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Michio Kaku: Future of Humans, Aliens, Space Travel & Physics | Lex Fridman Podcast #45


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The following is a conversation with Michio Kaku.
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He's a theoretical physicist, futurist, and professor
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at the City College of New York.
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He's the author of many fascinating books
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that explore the nature of our reality
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and the future of our civilization.
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They include Einstein's Cosmos, Physics of the Impossible,
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Future of the Mind, Parallel Worlds,
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and his latest, The Future of Humanity,
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terraforming Mars interstellar travel,
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immortality, and our destiny beyond Earth.
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I think it's beautiful and important
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when a scientific mind can fearlessly explore
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through conversation subjects
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just outside of our understanding.
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That, to me, is where artificial intelligence is today,
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just outside of our understanding,
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a place we have to reach for
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if we're to uncover the mysteries of the human mind
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and build human level and superhuman level AI systems
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that transform our world for the better.
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This is the Artificial Intelligence Podcast.
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If you enjoy it, subscribe on YouTube,
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give it five stars in iTunes, support it on Patreon,
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or simply connect with me on Twitter.
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Alex Friedman spelled F R I D M A N.
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And now, here's my conversation with Michio Kaku.
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You've mentioned that we just might make contact
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with aliens or at least hear from them within this century.
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Can you elaborate on your intuition behind that optimism?
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Well, this is pure speculation, of course.
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Of course.
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Even the fact that we've already identified
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4,000 exoplanets orbiting other stars,
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and we have a census of the Milky Way Galaxy
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for the first time,
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we know that on average, every single star, on average,
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has a planet going around it,
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and about one fifth or so of them
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have Earth sized planets going around them.
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So just do the math.
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We're talking about out of 100 billion stars
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in the Milky Way Galaxy.
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We're talking about billions of potential Earth sized planets.
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And to believe that we're the only one
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is, I think, rather ridiculous, given the odds.
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And how many galaxies are there?
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Within sight of the Hubble Space Telescope,
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there are about 100 billion galaxies.
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So do the math.
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How many stars are there in the visible universe?
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100 billion galaxies times
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100 billion stars per galaxy.
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We're talking about a number beyond human imagination.
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And to believe that we're the only ones,
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I think, is rather ridiculous.
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So you've talked about different types of,
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type zero, one, two, three, four, and five,
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even of the Kardashev scale,
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of the different kinds of civilizations.
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What do you think it takes
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if it is indeed a ridiculous notion
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that we're alone in the universe?
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What do you think it takes to reach out,
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first to reach out through communication and connect?
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Well, first of all, we have to understand
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the level of sophistication of an alien life form
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if we may contact with them.
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I think in this century,
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we'll probably pick up signals,
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signals from an extraterrestrial civilization.
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We'll pick up there, I love Lucy,
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and there leave it to Beaver.
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These ordinary day to day transmissions that they emit.
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And the first thing we wanna do is to A,
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decipher their language, of course,
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but B, figure out at what level
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they are advanced on the Kardashev scale.
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I'm a physicist.
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We rank things by two parameters,
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energy and information.
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That's how we rank black holes.
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That's how we rank stars.
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That's how we rank civilizations and outer space.
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So a type one civilization is capable
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of harnessing planetary power.
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They control the weather, for example,
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earthquakes, volcanoes.
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They can modify the course of geologic events,
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sort of like Flash Gordon or Buck Rogers.
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Type two would be stellar.
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They play with stars, entire stars.
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They use the entire energy output of a star,
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sort of like Star Trek.
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The Federation of Planets have colonized the nearby stars.
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So a type two would be somewhat similar to Star Trek.
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Type three would be galactic.
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They roamed the galactic space lanes.
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And type three would be like Star Wars,
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a galactic civilization.
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Then one day I was giving this talk in London
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at the planetarium there,
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and the little boy comes up to me and he says,
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Professor, you're wrong, you're wrong, this type four.
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And I told him, look kid,
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there are planets, stars, and galaxies.
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That's it folks.
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And he kept persisting and saying, no, this type four,
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the power of the continuum.
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And I thought about it for a moment.
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And I said to myself,
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is there an extra galactic source of energy,
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the continuum of Star Trek?
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And the answer is yes.
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There could be a type four.
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And that's dark energy.
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We now know that 73% of the energy of the universe
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is dark energy.
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Dark matter represents maybe 23% or so,
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and we only represent 4%.
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We're the oddballs.
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And so you begin to realize that, yeah,
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there could be type four, maybe even type five.
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So type four, you're saying,
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being able to harness sort of like dark energy,
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something that permeates the entire universe.
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So be able to plug into the entire universe
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as a source of energy.
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That's right.
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And dark energy is the energy of the Big Bang.
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It's why the galaxies are being pushed apart.
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It's the energy of nothing.
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The more nothing you have,
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the more dark energy that's repulsive.
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And so the acceleration of the universe
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is accelerating because the more you have,
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the more you can have.
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And that, of course, is by definition
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an exponential curve.
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It's called the decider expansion.
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And that's the current state of the universe.
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And then type five,
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would that be able to seek energy sources somehow
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outside of our universe?
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And how crazy is that idea?
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Yeah, type five will be the multiverse.
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Multiverse, okay.
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I'm a quantum physicist,
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and we quantum physicists don't believe
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that the Big Bang happened once.
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That would violate the Heisenberg uncertainty principle.
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And that means that there could be multiple bangs
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happening all the time.
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Even as we speak today,
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universes are being created.
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And that fits the data.
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The inflationary universe is a quantum theory.
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So there's a certain finite probability
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that universes are being created all the time.
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And for me, this is actually rather aesthetically pleasing
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because, you know, I was raised as a Presbyterian,
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but my parents were Buddhists.
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And there's two diametrically opposed ideas
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about the universe.
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In Buddhism, there's only Nirvana.
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There's no beginning, there's no end,
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there's only timelessness.
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But in Christianity, there is the instant
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when God said, let there be life.
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In other words, an instant of creation.
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So I've had these two mutually exclusive ideas in my head.
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And I now realize that it's possible
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to meld them into a single theory.
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Either the universe had a beginning or it didn't, right?
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Wrong.
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You see, our universe had a beginning.
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Our universe had an instant where somebody
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might have said, let there be life.
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But there are other bubble universes out there
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in a bubble bath of universes.
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And that means that these universes are expanding
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into a dimension beyond our three dimensional comprehension.
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In other words, hyperspace.
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In other words, 11 dimensional hyperspace.
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So Nirvana would be this timeless
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11 dimensional hyperspace
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where big bangs are happening all the time.
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So we can now combine two mutually exclusive theories
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of creation.
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And Stephen Hawking, for example, even in his last book,
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even said that this is an argument
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against the existence of God.
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He said there is no God because there was not enough time
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for God to create the universe
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because the big bang happened in an instant of time.
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Therefore, there was no time available
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for him to create the universe.
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But you see, the multiverse idea means
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that there was a time before time.
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And there are multiple times each bubble has its own time.
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And so it means that there could actually be a universe
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before the beginning of our universe.
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So if you think of a bubble bath, when two bubbles collide
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or when two bubbles fission to create a baby bubble,
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that's called the big bang.
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So the big bang is nothing but the collision of universes
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or the budding of universes.
