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Karl Friston: Neuroscience and the Free Energy Principle | Lex Fridman Podcast #99


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The following is a conversation with Carl Friston, one of the greatest neuroscientists in history,
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cited over 245,000 times, known for many influential ideas in brain imaging,
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neuroscience, and theoretical neurobiology, including especially
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the fascinating idea of the free energy principle for action and perception.
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Carl's mix of humor, brilliance, and kindness to me are inspiring and captivating. This was a
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huge honor and a pleasure. This is the Artificial Intelligence Podcast. If you enjoy it, subscribe
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on YouTube, review it with 5 stars on Apple Podcasts, support on Patreon, or simply connect with me
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on Twitter. Alex Friedman, spelled F R I D M A N. As usual, I'll do a few minutes of ads now,
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and never any ads in the middle that can break the flow of the conversation.
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I hope that works for you and doesn't hurt the listening experience.
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advance robotics and STEM education for young people around the world. And now, here's my
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conversation with Carl Friston. How much of the human brain do we understand from
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the low level of neuronal communication to the functional level to the highest level,
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maybe the psychiatric disorder level? Well, we're certainly in a better position than we were last
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century. How far we've got to go, I think, is almost an answerable question. So you'd have to
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set the parameters, what constitutes understanding, what level of understanding do you want.
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I think we've made enormous progress in terms of broad brush principles, whether that affords a
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detailed cartography of the functional anatomy of the brain and what it does, and write down to
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the microcircuitry and the neurons, that's probably out of reach at the present time.
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So the cartography, so mapping the brain. Do you think mapping of the brain,
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the detailed, perfect imaging of it, does that get us closer to understanding of the mind
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of the brain? So how far does it get us if we have that perfect cartography of the brain?
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I think there are lower bounds on that. It's a really interesting question. It would determine
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this sort of scientific career you'd pursue if you believe that knowing every dendritic connection,
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every sort of microscopic synaptic structure, right down to the molecular level, was going to
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give you the right kind of information to understand the computational anatomy. Then you'd
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choose to be a microscopist and you would study little cubic millimeters of brain for the rest
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of your life. If on the other hand you were interested in holistic functions and a sort
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of functional anatomy of the sort that a neuropsychologist would understand, you'd study
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brain lesions and strokes, just looking at the whole person. So again, it comes back to at what
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level do you want understanding. I think there are principled reasons not to go too far. If you
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commit to a view of the brain as a machine that's performing a form of inference and representing
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things, that level of understanding is necessarily cast in terms of probability densities and ensemble
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densities, distributions. What that tells you is that you don't really want to look at the atoms
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to understand the thermodynamics of probabilistic descriptions for how the brain works.
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So I personally wouldn't look at the molecules or indeed the single neurons in the same way if I
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wanted to understand the thermodynamics of some nonequilibrium steady state of a gas or an active
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material. I wouldn't spend my life looking at the individual molecules that constitute that ensemble.
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I'd look at that collective behavior. On the other hand, if you go to coarse grain, you're going to
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miss some basic canonical principles of connectivity and architectures. I'm thinking here
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this bit colloquial, but there's current excitement about high field magnetic resonance imaging at
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7 Tesla. Why? Well, it gives us for the first time the opportunity to look at the brain in action
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at the level of a few millimeters that distinguish between different layers of the cortex that may
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be very important in terms of evincing generic principles of canonical microcircuitry that
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are replicated throughout the brain that may tell us something fundamental about message passing in
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the brain and these density dynamics or neuronal ensemble population dynamics that underwrite
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our brain function. So somewhere between a millimeter and a meter.
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Yeah. Lingering for a bit on the big questions, if you allow me. What to use the most beautiful
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or surprising characteristic of the human brain? I think it's hierarchical and recursive aspect,
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it's recurrent aspect. Of the structure or of the actual representation or power of the brain?
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Well, I think one speaks to the other. I was actually answering in a delminded way from the
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point of view of purely its anatomy and its structural aspects. I mean, there are many
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marvelous organs in the body. Let's take your liver, for example. Without it, you wouldn't
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be around for very long and it does some beautiful and delicate biochemistry and homeostasis and
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evolved with a finesse that would easily parallel the brain, but it doesn't have a beautiful anatomy.
