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Richard Dawkins: Evolution, Intelligence, Simulation, and Memes | Lex Fridman Podcast #87


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The following is a conversation with Richard Dawkins, an evolutionary biologist and author
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of The Selfish Gene, The Blind Watchmaker, The God Delusion, The Magic of Reality,
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and The Greatest Show of Earth and His Latest Allgrowing God. He is the originator and popularizer
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of a lot of fascinating ideas in evolutionary biology and science in general, including,
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funny enough, the introduction of the word meme in his 1976 book, The Selfish Gene,
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which, in the context of a gene centered view of evolution, is an exceptionally powerful idea.
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He's outspoken, bold, and often fearless in the defense of science and reason,
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and in this way, is one of the most influential thinkers of our time.
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This conversation was recorded before the outbreak of the pandemic for everyone feeling the medical,
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psychological, and financial burden of this crisis, I'm sending love your way. Stay strong,
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we're in this together, we'll beat this thing. This is the Artificial Intelligence Podcast.
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If you enjoy it, subscribe on YouTube, review it with 5 stars on Apple Podcast,
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support it on Patreon, or simply connect with me on Twitter at Lex Freedman, spelled F R I D M A N.
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As usual, I'll do a few minutes of ads now and never any ads in the middle
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an organization that is helping to advance robotics and STEM education for young people
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around the world. And now here's my conversation with Richard Dawkins. Do you think there's
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intelligent life out there in the universe? Well, if we accept there's intelligent life here and
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we accept that the number of planets in the universe is gigantic. I mean, 10 to 22 stars has
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been estimated. It seems to me highly likely that there is not only life in the universe
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elsewhere, but also intelligent life. If you deny that, then you're committed to the view
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that the things that happened on this planet are staggeringly improbable. I mean, ludicrously,
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off the charts improbable. And I don't think it's that improbable. Certainly the origin of life
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itself. There are really two steps, the origin of life, which is probably fairly improbable,
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and then the subsequent evolution to intelligent life, which is also fairly improbable.
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So the juxtaposition of those two, you could say, is pretty improbable, but not 10 to the 22
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improbable. It's an interesting question, maybe you're coming onto it, how we would recognize
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intelligence from outer space if we encountered it. The most likely way we would come across them
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would be by radio. It's highly unlikely they'd ever visit us. But it's not it's not that unlikely
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that we would pick up radio signals. And then we would have to have some means of deciding that
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it was intelligent. People have people involved in the SETI program discuss how they would do it
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and things like prime numbers would be an obvious thing to an obvious way for them to broadcast
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to say we are intelligent, we are here. I suspect it probably would be obvious, actually.
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That's interesting, prime numbers. So the mathematical patterns, it's an open question
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whether mathematics is the same for us as it would be for aliens. I suppose we could assume
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that ultimately if we're governed by the same laws of physics, and we should be governed by
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the same laws of mathematics. I think so. I suspect that they will have Pythagoras theorem,
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etc. I don't think that their mathematics will be that different.
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Do you think evolution would also be a force on the alien planets as well?
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I stuck my neck out and said that if we do, if ever that we do discover life elsewhere,
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it will be Darwinian life in the sense that it will work by some kind of natural selection,
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the non random survival of randomly generated codes. It doesn't mean that the genetic would
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have to have some kind of genetics, but it doesn't have to be DNA genetics, probably wouldn't be
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actually. But I think it would have to be Darwinian, yes.
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So some kind of selection process?
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Yes. In the general sense, it will be Darwinian.
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So let me ask kind of an artificial intelligence engineering question. So you've been an outspoken
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critic of I guess what could be called intelligent design, which is an attempt to describe the
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creation of a human mind, a body by some religious folks that religious folks use to describe.
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So broadly speaking, evolution is, as far as I know, again, you can correct me,
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is the only scientific theory we have for the development of intelligent life.
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Like there's no alternative theory as far as I understand.
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None has ever been suggested, and I suspect it never will be.
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Well, of course, whenever somebody says that 100 years later.
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I know. It's a risk. But what a bet. I mean, I'm pretty confident.
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But it would look, sorry, yes, it would probably look very similar, but it's almost like
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Einstein's general relativity versus Newtonian physics. It'll be maybe an alteration of the
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theory or something like that, but it won't be fundamentally different. But okay.
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So now for the past 70 years, even before the AI community has been trying to engineer
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intelligence in a sense to do what intelligent design says was done here on Earth.
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What's your intuition? Do you think it's possible to build intelligence, to build computers that
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are intelligent, or do we need to do something like the evolutionary process? There's no
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shortcuts here. That's an interesting question. I'm committed to the belief that is ultimately
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possible because I think there's nothing nonphysical in our brains. I think our brains work by the
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laws of physics. And so it must, in principle, be possible to replicate that. In practice,
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though, it might be very difficult. And as you suggest, it might, it may be the only way to do
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it is by something like an evolutionary process. I'd be surprised. I suspect that it will come.
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But it's certainly been slower incoming than some of the early pioneers thought.
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Thought it would be, yeah. But in your sense, is the evolutionary process efficient?
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So you can see it as exceptionally wasteful in one perspective. But at the same time,
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maybe that is the only path. It's a paradox, isn't it? I mean, on the one side, it is deplorably
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wasteful. It's fundamentally based on waste. On the other hand, it does produce magnificent
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results. I mean, the design of a soaring bird, an albatross, a vulture, an eagle is superb.
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An engineer would be proud to have done it. On the other hand, an engineer would not be proud
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to have done some of the other things that evolution has served up. Some of the sort of
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botched jobs that you can easily understand because of their historical origins, but they
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don't look well designed. Do you have examples of bad design? My favorite example is the current
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laryngeal nerve. I've used this many times. This is a nerve. It's one of the cranial nerves,
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which goes from the brain. And the end organ that it supplies is the voice box, the larynx.
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But it doesn't go straight to the larynx. It goes right into the chest and then loops around
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an artery in the chest and then comes straight back up again to the larynx.
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And I've assisted in the dissection of a giraffe's neck, which happened to have died in a zoo.
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And we saw the recurrent laryngeal nerve going, whizzing straight past the larynx,
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within an inch of the larynx, down into the chest and then back up again,
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which is a detour of many feet, very, very inefficient. The reason is historical.