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This is a beautiful picture of our incredibly mysterious
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existence.
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So is that humbling to you?
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Exciting?
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The idea of multiverses?
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I don't even know how to even begin to wrap my mind around it.
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Well, it's exciting for me because what I do for a living
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is string theory.
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That's my day job.
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I get paid by the city of New York to work on string theory.
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Yes.
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And you see, string theory is a multiverse theory.
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So people say, first of all, what is string theory?
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Yes.
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So string theory simply says that all the particles we see in
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nature, the electron, the proton, the quarks, what have you,
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are nothing but vibrations on a musical string,
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on a tiny, tiny little string.
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You know, G. Robert Oppenheimer, the creator of the atomic bomb,
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was so frustrated in the 1950s with all these subatomic
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particles being created in our atom smashers that he announced,
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he announced one day that the Nobel Prize in physics
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should go to the physicist who does not discover a new particle
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that year.
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Well, today we think there are nothing but musical notes on
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these tiny little vibrating strings.
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So what is physics?
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Physics is the harmonies you can write on vibrating strings.
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What is chemistry?
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Chemistry is the melodies you can play on these strings.
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What is the universe?
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The universe is a symphony of strings.
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And then what is the mind of God that Albert Einstein so eloquently
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wrote about for the last 30 years of his life?
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The mind of God would be cosmic music resonating through
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11 dimensional hyperspace.
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So beautifully put.
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What do you think is the mind of Einstein's God?
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Do you think there's a why that we could untangle from this
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universe of strings?
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Why are we here?
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What is the meaning of it all?
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Well, Stephen Weinberg, winner of the Nobel Prize, once said
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that the more we learn about the universe, the more we learn that
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it's pointless.
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Well, I don't know.
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I don't profess to understand the great secrets of the universe.
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However, let me say two things about what the giants of physics
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have said about this question.
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Einstein believed in two types of God.
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One was the God of the Bible, the personal God, the God that
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answers prayers, walks on water, performs miracles, smites the
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Philistines.
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That's the personal God that he didn't believe in.
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He believed in the God of Spinoza, the God of order, simplicity,
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harmony, beauty.
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The universe could have been ugly.
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The universe could have been messy, random.
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But it's gorgeous.
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It relates on a single sheet of paper.
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We can write down all the known laws of the universe.
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It's amazing.
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On one sheet of paper, Einstein's equation is one inch long.
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Strength theory is a lot longer and so is the standard model.
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But you could put all these equations on one sheet of paper.
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It didn't have to be that way.
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It could have been messy.
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And so Einstein thought of himself as a young boy entering this
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huge library for the first time, being overwhelmed by the
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simplicity, elegance, and beauty of this library.
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But all he could do was read the first page of the first volume.
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Well, that library is the universe with all sorts of mysterious
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magical things that we have yet to find.
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And then Galileo was asked about this.
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Galileo said that the purpose of science, the purpose of science
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is to determine how the heavens go.
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The purpose of religion is to determine how to go to heaven.
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So in other words, science is about natural law.
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And religion is about ethics, how to be a good person,
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how to go to heaven.
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As long as we keep these two things apart, we're in great shape.
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The problem occurs when people from the natural sciences
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begin to pontificate about ethics and people from religion
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begin to pontificate about natural law.
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That's where we get into big trouble.
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You think they're fundamentally distinct, morality and ethics
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and our idea of what is right and what is wrong.
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That's something that's outside the reach of strength theory and physics.
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That's right.
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If you talk to a squirrel about what is right and what is wrong,
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there's no reference frame for a squirrel.
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And realize that aliens from out of space, if they ever come visit us,
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they'll try to talk to us like we talk to squirrels in the forest,
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but eventually we get bored talking to the squirrels
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because they don't talk back to us.
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Same thing with aliens from out of space.
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When they come down to Earth, they'll be curious about us to a degree,
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but after a while they just get bored because we have nothing to offer them.
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So our sense of right and wrong, what does that mean compared to a squirrel's
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sense of right and wrong?
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Now we, of course, do have an ethics that keeps civilizations in line,
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enriches our life and makes civilization possible.
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I think that's a good thing, but it's not mandated by a law of physics.
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So if aliens do, alien species were to make contact,
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forgive me for staying on aliens for a bit longer,
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do you think they're more likely to be friendly, to befriend us,
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or to destroy us?
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Well, I think for the most part, they'll pretty much ignore us.
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If you were a deer in the forest, who do you fear the most?
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Do you fear the hunter with his gigantic 16 gauge shotgun?
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Or do you fear the guy with the briefcase and glasses?
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Well, the guy with the briefcase could be a developer,
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about to basically flatten the entire forest, destroying your livelihood.
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So instinctively, you may be afraid of the hunter,
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but actually the problem with deers in the forest is that they should fear developers,
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because developers look at deer as simply getting in the way.
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I mean, in World of the Worlds by H.G. Wells, the aliens did not hate us.
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If you read the book, the aliens did not have evil intentions toward homo sapiens.
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No, we were in the way.
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So I think we have to realize that alien civilizations may view us quite differently than in science fiction novels.
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However, I personally believe, and I cannot prove any of this,
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I personally believe that they're probably going to be peaceful,
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because there's nothing that they want from our world.
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I mean, what are they going to take us?
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What are they going to take us for? Gold?
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No, gold is a useless metal for the most part.
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It's silver, I mean, it's gold in color, but that only affects homo sapiens.
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00:16:45.680
Squirrels don't care about gold.
link |
00:16:47.680
And so gold is a rather useless element.
link |
00:16:50.680
Rare earths maybe, platinum based elements, rare earths for their electronics.
link |
00:16:54.680
Yeah, maybe.
link |
00:16:55.680
But other than that, we have nothing to offer them.
link |
00:16:58.680
I mean, think about it for a moment.
link |
00:17:01.680
People love Shakespeare and they love the arts and poetry,
link |
00:17:06.680
but outside of the earth, they mean nothing, absolutely nothing.
link |
00:17:11.680
I mean, when I write down an equation in string theory,
link |
00:17:15.680
I would hope that on the other side of the galaxy,
link |
00:17:19.680
there's an alien writing down that very same equation in different notation,
link |
00:17:24.680
but that alien on the other side of the galaxy, Shakespeare, poetry, Hemingway,
link |
00:17:29.680
it would mean nothing to him or her or it.
link |
00:17:34.680
When you think about entities that's out there, extraterrestrial,
link |
00:17:39.680
do you think they would naturally look something that even is recognizable to us as life?
link |
00:17:47.680
Or would they be radically different?
link |
00:17:50.680
Well, how did we become intelligent?
link |
00:17:52.680
Basically, three things made us intelligent.
link |
00:17:55.680
One is our eyesight, stereo eyesight.
link |
00:17:58.680
We have the eyes of a hunter, stereo vision, so we lock in on targets.
link |
00:18:03.680
And who is smarter? Predator or prey?
link |
00:18:08.680
Predators are smarter than prey.
link |
00:18:11.680
They have their eyes at the front of their face, like lions, tigers,
link |
00:18:14.680
while rabbits have eyes to the side of their face.
link |
00:18:18.680
Why is that? Hunters have to zero in on the target.
