:23:29.080
They're not really testing intelligence.
link |
01:23:31.080
They're very fine and has been extremely useful for developing specific mathematical models, but it's not useful in the long term for creating intelligence.
link |
01:23:41.080
So do you think you also have a role in proposing better tests?
link |
01:23:46.080
Yeah, this is a very, you've identified a very serious problem.
link |
01:23:50.080
First of all, the tests that they have are the tests that they want, not the tests of the other things that we're trying to do.
link |
01:23:57.080
Right. You know, what are the, so on.
link |
01:24:01.080
The second thing is sometimes these to be competitive in these tests, you have to have huge data sets and huge computing power.
link |
01:24:10.080
And so, you know, and we don't have that here.
link |
01:24:13.080
We don't have it as well as other big teams that big companies do.
link |
01:24:18.080
So there's numerous issues there.
link |
01:24:20.080
You know, we come at it, you know, we're our approach to this is all based on, in some sense, you might argue elegance.
link |
01:24:26.080
You know, we're coming at it from like a theoretical base that we think, oh my God, this is so clearly elegant.
link |
01:24:30.080
This is how brains work.
link |
01:24:31.080
This is what intelligence is.
link |
01:24:32.080
But the machine learning world has gotten in this phase where they think it doesn't matter.
link |
01:24:35.080
Doesn't matter what you think, as long as you do, you know, 0.1% better on this benchmark.
link |
01:24:39.080
That's what that's all that matters.
link |
01:24:41.080
And that's a problem.
link |
01:24:43.080
You know, we have to figure out how to get around that.
link |
01:24:46.080
That's a challenge for us.
link |
01:24:47.080
That's one of the challenges we have to deal with.
link |
01:24:50.080
So I agree you've identified a big issue.
link |
01:24:53.080
It's difficult for those reasons.
link |
01:24:55.080
But, you know, part of the reasons I'm talking to you here today is I hope I'm going to get some machine learning people to say,
link |
01:25:02.080
I'm going to read those papers.
link |
01:25:03.080
Those might be some interesting ideas.
link |
01:25:04.080
I'm tired of doing this 0.1% improvement stuff, you know.
link |
01:25:08.080
Well, that's why I'm here as well, because I think machine learning now as a community is at a place where the next step is needs to be orthogonal to what has received success in the past.
link |
01:25:21.080
You see other leaders saying this, machine learning leaders, you know, Jeff Hinton with his capsules idea.
link |
01:25:27.080
Many people have gotten up saying, you know, we're going to hit road, maybe we should look at the brain, you know, things like that.
link |
01:25:33.080
So hopefully that thinking will occur organically.
link |
01:25:37.080
And then we're in a nice position for people to come and look at our work and say, well, what can we learn from these guys?
link |
01:25:43.080
Yeah, MIT is just launching a billion dollar computing college that's centered around this idea.
link |
01:25:49.080
On this idea of what?
link |
01:25:51.080
Well, the idea that, you know, the humanities, psychology, neuroscience have to work all together to get to build the S.
link |
01:25:59.080
Yeah, I mean, Stanford just did this human center today, I think.
link |
01:26:02.080
I'm a little disappointed in these initiatives because, you know, they're focusing on sort of the human side of it,
link |
01:26:10.080
and it can very easily slip into how humans interact with intelligent machines, which is nothing wrong with that.
link |
01:26:17.080
But that's not, that is orthogonal to what we're trying to do.
link |
01:26:20.080
We're trying to say, like, what is the essence of intelligence?
link |
01:26:22.080
I don't care.
link |
01:26:23.080
In fact, I want to build intelligent machines that aren't emotional, that don't smile at you, that, you know, that aren't trying to tuck you in at night.
link |
01:26:31.080
Yeah, there is that pattern that you, when you talk about understanding humans is important for understanding intelligence.
link |
01:26:38.080
You start slipping into topics of ethics or, yeah, like you said, the interactive elements as opposed to, no, no, no, let's zoom in on the brain,
link |
01:26:47.080
study what the human brain, the baby, the...
link |
01:26:51.080
Let's study what a brain does.
link |
01:26:53.080
And then we can decide which parts of that we want to recreate in some system.
link |
01:26:57.080
But until you have that theory about what the brain does, what's the point?
link |
01:27:00.080
You know, it's just, you're going to be wasting time, I think.
link |
01:27:03.080
Just to break it down on the artificial neural network side, maybe you can speak to this on the, on the biologic neural network side,
link |
01:27:09.080
the process of learning versus the process of inference.
link |
01:27:13.080
Maybe you can explain to me, what, is there a difference between, you know, in artificial neural networks, there's a difference between the learning stage and the inference stage?
link |
01:27:22.080
Yeah.
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01:27:23.080
Do you see the brain as something different?
link |
01:27:25.080
One of the big distinctions that people often say, I don't know how correct it is, is artificial neural networks need a lot of data.
link |
01:27:33.080
They're very inefficient learning.
link |
01:27:34.080
Yeah.
link |
01:27:35.080
Do you see that as a correct distinction from the biology of the human brain, that the human brain is very efficient?
link |
01:27:42.080
Or is that just something we deceive ourselves with?
link |
01:27:44.080
No, it is efficient, obviously.
link |
01:27:45.080
We can learn new things almost instantly.
link |
01:27:47.080
And so what elements do you think...
link |
01:27:50.080
Yeah, I can talk about that.
link |
01:27:51.080
You brought up two issues there.
link |
01:27:52.080
So remember I talked early about the constraints, we always feel, well, one of those constraints is the fact that brains are continually learning.
link |
01:28:00.080
That's not something we said, oh, we can add that later.
link |
01:28:03.080
That's something that was upfront, had to be there from the start, made our problems harder.
link |
01:28:11.080
But we showed, going back to the 2016 paper on sequence memory, we showed how that happens, how the brains infer and learn at the same time.
link |
01:28:19.080
And our models do that.
link |
01:28:22.080
They're not two separate phases or two separate sets of time.
link |
01:28:26.080
I think that's a big, big problem in AI, at least for many applications, not for all.
link |
01:28:33.080
So I can talk about that.
link |
01:28:34.080
It gets detailed.
link |
01:28:37.080
There are some parts of the neocortex in the brain where actually what's going on, there's these cycles of activity in the brain.
link |
01:28:46.080
And there's very strong evidence that you're doing more of inference on one part of the phase and more of learning on the other part of the phase.
link |
01:28:54.080
So the brain can actually sort of separate different populations of cells that are going back and forth like this.
link |
01:28:58.080
But in general, I would say that's an important problem.
link |
01:29:01.080
We have all of our networks that we've come up with do both.
link |
01:29:05.080
They're continuous learning networks.
link |
01:29:08.080
And you mentioned benchmarks earlier.
link |
01:29:10.080
Well, there are no benchmarks about that.
link |
01:29:12.080
Exactly.
link |
01:29:13.080
So we have to like, we get in our little soapbox and hey, by the way, this is important.
link |
01:29:19.080
And here's the mechanism for doing that.
link |
01:29:21.080
But until you can prove it to someone in some commercial system or something, it's a little harder.
link |
01:29:26.080
So one of the things I had to linger on that is in some ways to learn the concept of a coffee cup.
link |
01:29:33.080
You only need this one coffee cup and maybe some time alone in a room with it.
link |
01:29:38.080
So the first thing is I imagine I reach my hand into a black box and I'm reaching, I'm trying to touch something.
link |
01:29:43.080
I don't know up front if it's something I already know or if it's a new thing.
link |
01:29:47.080
And I have to, I'm doing both at the same time.