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It has a simple anatomy, which is attractive in a minimalist sense, but it doesn't have that
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crafted structure of sparse connectivity and that recurrence and that specialization
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that the brain has. So you said a lot of interesting terms here. So the recurrence,
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the sparsity, but you also started by saying hierarchical. So I've never thought of our
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brain as hierarchical. I always thought it's just like a giant, interconnected mess where
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it's very difficult to figure anything out. But in what sense do you see the brain as hierarchical?
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Well, I see it. It's not a magic soup. Of course, it's what I used to think when I was
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before I studied medicine and the like. So a lot of those terms imply each other.
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So hierarchies, if you just think about the nature of a hierarchy, how would you actually
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build one? And what you would have to do is basically carefully remove the right connections
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that destroy the completely connected soups that you might have in mind. So a hierarchy is
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in and of itself defined by a sparse and particular connectivity structure.
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And I'm not committing to any particular form of hierarchy.
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But your sense says there is some. Oh, absolutely. Yeah. In virtue of the fact that there is a
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sparsity of connectivity, not necessarily of a qualitative sort, but certainly of a quantitative
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sort. So it is demonstrably so that the further apart two parts of the brain are, the less likely
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that they are to be wired to possess axonal processes, neuronal processes that directly
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communicate one message or messages from one part of that brain to the other part of the brain.
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So we know there's a sparse connectivity. And furthermore, on the basis of anatomical
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connectivity and tracer studies, we know that that has that sparsity underwrites a hierarchical
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and very structured sort of connectivity that might be best understood like a little bit like
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an onion. There is a concentric, sometimes referred to as centripetal by people like
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Marcel Mesulam, hierarchical organisation to the brain. So you can think of the brain as in a rough
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sense like an onion and all the sensory information and all the afferent outgoing messages that supply
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commands to your muscles or to your secretory organs come from the surface. So there's a massive
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exchange interface with the world out there on the surface. And then underneath, there's a little
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layer that sits and looks at the exchange on the surface. And then underneath that, there's a layer
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right the way down to the very centre through the deepest part of the onion. That's what I mean by
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a hierarchical organisation. There's a discernible structure defined by the sparsity of connections
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that lends the architecture, a hierarchical structure that tells one a lot about the kinds
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of representations and messages. So going back to your earlier question, is this about the
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representational capacity? Or is it about the anatomy? Well, one underwrites the other.
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If one simply thinks of the brain as a message passing machine, a process that is in the service
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of doing something, then the circuitry and the connectivity that shape that message passing
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also dictate its function. So you've done a lot of amazing work in a lot of directions.
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So let's look at one aspect of that, of looking into the brain and trying to study this onion
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structure. What can we learn about the brain by imaging it? Which is one way to sort of look
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at the anatomy of it, broadly speaking. What are the methods of imaging, but even bigger? What can
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we learn about it? Right. So well, most human neuroimaging that you might see in science journals
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that speaks to the way the brain works, measures brain activity over time. So that's the first
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thing to say that we're effectively looking at fluctuations in neuronal responses,
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usually in response to some sensory input or some instruction, some task. Not necessarily,
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there's a lot of interest in just looking at the brain in terms of resting state and dodgeness or
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intrinsic activity. But crucially, at every point, looking at these fluctuations either induced or
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intrinsic in the neural activity and understanding them at two levels. So normally, people would
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recourse to two principles of brain organization that are complementary. One, functional specialization
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or segregation. So what does that mean? It simply means that there are certain parts of the brain
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that may be specialized for certain kinds of processing, for example, visual motion. Our
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ability to recognize or to perceive movement in the visual world. And furthermore, that
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specialized processing may be spatially or anatomically segregated, leading to functional
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segregation, which means that if I were to compare your brain activity during a period of
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viewing a static image, and then compare that to the responses of fluctuations in the brain
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when you were exposed to a moving image, so a flying bird, we would expect to see restricted,
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segregated differences in activity. And those are basically the hotspots that you see in the
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in statistical parametric maps that test for the significance of the responses that are circumscribed.