link |
00:18:22.680
They have to know how to ambush.
link |
00:18:24.680
They have to know how to hide, camouflage, sneak up, stealth, deceit.
link |
00:18:29.680
That takes a lot of intelligence.
link |
00:18:31.680
Rabbits, all they have to do is run.
link |
00:18:34.680
So that's the first criterion, stereo eyesight of some sort.
link |
00:18:39.680
Second is the thumb. The opposable thumb of some sort could be a claw or a tentacle.
link |
00:18:45.680
So hand eye coordination.
link |
00:18:48.680
Hand eye coordination is the way we manipulate the environment.
link |
00:18:52.680
And then three, language.
link |
00:18:54.680
Because, you know, mama bear never tells baby bear to avoid the human hunter.
link |
00:18:59.680
Bears just learn by themselves.
link |
00:19:01.680
They never hand out information from one generation to the next.
link |
00:19:05.680
So these are the three basic ingredients of intelligence.
link |
00:19:09.680
Eye sight of some sort.
link |
00:19:11.680
An opposable thumb or tentacle or claw of some sort.
link |
00:19:14.680
And language.
link |
00:19:16.680
Now ask yourself a simple question.
link |
00:19:18.680
How many animals have all three?
link |
00:19:21.680
Just us.
link |
00:19:23.680
It's just us.
link |
00:19:24.680
I mean, the primates, they have a language.
link |
00:19:27.680
Yeah, they may get up to maybe 20 words.
link |
00:19:30.680
But a baby learns a word a day, several words a day a baby learns.
link |
00:19:34.680
And a typical adult knows about almost 5,000 words.
link |
00:19:40.680
Well, the maximum number of words that you can teach a gorilla in any language,
link |
00:19:46.680
including their own language, is about 20 or so.
link |
00:19:49.680
And so we see the difference in intelligence.
link |
00:19:52.680
So when we meet aliens from outer space, chances are they will have been descended from predators of some sort.
link |
00:20:00.680
They'll have some way to manipulate the environment and communicate their knowledge to the next generation.
link |
00:20:07.680
That's it, folks.
link |
00:20:08.680
So functionally, that would be similar.
link |
00:20:12.680
We would be able to recognize them.
link |
00:20:15.680
Well, not necessarily, because I think even with homo sapiens,
link |
00:20:19.680
we are eventually going to perhaps become part cybernetic and genetically enhanced.
link |
00:20:27.680
Already, robots are getting smarter and smarter.
link |
00:20:31.680
Right now, robots have the intelligence of a cockroach.
link |
00:20:35.680
But in the coming years, our robots will be as smart as a mouse,
link |
00:20:40.680
then maybe as smart as a rabbit.
link |
00:20:42.680
If we're lucky, maybe as smart as a cat or a dog.
link |
00:20:47.680
And by the end of the century, who knows for sure,
link |
00:20:50.680
our robots will be probably as smart as a monkey.
link |
00:20:53.680
Now, at that point, of course, they could be dangerous.
link |
00:20:56.680
You see, monkeys are self aware.
link |
00:20:59.680
They know they are monkeys.
link |
00:21:02.680
They may have a different agenda than us.
link |
00:21:05.680
While dogs, dogs are confused.
link |
00:21:09.680
You see, dogs think that we are a dog, that we're the top dog.
link |
00:21:15.680
They're the underdog.
link |
00:21:17.680
That's why they whimper and follow us and lick us all the time.
link |
00:21:20.680
We're the top dog.
link |
00:21:22.680
Monkeys have no illusion at all.
link |
00:21:25.680
We know we are not monkeys.
link |
00:21:28.680
And so I think that in the future, we'll have to put a chip in their brain
link |
00:21:31.680
to shut them off once our robots have murderous thoughts.
link |
00:21:35.680
But that's in 100 years.
link |
00:21:37.680
In 200 years, the robots will be smart enough to remove that failsafe chip in their brain
link |
00:21:44.680
and then watch out.
link |
00:21:46.680
At that point, I think rather than compete with our robots,
link |
00:21:52.680
we should merge with them.
link |
00:21:54.680
We should become part cybernetic.
link |
00:21:56.680
So I think when we meet alien life from outer space,
link |
00:21:59.680
they may be genetically and cybernetically enhanced.
link |
00:22:04.680
Genetically and cybernetically enhanced.
link |
00:22:07.680
Wow.
link |
00:22:08.680
So let's talk about that full range.
link |
00:22:10.680
In the near term and 200 years from now,
link |
00:22:13.680
how promising in the near term in your view is brain machine interfaces.
link |
00:22:18.680
So starting to allow computers to talk directly to the brains, Elon Musk has worked on that with Neuralink
link |
00:22:26.680
and there's other companies working on this idea.
link |
00:22:28.680
Do you see promise there?
link |
00:22:30.680
Do you see hope for near term impact?
link |
00:22:32.680
Well, every technology has pluses and minuses.
link |
00:22:35.680
Already we can record memories.
link |
00:22:38.680
I have a book, The Future of the Mind, where I detail some of these breakthroughs.
link |
00:22:42.680
We can now record simple memories of mice and send these memories on the internet.
link |
00:22:48.680
Eventually, we're going to do this with primates at Wake Forest University and also in Los Angeles.
link |
00:22:55.680
And then after that, we'll have a memory chip for Alzheimer's patients.
link |
00:23:00.680
We'll test it out at Alzheimer's patients because of course,
link |
00:23:03.680
when Alzheimer's patients lose their memory, they wander.
link |
00:23:07.680
They create all sorts of havoc wandering around oblivious to their surroundings and they'll have a chip.
link |
00:23:15.680
They'll push the button and memories.
link |
00:23:17.680
Memories will come flooding into their hippocampus and the chip telling them where they live and who they are.
link |
00:23:25.680
And so a memory chip is definitely in the cards and I think this will eventually affect human civilization.
link |
00:23:32.680
What is the future of the internet?
link |
00:23:34.680
The future of the internet is brainnet.
link |
00:23:36.680
Brainnet is when we send emotions, feelings, sensations on the internet.
link |
00:23:43.680
And we will telepathically communicate with other humans this way.
link |
00:23:48.680
This is going to affect everything.
link |
00:23:50.680
Look at entertainment.
link |
00:23:51.680
Remember the silent movies?
link |
00:23:53.680
Charlie Chaplin was very famous during the era of silent movies.
link |
00:23:57.680
But when the talkies came in, nobody wanted to see Charlie Chaplin anymore because he never talked in the movies.
link |
00:24:04.680
And so a whole generation of actors lost their job and a new series of actors came in.
link |
00:24:10.680
Next, we're going to have the movies replaced by brainnet.
link |
00:24:16.680
Because in the future, people will say, who wants to see a screen with images?
link |
00:24:22.680
That's it.
link |
00:24:23.680
Sound and image, that's called the movies.
link |
00:24:26.680
In our entertainment industry, this multi billion dollar industry is based on screens with moving images.
link |
00:24:33.680
And sound.
link |
00:24:34.680
But what happens when emotions, feelings, sensations, memories can be conveyed on the internet?
link |
00:24:42.680
It's going to change everything.
link |
00:24:44.680
Human relations will change because you'll be able to empathize and feel the suffering of other people.