link |
01:29:50.080
I don't say, oh, let's see if it's a new thing.
link |
01:29:53.080
Oh, let's see if it's an old thing.
link |
01:29:55.080
I don't do that.
link |
01:29:56.080
As I go, my brain says, oh, it's new or it's not new.
link |
01:29:59.080
And if it's new, I start learning what it is.
link |
01:30:02.080
And by the way, it starts learning from the get go, even if it's going to recognize it.
link |
01:30:06.080
So they're not separate problems.
link |
01:30:09.080
And so that's the thing there.
link |
01:30:10.080
The other thing you mentioned was the fast learning.
link |
01:30:13.080
So I was just talking about continuous learning, but there's also fast learning.
link |
01:30:17.080
Literally, I can show you this coffee cup and I say, here's a new coffee cup.
link |
01:30:20.080
It's got the logo on it.
link |
01:30:21.080
Take a look at it.
link |
01:30:22.080
Done.
link |
01:30:23.080
You're done.
link |
01:30:24.080
You can predict what it's going to look like, you know, in different positions.
link |
01:30:27.080
So I can talk about that too.
link |
01:30:29.080
Yes.
link |
01:30:30.080
In the brain, the way learning occurs.
link |
01:30:34.080
I mentioned this earlier, but I mentioned it again.
link |
01:30:36.080
The way learning occurs, I imagine I have a section of a dendrite of a neuron.
link |
01:30:40.080
And I want to learn, I'm going to learn something new.
link |
01:30:43.080
It just doesn't matter what it is.
link |
01:30:44.080
I'm just going to learn something new.
link |
01:30:46.080
I need to recognize a new pattern.
link |
01:30:48.080
So what I'm going to do is I'm going to form new synapses.
link |
01:30:52.080
New synapses, we're going to rewire the brain onto that section of the dendrite.
link |
01:30:57.080
Once I've done that, everything else that neuron has learned is not affected by it.
link |
01:31:02.080
Now, it's because it's isolated to that small section of the dendrite.
link |
01:31:06.080
They're not all being added together, like a point neuron.
link |
01:31:09.080
So if I learn something new on this segment here, it doesn't change any of the learning
link |
01:31:13.080
that occur anywhere else in that neuron.
link |
01:31:15.080
So I can add something without affecting previous learning.
link |
01:31:18.080
And I can do it quickly.
link |
01:31:20.080
Now, let's talk, we can talk about the quickness, how it's done in real neurons.
link |
01:31:24.080
You might say, well, doesn't it take time to form synapses?
link |
01:31:27.080
Yes, it can take maybe an hour to form a new synapse.
link |
01:31:30.080
We can form memories quicker than that.
link |
01:31:32.080
And I can explain that happens too, if you want.
link |
01:31:35.080
But it's getting a bit neurosciencey.
link |
01:31:38.080
That's great.
link |
01:31:40.080
But is there an understanding of these mechanisms at every level?
link |
01:31:43.080
So from the short term memories and the forming new connections.
link |
01:31:48.080
So this idea of synaptogenesis, the growth of new synapses,
link |
01:31:51.080
that's well described, as well understood.
link |
01:31:54.080
And that's an essential part of learning.
link |
01:31:56.080
That is learning.
link |
01:31:57.080
That is learning.
link |
01:31:58.080
Okay.
link |
01:32:00.080
You know, back, you know, going back many, many years, people, you know,
link |
01:32:04.080
was, what's his name, the psychologist proposed,
link |
01:32:08.080
Hebb, Donald Hebb.
link |
01:32:10.080
He proposed that learning was the modification of the strength
link |
01:32:13.080
of a connection between two neurons.
link |
01:32:15.080
People interpreted that as the modification of the strength of a synapse.
link |
01:32:19.080
He didn't say that.
link |
01:32:21.080
He just said there's a modification between the effect of one neuron and another.
link |
01:32:24.080
So synaptogenesis is totally consistent with Donald Hebb said.
link |
01:32:28.080
But anyway, there's these mechanisms, the growth of new synapse.
link |
01:32:31.080
You can go online, you can watch a video of a synapse growing in real time.
link |
01:32:34.080
It's literally, you can see this little thing going.
link |
01:32:36.080
It's pretty impressive.
link |
01:32:38.080
So that those mechanisms are known.
link |
01:32:40.080
Now, there's another thing that we've speculated and we've written about,
link |
01:32:43.080
which is consistent with no neuroscience, but it's less proven.
link |
01:32:48.080
And this is the idea.
link |
01:32:49.080
How do I form a memory really, really quickly?
link |
01:32:51.080
Like instantaneous.
link |
01:32:53.080
If it takes an hour to grow a synapse, like that's not instantaneous.
link |
01:32:56.080
So there are types of synapses called silent synapses.
link |
01:33:01.080
They look like a synapse, but they don't do anything.
link |
01:33:04.080
They're just sitting there.
link |
01:33:05.080
It's like if an action potential comes in, it doesn't release any neurotransmitter.
link |
01:33:10.080
Some parts of the brain have more of these than others.
link |
01:33:12.080
For example, the hippocampus has a lot of them,
link |
01:33:14.080
which is where we associate most short term memory with.
link |
01:33:18.080
So what we speculated, again, in that 2016 paper,
link |
01:33:22.080
we proposed that the way we form very quick memories,
link |
01:33:26.080
very short term memories, or quick memories,
link |
01:33:29.080
is that we convert silent synapses into active synapses.
link |
01:33:34.080
It's like saying a synapse has a zero weight and a one weight.
link |
01:33:38.080
But the long term memory has to be formed by synaptogenesis.
link |
01:33:41.080
So you can remember something really quickly
link |
01:33:43.080
by just flipping a bunch of these guys from silent to active.
link |
01:33:46.080
It's not from 0.1 to 0.15.
link |
01:33:49.080
It doesn't do anything until it releases transmitter.
link |
01:33:52.080
If I do that over a bunch of these, I've got a very quick short term memory.
link |
01:33:56.080
So I guess the lesson behind this is that most neural networks today are fully connected.
link |
01:34:01.080
Every neuron connects every other neuron from layer to layer.
link |
01:34:04.080
That's not correct in the brain.
link |
01:34:06.080
We don't want that.
link |
01:34:07.080
We actually don't want that.
link |
01:34:08.080
It's bad.
link |
01:34:09.080
You want a very sparse connectivity so that any neuron connects
link |
01:34:13.080
to some subset of the neurons in the other layer,
link |
01:34:15.080
and it does so on a dendrite by dendrite segment basis.
link |
01:34:18.080
So it's a very parcelated out type of thing.
link |
01:34:21.080
And that then learning is not adjusting all these weights,
link |
01:34:25.080
but learning is just saying, OK, connect to these 10 cells here right now.
link |
01:34:29.080
In that process, you know, with artificial neural networks,
link |
01:34:32.080
it's a very simple process of back propagation that adjusts the weights.
link |
01:34:37.080
The process of synaptogenesis.
link |
01:34:39.080
Synaptogenesis.
link |
01:34:40.080
Synaptogenesis.
link |
01:34:41.080
It's even easier.
link |
01:34:42.080
It's even easier.
link |
01:34:43.080
It's even easier.
link |
01:34:44.080
Back propagation requires something that really can't happen in brains.
link |
01:34:49.080
This back propagation of this error signal.
link |
01:34:51.080
They really can't happen.
link |
01:34:52.080
People are trying to make it happen in brains, but it doesn't happen in brain.
link |
01:34:55.080
This is pure Hebbian learning.