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So now, basically, we're talking about some people of perhaps unkindly called a neo cartography.
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This is a phrenology augmented by modern day neuroimaging, basically finding
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blobs or bumps on the brain that do this or do that. I'm trying to understand the cartography
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of that functional specialization. So how much is there such a beautiful sort of ideal to strive
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for? We humans scientists would like this to hope that there's a beautiful structure to this,
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whereas, like you said, there are segregated regions that are responsible for the different
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function. How much hope is there to find such regions in terms of looking at the progress
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of studying the brain? Oh, I think enormous progress has been made in the past 20 or 30 years.
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So this is beyond incremental. At the advent of brain imaging, the very notion of functional
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segregation was just a hypothesis based upon a century, if not more, of careful neuropsychology,
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looking at people who had lost via insult or traumatic brain injury, particular parts of
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the brain, and then saying, well, they can't do this or they can't do that. For example,
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losing the visual cortex and not being able to see or usually losing particular parts of the
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visual cortex or regions known as V5 or the middle temporal region,
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MT, and noticing that they selectively could not see moving things. And so that created the
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hypothesis that perhaps movement processing, visual movement processing, was located in
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this functionally segregated area. And you could then go and put invasive electrodes in animal
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models and say, yes, indeed, we can excite activity here, we can form receptive fields that
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are sensitive to or defined in terms of visual motion. But at no point could you exclude the
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possibility that everywhere else in the brain was also very interested in visual motion.
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By the way, I apologize to Interoppa's a tiny little tangent. He said animal models
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are just out of curiosity from your perspective. How different is the human brain versus the
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other animals in terms of our ability to study the brain?
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Well, clearly, the further away you go from a human brain, the greater the differences,
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but not as remarkable as you might think. So people will choose their level of
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approximation to the human brain, depending upon the kinds of questions that they want to answer.
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So if you're talking about canonical principles of microcircuitry, it might be perfectly okay
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to look at a mouse, indeed, you could even look at flies, worms. If on the other hand,
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you wanted to look at the finer details of organization of visual cortex and V1, V2,
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these are designated patches of cortex that may do different things, indeed do.
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You probably want to use a primate that looked a little bit more like a human,
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because there are lots of ethical issues in terms of the use of nonhuman primates to
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transfer questions about human anatomy. But I think most people assume that most of the
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important principles are conserved in a continuous way, right from worms right through to you and me.
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So now returning to this, so that was the early, the ideas of studying the functional
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regions of the brain by, if there's some damage to it to try to infer that there's
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that part of the brain might be somewhat responsible for this type of function.
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So what, where does that lead us? What are the next steps beyond that?
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Right, well, this actually is a reverse a bit, come back to your sort of notion that the brain
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is a magic zoo, but that was actually a very prominent idea at one point to notions such as
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Lashley's law of mass action inherited from the observation that for certain animals,
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if you just took out spoonfuls of the brain, it didn't matter where you took these spoonfuls
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out, they always show the same kinds of deficits. So, you know, it was very difficult to infer
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functional specialization pure on the basis of lesion deficit studies. But once we had the
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opportunity to look at the brain lighting up in its, it's literally it's sort of excitement,
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neuronal excitement. When looking at this versus that, one was able to say, yes, indeed, these
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functionally specialized responses are very restricted and they're here or they're over there.
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If I do this, then this part of the brain lights up. And that became doable in the early 90s.
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In fact, you know, shortly before with the advent of positron emission tomography,
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and then functional magnetic resonance imaging came along in the early 90s. And since that time,
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there has been an explosion of discovery, refinement, confirmation. You know, there are
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people who believe that it's all in the anatomy. If you understand the anatomy, then you understand
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the function at some level. And many, many hypotheses were predicated on a deep understanding
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of the anatomy and the connectivity. But they were all confirmed and taken much further
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with neuroimaging. So that's what I meant by we've made an enormous amount of progress
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in this century, indeed, and in relation to the previous century by looking at these
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functionally selective responses. But that wasn't the whole story. So there's this sort of near
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phrenology, but finding bumps and hops spots in the brain that did this or that. The bigger
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question was, of course, the functional integration, how all of these regionally specific responses
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were orchestrated, how they were distributed, how did they relate to distributed processing and,
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indeed, representations in the brain. So then you turn to the more challenging issue of the
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integration of the connectivity. And then we come back to this beautiful sparse, recurrent,
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hierarchical connectivity that seems characteristic of the brain and probably not many other organs.