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The ancestors are fish ancestors, the ancestors of all mammals and fish. The most direct
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pathway of that, of the equivalent of that nerve, there wasn't a larynx in those days,
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but it innovated one of the gills. The most direct pathway was behind that artery. And then when the
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mammal, when the tetrapods, when the land vertebra started evolving and then the neck started to
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stretch, the marginal cost of changing the embryological design to jump that nerve over the
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artery was too great or rather was, was each step of the way was a very small cost, but the
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marginal, but the cost of actually jumping it over would have been very large. As the neck
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lengthened, it was a negligible change to just increase the length, the length of the detour,
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tiny bit, a tiny bit, a tiny bit, each millimeter at a time didn't make any difference. And so,
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but finally, when you get to a giraffe, it's a huge detour and no doubt is very inefficient. Now,
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that's bad design. Any engineer would reject that piece of design. It's ridiculous. And there are
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quite a number of examples, as you'd expect. It's not surprising that we find examples of that sort.
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In a way, what's surprising is there aren't more of them. In a way, what's surprising
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is that the design of living things is so good. So natural selection manages to achieve excellent
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results partly by tinkering, partly by coming along and cleaning up initial mistakes. And as
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it were, making the best of a bad job. That's really interesting. I mean, it is surprising and
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beautiful. And it's a mystery from an engineering perspective that so many things are well designed.
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I suppose the thing we're forgetting is how many generations have to die for that.
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That's the inefficiency of it. Yes, that's the horrible wastefulness of it.
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So yeah, we marvel at the final product. But yeah, the process is painful.
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Elon Musk describes human beings as potentially what he calls the biological
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bootloader for artificial intelligence or artificial general intelligence as used as the
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term is kind of like superintelligence. Do you see superhuman level intelligence as potentially
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the next step in the evolutionary process? Yes, I think that if superhuman intelligence is to
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be found, it will be artificial. I don't have any hope that we ourselves, our brains will go on
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getting larger in ordinary biological evolution. I think that's probably come to an end. It is
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the dominant trend or one of the dominant trends in our fossil history for the last two or three
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million years. Brain size? Brain size, yes. So it's been swelling rather dramatically over the
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last two or three million years. That is unlikely to continue. The only way that happens is because
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natural selection favors those individuals with the biggest brains. And that's not happening anymore.
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Right. So in general, humans, the selection pressures are not... I mean, are they active in
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any form? Well, in order for them to be active, it would be necessary that the most... Let's
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call it intelligence. Not that intelligence is simply correlated with brain size, but let's
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talk about intelligence. In order for that to evolve, it's necessary that the most intelligent
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beings have the most... Individuals have the most children. And so intelligence may buy you money,
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it may buy you worldly success, it may buy you a nice house and a nice car and things like that,
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if you successful career. It may buy you the admiration of your fellow people, but it doesn't
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increase the number of offspring that you have. It doesn't increase your genetic
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legacy to the next generation. On the other hand, artificial intelligence, I mean, computers and
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technology generally is evolving by a non genetic means, by leaps and bounds, of course.
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And so what do you think... I don't know if you're familiar, there's a company called Neuralink,
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but there's a general effort of brain computer interfaces, which is to try to build a connection
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between the computer and the brain, to send signals both directions. And the long term dream
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there is to do exactly that, which is expand... I guess expand the size of the brain, expand
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the capabilities of the brain. Do you see this as interesting? Do you see this as a promising
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possible technology, or is the interface you see in the computer and the brain, like the brain is
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this wet, messy thing that's just impossible to interface with? Well, of course, it's interesting,
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whether it's promising, I'm really not qualified to say what I do find puzzling is that the brain
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being as small as it is compared to a computer and the individual components being as slow as
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they are compared to our electronic components, it is astonishing what it can do. I mean, imagine
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building a computer that fits into the size of a human skull. And with the equivalent of
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transistors or integrated circuits, which work as slowly as neurons do, it's something mysterious
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about that. Something must be going on that we don't understand. So I've just talked to Roger
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Penrose, I'm not sure if you're familiar with this work. He also describes this kind of mystery in
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the mind, in the brain, that he sees a materialist. So there's no sort of mystical thing going on,
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but there's so much about the material of the brain that we don't understand.
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And that might be quantum mechanical and nature and so on. So there are the ideas about consciousness.
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Have you ever thought about, do you ever think about ideas of consciousness or a little bit
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more about the mystery of intelligence and consciousness that seems to pop up just like
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you're saying from our brain? I agree with Roger Penrose that there is a mystery there.
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He's one of the world's greatest physicists. I can't possibly argue with his...
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But nobody knows anything about consciousness. And in fact, if we talk about religion and so on,
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the mystery of consciousness is so awe inspiring and we know so little about it
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that the leap to religious or mystical explanations is too easy to make.
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I think that it's just an act of cowardice to leap to religious explanations and Roger
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doesn't do that, of course. But I accept that there may be something that we don't understand about it.
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So correct me if I'm wrong, but in your book Selfish Gene, the gene centered view of evolution
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allows us to think of the physical organisms as just the medium through which the software
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of our genetics and the ideas sort of propagate. So maybe can we start just with the basics?
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What in this context does the word meme mean? It would mean the cultural equivalent of a
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gene, cultural equivalent in the sense of that which plays the same role as the gene in the
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transmission of culture and the transmission of ideas in the broadest sense. And it's only a useful
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word if there's something Darwinian going on. Obviously culture is transmitted, but is there
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anything Darwinian going on? And if there is, that means there has to be something like a gene,
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which becomes more numerous or less numerous in the population. So it can replicate?
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It can replicate. Well, it clearly does replicate. There's no question about that.
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The question is, does it replicate in a sort of differential way in a Darwinian fashion?
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Could you say that certain ideas propagate because they're successful in the meme pool?
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In a sort of trivial sense you can. Would you wish to say though that in the same way as a
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animal body is modified, adapted to serve as a machine for propagating genes?
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Is it also a machine for propagating memes? Could you actually say that something about the way a
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human is, is modified, adapted for the function of meme propagation? That's such a fascinating
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possibility if that's true. It's not just about the genes which seem somehow more
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comprehensible. It's like these things of biology. The idea that culture or maybe ideas,
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you can really broadly define it, operates under these mechanisms. Even morphology, even anatomy
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does evolve by memetic means. I mean, things like hairstyles, styles of makeup, circumcision,
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these things are actual changes in the body form, which are non genetic and which get
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passed on from generation to generation or sideways like a virus in a quasi genetic way.