link |
01:34:57.080
Well, synaptogenesis is pure Hebbian learning.
link |
01:34:59.080
It's basically saying there's a population of cells over here that are active right now,
link |
01:35:03.080
and there's a population of cells over here active right now.
link |
01:35:05.080
How do I form connections between those active cells?
link |
01:35:08.080
And it's literally saying this guy became active.
link |
01:35:11.080
These 100 neurons here became active before this neuron became active.
link |
01:35:15.080
So form connections to those ones.
link |
01:35:17.080
That's it.
link |
01:35:18.080
There's no propagation of error, nothing.
link |
01:35:20.080
All the networks we do, all models we have work on almost completely on Hebbian learning,
link |
01:35:26.080
but on dendritic segments and multiple synaptoses at the same time.
link |
01:35:33.080
So now let's turn the question that you already answered,
link |
01:35:36.080
and maybe you can answer it again.
link |
01:35:38.080
If you look at the history of artificial intelligence, where do you think we stand?
link |
01:35:43.080
How far are we from solving intelligence?
link |
01:35:45.080
You said you were very optimistic.
link |
01:35:47.080
Yeah.
link |
01:35:48.080
Can you elaborate on that?
link |
01:35:49.080
Yeah, it's always the crazy question to ask, because no one can predict the future.
link |
01:35:55.080
Absolutely.
link |
01:35:56.080
So I'll tell you a story.
link |
01:35:58.080
I used to run a different neuroscience institute called the Redwood Neuroscience Institute,
link |
01:36:02.080
and we would hold these symposiums, and we'd get like 35 scientists from around the world to come together.
link |
01:36:07.080
And I used to ask them all the same question.
link |
01:36:09.080
I would say, well, how long do you think it'll be before we understand how the New York Cortex works?
link |
01:36:13.080
And everyone went around the room, and they had introduced the name, and they had to answer that question.
link |
01:36:17.080
So I got, the typical answer was 50 to 100 years.
link |
01:36:22.080
Some people would say 500 years.
link |
01:36:24.080
Some people said never.
link |
01:36:25.080
I said, why are you a neuroscience institute?
link |
01:36:27.080
Never.
link |
01:36:28.080
It's good pay.
link |
01:36:30.080
It's interesting.
link |
01:36:33.080
But it doesn't work like that.
link |
01:36:37.080
As I mentioned earlier, these are step functions.
link |
01:36:39.080
Things happen, and then bingo, they happen.
link |
01:36:41.080
You can't predict that.
link |
01:36:43.080
I feel I've already passed a step function.
link |
01:36:45.080
So if I can do my job correctly over the next five years, then meaning I can proselytize these ideas.
link |
01:36:53.080
I can convince other people they're right.
link |
01:36:55.080
We can show that machine learning people should pay attention to these ideas.
link |
01:37:01.080
Then we're definitely in an under 20 year time frame.
link |
01:37:04.080
If I can do those things, if I'm not successful in that, and this is the last time anyone talks to me,
link |
01:37:09.080
and no one reads our papers, and I'm wrong or something like that, then I don't know.
link |
01:37:15.080
But it's not 50 years.
link |
01:37:17.080
It's the same thing about electric cars.
link |
01:37:22.080
How quickly are they going to populate the world?
link |
01:37:24.080
It probably takes about a 20 year span.
link |
01:37:27.080
It'll be something like that.
link |
01:37:28.080
But I think if I can do what I said, we're starting it.
link |
01:37:31.080
Of course, there could be other use of step functions.
link |
01:37:35.080
It could be everybody gives up on your ideas for 20 years, and then all of a sudden somebody picks it up again.
link |
01:37:42.080
Wait, that guy was onto something.
link |
01:37:44.080
That would be a failure on my part.
link |
01:37:46.080
Think about Charles Babbage.
link |
01:37:49.080
Charles Babbage used to invented the computer back in the 1800s.
link |
01:37:55.080
Everyone forgot about it until 100 years later.
link |
01:37:59.080
This guy figured this stuff out a long time ago, but he was ahead of his time.
link |
01:38:03.080
As I said, I recognize this is part of any entrepreneur's challenge.
link |
01:38:09.080
I use entrepreneur broadly in this case.
link |
01:38:11.080
I'm not meaning like I'm building a business trying to sell something.
link |
01:38:13.080
I'm trying to sell ideas.
link |
01:38:15.080
This is the challenge as to how you get people to pay attention to you.
link |
01:38:20.080
How do you get them to give you positive or negative feedback?
link |
01:38:24.080
How do you get the people to act differently based on your ideas?
link |
01:38:27.080
We'll see how well we do on that.
link |
01:38:30.080
There's a lot of hype behind artificial intelligence currently.
link |
01:38:34.080
Do you, as you look to spread the ideas that are in your cortical theory, the things you're working on,
link |
01:38:43.080
do you think there's some possibility we'll hit an AI winter once again?
link |
01:38:47.080
It's certainly a possibility.
link |
01:38:49.080
That's something you worry about?
link |
01:38:51.080
I guess, do I worry about it?
link |
01:38:54.080
I haven't decided yet if that's good or bad for my mission.
link |
01:38:58.080
That's true.
link |
01:38:59.080
That's very true because it's almost like you need the winter to refresh the pallet.
link |
01:39:04.080
Here's what you want to have it.
link |
01:39:08.080
To the extent that everyone is so thrilled about the current state of machine learning and AI,
link |
01:39:15.080
and they don't imagine they need anything else, it makes my job harder.
link |
01:39:20.080
If everything crashed completely and every student left the field,
link |
01:39:24.080
and there was no money for anybody to do anything,
link |
01:39:26.080
and it became an embarrassment to talk about machine intelligence and AI,
link |
01:39:29.080
that wouldn't be good for us either.
link |
01:39:31.080
You want the soft landing approach, right?
link |
01:39:33.080
You want enough people, the senior people in AI and machine learning to say,
link |
01:39:37.080
you know, we need other approaches.
link |
01:39:39.080
We really need other approaches.
link |
01:39:40.080
Damn, we need other approaches.
link |
01:39:42.080
Maybe we should look to the brain.
link |
01:39:43.080
Okay, let's look to the brain.
link |
01:39:44.080
Who's got some brain ideas?
link |
01:39:45.080
Okay, let's start a little project on the side here trying to do brain idea related stuff.
link |
01:39:49.080
That's the ideal outcome we would want.
link |
01:39:51.080
So I don't want a total winter,
link |
01:39:53.080
and yet I don't want it to be sunny all the time either.
link |
01:39:57.080
So what do you think it takes to build a system with human level intelligence
link |
01:40:02.080
where once demonstrated, you would be very impressed?
link |
01:40:06.080
So does it have to have a body?
link |
01:40:08.080
Does it have to have the C word we used before consciousness as an entirety in a holistic sense?
link |
01:40:18.080
First of all, I don't think the goal is to create a machine that is human level intelligence.
link |
01:40:23.080
I think it's a false goal.
link |
01:40:24.080
Back to Turing, I think it was a false statement.
link |
01:40:26.080
We want to understand what intelligence is,
link |
01:40:28.080
and then we can build intelligent machines of all different scales,
link |
01:40:31.080
all different capabilities.
link |
01:40:33.080
You know, a dog is intelligent.
link |
01:40:35.080
You know, that would be pretty good to have a dog, you know,
link |
01:40:38.080
but what about something that doesn't look like an animal at all in different spaces?
link |
01:40:41.080
So my thinking about this is that we want to define what intelligence is,
link |
01:40:45.080
agree upon what makes an intelligent system.