link |
00:24:49.680
We'll be able to communicate telepathically.
link |
00:24:52.680
And this is coming.
link |
00:24:55.680
You described brainnet in the future of the mind.
link |
00:24:58.680
This is an interesting concept.
link |
00:25:00.680
Do you think, as you mentioned, entertainment, what kind of effect would it have on our personal relationships?
link |
00:25:07.680
Hopefully, it will deepen it.
link |
00:25:09.680
You realize that for most of human history, for over 90% of human history, we only knew maybe 20, 100 people.
link |
00:25:21.680
That's it, folks.
link |
00:25:22.680
That was your tribe.
link |
00:25:24.680
That was everybody you knew in the universe was only maybe 50 or 100.
link |
00:25:31.680
With the coming of towns, of course, it expanded to a few thousand, with the coming of the telephone,
link |
00:25:37.680
all of a sudden, you could reach thousands of people with the telephone.
link |
00:25:41.680
And now with the internet, you can reach the entire population of the planet Earth.
link |
00:25:45.680
And so I think this is a normal progression.
link |
00:25:48.680
And you think that kind of connection to the rest of the world, and then adding sensations like being able to share telepathically, emotions, and so on,
link |
00:25:58.680
that would just further deepen our connection to our fellow humans.
link |
00:26:02.680
Yeah, that's right.
link |
00:26:03.680
In fact, I disagree with many scientists on this question.
link |
00:26:07.680
Most scientists would say that technology is neutral.
link |
00:26:10.680
A double edged sword, one side of the sword can cut against people.
link |
00:26:15.680
The other side of the sword can cut against ignorance and disease.
link |
00:26:20.680
I disagree.
link |
00:26:21.680
I think technology does have a moral direction.
link |
00:26:25.680
Look at the internet.
link |
00:26:26.680
The internet spreads knowledge, awareness, and that creates empowerment.
link |
00:26:32.680
People act on knowledge.
link |
00:26:34.680
When they begin to realize that they don't have to live that way, they don't have to suffer under a dictatorship,
link |
00:26:40.680
that there are other ways of living under freedom, then they begin to take things, take power.
link |
00:26:47.680
And that spreads democracy.
link |
00:26:49.680
And democracies do not war with other democracies.
link |
00:26:53.680
I'm a scientist.
link |
00:26:54.680
I believe in data.
link |
00:26:56.680
So let's take a sheet of paper and write down every single war you had to learn since you were in elementary school.
link |
00:27:05.680
Every single war, hundreds of them, kings, queens, emperors, dictators, all these wars were between kings, queens, emperors, and dictators.
link |
00:27:14.680
Never between two major democracies.
link |
00:27:19.680
And so I think with the spread of this technology and which would accelerate with the coming of brainnet,
link |
00:27:25.680
it means that, well, we will still have wars.
link |
00:27:28.680
Wars, of course, is politics by other means, but there'll be less intense and less frequent.
link |
00:27:34.680
Do you have worries of longer term existential risk from technology, from AI?
link |
00:27:42.680
So I think that's a wonderful vision of a future where war is a distant memory.
link |
00:27:50.680
But now there's another agent.
link |
00:27:53.680
There's somebody else that's able to create conflict, that's able to create harm, AI systems.
link |
00:28:00.680
So do you have worry about such AI systems?
link |
00:28:02.680
Well, yes, that is an existential risk.
link |
00:28:04.680
But again, I think an existential risk not for this century.
link |
00:28:08.680
I think our grandkids are going to have to confront this question as robots gradually approach the intelligence of a dog, a cat, and finally that of a monkey.
link |
00:28:19.680
However, I think we will digitize ourselves as well.
link |
00:28:22.680
Not only are we going to merge with our technology, we'll also digitize our personality, our memories, our feelings.
link |
00:28:29.680
You realize during the Middle Ages, there was something called dualism.
link |
00:28:33.680
Dualism meant that the soul was separate from the body.
link |
00:28:37.680
When the body died, the soul went to heaven.
link |
00:28:40.680
That's dualism.
link |
00:28:41.680
Then in the 20th century, neuroscience came in and said, bah, humbug.
link |
00:28:46.680
Every time we look at the brain, it's just neurons.
link |
00:28:50.680
That's it, folks, period, end of story, bunch of neurons firing.
link |
00:28:55.680
Now we're going back to dualism.
link |
00:28:58.680
Now we realize that we can digitize human memories, feelings, sensations, and create a digital copy of ourselves.
link |
00:29:08.680
And that's called the connectome project.
link |
00:29:10.680
Billions of dollars are now being spent to do not just the genome project of sequencing the genes of our body, but the connectome project, which is to map the entire connections of the human brain.
link |
00:29:25.680
And even before then, already in Silicon Valley today, at this very moment, you can contact Silicon Valley companies that are willing to digitize your relatives because some people want to talk to their parents.
link |
00:29:39.680
There are unresolved issues with their parents.
link |
00:29:41.680
And one day, yes, berms will digitize people and you'll be able to talk to them a reasonable facsimile.
link |
00:29:48.680
We leave a digital trail.
link |
00:29:51.680
Our ancestors did not.
link |
00:29:53.680
Our ancestors were lucky if they had one line, just one line in a church book saying the date they were baptized and the date they died.
link |
00:30:03.680
That's it.
link |
00:30:04.680
That was their entire digital memory.
link |
00:30:07.680
I mean, their entire digital existence summarized in just a few letters of the alphabet, a whole life.
link |
00:30:15.680
Now we digitize everything.
link |
00:30:17.680
Every time you sneeze, you digitize it.
link |
00:30:19.680
You put it on the internet.
link |
00:30:21.680
And so I think that we are going to digitize ourselves and give us digital immortality.
link |
00:30:27.680
We'll not only have biologic genetic immortality of some sort, but also digital immortality.
link |
00:30:34.680
And what are we going to do with it?
link |
00:30:36.680
I think we should send it into outer space.
link |
00:30:40.680
If you digitize the human brain and put it on a laser beam and shoot it to the moon, you're on the moon in one second.
link |
00:30:48.680
Shoot it to Mars. You run Mars in 20 minutes.
link |
00:30:51.680
Shoot it to Pluto. You run Pluto in eight hours.
link |
00:30:54.680
Think about it for a moment.
link |
00:30:55.680
You can have breakfast in New York and for a morning snack, vacation on the moon.
link |
00:31:01.680
Then zap your way to Mars by noon time, journey to the asteroid belt of the afternoon, and they come back for dinner in New York at night.
link |
00:31:11.680
All in a day's work at the speed of light.
link |
00:31:15.680
Now, this means that you don't need booster rockets.
link |
00:31:19.680
You don't need weightlessness problems.
link |
00:31:21.680
You don't need to worry about meteorites.
link |
00:31:23.680
And what's on the moon?
link |
00:31:24.680
On the moon, there is a mainframe that downloads your laser beams information.
link |
00:31:30.680
And where does it download the information into?
link |
00:31:33.680
An avatar.
link |
00:31:35.680
And what does that avatar look like?
link |
00:31:37.680
Anything you want.
link |
00:31:40.680
Think about it for a moment.
link |
00:31:41.680
You could be Superman, superwoman on the moon, on Mars, traveling throughout the universe at the speed of light, downloading your personality into any vehicle you want.