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But the moment you start drifting away from the physical, it becomes interesting because the
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space of ideas, ideologies, political systems. Of course, yes. So what's in your, what's your
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sense? Are memes a metaphor more or are they really, is there something fundamental, almost
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physical presence of memes? Well, I think they're a bit more than a metaphor. And I think that,
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and I mentioned that physical bodily characteristics, which are a bit trivial in a way, but
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when things like the propagation of religious ideas, both longitudinally down generations
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and transversely as in a sort of epidemiology of ideas, when a charismatic preacher
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converts people, that resembles viral transmission. Whereas the longitude
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nor transmission from grandparent to parent to child, et cetera, is more like conventional
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genetic transmission. That's such a beautiful, especially in the modern day idea. Do you think
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about this implication in social networks where the propagation of ideas, the viral propagation
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of ideas, enhance the new use of the word meme to describe? Well, the internet, of course, provides
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extremely rapid method of transmission. And before, when I first coined the word,
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the internet didn't exist. And so I was thinking that in terms of books, newspapers,
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broader radio, television, that kind of thing, now an idea can just leap around the world
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in all directions instantly. And so the internet provides a step change in the facility of propagation
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of memes. How does that make you feel? Isn't it fascinating that sort of ideas, it's like you
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have Galapagos Islands or something, is the 70s. And the internet allows all these species to just
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like globalize. And in a matter of seconds, you can spread a message to millions of people.
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And these ideas, these memes can breed, can evolve, can mutate, and there's a selection,
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and there's like different, I guess, groups that have all like there's a dynamics that's fascinating
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here. Do you think? Yes. Basically, do you think your work in this direction, while fundamentally
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was focused on life on earth, do you think it should continue like to be taken further?
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I do think it would probably be a good idea to think in a Darwinian way about this sort of thing.
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We can mentionly think of the transmission of ideas from an evolutionary context as being
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limited to, I mean, in our ancestors, people living in villages, living in small bands where
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everybody knew each other and ideas could propagate within the village and they might hop
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to a neighboring village occasionally and maybe even to a neighboring continent eventually.
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And that was a slow process. Nowadays, villages are international. I mean, you have people,
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it's been called echo chambers where people are in a sort of internet village where the other
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members of the village may be geographically distributed all over the world, but they just
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happen to be interested in the same things, use the same terminology, the same jargon,
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have the same enthusiasm. So people like the Flat Earth Society, they don't all live in one place,
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they find each other and they talk the same language to each other, they talk the same
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nonsense to each other. But so this is a kind of distributed version of the primitive idea of
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people living in villages and propagating their ideas in a local way.
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Is there Darwinist parallel here? So is there an evolutionary purpose of villages or is that just
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a... Oh, I wouldn't use a word like evolutionary purpose in that case, but villages or villages
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will be something that just emerged. That's the way people happen to live. And in just the same
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kind of way, the Flat Earth Society, societies of ideas emerge in the same kind of way in this
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digital space. Yes, yes. Is there something interesting to say about the... I guess,
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from a perspective of Darwin, could we fully interpret the dynamics of social interaction and
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these social networks? Or are some much more complicated things need to be developed? What's
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your sense? Well, a Darwinian selection idea would involve investigating which ideas spread
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and which don't. So some ideas don't have the ability to spread. I mean, the Flat Earth,
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the Flat Earthism, there are a few people believing it, but it's not going to spread
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because it's obvious nonsense. But other ideas, even if they are wrong, can spread because they
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are attractive in some sense. So the spreading and the selection in the Darwinian context
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is just to be attractive in some sense. We don't have to define... It doesn't have to be
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attractive in the way that animals attract each other. It could be attractive in some other way.
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Yes. All that matters is all that is needed is that it should spread. And it doesn't have to be
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true to spread. In truth, there's one criterion which might help an idea to spread. But there are
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other criteria which might help it to spread. As you say, attraction in animals is not necessarily
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valuable for survival. The famous peacock's tail doesn't help the peacock to survive. It helps it
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00:23:57.680
to pass on its genes. Similarly, an idea which is actually rubbish but which people don't know is
link |
00:24:04.400
rubbish and think is very attractive will spread in the same way as a peacock's genes spread.
link |
00:24:10.080
There's a small side step. I remember reading somewhere, I think recently, that in some species
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00:24:16.560
of birds, sort of the idea that beauty may have its own purpose and the idea that some
link |
00:24:23.120
birds... I'm being ineliquent here, but there are some aspects of their feathers and so on
link |
00:24:32.160
that serve no evolutionary purpose whatsoever. There's somebody making an argument that there
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00:24:37.600
are some things about beauty that animals do that may be its own purpose. Does that ring a bell
link |
00:24:44.960
for you? It sounds ridiculous. I think it's a rather distorted bell. Darwin, when he coined the
link |
00:24:53.200
phrase sexual selection, didn't feel the need to suggest that what was attractive to females,
link |
00:25:03.600
usually is male attractive females, that what females found attractive had to be useful. He
link |
00:25:08.080
said it didn't have to be useful. It was enough that females found it attractive and so it could
link |
00:25:13.120
be completely useless, probably was completely useless in the conventional sense, but was not
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00:25:17.760
at all useless in the sense of passing on... Darwin didn't call them genes, but in a sense of reproducing.
link |
00:25:24.400
Others, starting with Wallace, the co discoverer of natural selection, didn't like that idea and they
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00:25:31.680
wanted sexually selected characteristics like peacock's tails to be in some sense useful.
link |
00:25:38.400
It's a bit of a stretch to think of a peacock's tail as being useful, but in the sense of survival,
link |
00:25:43.120
but others have run with that idea and have brought it up to date. There are two schools
link |
00:25:50.400
of thought on sexual selection which are still active and about equally supported now. Those
link |
00:25:55.520
who follow Darwin in thinking that it's just enough to say it's attractive and those who follow
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00:25:59.840
Wallace and say that it has to be in some sense useful. Do you fall into one category or the
link |
00:26:10.240
other? No, I'm open minded. I think they both could be correct in different cases.
link |
00:26:16.000
I mean, they've both been made sophisticated in a mathematical sense, more so than when Darwin
link |
00:26:20.400
and Wallace first started talking about it. I'm Russian, I romanticize things, so I prefer the
link |
00:26:26.480
former where the beauty in itself is a powerful attraction, is a powerful force in evolution.
link |
00:26:37.120
On religion, do you think there will ever be a time in our future where almost nobody
link |
00:26:43.200
believes in God or God is not a part of the moral fabric of our society?
link |
00:26:50.400
Yes, I do. I think it may happen after a very long time. I think it may take a long time for
link |
00:26:54.960
that to happen. Do you think ultimately for everybody on earth, religion,
link |
00:27:01.200
other forms of doctrine's ideas could do better job than what religion does?
link |
00:27:07.680
Yes. I mean, following truth. Well, truth is a funny word and reason too.
link |
00:27:17.680
It's a difficult idea now with truth on the internet and fake news and so on.