link |
01:40:48.080
We can then say, okay, we're now going to build systems that work on those principles,
link |
01:40:52.080
or some subset of them, and we can apply them to all different types of problems.
link |
01:40:57.080
And the kind, the idea, it's not computing.
link |
01:41:00.080
We don't ask, if I take a little, you know, little one chip computer,
link |
01:41:05.080
I don't say, well, that's not a computer because it's not as powerful as this, you know,
link |
01:41:08.080
big server over here.
link |
01:41:09.080
No, no, because we know that what the principles are computing on,
link |
01:41:11.080
and I can apply those principles to a small problem or into a big problem.
link |
01:41:14.080
And same, intelligence needs to get there.
link |
01:41:16.080
We have to say, these are the principles.
link |
01:41:17.080
I can make a small one, a big one.
link |
01:41:19.080
I can make them distributed.
link |
01:41:20.080
I can put them on different sensors.
link |
01:41:21.080
They don't have to be human like at all.
link |
01:41:23.080
Now, you did bring up a very interesting question about embodiment.
link |
01:41:25.080
Does it have to have a body?
link |
01:41:27.080
It has to have some concept of movement.
link |
01:41:30.080
It has to be able to move through these reference frames.
link |
01:41:33.080
I talked about earlier, whether it's physically moving,
link |
01:41:35.080
like I need, if I'm going to have an AI that understands coffee cups,
link |
01:41:38.080
it's going to have to pick up the coffee cup and touch it and look at it with its eyes
link |
01:41:42.080
and hands or something equivalent to that.
link |
01:41:45.080
If I have a mathematical AI, maybe it needs to move through mathematical spaces.
link |
01:41:51.080
I could have a virtual AI that lives in the Internet
link |
01:41:55.080
and its movements are traversing links and digging into files,
link |
01:42:00.080
but it's got a location that it's traveling through some space.
link |
01:42:04.080
You can't have an AI that just takes some flash thing input,
link |
01:42:08.080
you know, we call it flash inference.
link |
01:42:10.080
Here's a pattern done.
link |
01:42:13.080
No, it's movement pattern, movement pattern, movement pattern.
link |
01:42:16.080
Attention, digging, building, building structure,
link |
01:42:18.080
just trying to figure out the model of the world.
link |
01:42:20.080
So some sort of embodiment, whether it's physical or not, has to be part of it.
link |
01:42:25.080
So self awareness in the way to be able to answer where am I?
link |
01:42:28.080
You bring up self awareness, it's a different topic, self awareness.
link |
01:42:31.080
No, the very narrow definition, meaning knowing a sense of self enough to know
link |
01:42:37.080
where am I in the space where essentially.
link |
01:42:40.080
The system needs to know its location,
link |
01:42:43.080
where each component of the system needs to know where it is in the world at that point in time.
link |
01:42:48.080
So self awareness and consciousness.
link |
01:42:51.080
Do you think, one, from the perspective of neuroscience and neurocortex,
link |
01:42:56.080
these are interesting topics, solvable topics,
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01:42:59.080
do you have any ideas of why the heck it is that we have a subjective experience at all?
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01:43:04.080
Yeah, I have a lot of questions.
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01:43:05.080
And is it useful, or is it just a side effect of us?
link |
01:43:08.080
It's interesting to think about.
link |
01:43:10.080
I don't think it's useful as a means to figure out how to build intelligent machines.
link |
01:43:16.080
It's something that systems do, and we can talk about what it is,
link |
01:43:21.080
that are like, well, if I build a system like this, then it would be self aware.
link |
01:43:25.080
Or if I build it like this, it wouldn't be self aware.
link |
01:43:28.080
So that's a choice I can have.
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01:43:30.080
It's not like, oh my God, it's self aware.
link |
01:43:32.080
I heard an interview recently with this philosopher from Yale.
link |
01:43:37.080
I can't remember his name.
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01:43:38.080
I apologize for that.
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01:43:39.080
But he was talking about, well, if these computers were self aware,
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01:43:41.080
then it would be a crime to unplug them.
link |
01:43:43.080
And I'm like, oh, come on.
link |
01:43:45.080
I unplug myself every night.
link |
01:43:46.080
I go to sleep.
link |
01:43:47.080
Is that a crime?
link |
01:43:49.080
I plug myself in again in the morning.
link |
01:43:51.080
There I am.
link |
01:43:53.080
People get kind of bent out of shape about this.
link |
01:43:56.080
I have very detailed understanding or opinions about what it means to be conscious
link |
01:44:02.080
and what it means to be self aware.
link |
01:44:04.080
I don't think it's that interesting a problem.
link |
01:44:07.080
You talked about Christoph Koch.
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01:44:08.080
He thinks that's the only problem.
link |
01:44:10.080
I didn't actually listen to your interview with him.
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01:44:12.080
But I know him, and I know that's the thing.
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01:44:15.080
He also thinks intelligence and consciousness are disjoint.
link |
01:44:18.080
So I mean, it's not, you don't have to have one or the other.
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01:44:21.080
I just agree with that.
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01:44:23.080
I just totally disagree with that.
link |
01:44:24.080
So where's your thoughts and consciousness?
link |
01:44:26.080
Where does it emerge from?
link |
01:44:28.080
Then we have to break it down to the two parts.
link |
01:44:30.080
Because consciousness isn't one thing.
link |
01:44:32.080
That's part of the problem with that term.
link |
01:44:34.080
It means different things to different people.
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01:44:36.080
And there's different components of it.
link |
01:44:38.080
There is a concept of self awareness.
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01:44:40.080
That can be very easily explained.
link |
01:44:44.080
You have a model of your own body.
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01:44:46.080
The neocortex models things in the world.
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01:44:48.080
And it also models your own body.
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01:44:50.080
And then it has a memory.
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01:44:53.080
It can remember what you've done.
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01:44:55.080
So it can remember what you did this morning.
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01:44:57.080
It can remember what you had for breakfast and so on.
link |
01:44:59.080
And so I can say to you, okay, Lex,
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01:45:02.080
were you conscious this morning when you had your bagel?
link |
01:45:06.080
And you'd say, yes, I was conscious.
link |
01:45:08.080
Now, what if I could take your brain and revert all the synapses
link |
01:45:11.080
back to the state they were this morning?
link |
01:45:13.080
And then I said to you, Lex,
link |
01:45:15.080
were you conscious when you ate the bagel?
link |
01:45:17.080
And he said, no, I wasn't conscious.
link |
01:45:18.080
I said, here's a video of eating the bagel.
link |
01:45:20.080
And he said, I wasn't there.
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01:45:22.080
That's not possible because I must have been unconscious at that time.
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01:45:25.080
So we can just make this one to one correlation
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01:45:27.080
between memory of your body's trajectory through the world
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01:45:30.080
over some period of time.
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01:45:32.080
And the ability to recall that memory
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01:45:34.080
is what you would call conscious.
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01:45:36.080
I was conscious of that. It's self awareness.
link |
01:45:38.080
And any system that can recall,
link |
01:45:41.080
memorize what it's done recently
link |
01:45:43.080
and bring that back and invoke it again
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01:45:46.080
would say, yeah, I'm aware.
link |
01:45:48.080
I remember what I did. All right, I got it.
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01:45:51.080
That's an easy one. Although some people think that's a hard one.
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01:45:54.080
The more challenging part of consciousness
link |
01:45:57.080
is this is one that's sometimes used
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01:45:59.080
by the word Aqualia,
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01:46:01.080
which is, you know, why does an object seem red?
link |
01:46:04.080
Or what is pain?
link |
01:46:06.080
And why does pain feel like something?