link |
00:31:54.680
Now, let me stick my neck out.
link |
00:31:56.680
So far, everything I've been saying is well within the laws of physics.
link |
00:32:00.680
Well within the laws of physics.
link |
00:32:01.680
Now, let me go outside the laws of physics.
link |
00:32:04.680
Here we go.
link |
00:32:05.680
I think this already exists.
link |
00:32:07.680
I think outside the Earth, there could be a superhighway, a laser highway of laser porting with billions of souls of aliens zapping their way across the galaxy.
link |
00:32:20.680
Now, let me ask you a question.
link |
00:32:22.680
Are we smart enough to determine whether such a thing exists or not?
link |
00:32:27.680
No.
link |
00:32:28.680
This could exist right outside the orbit of the planet Earth, and we're too stupid in our technology to even prove it or disprove it.
link |
00:32:38.680
We would need the aliens on this laser superhighway to help us out, to send us a human interpretable signal.
link |
00:32:50.680
I mean, it ultimately boils down to the language of communication, but that's an exciting possibility that actually the sky is filled.
link |
00:32:57.680
The aliens could already be here, and we're just so oblivious that we're too stupid to know it.
link |
00:33:04.680
See, they don't have to be an alien form with little green men.
link |
00:33:09.680
They could be in any form they want, in an avatar of their creation.
link |
00:33:12.680
Well, in fact, they could very well be.
link |
00:33:15.680
They could even look like us.
link |
00:33:16.680
Exactly.
link |
00:33:17.680
And we'd never know.
link |
00:33:18.680
One of us could be an alien.
link |
00:33:20.680
You know, in a zoo, did you know that we sometimes have zookeepers that imitate animals?
link |
00:33:25.680
We create a fake animal, and we put it in so that the animal is not afraid of this fake animal.
link |
00:33:32.680
And of course, these animals brains, their brain is about as big as a walnut.
link |
00:33:36.680
They accept these dummies as if they were real.
link |
00:33:40.680
So an alien civilization in outer space would say, oh yeah, human brains are so tiny.
link |
00:33:45.680
We could put a dummy on their world, an avatar, and they'd never know it.
link |
00:33:50.680
That would be an entertaining thing to watch from the alien perspective.
link |
00:33:54.680
So you kind of implied that with the digital form of our being, but also biologically.
link |
00:34:01.680
Do you think one day technology will allow individual human beings to become immortal,
link |
00:34:06.680
besides just through the ability to digitize our essence?
link |
00:34:10.680
Yeah, I think that artificial intelligence will give us the key to genetic immortality.
link |
00:34:16.680
You see, in the coming decades, everyone's going to have their gene sequence.
link |
00:34:20.680
We'll have billions of genomes of old people, billions of genomes of young people.
link |
00:34:26.680
And what are we going to do with it?
link |
00:34:27.680
We're going to run it through an AI machine, which has pattern recognition, to look for the age genes.
link |
00:34:34.680
In other words, the fountain of youth that emperors, kings, and queens lusted over,
link |
00:34:41.680
the fountain of youth will be found by artificial intelligence.
link |
00:34:45.680
Artificial intelligence will identify where these age genes are located.
link |
00:34:51.680
First of all, what is aging?
link |
00:34:53.680
We now know what aging is.
link |
00:34:55.680
Aging is the buildup of errors.
link |
00:34:59.680
That's all aging is, the buildup of genetic errors.
link |
00:35:03.680
This means that cells eventually become slower, sluggish, and they go into senescence, and they die.
link |
00:35:09.680
In fact, that's why we die.
link |
00:35:13.680
We die because of the buildup of mistakes in our genome, in our cellular activity.
link |
00:35:20.680
But you see, in the future, we'll be able to fix those genes with CRISPR type technologies, and perhaps even live forever.
link |
00:35:26.680
So let me ask you a question.
link |
00:35:28.680
Where does aging take place in a car?
link |
00:35:31.680
Given a car, where does aging take place?
link |
00:35:34.680
Well, it's obvious, the engine, right?
link |
00:35:36.680
A, that's where you have a lot of moving parts.
link |
00:35:39.680
B, that's where you have combustion.
link |
00:35:41.680
Well, where in the cell do we have combustion?
link |
00:35:46.680
The mitochondria.
link |
00:35:48.680
We now know where aging takes place.
link |
00:35:51.680
And if we cure many of the mistakes that build up in the mitochondria of the cell, we could become immortal.
link |
00:35:58.680
Let me ask you, if you yourself could become immortal, would you?
link |
00:36:05.680
Damn straight.
link |
00:36:08.680
No, I think about it for a while, because of course, it depends on how you become immortal.
link |
00:36:14.680
You know, there's a famous myth of Tithonus.
link |
00:36:17.680
It turns out that years ago, in the Greeks mythology, there was the saga of Tithonus and Aurora.
link |
00:36:24.680
Aurora was the goddess of the dawn, and she fell in love with a mortal, a human called Tithonus.
link |
00:36:31.680
And so Aurora begged, begged Zeus to grant her the gift of immortality to give to her lover.
link |
00:36:41.680
So Zeus took pity on Aurora and made Tithonus immortal.
link |
00:36:46.680
But you see, Aurora made a mistake, a huge mistake.
link |
00:36:51.680
She asked for immortality, but she forgot to ask for eternal youth.
link |
00:36:57.680
So poor Tithonus got older and older and older every year decrepit, a bag of bones, but he could never die, never die.
link |
00:37:08.680
Quality of life is important.
link |
00:37:10.680
So I think immortality is a great idea, as long as you also have immortal youth as well.
link |
00:37:17.680
Now, I personally believe, and I cannot prove this, but I personally believe that our grandkids may have the option of reaching the age of 30 and then stopping.
link |
00:37:26.680
They may like being age 30, because you have wisdom, you have all the benefits of age and maturity, and you still live forever with a healthy body.
link |
00:37:38.680
Our descendants may like being 30 for several centuries.
link |
00:37:42.680
Is there an aspect of human existence that is meaningful only because we're mortal?
link |
00:37:48.680
Well, every waking moment, we don't think about it this way, but every waking moment, actually, we are aware of our death and our mortality.
link |
00:37:59.680
Think about it for a moment.
link |
00:38:00.680
When you go to college, you realize that you are in a period of time where soon you will reach middle age and have a career.
link |
00:38:09.680
And after that, you'll retire and then you'll die.
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00:38:12.680
And so even as a youth, even as a child, without even thinking about it, you are aware of your own death, because it sets limits to your lifespan.
link |
00:38:23.680
I got to graduate from high school.
link |
00:38:25.680
I got to graduate from college.
link |
00:38:27.680
Why?
link |
00:38:28.680
Because you're going to die, because unless you graduate from high school, unless you graduate from college, you're not going to enter old age with enough money to retire and then die.
link |
00:38:38.680
And so, yeah, people think about it unconsciously because it affects every aspect of your being.
link |
00:38:46.680
The fact that you go to high school, college, get married, have kids, there's a clock, a clock ticking even without your permission.
link |
00:38:55.680
It gives a sense of urgency.
link |
00:38:57.680
Do you, do you yourself, I mean, there's so much excitement and passion in the way you talk about physics and the way you talk about technology in the future.
link |
00:39:07.680
Do you yourself meditate on your own mortality?
link |
00:39:10.680
Do you think about this clock that's ticking?
link |
00:39:13.680
Well, I try not to, because it then begins to affect your behavior.
link |
00:39:18.680
You begin to alter your behavior to match your expectation of when you're going to die.
link |
00:39:25.680
So let's talk about youth and then let's talk about death.