link |
00:27:28.480
I suppose when you say reason, you mean the very basic sort of
link |
00:27:33.200
inarguable conclusions of science versus which political system is better.
link |
00:27:38.000
Yes, yes. I mean truth about the real world, which is ascertainable by not just by the
link |
00:27:46.640
more rigorous methods of science but by just ordinary sensory observation.
link |
00:27:52.640
So do you think there will ever be a time when we move past it? I guess another way to ask it,
link |
00:27:59.360
are we hopelessly fundamentally tied to religion in the way our society functions?
link |
00:28:09.040
Well, clearly all individuals are not hopelessly tied to it because many individuals don't believe.
link |
00:28:14.960
You could mean something like society needs religion in order to function properly,
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00:28:21.600
something like that. And some people have suggested that.
link |
00:28:23.680
What's your intuition on that?
link |
00:28:25.840
Well, I've read books on it and they're persuasive. I don't think they're that persuasive though.
link |
00:28:33.600
I mean, some people suggested that society needs a sort of figurehead which can be a
link |
00:28:41.520
non existent figurehead in order to function properly. I think there's something rather
link |
00:28:45.520
patronizing about the idea that, well, you and I are intelligent enough not to believe in God,
link |
00:28:51.600
but the plebs need it sort of thing. I think that's patronizing and I'd like to think that
link |
00:28:58.240
that was not the right way to proceed.
link |
00:29:01.120
But at the individual level, do you think there's some value
link |
00:29:04.000
of spirituality? If I think sort of as a scientist, the amount of things we actually
link |
00:29:13.680
know about our universe is a tiny, tiny, tiny percentage of what we could possibly know.
link |
00:29:19.840
So just from everything, even the certainty we have about the laws of physics,
link |
00:29:23.600
it seems to be that there's yet a huge amount to discover.
link |
00:29:27.600
And therefore, we're sitting where 99.999% of things are just still shrouded in mystery. Do
link |
00:29:34.320
you think there's a role in a kind of spiritual view of that, sort of a humbled spiritual?
link |
00:29:39.680
I think it's right to be humble. I think it's right to admit that there's a lot we don't know,
link |
00:29:44.080
a lot that we don't understand, a lot that we still need to work on. We're working on it.
link |
00:29:49.040
What I don't think is that it helps to invoke supernatural explanations.
link |
00:29:54.000
If our current scientific explanations aren't adequate to do the job,
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00:29:59.520
then we need better ones. We need to work more. And of course, the history of science shows just
link |
00:30:04.160
that, that as science goes on, problems get solved one after another. And the science advances,
link |
00:30:10.000
the science gets better. But to invoke a non scientific, non physical explanation is simply
link |
00:30:19.120
to lie down in a cowardly way and say, we can't solve it. So we're going to invoke magic.
link |
00:30:23.120
Don't let's do that. Let's say we need better science. We need more science.
link |
00:30:28.640
It may be that the science will never do it. It may be that we will never actually understand
link |
00:30:32.480
everything. And that's okay. But let's keep working on it.
link |
00:30:39.280
A challenging question there is, do you think science can lead us astray in terms of the
link |
00:30:43.520
humbleness? So there's some aspect of science. Maybe it's the aspect of scientists and not science,
link |
00:30:50.640
but of sort of a mix of ego and confidence that can lead us astray in terms of discovering the,
link |
00:31:01.200
you know, some of the big open questions about the universe.
link |
00:31:05.120
I think that's right. I mean, there are arrogant people in any walk of life and
link |
00:31:09.600
scientists are no exception to that. And so there are arrogant scientists who think we've
link |
00:31:13.520
solved everything. And of course, we haven't. So humility is a proper stance for a scientist.
link |
00:31:18.480
I mean, it's a proper working stance because it encourages further work. But in a way to resort
link |
00:31:26.400
to a supernatural explanation is a kind of arrogance because it's saying, well, we don't
link |
00:31:30.880
understand it scientifically. Therefore, the non scientific religious supernatural explanation
link |
00:31:38.720
must be the right one. That's arrogant. What is what is humble is to say, we don't know.
link |
00:31:42.800
And we need to work further on it. So maybe if I could psychoanalyze you
link |
00:31:48.800
for a second, you have at times been just slightly frustrated with people who have
link |
00:31:55.600
supernatural, you know, have a supernatural. Has that changed over the years? Have you become,
link |
00:32:02.160
like, how do people that kind of have seek supernatural explanations? How do you see
link |
00:32:07.920
those people as human beings? Do you see them as dishonest? Do you see them as
link |
00:32:17.040
sort of ignorant? Do you see them as, I don't know, like, how do you think of?
link |
00:32:23.280
Certainly not dishonest. And I mean, obviously, many of them are perfectly nice people. So I don't
link |
00:32:29.120
sort of despise them in that sense. I think it's often a misunderstanding that
link |
00:32:35.920
that people will jump from the admission that we don't understand something. They will jump
link |
00:32:44.480
straight to what they think of as an alternative explanation, which is the supernatural one,
link |
00:32:48.960
which is not an alternative. It's a non explanation. Instead of jumping to the conclusion that
link |
00:32:55.760
science needs more work, that we need to actually do some better, better science.
link |
00:32:59.840
So I don't have, I mean, personal antipathy towards such people. I just think they're
link |
00:33:09.520
misguided. So what about this really interesting space that I have trouble with? So religion,
link |
00:33:15.520
I have a bit of grasp on, but there's large communities, like you said, Flat Earth community,
link |
00:33:22.640
that I've recently, because I've made a few jokes about it, I saw that there's, I've noticed that
link |
00:33:28.800
there's people that take it quite seriously. So there's this bigger world of conspiracy theorists,
link |
00:33:36.560
which is a kind of, I mean, there's elements of it that are religious as well. But I think
link |
00:33:44.320
they're also scientific. So the basic credo of a conspiracy theorist is to question everything,
link |
00:33:52.880
which is also the credo of a good scientist, I would say. So what do you make of this?
link |
00:33:59.200
Yes. I mean, I think it's probably too easy to say that by labeling something a conspiracy,
link |
00:34:06.800
you therefore dismiss it. I mean, occasionally conspiracies are right. And so we shouldn't
link |
00:34:11.760
dismiss conspiracy theories out of hand. We should examine them on their own merits. Flat
link |
00:34:17.440
Earth is an obvious nonsense. We don't have to examine that much further. But I mean, there may
link |
00:34:23.680
be other conspiracy theories which are actually right. So I've grew up in the Soviet Union. So
link |
00:34:30.960
the space race was very influential for me on both sides of the coin. There's
link |
00:34:36.880
conspiracy theory that we never went to the moon, right? And it's like, I can understand it. And
link |
00:34:45.520
it's very difficult to rigorously scientifically show one way or the other. It's just you have to
link |
00:34:51.120
use some of the human intuition about who would have to lie, who would have to work together.