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01:46:08.080
Why do I feel redness?
link |
01:46:10.080
So why do I feel a little painless in a way?
link |
01:46:12.080
And then I could say, well, why does sight
link |
01:46:14.080
seems different than hearing? You know, it's the same problem.
link |
01:46:16.080
It's really, you know, these are all just neurons.
link |
01:46:18.080
And so how is it that why does looking at you
link |
01:46:21.080
feel different than, you know, hearing you?
link |
01:46:24.080
It feels different, but there's just neurons in my head.
link |
01:46:26.080
They're all doing the same thing.
link |
01:46:28.080
So that's an interesting question.
link |
01:46:30.080
The best treatise I've read about this
link |
01:46:32.080
is by a guy named Oregon.
link |
01:46:34.080
He wrote a book called Why Red Doesn't Sound Like a Bell.
link |
01:46:38.080
It's a little, it's not a trade book, easy to read,
link |
01:46:42.080
but it, and it's an interesting question.
link |
01:46:45.080
Take something like color.
link |
01:46:47.080
Color really doesn't exist in the world.
link |
01:46:49.080
It's not a property of the world.
link |
01:46:51.080
Property of the world that exists is light frequency,
link |
01:46:54.080
and that gets turned into we have certain cells
link |
01:46:57.080
in the retina that respond to different frequencies
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01:46:59.080
different than others.
link |
01:47:00.080
And so when they enter the brain, you just have a bunch
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01:47:02.080
of axons that are firing at different rates,
link |
01:47:04.080
and from that we perceive color.
link |
01:47:06.080
But there is no color in the brain.
link |
01:47:08.080
I mean, there's no color coming in on those synapses.
link |
01:47:11.080
It's just a correlation between some axons
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01:47:14.080
and some property of frequency.
link |
01:47:17.080
And that isn't even color itself.
link |
01:47:19.080
Frequency doesn't have a color.
link |
01:47:21.080
It's just what it is.
link |
01:47:23.080
So then the question is, well, why does it even
link |
01:47:25.080
appear to have a color at all?
link |
01:47:27.080
Just as you're describing it, there seems to be a connection
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01:47:30.080
to those ideas of reference frames.
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01:47:32.080
I mean, it just feels like consciousness having the subject,
link |
01:47:38.080
assigning the feeling of red to the actual color
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01:47:42.080
or to the wavelength is useful for intelligence.
link |
01:47:47.080
Yeah, I think that's a good way of putting it.
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01:47:49.080
It's useful as a predictive mechanism,
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01:47:51.080
or useful as a generalization idea.
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01:47:53.080
It's a way of grouping things together to say
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01:47:55.080
it's useful to have a model like this.
link |
01:47:58.080
Think about the well known syndrome that people
link |
01:48:02.080
who've lost a limb experience called phantom limbs.
link |
01:48:06.080
And what they claim is they can have their arms removed
link |
01:48:11.080
but they feel the arm.
link |
01:48:13.080
Not only feel it, they know it's there.
link |
01:48:15.080
It's there.
link |
01:48:16.080
I know it's there.
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01:48:17.080
They'll swear to you that it's there.
link |
01:48:19.080
And then they can feel pain in their arm.
link |
01:48:20.080
And they'll feel pain in their finger.
link |
01:48:22.080
And if they move their non existent arm behind their back,
link |
01:48:25.080
then they feel the pain behind their back.
link |
01:48:27.080
So this whole idea that your arm exists
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01:48:30.080
is a model of your brain.
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01:48:31.080
It may or may not really exist.
link |
01:48:34.080
And just like, but it's useful to have a model of something
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01:48:38.080
that sort of correlates to things in the world
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01:48:40.080
so you can make predictions about what would happen
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01:48:42.080
when those things occur.
link |
01:48:43.080
It's a little bit of a fuzzy,
link |
01:48:44.080
but I think you're getting quite towards the answer there.
link |
01:48:46.080
It's useful for the model to express things certain ways
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01:48:51.080
that we can then map them into these reference frames
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01:48:53.080
and make predictions about them.
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01:48:55.080
I need to spend more time on this topic.
link |
01:48:57.080
It doesn't bother me.
link |
01:48:58.080
Do you really need to spend more time on this?
link |
01:49:00.080
Yeah.
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01:49:01.080
It does feel special that we have subjective experience,
link |
01:49:04.080
but I'm yet to know why.
link |
01:49:07.080
I'm just personally curious.
link |
01:49:08.080
It's not necessary for the work we're doing here.
link |
01:49:10.080
I don't think I need to solve that problem
link |
01:49:12.080
to build intelligent machines at all.
link |
01:49:14.080
Not at all.
link |
01:49:15.080
But there is sort of the silly notion that you described briefly
link |
01:49:19.080
that doesn't seem so silly to us humans is,
link |
01:49:22.080
you know, if you're successful building intelligent machines,
link |
01:49:26.080
it feels wrong to then turn them off.
link |
01:49:29.080
Because if you're able to build a lot of them,
link |
01:49:32.080
it feels wrong to then be able to, you know,
link |
01:49:36.080
to turn off the...
link |
01:49:38.080
Well, why?
link |
01:49:39.080
Let's break that down a bit.
link |
01:49:41.080
As humans, why do we fear death?
link |
01:49:43.080
There's two reasons we fear death.
link |
01:49:46.080
Well, first of all, I'll say when you're dead, it doesn't matter.
link |
01:49:48.080
Okay.
link |
01:49:49.080
You're dead.
link |
01:49:50.080
So why do we fear death?
link |
01:49:51.080
We fear death for two reasons.
link |
01:49:53.080
One is because we are programmed genetically to fear death.
link |
01:49:57.080
That's a survival and propaganda in the genes thing.
link |
01:50:02.080
And we also are programmed to feel sad when people we know die.
link |
01:50:06.080
We don't feel sad for someone we don't know dies.
link |
01:50:08.080
There's people dying right now.
link |
01:50:09.080
They're only scared to say,
link |
01:50:10.080
I don't feel bad about them because I don't know them.
link |
01:50:11.080
But I knew they might feel really bad.
link |
01:50:13.080
So again, these are old brain genetically embedded things
link |
01:50:18.080
that we fear death.
link |
01:50:20.080
Outside of those uncomfortable feelings,
link |
01:50:23.080
there's nothing else to worry about.
link |
01:50:25.080
Well, wait, hold on a second.
link |
01:50:27.080
Do you know the denial of death by Beckard?
link |
01:50:30.080
You know, there's a thought that death is, you know,
link |
01:50:36.080
our whole conception of our world model kind of assumes immortality.
link |
01:50:43.080
And then death is this terror that underlies it all.
link |
01:50:47.080
So like, well, some people's world model, not mine.
link |
01:50:50.080
But okay.
link |
01:50:51.080
So what, what Becker would say is that you're just living in an illusion.
link |
01:50:54.080
You've constructed illusion for yourself because it's such a terrible terror.
link |
01:50:58.080
The fact that this illusion, the illusion that death doesn't matter.
link |
01:51:02.080
You're still not coming to grips with the illusion of what?
link |
01:51:05.080
That death is going to happen.
link |
01:51:08.080
Oh, it's not going to happen.
link |
01:51:10.080
You're, you're actually operating.
link |
01:51:11.080
You haven't, even though you said you've accepted it,
link |
01:51:13.080
you haven't really accepted the notion of death is what you say.
link |
01:51:16.080
So it sounds like it sounds like you disagree with that notion.
link |
01:51:21.080
I mean, totally.