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00:39:29.680
Okay. When I interview scientists on radio, I often ask them, what made the difference?
link |
00:39:37.680
How old were you? What changed your life?
link |
00:39:41.680
And they always say more or less the same thing.
link |
00:39:43.680
No, these are Nobel Prize winners, directors of major laboratories, very distinguished scientists.
link |
00:39:48.680
They always say, when I was 10, when I was 10, something happened.
link |
00:39:54.680
It was a visit to the planetarium. It was a telescope for Stephen Weinberg, winner of the Nobel Prize.
link |
00:40:01.680
It was the chemistry kit for Heinz Pegels.
link |
00:40:04.680
It was a visit to the planetarium for Isidore Robbie.
link |
00:40:07.680
It was a book. What the planets for Albert Einstein?
link |
00:40:11.680
It was a compass.
link |
00:40:13.680
Something happened, which gives them this existential shock.
link |
00:40:17.680
Because you see, before the age of 10, everything is mommy and daddy, mommy and dad.
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00:40:21.680
That's your universe, mommy and daddy.
link |
00:40:24.680
Around the age of 10, you begin to wonder what's beyond mommy and daddy.
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00:40:29.680
And that's when you have this epiphany.
link |
00:40:32.680
When you realize, oh my God, there's a universe out there, a universe of discovery.
link |
00:40:39.680
And that sensation stays with you for the rest of your life.
link |
00:40:44.680
You still remember that shock that you felt gazing at the universe.
link |
00:40:50.680
And then you hit the greatest destroyer of scientists known to science.
link |
00:40:56.680
The greatest destroyer of scientists known to science is junior high school.
link |
00:41:03.680
When you hit junior high school, folks, it's all over.
link |
00:41:08.680
It's all over.
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00:41:10.680
Because in junior high school, people say, hey, stupid.
link |
00:41:14.680
I mean, you like that nerdy stuff.
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00:41:17.680
And your friends shun you. All of a sudden, people think you're a weirdo.
link |
00:41:22.680
And science is made boring.
link |
00:41:24.680
You know, Richard Feynman, the Nobel Prize winner, when he was a child, his father would take him into the forest.
link |
00:41:31.680
And the father would teach him everything about birds.
link |
00:41:34.680
Why do they shape the way they are?
link |
00:41:36.680
Their wings, the coloration, the shape of their beak, everything about birds.
link |
00:41:42.680
So one day, a bully comes up to the future Nobel Prize winner and says, hey, Dick, what's the name of that bird over there?
link |
00:41:50.680
Well, he didn't know.
link |
00:41:52.680
He knew everything about that bird, except its name.
link |
00:41:58.680
So he said, I don't know.
link |
00:42:00.680
And then the bully said, what's the matter, Dick, you stupid or something?
link |
00:42:04.680
And then in that instant, he got it.
link |
00:42:08.680
He got it.
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00:42:09.680
He realized that for most people, science is giving names to birds.
link |
00:42:15.680
That's what science is.
link |
00:42:17.680
You know, lots of names of obscure things.
link |
00:42:19.680
Hey, people say, you're smart.
link |
00:42:21.680
You're smart.
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00:42:22.680
You know all the names of the dinosaurs.
link |
00:42:24.680
You know all the names of the plants.
link |
00:42:26.680
No, that's not science at all.
link |
00:42:29.680
Science is about principles, concepts, physical pictures.
link |
00:42:36.680
That's what science is all about.
link |
00:42:38.680
My favorite quote from Einstein is that unless you can explain the theory to a child, the theory is probably worthless.
link |
00:42:47.680
Meaning that all great theories are not big words.
link |
00:42:52.680
All great theories are simple concepts, principles, basic physical pictures.
link |
00:42:59.680
Relativity is all about clocks, meter sticks, rocket ships and locomotives.
link |
00:43:06.680
Newton's laws of gravity are all about balls and spinning wheels and things like that.
link |
00:43:12.680
That's what physics and science is all about, not memorizing things.
link |
00:43:17.680
And that stays with you for the rest of your life.
link |
00:43:20.680
So even in old age, I've noticed that these scientists, when they sit back, they still remember.
link |
00:43:27.680
They still remember that flush, that flush of excitement they felt with that first telescope.
link |
00:43:34.680
That first moment when they encountered the universe.
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00:43:38.680
That keeps them going. That keeps them going.
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00:43:42.680
By the way, I should point out that when I was eight, something happened to me as well.
link |
00:43:48.680
When I was eight years old, it was in all the papers that a great scientist had just died.
link |
00:43:56.680
And they put a picture of his desk on the front page.
link |
00:44:00.680
That's it. Just a simple picture of the front page of the newspapers of his desk.
link |
00:44:05.680
That desk had a book on it, which was opened.
link |
00:44:08.680
And the caption said, more or less, this is the unfinished manuscript from the greatest scientists of our time.
link |
00:44:16.680
So I said to myself, well, why couldn't you finish it?
link |
00:44:21.680
What's so hard that you can't finish it if you're a great scientist?
link |
00:44:26.680
It's a homework problem, right? You go home, you solve it, or you ask your mom, why couldn't you solve it?
link |
00:44:33.680
So to me, this was a murder mystery. This was greater than any adventure story.
link |
00:44:37.680
I had to know why the greatest scientists of our time couldn't finish something.
link |
00:44:42.680
And then over the years, I found out the guy had a name, Albert Einstein,
link |
00:44:47.680
and that book was the theory of everything.
link |
00:44:51.680
It was unfinished. Well, today I can read that book.
link |
00:44:55.680
I can see all the dead ends and false starts that he made.
link |
00:44:59.680
And it began to realize that he lost his way because he didn't have a physical picture to guide him on the third try.
link |
00:45:09.680
On the first try, he talked about clocks and lightning bolts and meter sticks,
link |
00:45:15.680
and that gave us special relativity, which gave us the atomic bomb.
link |
00:45:19.680
The second great picture was gravity with balls rolling on curved surfaces,
link |
00:45:26.680
and that gave us the Big Bang, creation of the universe, black holes.
link |
00:45:30.680
On the third try, he missed it. He had no picture at all to guide him.
link |
00:45:37.680
In fact, there's a quote I have where he said, I'm still looking.
link |
00:45:41.680
I'm still looking for that picture. He never found it.
link |
00:45:45.680
Well, today we think that picture is string theory.
link |
00:45:49.680
The string theory can unify gravity and this mysterious thing that Einstein didn't like,
link |
00:45:54.680
which is quantum mechanics, or couldn't quite pin down and make sense of.
link |
00:45:58.680
That's right. Mother Nature has two hands, a left hand and a right hand.
link |
00:46:02.680
The left hand is a theory of the small. The right hand is a theory of the big.
link |
00:46:07.680
The theory of the small is the quantum theory, the theory of atoms and quarks.