link |
00:34:55.280
And it's clear that very unlikely, good. Behind that is my general intuition that most people
link |
00:35:02.400
in this world are good. You know, in order to really put together some conspiracy theories,
link |
00:35:07.360
there has to be a large number of people working together and essentially being dishonest.
link |
00:35:13.200
Yes, which is improbable. The sheer number who would have to be in on this conspiracy and
link |
00:35:19.440
the sheer detail, the attention to detail they'd have had to have had and so on.
link |
00:35:23.520
I'd also worry about the motive. And why would anyone want to suggest that it didn't happen?
link |
00:35:29.120
What's the, why is it so hard to believe? I mean, the physics of it, the mathematics of it,
link |
00:35:36.000
the idea of computing orbits and trajectories and things, it all works mathematically.
link |
00:35:42.080
Why wouldn't you believe it? It's a psychology question because there's
link |
00:35:45.600
something really pleasant about, you know, pointing out that the emperor has no clothes when
link |
00:35:52.880
everybody, like, you know, thinking outside the box and coming up with a true answer where
link |
00:35:58.480
everybody else is deluded. There's something, I mean, I have that for science, right?
link |
00:36:02.720
You want to prove the entire scientific community wrong. That's the whole.
link |
00:36:05.840
No, that's right. And of course, historically, lone geniuses have come out right sometimes,
link |
00:36:12.320
but often people who think they're a lone genius much more often turn out not to.
link |
00:36:17.520
So you have to judge each case on its merits. The mere fact that you're a maverick, the mere
link |
00:36:21.920
fact that you're going against the current tide doesn't make you right. You've got to
link |
00:36:27.760
show you're right by looking at the evidence.
link |
00:36:29.760
So because you focus so much on religion and disassemble a lot of ideas there and
link |
00:36:34.400
I just, I was wondering if you have ideas about conspiracy theory groups, because it's such a
link |
00:36:41.760
problem even reaching into presidential politics and so on. It seems like it's a very large
link |
00:36:47.840
communities that believe different kinds of conspiracy theories. Is there some connection
link |
00:36:52.000
there to your thinking on religion?
link |
00:36:55.040
It is curious. It's an obvious, difficult thing. I don't understand why people believe
link |
00:37:02.000
things that are clearly nonsense like, well, Flat Earth and also the conspiracy about not
link |
00:37:07.600
landing on the moon or that the United States engineered 9.11, that kind of thing.
link |
00:37:16.720
So it's not clearly nonsense. It's extremely unlikely.
link |
00:37:20.240
Okay. It's extremely unlikely.
link |
00:37:23.840
Religion is a bit different because it's passed down from generation to generation.
link |
00:37:27.520
So many of the people who are religious got it from their parents, who got it from their
link |
00:37:32.400
parents, who got it from their parents and childhood indoctrination is a very powerful force.
link |
00:37:38.800
But these things like the 9.11 conspiracy theory, the Kennedy assassination conspiracy
link |
00:37:47.360
theory, the man on the moon conspiracy theory, these are not childhood indoctrination. These are
link |
00:37:52.720
presumably dreamed up by somebody who then tells somebody else, who then wants to believe it.
link |
00:38:00.960
And I don't know why people are so eager to fall in line with some, just some person that they
link |
00:38:08.160
happen to read or meet who spins some yarn. I can kind of understand why they believe
link |
00:38:14.160
what their parents and teachers told them when they were very tiny and not capable of critical
link |
00:38:19.600
thinking for themselves. So I sort of get why the great religions of the world like Catholicism and
link |
00:38:26.320
Islam go on persisting. It's because of childhood indoctrination. But that's not true of Flat
link |
00:38:33.280
Earthism. And sure enough, Flat Earthism is a very minority cult.
link |
00:38:37.600
Way larger than I ever realized.
link |
00:38:39.840
Well, yes, I know.
link |
00:38:40.640
But so that's a really clean idea. And you've articulated that in your new book and the
link |
00:38:44.800
Algorand God and in God Delusion is the early indoctrination. That's really interesting.
link |
00:38:50.160
You can get away with a lot of out there ideas in terms of religious texts, if the age which you
link |
00:38:59.440
convey those ideas at first is a young age. So indoctrination is sort of an essential element
link |
00:39:06.160
of propagation of religion. So let me ask on the morality side, in the books that I mentioned,
link |
00:39:13.680
God Delusion, Algorand God, you described that human beings don't need religion to be moral.
link |
00:39:19.920
So from an engineering perspective, we want to engineer morality into AI systems. So in general,
link |
00:39:27.920
where do you think morals come from in humans?
link |
00:39:32.720
A very complicated and interesting question. It's clear to me that the moral standards,
link |
00:39:40.560
the moral values of our civilization changes as the decades go by, certainly as the centuries
link |
00:39:50.560
go by, even as the decades go by. And we in the 21st century are quite clearly labeled 21st century
link |
00:40:00.240
people in terms of our moral values. There's a spread. I mean, some of us are a little bit more
link |
00:40:07.520
ruthless, some of us more conservative, some of us more more liberal and so on.
link |
00:40:12.560
But we all subscribe to pretty much the same views when you compare us with, say, 18th century,
link |
00:40:19.440
17th century people, even 19th century, 20th century people. So we're much less racist,
link |
00:40:27.680
we're much less sexist and so on, than we used to be. Some people are still racist and some are
link |
00:40:32.480
still sexist. But the spread has shifted that the Gaussian distribution has moved and moves
link |
00:40:39.040
steadily as the centuries go by. And that is the most powerful influence I can see on our
link |
00:40:49.200
moral values. And that doesn't have anything to do with religion. I mean, the morals of the
link |
00:40:56.320
Old Testament are Bronze Age models. They're deplorable. And they are to be understood in
link |
00:41:06.320
terms of the people in the desert who made them up at the time. And so human sacrifice,
link |
00:41:13.360
an eye for an eye, a tooth for a tooth, petty revenge, killing people for breaking the Sabbath,
link |
00:41:19.200
all that kind of thing, inconceivable now. So at some point, religious texts may have in part
link |
00:41:26.720
reflected that Gaussian distribution at that time. I'm sure they did. I'm sure they always reflect
link |
00:41:31.440
that, yes. And then now, but the sort of almost like the meme, as you describe it, of ideas moves
link |
00:41:39.120
much faster than religious texts do, than your religion. Yeah. So basing your morals on religious
link |
00:41:44.800
texts, which were written millennia ago, is not a great way to proceed. I think that's
link |
00:41:52.240
pretty clear. So not only should we not get our morals from such texts, but we don't. We quite
link |
00:41:59.600
clearly don't. If we did, then we'd be discriminating against women and we'd be racist, we'd be
link |
00:42:07.200
be killing homosexuals and so on. So we don't and we shouldn't. Now, of course, it's possible to
link |
00:42:17.680
use your 21st century standards of morality and you can look at the Bible and you can cherry pick
link |
00:42:23.440
particular verses which conform to our modern morality. And you'll find that Jesus says
link |
00:42:28.800
some pretty nice things, which is great. But you're using your 21st century morality to decide
link |
00:42:36.560
which verses to pick, which verses to reject. And so why not cut out the middleman of the Bible
link |
00:42:42.640
and go straight to the 21st century morality, which is where that comes from. It's a much
link |
00:42:49.920
more complicated question. Why is it that morality, moral values change as the centuries go by?