link |
01:51:22.080
Like, I literally every night, every night I go to bed, it's like dying.
link |
01:51:27.080
Little deaths.
link |
01:51:28.080
Little deaths.
link |
01:51:29.080
And if I didn't wake up, it wouldn't matter to me.
link |
01:51:32.080
Only if I knew that was going to happen would it be bothersome.
link |
01:51:35.080
If I didn't know it was going to happen, how would I know?
link |
01:51:37.080
Then I would worry about my wife.
link |
01:51:39.080
Yeah.
link |
01:51:40.080
So imagine, imagine I was a loner and I lived in Alaska and I lived them out there and there
link |
01:51:44.080
was no animals.
link |
01:51:45.080
Nobody knew I existed.
link |
01:51:46.080
I was just eating these roots all the time.
link |
01:51:48.080
And nobody knew I was there.
link |
01:51:50.080
And one day I didn't wake up.
link |
01:51:53.080
Where, what, what pain in the world would there exist?
link |
01:51:56.080
Well, so most people that think about this problem would say that you're just deeply enlightened
link |
01:52:01.080
or are completely delusional.
link |
01:52:04.080
Wow.
link |
01:52:05.080
But I would say, I would say that's a very enlightened way to see the world is that that's the rational one.
link |
01:52:14.080
Well, I think it's rational.
link |
01:52:15.080
That's right.
link |
01:52:16.080
But the fact is we don't, I mean, we really don't have an understanding of why the heck
link |
01:52:22.080
it is we're born and why we die and what happens after we die.
link |
01:52:26.080
Well, maybe there isn't a reason.
link |
01:52:27.080
Maybe there is.
link |
01:52:28.080
So I'm interested in those big problems too, right?
link |
01:52:30.080
You know, you, you interviewed Max Tagmark, you know, and there's people like that, right?
link |
01:52:33.080
I'm interested in those big problems as well.
link |
01:52:35.080
And in fact, when I was young, I made a list of the biggest problems I could think of.
link |
01:52:41.080
First, why does anything exist?
link |
01:52:43.080
Second, why did we have the laws of physics that we have?
link |
01:52:46.080
Third, is life inevitable?
link |
01:52:49.080
And why is it here?
link |
01:52:50.080
Fourth, is intelligence inevitable?
link |
01:52:52.080
And why is it here?
link |
01:52:53.080
I stopped there because I figured if you can make a truly intelligent system, we'll be,
link |
01:52:58.080
that'll be the quickest way to answer the first three questions.
link |
01:53:03.080
I'm serious.
link |
01:53:04.080
Yeah.
link |
01:53:05.080
And so I said, my mission, you know, you asked me earlier, my first mission is to understand
link |
01:53:09.080
the brain, but I felt that is the shortest way to get to true machine intelligence.
link |
01:53:12.080
And I want to get to true machine intelligence because even if it doesn't occur in my lifetime,
link |
01:53:16.080
other people will benefit from it because I think it'll occur in my lifetime.
link |
01:53:19.080
But, you know, 20 years, you never know.
link |
01:53:21.080
And, but that will be the quickest way for us to, you know, we can make super mathematicians.
link |
01:53:27.080
We can make super space explorers.
link |
01:53:29.080
We can make super physicists brains that do these things and that can run experiments
link |
01:53:36.080
that we can't run.
link |
01:53:37.080
We don't have the abilities to manipulate things and so on.
link |
01:53:40.080
But we can build and tell the machines to do all those things.
link |
01:53:42.080
And with the ultimate goal of finding out the answers to the other questions.
link |
01:53:48.080
Let me ask, you know, the depressing and difficult question, which is once we achieve that goal,
link |
01:53:56.080
do you, of creating, no, of understanding intelligence, do you think we would be happier,
link |
01:54:03.080
more fulfilled as a species?
link |
01:54:05.080
The understanding intelligence or understanding the answers to the big questions?
link |
01:54:08.080
Understanding intelligence.
link |
01:54:09.080
Oh, totally.
link |
01:54:11.080
Totally.
link |
01:54:12.080
It would be far more fun place to live.
link |
01:54:14.080
You think so?
link |
01:54:15.080
Oh, yeah.
link |
01:54:16.080
Why not?
link |
01:54:17.080
I just put aside this, you know, terminator nonsense and, and, and, and just think about,
link |
01:54:22.080
you can think about the, we can talk about the risk of AI if you want.
link |
01:54:26.080
I'd love to.
link |
01:54:27.080
So let's talk about.
link |
01:54:28.080
But I think the world is far better knowing things.
link |
01:54:30.080
We're always better than no things.
link |
01:54:32.080
Do you think it's better?
link |
01:54:33.080
Is it a better place to live in that I know that our planet is one of many in the solar system
link |
01:54:38.080
and the solar system is one of many in the galaxy?
link |
01:54:40.080
I think it's a more, I dread, I used to, I sometimes think like, God, what would be like
link |
01:54:44.080
the 300 years ago, I'd be looking up the sky, I can't understand anything.
link |
01:54:47.080
Oh my God.
link |
01:54:48.080
I'd be like going to bed every night going, what's going on here?
link |
01:54:50.080
Well, I mean, in some sense, I agree with you, but I'm not exactly sure.
link |
01:54:54.080
So I'm also a scientist.
link |
01:54:55.080
So I have, I share your views, but I'm not, we're, we're like rolling down the hill together.
link |
01:55:01.080
What's down the hill?
link |
01:55:03.080
I feel for climbing a hill.
link |
01:55:05.080
Whatever we're getting, we're getting closer to enlightenment.
link |
01:55:07.080
Whatever.
link |
01:55:08.080
We're climbing, we're getting pulled up a hill.
link |
01:55:12.080
Pulled up by our curiosity.
link |
01:55:14.080
We're pulling ourselves up the hill by our curiosity.
link |
01:55:17.080
Yeah, sycophers are doing the same thing with the rock.
link |
01:55:19.080
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
link |
01:55:21.080
But okay, our happiness aside, do you have concerns about, you know, you talk about Sam Harris, Elon Musk,
link |
01:55:29.080
of existential threats of intelligence systems?
link |
01:55:32.080
No, I'm not worried about existential threats at all.
link |
01:55:34.080
There are some things we really do need to worry about.
link |
01:55:36.080
Even today's AI, we have things we have to worry about.
link |
01:55:38.080
We have to worry about privacy and about how it impacts false beliefs in the world.
link |
01:55:43.080
And we have real problems that, and things to worry about with today's AI.
link |
01:55:48.080
And that will continue as we create more intelligent systems.
link |
01:55:51.080
There's no question, you know, the whole issue about, you know, making intelligent armament and weapons is something that really we have to think about carefully.
link |
01:55:59.080
I don't think of those as existential threats.
link |
01:56:01.080
I think those are the kind of threats we always face and we'll have to face them here and we'll have to deal with them.
link |
01:56:09.080
We can talk about what people think are the existential threats, but when I hear people talking about them, they all sound hollow to me.
link |
01:56:17.080
They're based on ideas, they're based on people who really have no idea what intelligence is.
link |
01:56:21.080
And if they knew what intelligence was, they wouldn't say those things.
link |
01:56:26.080
So those are not experts in the field, you know.
link |
01:56:29.080
So there's two, right?
link |
01:56:31.080
So one is like superintelligence.
link |
01:56:33.080
So a system that becomes far, far superior in reasoning ability than us humans.
link |
01:56:42.080
And how is that an existential threat?
link |
01:56:45.080
So there's a lot of ways in which it could be.
link |
01:56:49.080
One way is us humans are actually irrational, inefficient and get in the way of not happiness,
link |
01:57:00.080
but whatever the objective function is of maximizing that objective function and superintelligence.
link |
01:57:05.080
The paperclip problem and things like that.
link |
01:57:07.080
So the paperclip problem, but with the superintelligence.
link |
01:57:09.080
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
link |
01:57:10.080
So we already faced this threat in some sense.
link |
01:57:15.080
They're called bacteria.
link |
01:57:17.080
These are organisms in the world that would like to turn everything into bacteria.