link |
00:46:11.680
The theory of the big is relativity, the theory of black holes, big bangs.
link |
00:46:15.680
The problem is the left hand does not talk to the right hand.
link |
00:46:21.680
They hate each other. The left hand is based on discrete particles.
link |
00:46:26.680
The right hand is based on smooth surfaces.
link |
00:46:30.680
How do you put these two things together into a single theory? They hate each other.
link |
00:46:35.680
The greatest minds of our time, the greatest minds of our time,
link |
00:46:39.680
worked on this problem and failed.
link |
00:46:42.680
Today, the only theory that has survived every challenge so far is string theory.
link |
00:46:48.680
That doesn't mean string theory is correct. It could very well be wrong.
link |
00:46:52.680
But right now, it's the only game in town.
link |
00:46:55.680
Some people come up to me and say, professor, I don't believe in string theory.
link |
00:46:59.680
Give me an alternative. And I tell them, there is none. Get used to it.
link |
00:47:06.680
It's the best theory we got. It's the only theory we have.
link |
00:47:10.680
It's the only theory you have. Do you see the strings kind of inspire a view
link |
00:47:19.680
as did atoms and particles and quarks, but especially strings inspire a view of the universe
link |
00:47:25.680
as a kind of information processing system, as a computer of sorts.
link |
00:47:30.680
Do you see the universe in this way?
link |
00:47:33.680
No. Some people think, in fact, the whole universe is a computer of some sort.
link |
00:47:39.680
And they believe that perhaps everything, therefore, is a simulation.
link |
00:47:44.680
I don't think so. I don't think that there is a super video game where we are nothing but puppets dancing on the screen
link |
00:47:52.680
and somebody hit the play button and here we are talking about simulations.
link |
00:47:57.680
Now, even Newtonian mechanics says that the weather, the simple weather is so complicated
link |
00:48:04.680
with trillions upon trillions of atoms that it cannot be simulated in a finite amount of time.
link |
00:48:10.680
In other words, the smallest object which can describe the weather and simulate the weather is the weather itself.
link |
00:48:20.680
The smallest object that can simulate a human is the human itself.
link |
00:48:26.680
And if you add quantum mechanics, it becomes almost impossible to simulate it with a conventional computer.
link |
00:48:34.680
Because quantum mechanics deals with all possible universes, parallel universes, a multiverse of universes.
link |
00:48:41.680
And so the calculation just spirals out of control.
link |
00:48:45.680
Now, at so far, there's only one way where you might be able to argue that the universe is a simulation
link |
00:48:53.680
and this is still being debated by quantum physicists.
link |
00:48:57.680
It turns out that if you throw the encyclopedia into a black hole, the information is not lost.
link |
00:49:03.680
Eventually, it winds up on the surface of the black hole.
link |
00:49:06.680
Now, the surface of the black hole is finite.
link |
00:49:09.680
In fact, you can calculate the maximum amount of information you can store in a black hole.
link |
00:49:14.680
It's a finite number. It's a calculable number, believe it or not.
link |
00:49:18.680
Now, if the universe were made out of black holes, which is the maximum universe you can conceive of,
link |
00:49:23.680
each universe, each black hole has a finite amount of information.
link |
00:49:28.680
Therefore, ergo, the total amount of information in a universe is finite.
link |
00:49:37.680
This is mind boggling.
link |
00:49:39.680
This, I consider mind boggling, that all possible universes are countable
link |
00:49:45.680
and all possible universes can be summarized in a number.
link |
00:49:49.680
A number you can write on a sheet of paper, all possible universes, and it's a finite number.
link |
00:49:54.680
Now, it's huge. It's a number beyond human imagination.
link |
00:49:58.680
It's a number based on what is called a Planck length, but it's a number.
link |
00:50:02.680
If a computer could ever simulate that number, then the universe would be a simulation.
link |
00:50:09.680
Theoretically, because the amount of information is finite, well, there necessarily must be able to exist a computer.
link |
00:50:19.680
From an engineering perspective, it may be impossible to build.
link |
00:50:23.680
Yes, no computer can build a universe capable of simulating the entire universe except the universe itself.
link |
00:50:30.680
That's your intuition, that our universe is very efficient, and so there's no shortcuts.
link |
00:50:37.680
Two reasons why I believe the universe is not a simulation.
link |
00:50:40.680
First, the calculational numbers are just incredible.
link |
00:50:43.680
No finite Turing machine can simulate the universe.
link |
00:50:47.680
And second, why would any super intelligent being simulate humans?
link |
00:50:53.680
If you think about it, most humans are kind of stupid.
link |
00:50:57.680
I mean, we do all sorts of crazy, stupid things, right?
link |
00:51:00.680
And we call it art. We call it humor. We call it human civilization.
link |
00:51:05.680
So why should an advanced civilization go through all that effort just to simulate Saturday Night Live?
link |
00:51:13.680
Well, that's a funny idea, but do you think it's possible that the act of creation cannot anticipate humans?
link |
00:51:21.680
You simply set the initial conditions and set a bunch of physical laws, and just for the fun of it, see what happens.
link |
00:51:27.680
You launch the thing, so you're not necessarily simulating everything.
link |
00:51:31.680
You're not simulating every little bit in the sense that you could predict what's going to happen,
link |
00:51:37.680
but you set the initial conditions, set the laws, and see what kind of fun stuff happens.
link |
00:51:42.680
Well, in some sense, that's how life got started.
link |
00:51:46.680
In the 1950s, Stanley did what is called the Miller experiment.
link |
00:51:51.680
He put a bunch of hydrogen gas, methane, toxic gases with liquid and a spark
link |
00:51:59.680
in a small glass beaker, and then he just walked away for a few weeks,
link |
00:52:04.680
came back a few weeks later and bingo! Out of nothing and chaos came amino acids.
link |
00:52:12.680
If he had lifted there for a few years, he might have gotten protein, protein molecules for free.
link |
00:52:18.680
That's probably how life got started as an accident.
link |
00:52:23.680
And if he had lifted there for perhaps a few million years, DNA might have formed in that beaker.
link |
00:52:30.680
And so we think that, yeah, DNA, life, all that could have been an accident if you wait long enough.
link |
00:52:38.680
And remember, our universe is roughly 13.8 billion years old.
link |
00:52:42.680
That's plenty of time for lots of random things to happen, including life itself.
link |
00:52:50.680
Yeah, we could be just a beautiful little random moment,
link |
00:52:56.680
and there could be nearly an infinite number of those throughout the history of the universe, many creatures like us.
link |
00:53:04.680
We perhaps are not the epitome of what the universe is created for.
link |
00:53:07.680
Thank God. Let's hope not. Just look around.
link |
00:53:12.680
Look to your left, look to your right.
link |
00:53:15.680
When do you think the first human will step foot on Mars?
link |
00:53:19.680
I think it's a good chance in the 2030s that we will be on Mars.
link |
00:53:24.680
In fact, there's no physics reason why we can't do it.
link |
00:53:28.680
It's an engineering problem.
link |
00:53:30.680
It's a very difficult and dangerous engineering problem, but it is an engineering problem.
link |
00:53:35.680
And in my book, Future of Humanity, I even speculate beyond that that by the end of the century,
link |
00:53:42.680
we'll probably have the first starships.