link |
00:42:56.400
They undoubtedly do. And it's a very interesting question to ask why. So it's another example
link |
00:43:02.080
of cultural evolution just as technology progresses. So moral values progress for probably very
link |
00:43:09.600
different reasons. But it's interesting if the direction in which that progress is happening
link |
00:43:14.320
has some evolutionary value or if it's merely a drift that can go into any direction.
link |
00:43:19.120
I'm not sure it's any direction and I'm not sure it's evolutionally valuable. What it is is
link |
00:43:24.800
progressive in the sense that each step is a step in the same direction as the previous step.
link |
00:43:29.280
So it becomes more gentle, more decent by modern standards, more liberal, less violent.
link |
00:43:37.440
See, but more decent, I think you're using terms and interpreting everything
link |
00:43:41.840
in the context of the 21st century, because Genghis Khan would probably say that this is
link |
00:43:47.360
not more decent because we're now, you know, there's a lot of weak members of society that
link |
00:43:52.160
we're not murdering. I was careful to say by the standards of the 21st century,
link |
00:43:56.640
by our standards, if we with hindsight look back at history, what we see is a trend in
link |
00:44:02.160
the direction towards us, towards our present values. So for us, we see progress, but it's
link |
00:44:09.760
an open question whether that won't, you know, I don't see necessarily why we can never return
link |
00:44:15.440
to Genghis Khan times. Well, we could. I suspect we won't, but if you look at the history of moral
link |
00:44:23.760
values over the centuries, it is in a progressive, I use the word progressive, not in a value
link |
00:44:30.400
judgment sense, in the sense of a transitive sense, each step is the same direction as the
link |
00:44:36.160
previous step. So things like we don't derive entertainment from torturing cats. We don't
link |
00:44:46.560
derive entertainment from like the Romans did in the Colosseum from that stage.
link |
00:44:52.480
Or rather, or rather, we suppress the desire to get, I mean, to have, it's probably in us
link |
00:44:59.840
somewhere. So there's a bunch of parts of our brain, one that probably, you know,
link |
00:45:04.480
limbic system that wants certain pleasures. And that's, I mean, I wouldn't have said that,
link |
00:45:10.720
but you're at liberty to think that. Well, no, there's a, there's a Dan Carlin of Hardcore History,
link |
00:45:17.360
there's a really nice explanation of how we've enjoyed watching the torture of people,
link |
00:45:21.920
the fighting of people, just the torture, the suffering of people throughout history
link |
00:45:25.600
as entertainment until quite recently. And now everything we do with sports,
link |
00:45:32.320
we're kind of channeling that feeling into something else. I mean, there's some dark aspects
link |
00:45:38.080
of human nature that are underneath everything. And I do hope this like higher level software
link |
00:45:44.320
we've built will keep us at bay. Yes. I'm also Jewish and have history with the Soviet Union
link |
00:45:52.400
and the Holocaust. And I clearly remember that some of the darker aspects of human nature creeped
link |
00:45:58.720
up there. They do. There have been, there have been steps backwards admittedly. And the Holocaust
link |
00:46:04.080
is on this one. But if you take a broad view of history, it's in the same direction.
link |
00:46:09.200
So Pamela McCordick in Machines Who Think has written that AI began with an ancient wish to
link |
00:46:16.160
forge the gods. Do you see, it's a poetic description, I suppose, but do you see a connection
link |
00:46:23.120
between our civilizations, historic desire to create gods, to create religions, and our modern
link |
00:46:30.160
desire to create technology and intelligent technology? I suppose there's a link between
link |
00:46:37.200
an ancient desire to explain a way of mystery and science, but artificial intelligence creating
link |
00:46:49.440
gods, creating new gods. And I forget, I read somewhere a somewhat facetious paper which said
link |
00:46:57.200
that we have a new god. It's called Google. And we pray to it and we worship it and we
link |
00:47:02.640
ask its advice like an oracle and so on. That's fun. But you don't see that, you see that as a
link |
00:47:09.520
fun statement, a facetious statement. You don't see that as a kind of truth of us creating things
link |
00:47:14.880
that are more powerful than ourselves and natural. It has a kind of poetic resonance to it, which I
link |
00:47:21.120
get. But I wouldn't have bothered to make the point myself put it that way. All right. So you
link |
00:47:29.840
don't think AI will become a new religion and new gods like Google?
link |
00:47:34.240
Well, yes. I mean, I can see that the future of intelligent machines or indeed intelligent aliens
link |
00:47:42.320
from outer space might yield beings that we would regard as gods in the sense that they are so
link |
00:47:49.440
superior to us that we might as well worship them. That's highly plausible, I think. But I see a very
link |
00:47:58.240
fundamental distinction between a god who is simply defined as something very, very powerful and
link |
00:48:04.640
intelligent on the one hand and a god who doesn't need explaining by a progressive step by step
link |
00:48:11.680
process like evolution or like engineering design. So suppose we did meet an alien from outer space
link |
00:48:22.160
who was marvelously, magnificently more intelligent than us and we would sort of worship it and for
link |
00:48:29.040
that reason. Nevertheless, it would not be a god in the very important sense that it did not just
link |
00:48:35.440
happen to be there like God is supposed to. It must have come about by a gradual step by step
link |
00:48:43.600
incremental progressive process, presumably like Darwinian evolution. There's all the difference
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00:48:50.160
all the difference in the world between those two. Intelligence, design comes into the universe late
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as a product of a progressive evolutionary process or a progressive engineering design process.
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So most of the work is done through this slow moving progress. Exactly.