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01:57:21.080
And they're constantly morphing.
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01:57:23.080
They're constantly changing to evade our protections.
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And in the past, they have killed huge swaths of populations of humans on this planet.
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01:57:33.080
So if you want to worry about something that's going to multiply endlessly, we have it.
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01:57:38.080
And I'm far more worried in that regard, I'm far more worried that some scientists in the laboratory
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will create a super virus or a super bacteria that we cannot control.
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01:57:47.080
That is a more existential threat.
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01:57:49.080
Putting an intelligence thing on top of it actually seems to make it less existential to me.
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01:57:54.080
It's like, it limits its power.
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It limits where it can go.
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01:57:57.080
It limits the number of things it can do in many ways.
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01:57:59.080
A bacteria is something you can't even see.
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01:58:02.080
So that's only one of those problems.
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01:58:04.080
Yes, exactly.
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01:58:05.080
So the other one, just in your intuition about intelligence,
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01:58:09.080
when you think about intelligence of us humans,
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01:58:12.080
do you think of that as something,
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01:58:14.080
if you look at intelligence on a spectrum from zero to us humans,
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01:58:18.080
do you think you can scale that to something far superior to all the mechanisms we've been talking about?
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01:58:24.080
I want to make another point here, Alex, before I get there.
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01:58:27.080
Intelligence is the neocortex.
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01:58:30.080
It is not the entire brain.
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01:58:32.080
The goal is not to make a human.
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01:58:36.080
The goal is not to make an emotional system.
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01:58:38.080
The goal is not to make a system that wants to have sex and reproduce.
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01:58:41.080
Why would I build that?
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01:58:42.080
If I want to have a system that wants to reproduce and have sex,
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01:58:44.080
make bacteria, make computer viruses.
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01:58:47.080
Those are bad things.
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01:58:48.080
Don't do that.
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01:58:49.080
Those are really bad.
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01:58:50.080
Don't do those things.
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01:58:51.080
Regulate those.
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01:58:53.080
But if I just say, I want an intelligent system,
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01:58:56.080
why doesn't it have to have any human like emotions?
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01:58:58.080
Why does it even care if it lives?
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01:59:00.080
Why does it even care if it has food?
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01:59:02.080
It doesn't care about those things.
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01:59:04.080
It's just in a trance thinking about mathematics,
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01:59:07.080
or it's out there just trying to build the space for it on Mars.
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01:59:12.080
That's a choice we make.
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01:59:15.080
Don't make human like things.
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01:59:17.080
Don't make replicating things.
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01:59:18.080
Don't make things that have emotions.
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01:59:19.080
Just stick to the neocortex.
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01:59:21.080
That's a view, actually, that I share, but not everybody shares,
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01:59:24.080
in the sense that you have faith and optimism about us as engineers
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01:59:28.080
and systems, humans as builders of systems,
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01:59:31.080
to not put in different stupid things.
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01:59:35.080
This is why I mentioned the bacteria one,
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because you might say, well, some person's going to do that.
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01:59:40.080
Well, some person today could create a bacteria
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01:59:42.080
that's resistant to all the known antibacterial agents.
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01:59:46.080
So we already have that threat.
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01:59:49.080
We already know this is going on.
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01:59:51.080
It's not a new threat.
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01:59:52.080
So just accept that, and then we have to deal with it, right?
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01:59:56.080
Yeah, so my point is nothing to do with intelligence.
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01:59:59.080
Intelligence is a separate component that you might apply
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02:00:02.080
to a system that wants to reproduce and do stupid things.
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02:00:05.080
Let's not do that.
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02:00:07.080
Yeah, in fact, it is a mystery why people haven't done that yet.
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02:00:10.080
My dad as a physicist believes that the reason,
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02:00:14.080
for example, nuclear weapons haven't proliferated amongst evil people.
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02:00:19.080
So one belief that I share is that there's not that many evil people in the world
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02:00:25.080
that would use whether it's bacteria or nuclear weapons,
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02:00:32.080
or maybe the future AI systems to do bad.
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02:00:35.080
So the fraction is small.
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02:00:37.080
And the second is that it's actually really hard, technically.
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02:00:40.080
So the intersection between evil and competent is small.
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02:00:45.080
And by the way, to really annihilate humanity,
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you'd have to have sort of the nuclear winter phenomenon,
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02:00:51.080
which is not one person shooting or even 10 bombs.
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02:00:54.080
You'd have to have some automated system that detonates a million bombs,
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02:00:58.080
or whatever many thousands we have.
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02:01:00.080
So it's extreme evil combined with extreme competence.
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02:01:03.080
And despite building some stupid system that would automatically,
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02:01:06.080
you know, Dr. Strangelup type of thing, you know,
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02:01:10.080
I mean, look, we could have some nuclear bomb go off in some major city in the world.
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02:01:14.080
I think that's actually quite likely, even in my lifetime.
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02:01:17.080
I don't think that's an unlikely thing, and it would be a tragedy.
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02:01:20.080
But it won't be an existential threat.
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02:01:23.080
And it's the same as, you know, the virus of 1917 or whatever it was,
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02:01:27.080
you know, the influenza.
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02:01:29.080
These bad things can happen and the plague and so on.
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02:01:33.080
We can't always prevent it.
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02:01:35.080
We always try, but we can't.
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02:01:37.080
But they're not existential threats until we combine all those crazy things together.
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02:01:41.080
So on the spectrum of intelligence from zero to human,
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02:01:45.080
do you have a sense of whether it's possible to create several orders of magnitude
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02:01:51.080
or at least double that of human intelligence,
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02:01:54.080
to talk about neural cortex?
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02:01:56.080
I think it's the wrong thing to say, double the intelligence.
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02:01:58.080
Break it down into different components.
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02:02:01.080
Can I make something that's a million times faster than a human brain?
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02:02:04.080
Yes, I can do that.
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02:02:06.080
Could I make something that is, has a lot more storage than a human brain?
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02:02:10.080
Yes, I can do that. More copies come.
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02:02:13.080
Can I make something that attaches to different sensors than a human brain?
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02:02:16.080
Yes, I can do that.
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02:02:17.080
Could I make something that's distributed?
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02:02:19.080
We talked earlier about the departure of neural cortex voting.
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02:02:23.080
They don't have to be co located.
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02:02:25.080
They can be all around the places. I could do that too.
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02:02:29.080
Those are the levers I have, but is it more intelligent?
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02:02:32.080
What depends what I train in on? What is it doing?
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02:02:35.080
So here's the thing.
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02:02:37.080
Let's say larger neural cortex and or whatever size that allows for higher and higher hierarchies
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02:02:46.080
to form, we're talking about reference frames and concepts.
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02:02:49.080
So I could, could I have something that's a super physicist or a super mathematician? Yes.
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02:02:53.080
And the question is, once you have a super physicist, will they be able to understand something?
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02:02:59.080
Do you have a sense that it will be orders, like us compared to ants?
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02:03:03.080
Could we ever understand it?
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02:03:04.080
Yeah.
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02:03:05.080
Most people cannot understand general relativity.
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02:03:11.080
It's a really hard thing to get.