link |
00:53:44.680
The first starships will not look like the Enterprise at all.
link |
00:53:48.680
There will probably be small computer ships that are fired by laser beams with parachutes.
link |
00:53:54.680
And like what Stephen Hawking advocated, the Breakthrough Starshot program could send ships to the nearby stars
link |
00:54:02.680
traveling at 20% the speed of light, reaching Alpha Centauri in about 20 years time.
link |
00:54:08.680
Beyond that, we should have fusion power.
link |
00:54:12.680
Fusion power is, in some sense, one of the ultimate sources of energy, but it's unstable.
link |
00:54:19.680
And we don't have fusion power today.
link |
00:54:22.680
Now, why is that?
link |
00:54:23.680
First of all, stars form almost for free.
link |
00:54:25.680
You get a bunch of gas large enough, it becomes a star.
link |
00:54:29.680
I mean, you don't even have to do anything to it, and it becomes a star.
link |
00:54:33.680
Why is fusion so difficult to put on the Earth?
link |
00:54:37.680
Because in outer space, stars are monopoles.
link |
00:54:39.680
They are single poles that are spherically symmetric,
link |
00:54:44.680
and it's very easy to get spherically symmetric configurations of gas to compress into a star.
link |
00:54:50.680
They just happen naturally all by itself.
link |
00:54:53.680
The problem is magnetism is bipolar.
link |
00:54:56.680
You have a North Pole and a South Pole.
link |
00:54:58.680
And it's like trying to squeeze a long balloon.
link |
00:55:01.680
Take a long balloon and try to squeeze it.
link |
00:55:04.680
You squeeze one side, it bulges out the other side.
link |
00:55:07.680
Well, that's the problem with fusion machines.
link |
00:55:10.680
We use magnetism with a North Pole and a South Pole to squeeze gas,
link |
00:55:14.680
and all sorts of anomalies and horrible configurations can take place,
link |
00:55:19.680
because we're not squeezing something uniformly like in a star.
link |
00:55:24.680
Stars, in some sense, are for free.
link |
00:55:26.680
Fusion on the Earth is very difficult.
link |
00:55:30.680
But I think it's inevitable, and it'll eventually give us unlimited power from seawater.
link |
00:55:36.680
So seawater will be the ultimate source of energy for the planet Earth.
link |
00:55:40.680
Why? What's the intuition there?
link |
00:55:42.680
Because we'll extract hydrogen from seawater, burn hydrogen in the fusion reactor,
link |
00:55:47.680
to give us unlimited energy without the meltdown, without the nuclear waste.
link |
00:55:53.680
Why do we have meltdowns?
link |
00:55:55.680
We have meltdowns because in the fusion reactors, every time you split the uranium atom, you get nuclear waste.
link |
00:56:00.680
Tons of it, 30 tons of nuclear waste per reactor per year.
link |
00:56:06.680
And it's hot. It's hot for thousands, millions of years.
link |
00:56:10.680
That's why we have meltdowns.
link |
00:56:12.680
But you see, the waste product of a fusion reactor is helium gas.
link |
00:56:16.680
Helium gas is actually commercially valuable.
link |
00:56:19.680
You can make money selling helium gas.
link |
00:56:21.680
And so the waste product of a fusion reactor is helium,
link |
00:56:25.680
not nuclear waste that we find in a commercial fusion plant.
link |
00:56:30.680
And that controlling, mastering and controlling fusion allows us to
link |
00:56:35.680
convert us into a type one, I guess, civilization, right?
link |
00:56:39.680
Yeah, probably the backbone of a type one civilization will be fusion power.
link |
00:56:45.680
We, by the way, are type zero.
link |
00:56:47.680
We don't even rate on this scale.
link |
00:56:49.680
We get energy from dead plants, for God's sake, oil and coal.
link |
00:56:53.680
We are about 100 years from being type one, you know, get a calculator.
link |
00:56:57.680
In fact, Carl Sagan calculated that we are about 0.7, fairly close to a 1.0.
link |
00:57:05.680
For example, what is the internet?
link |
00:57:08.680
The internet is the beginning of the first type one technology to enter into our century.
link |
00:57:13.680
The first planetary technology is the internet.
link |
00:57:16.680
What is the language of type one?
link |
00:57:19.680
The internet already, English and Mandarin Chinese are the most dominant languages on the internet.
link |
00:57:26.680
And what about the culture?
link |
00:57:28.680
We're seeing a type one sports, soccer, the Olympics, a type one music, youth culture, rock and roll, rap music,
link |
00:57:38.680
type one fashion, Gucci, Chanel, a type one economy, the European Union, NAFTA, what have you.
link |
00:57:45.680
So we're beginning to see the beginnings of a type one culture and a type one civilization.
link |
00:57:51.680
And inevitably, it will spread beyond this planet.
link |
00:57:55.680
You talked about sending a 20% the speed of light on a chip into Alpha Centauri.
link |
00:58:04.680
But in a slightly nearer term, what do you think about the idea when we still have to send biological or biological bodies,
link |
00:58:12.680
the colonization of planets, colonization of Mars?
link |
00:58:16.680
Do you see us becoming a two planet species ever or anytime soon?
link |
00:58:22.680
Well, just remember the dinosaurs did not have a space program.
link |
00:58:27.680
And that's why they're not here today.
link |
00:58:30.680
How come there are no dinosaurs in this room today?
link |
00:58:32.680
Because they didn't have a space program.
link |
00:58:35.680
We do have a space program, which means that we have an insurance policy.
link |
00:58:40.680
Now, I don't think we should bankrupt the earth or deplete the earth to go to Mars.
link |
00:58:44.680
That's too expensive and not practical.
link |
00:58:46.680
But we need a settlement, a settlement on Mars in case something bad happens to the planet Earth.
link |
00:58:53.680
And that means we have to terraform Mars.
link |
00:58:55.680
Now, to terraform Mars, if we could raise the temperature of Mars by six degrees, six degrees,
link |
00:59:02.680
then the polar ice caps begin to melt, releasing water vapor.
link |
00:59:08.680
Water vapor is the greenhouse gas.
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It causes even more melting of the ice caps.
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So it becomes a self fulfilling prophecy.
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It feeds on itself.
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It becomes autocatalytic.
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And so once you hit six degrees, rising of the temperature on Mars by six degrees, it takes off.
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And we melt the polar ice caps and liquid water once again flows in the rivers, the canals, the channels, and the oceans of Mars.
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Mars once had an ocean, we think, about the size of the United States.
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And so that is a possibility.
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Now, how do we get there?
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How do we raise the temperature of Mars by six degrees?
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Elon Musk would like to detonate hydrogen warheads on the polar ice caps.
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Well, I'm not sure about that because we don't know that much about the effects of detonating hydrogen warheads to melt the polar ice caps.
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And who wants to glow in the dark at night reading the newspaper?
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So I think there are other ways to do it with solar satellites.
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You can have satellites orbiting Mars that beam sunlight onto the polar ice caps, melting the polar ice caps.
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Mars has plenty of water.
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It's just frozen.
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I think you paint an inspiring and a wonderful picture of the future.
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I think you've inspired and educated thousands, if not millions.
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Michio, it's been an honor. Thank you so much for talking today.
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My pleasure.