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Yeah. But there's still this desire to get answers to the why question. If the world
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is a simulation, if we're living in a simulation that there's a programmer
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like creature that we can ask questions of. Okay. Well, let's pursue the idea that we're
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living in a simulation, which is not totally ridiculous, by the way. There we go.
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Then you still need to explain the programmer. The programmer had to come into existence by some
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even if we're in a simulation, the programmer must have evolved. Or if he's in a sort of
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or she or she she's in a meta simulation, then the meta, meta programmer must have evolved by
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by a gradual process. You can't escape that. Fundamentally, you've got to come back to a gradual
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incremental process of explanation to start with. There's no shortcuts in this world.
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But maybe to linger on that point about the simulation, do you think it's an interesting
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basically talk to board the the heck out of everybody asking this question, but
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whether you live in a simulation, do you think first, do you think we live in a simulation?
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Second, do you think it's an interesting thought experiment?
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It's certainly an interesting thought experiment. I first met it in a science fiction novel by
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Daniel Galloy, called Counterfeit World, in which it's all about our heroes are running
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00:50:54.000
a gigantic computer which which simulates the world. And something goes wrong. And so one of
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them has to go down into the simulated world in order to fix it. And then the the the denouement
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of the thing, the climax of the novel is that they discover that they themselves are in another
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simulation at a high level. So I was intrigued by this. And I love others of Daniel Galloy's
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science fiction novels. Then it was revived seriously by Nick Bostrom. Bostrom talking to him in an
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hour. Okay. And he goes further, not just treat it as a science fiction speculation, he actually
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thinks it's positively likely. I mean, I think it's very likely, actually. Well, he's he makes
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like a probabilistic argument, which you can use to come up with very interesting conclusions about
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the nature of this universe. I mean, he thinks that that that we're in a simulation done by,
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so to speak, our descendants of the future that the products. But it's still a product of evolution.
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It's still ultimately going to be a product of evolution, even though the super intelligent
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people of the future have created our world. And you and I are just a simulation and this
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table is a simulation and so on. I don't actually, in my heart of hearts believe it, but I like his
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argument. Well, so the interesting thing is that I agree with you. But the interesting thing to me,
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if I would say if we're living in a simulation, that in that simulation to make it work, you still
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have to do everything gradually, just like you said, that even though it's programmed, I don't think
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there could be miracles. Otherwise, well, no, I mean, the programmer, the higher the upper ones
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have to have evolved gradually. However, the simulation they create could be instantaneous.
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I mean, it could be switched on and we come into the world with fabricated memories.
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True. But what I'm what I'm trying to convey, so you're saying the broader statement, but I'm
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saying from an engineering perspective, both the programmer has to be slowly evolved and the
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simulation because it's like from an engineering perspective, it takes a long time to write a
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program. No, like just I don't think you can create the universe in a snap. I think you have to grow
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it. Okay, well, that's a good point. That's an arguable point. By the way, I have thought about
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using the Nick Bostrom idea to solve the riddle of how we were talking earlier about why the
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human brain can achieve so much. I thought of this when my then 100 year old mother
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was marveling at what I could do with it with a smartphone. And I could, you know,
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call look up anything and it's like the PDR, I could play her music that she liked and so on.
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She says, all in that in that tiny little phone. No, it's out there. It's in the cloud. And maybe
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what most of what we do is in a cloud. So maybe if we are a simulation, then all the power that
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we think is in our skull, it actually may be like the power that we think is in the iPhone.
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But is that actually out there in an interface to something else? I mean, that's what
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including Roger Prenrose with panpsychism, that consciousness is somehow a fundamental
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part of physics that it doesn't have to actually all reside inside. But Roger thinks it does reside
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in the skull. Whereas I'm suggesting that it doesn't. That there's a cloud.
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That'd be a fascinating, fascinating notion on a small tangent. Are you familiar with the work
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of Donald Hoffman, I guess? Maybe not saying his name correctly, but just forget the name,
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the idea that there's a difference between reality and perception. So like we biological
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organisms perceive the world in order for the natural selection process to be able to survive
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and so on. But that doesn't mean that our perception actually reflects the fundamental
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reality, the physical reality underneath. Well, I do think that although it reflects the
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fundamental reality, I do believe there is a fundamental reality. I do think that our perception
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is constructive in the sense that we construct in our minds a model of what we're seeing. And this
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is really the view of people who work on visual illusions like Richard Gregory, who point out
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the things like a Necker cube, which flip from a two dimensional picture of a cube on
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sheet of paper. We see it as a three dimensional cube, and it flips from one orientation to another.
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At regular intervals. What's going on is that the brain is constructing a cube,
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but the sense data are compatible with two alternative cubes. And so rather than stick
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with one of them, it alternates between them. I think that's just a model for what we do all
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the time when we see a table, when we see a person, when we see anything. We're using the
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sense data to construct or make use of a perhaps previously constructed model. I noticed this
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when I meet somebody who actually is say a friend of mine. But until I kind of realized that that
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is him, he looks different. And then I finally clocked that it's him, his features switch
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like a Necker cube into the familiar form. As it were, I've taken his face out of the
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filing cabinet inside and grafted it onto or used the sense data to invoke it.
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Yeah, we do some kind of miraculous compression on this whole thing to be able to filter most of
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the sense data and make sense of it. That's just the magical thing that we do. So you've written
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several many amazing books. But let me ask, what books, technical or fiction or philosophical,
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had a big impact on your own life? What books would you recommend people consider reading in
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their own intellectual journey? Darwin, of course. The original, I've actually
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ashamed to say I've never read Darwin. He's astonishingly prescient because considering
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he was writing the middle of the 19th century, Michael Gieselin said he's working 100 years
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ahead of his time. Everything except genetics is amazingly right and amazingly far ahead of his time.
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And of course, you need to read the the updates that have happened since his time as well.
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I mean, he would be astonished by, well, let alone Watson and Crick of course,
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but he'd be astonished by Mendelian genetics as well.
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Yeah, if you're fascinated to see what he thought about, he would think about DNA.
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Oh, I mean, yes, it would. Because in many ways, it clears up what appeared in his time to be a riddle.
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The digital nature of genetics clears up what was a problem, what was a big problem.
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Gosh, there's so much that I could think of. I can't really.
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Is there something outside sort of more fiction? When you think young, was there books that just
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kind of outside of kind of the realm of science and religion, they just kind of sparked your
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Yes. Well, actually, I have, I suppose I could say that I've learned some
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some science from science fiction. I mentioned Daniel Gallo and that's one example,
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but another of his novels called Dark Universe, which is not terribly well known,
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but it's a very, very nice science fiction story. It's about a world of perpetual darkness.