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02:03:13.080
I mean, you can paint it in a fuzzy picture, stretchy space, you know?
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02:03:17.080
Yeah.
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02:03:18.080
But the field equations to do that and the deep intuitions are really, really hard.
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02:03:23.080
And I've tried, I'm unable to do it.
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02:03:26.080
It's easy to get special relative, but general relative, man, that's too much.
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02:03:32.080
And so we already live with this to some extent.
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02:03:35.080
The vast majority of people can't understand actually what the vast majority of other people actually know.
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02:03:40.080
We're just either we don't have the effort to or we can't or we don't have time or just not smart enough, whatever.
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02:03:45.080
So, but we have ways of communicating.
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02:03:48.080
Einstein has spoken in a way that I can understand.
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02:03:51.080
He's given me analogies that are useful.
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02:03:54.080
I can use those analogies for my own work and think about, you know, concepts that are similar.
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02:04:00.080
It's not stupid.
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02:04:02.080
It's not like he's existed in some other plane.
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02:04:04.080
There's no connection to my plane in the world here.
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02:04:06.080
So that will occur.
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02:04:07.080
It already has occurred.
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02:04:09.080
That's when my point at this story is it already has occurred.
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02:04:12.080
We live it every day.
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02:04:14.080
One could argue that with we create machine intelligence that think a million times faster than us that it'll be so far we can't make the connections.
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02:04:21.080
But, you know, at the moment, everything that seems really, really hard to figure out in the world when you actually figure it out is not that hard.
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02:04:29.080
You know, almost everyone can understand the multiverses.
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02:04:32.080
Almost everyone can understand quantum physics.
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02:04:34.080
Almost everyone can understand these basic things, even though hardly any people could figure those things out.
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02:04:38.080
Yeah, but really understand.
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02:04:40.080
But you don't need to really, only a few people really understand.
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02:04:43.080
You need to only understand the projections, the sprinkles of the useful insights from that.
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02:04:49.080
That was my example of Einstein, right?
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02:04:51.080
His general theory of relativity is one thing that very, very, very few people can get.
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02:04:55.080
And what if we just said those other few people are also artificial intelligences?
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02:04:59.080
How bad is that?
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02:05:01.080
In some sense they are, right?
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02:05:02.080
Yeah, they say already.
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02:05:03.080
I mean, Einstein wasn't a really normal person.
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02:05:05.080
He had a lot of weird quirks.
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02:05:07.080
And so the other people who work with him.
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02:05:09.080
So, you know, maybe they already were sort of this actual plane of intelligence that we live with it already.
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02:05:15.080
It's not a problem.
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02:05:17.080
It's still useful and, you know.
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02:05:20.080
So do you think we are the only intelligent life out there in the universe?
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02:05:24.080
I would say that intelligent life has and will exist elsewhere in the universe.
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02:05:29.080
I'll say that.
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02:05:31.080
There is a question about contemporaneous intelligence life, which is hard to even answer when we think about relativity and the nature of space time.
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02:05:39.080
We can't say what exactly is this time someplace else in the world.
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02:05:43.080
But I think it's, you know, I do worry a lot about the filter idea, which is that perhaps intelligent species don't last very long.
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02:05:54.080
And so we haven't been around very long.
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02:05:56.080
As a technological species, we've been around for almost nothing, you know, what, 200 years or something like that.
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02:06:02.080
And we don't have any data, a good data point on whether it's likely that we'll survive or not.
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02:06:08.080
So do I think that there have been intelligent life elsewhere in the universe?
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02:06:12.080
Almost certainly, of course.
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02:06:14.080
In the past, in the future, yes.
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02:06:16.080
Does it survive for a long time?
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02:06:18.080
I don't know.
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02:06:19.080
This is another reason I'm excited about our work, is our work meaning the general world of AI.
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02:06:25.080
I think we can build intelligent machines that outlast us.
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02:06:31.080
You know, they don't have to be tied to Earth.
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02:06:34.080
They don't have to, you know, I'm not saying they're recreating, you know, you know, aliens.
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02:06:39.080
I'm just saying, if I asked myself, and this might be a good point to end on here.
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02:06:44.080
If I asked myself, you know, what's special about our species?
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02:06:47.080
We're not particularly interesting physically.
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02:06:49.080
We're not, we don't fly.
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02:06:51.080
We're not good swimmers.
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02:06:52.080
We're not very fast.
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02:06:53.080
We're not very strong, you know.
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02:06:54.080
It's our brain.
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02:06:55.080
That's the only thing.
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02:06:56.080
And we are the only species on this planet that's built the model of the world that extends beyond what we can actually sense.
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02:07:01.080
We're the only people who know about the far side of the moon and other universes and other galaxies and other stars and what happens in the atom.
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02:07:09.080
That knowledge doesn't exist anywhere else.
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02:07:12.080
It's only in our heads.
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02:07:13.080
Cats don't do it.
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02:07:14.080
Dogs don't do it.
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02:07:15.080
Monkeys don't do it.
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02:07:16.080
That is what we've created that's unique.
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02:07:18.080
Not our genes.
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02:07:19.080
It's knowledge.
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02:07:20.080
And if I ask me, what is the legacy of humanity?
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02:07:24.080
What should our legacy be?
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02:07:25.080
It should be knowledge.
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02:07:26.080
We should preserve our knowledge in a way that it can exist beyond us.
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02:07:30.080
And I think the best way of doing that, in fact, you have to do it, is to have to go along with intelligent machines to understand that knowledge.
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02:07:38.080
It's a very broad idea, but we should be thinking, I call it a state planning for humanity.
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02:07:44.080
We should be thinking about what we want to leave behind when as a species we're no longer here.
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02:07:49.080
And that will happen sometime.
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02:07:51.080
Sooner or later, it's going to happen.
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02:07:52.080
And understanding intelligence and creating intelligence gives us a better chance to prolong.
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02:07:58.080
It does give us a better chance to prolong life.
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02:08:00.080
Yes.
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02:08:01.080
It gives us a chance to live on other planets.
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02:08:03.080
But even beyond that, I mean, our solar system will disappear one day.
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02:08:07.080
It's given enough time.
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02:08:09.080
So I don't know.
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02:08:10.080
I doubt we will ever be able to travel to other things.
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02:08:14.080
But we could tell the stars, but we could send intelligent machines to do that.
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02:08:18.080
Do you have an optimistic, a hopeful view of our knowledge of the echoes of human civilization living through the intelligent systems we create?
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02:08:29.080
Oh, totally.
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02:08:30.080
Well, I think the intelligent systems are greater.
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02:08:32.080
In some sense, the vessel for bringing them beyond Earth or making them last beyond humans themselves.
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02:08:39.080
So how do you feel about that?
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02:08:41.080
That they won't be human, quote unquote.
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02:08:44.080
Human, what is human? Our species are changing all the time.
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02:08:48.080
Human today is not the same as human just 50 years ago.
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02:08:52.080
What is human? Do we care about our genetics?
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02:08:54.080
Why is that important?
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02:08:56.080
As I point out, our genetics are no more interesting than a bacterium's genetics.
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02:08:59.080
It's no more interesting than a monkey's genetics.
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02:09:01.080
What we have, what's unique and what's valuable is our knowledge, what we've learned about the world.
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02:09:07.080
And that is the rare thing.
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02:09:09.080
That's the thing we want to preserve.
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02:09:11.080
Who cares about our genes?
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02:09:15.080
It's the knowledge.
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02:09:17.080
That's a really good place to end.
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02:09:19.080
Thank you so much for talking to me.