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And we don't, we're not told at the beginning of the book why these people are in darkness.
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They stumble around in some kind of underground world of caverns and passages,
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using echolocation like bats and whales to get around. And they've adapted,
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presumably by Darwinian means to survive in perpetual total darkness. But what's interesting
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is that their mythology, their religion has echoes of Christianity, but it's based on light.
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And so there's been a fall from a, from a, a paradise world that once existed where light
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reigned supreme. And because of the sin of mankind, light banished them. So then they no
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longer are in light's presence, but, but light survives in the form of mythology and in the
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form of sayings like they're great light almighty over light's sake, don't do that.
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And I, and I, I hear what you mean rather than I see what you, what you mean.
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So the, some of the same religious elements are present in this other totally kind of
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absurd different form. Yes. And so it's a wonderful, I wouldn't call it satire because
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it's too good natured for that. I mean, a wonderful parable about Christianity and the
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01:00:21.600
doctrine, the theological doctrine of the fall. So I find that, that kind of science fiction
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immensely stimulating. Fred Hoyle's The Black Cloud. Oh, by the way, anything by Arthur C.
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01:00:32.880
Clarke, I find very, very wonderful too. Fred Hoyle's The Black Cloud,
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01:00:37.520
his first science fiction novel where he, well, I learned, I learned a lot of science from that.
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01:00:48.720
It has, it suffers from an obnoxious hero, unfortunately, but apart from that,
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01:00:53.040
you learn a lot of science from it. Another of his novels, Apha Andromeda,
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01:00:59.360
which by the way, the theme of that is taken up by Carl Sagan's science fiction novel,
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01:01:04.960
another wonderful writer, Carl Sagan Contact, where the idea is, again, we will not be visited from
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01:01:15.600
outer space by physical bodies. We will be visited possibly, we might be visited by radio,
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01:01:21.600
but the radio signals could manipulate us and actually have a concrete influence on the world
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01:01:29.520
if they make us or persuade us to build a computer which runs their software so that they can then
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01:01:37.840
transmit their software by radio. And then the computer takes over the world. And this is the
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01:01:44.400
same theme in both Hoyle's book and Sagan's book, I presume, I don't know whether Sagan knew about
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Hoyle's book, he probably did. And it's a clever idea that we will never be invaded by physical
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bodies. The war of the worlds of HD worlds will never happen, but we could be invaded by radio
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01:02:08.640
signals, code, coded information, which is sort of like DNA. And we are, I call them, we are
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01:02:17.840
survival machines of our DNA. So it has great resonance for me because I think of us, I think
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01:02:25.200
of bodies, physical bodies, biological bodies as being manipulated by coded information in DNA
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01:02:34.080
which has come down through generations. And in a space of memes, it doesn't have to be physical,
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it can be transmitted through the space of information. That's a fascinating possibility
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that from outer space we can be infiltrated by other memes, by other ideas, and thereby controlled
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in that way. Let me ask the last, the silliest or maybe the most important question, what is the
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meaning of life? What gives your life fulfillment, purpose, happiness, meaning?
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From a scientific point of view, the meaning of life is the propagation of DNA, but that's not
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what I feel. That's not the meaning of my life. So the meaning of my life is something which is
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01:03:16.480
probably different from yours and different from other people's, but we each make our own meaning.
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01:03:21.360
So we set up goals, we want to achieve, we want to write a book, we want to
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do whatever it is we do, write a quartet, we want to win a football match.
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And these are short term goals, well, maybe even quite long term goals, which are set up by our
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01:03:40.960
brains, which have goal seeking machinery built into them. But what we feel, we don't feel
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01:03:47.280
motivated by the desire to pass on our DNA mostly. We have other goals, which can be very
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01:03:55.200
moving, very important. They could even be called spiritual in some cases. We want to understand
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01:04:02.560
the real of the universe, we want to understand consciousness, we want to understand how the
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brain works. These are all noble goals. Some of them can be noble goals anyway. And they are
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01:04:17.040
a far cry from the fundamental biological goal, which is the propagation of DNA.
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01:04:22.240
But the machinery that enables us to set up these higher level goals is originally programmed into
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01:04:30.160
us by natural selection of DNA. The propagation of DNA. But what do you make of this unfortunate
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fact that we are mortal? Do you ponder your mortality? Does it make you sad?
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01:04:46.400
I ponder it. It makes me sad that I shall have to leave and not see what's going to happen next.
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01:04:54.720
If there's something frightening about mortality, apart from sort of missing, as I've said,
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01:05:03.200
something more deeply, darkly frightening, it's the idea of eternity. But eternity is only
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01:05:10.480
frightening if you're there. Eternity before we were born, billions of years before we were born,
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01:05:15.840
and we were effectively dead before we were born. As I think it was Mark Twain said, I was dead for
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01:05:22.000
billions of years before I was born and never suffered the smallest inconvenience.
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01:05:26.240
That's how it's going to be after we leave. So I think of it as really, eternity is a frightening
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01:05:32.720
prospect. And so the best way to spend it is under a general anesthetic, which is what it'll be.
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01:05:40.480
Beautifully put, Richard, it is a huge honor to meet you, to talk to you. Thank you so much for
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01:05:44.480
your time. Thank you very much. Thanks for listening to this conversation with Richard Dawkins,
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01:05:49.680
and thank you to our presenting sponsor, Cash App. Please consider supporting the podcast by
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01:05:54.640
downloading Cash App and using code Lex Podcast. If you enjoy this podcast, subscribe on YouTube,
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01:06:00.880
review with five stars on Apple Podcast, support on Patreon, or simply connect with me on Twitter
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01:06:06.400
at Lex Freedman. And now let me leave you with some words of wisdom from Richard Dawkins.
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01:06:12.880
We are going to die, and that makes us the lucky ones. Most people are never going to die because
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01:06:19.520
they are never going to be born. The potential people who could have been here in my place,
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01:06:25.120
but who will in fact never see the light of day outnumber the sand grains of Arabia.
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01:06:31.280
Certainly, those unborn ghosts include greater poets than Keats, scientists greater than Newton.
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01:06:38.800
We know this because the set of possible people allowed by our DNA so massively exceeds the set
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01:06:45.120
of actual people. In the teeth of these stupefying odds, it is you and I in our ordinariness that
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01:06:53.840
are here. We privileged few who won the lottery of birth against all odds. How dare we whine at
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01:07:01.680
our inevitable return to that prior state from which the vast majority have never stirred.
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Thank you for listening, and hope to see you next time.