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And, but nevertheless, we come back to this challenge of trying to figure out how everything
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is integrated. But what's your feeling? What's the general consensus? Have we moved away from
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the magic soup view of the brain? So there is a deep structure to it. And then maybe
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a further question, you said some people believe that the structure is most of it,
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that you could really get at the core of the function by just deeply understanding the structure.
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Where do you sit on that? Do you? I think it's got some mileage to it. Yes. Yeah.
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So it's a worthy pursuit of going, of studying through imaging and all the different methods
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to actually study the structure. No, absolutely. Yeah. Yeah. Sorry, I'm just noting you were accusing
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me of using lots of long words. And then you introduced one there, which is deep, which is
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interesting. Because deep is the sort of millennial equivalent of hierarchical. So if you put deep
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in front of anything, not only are you very millennial and very trending, but you're also
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implying a hierarchical architecture. So it is a depth, which is for me the beautiful thing.
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That's right. The word deep kind of, yeah, exactly. It implies hierarchy. I didn't even think about
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that. That indeed the implicit meaning of the word deep is a hierarchy. Yeah. Yeah. So deep
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inside the onion is the center of your soul. Let's see. Beautifully put. Maybe briefly, if you
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can paint a picture of the kind of methods of neuroimaging, maybe the history, which you were
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a part of from statistical parametric mapping. I mean, just what's out there that's interesting
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for people maybe outside the field to understand of what are the actual methodologies of looking
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inside the human brain? Right. Well, you can answer that question from two perspectives. Basically,
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it's the modality. What kind of signal are you measuring? And they can range from,
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let's limit ourselves to sort of imaging based noninvasive techniques. So you've essentially
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got brain scanners. And brain scanners can either measure the structural attributes,
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the amount of water, the amount of fat or the amount of iron in different parts of the brain.
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And you can make lots of inferences about the structure of the organ of the sort that you
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might abduce from an x ray, but a very nuanced x ray that is looking at this kind of property
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and that kind of property. So looking at the anatomy noninvasively is would be the first
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sort of neuroimaging that people might want to employ. Then you move on to the kinds of measurements
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that reflect dynamic function. The most prevalent of those fall into two camps, you've got these
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metabolic sometimes hemodynamic blood related signals. So these metabolic and or hemodynamic
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signals are basically proxies for elevated activity and message passing and neuronal dynamics,
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in particular parts of the brain. Characteristically though, the time constants of these
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hemodynamic or metabolic responses to neural activity are much longer than the neural activity
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itself. And this is referring, forgive me for the dumb questions, but this would be referring to
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blood like the flow of blood. Absolutely. So there's a ton of, it seems like there's a ton
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of blood vessels in the brain. So what's the interaction between the flow of blood and the
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function of the neurons? Is there an interplay there? And that interplay accounts for several
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careers of world renowned scientists. Yes, absolutely. So this is known as neurovascular
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coupling is exactly what you said. It's how does the neural activity, the neural infrastructure,
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the actual message passing that we think underlies our capacity to perceive and act?
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How is that coupled to the vascular responses that supply the energy for that neural processing?
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So there's a delicate web of large vessels, arteries and veins, that gets progressively
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finer and finer in detail until it perfuses at a microscopic level, the machinery where
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little neurons lie. So coming back to this sort of onion perspective,
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we were talking before using the onion as a metaphor for a deep hierarchical structure,
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but also I think it's just anatomical, anatomically quite a useful metaphor. All the action,
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all the heavy lifting in terms of neural computation is done on the surface of the brain.
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And then the interior of the brain is constituted by fatty wires, essentially external processes
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that are enshrouded by myelin sheaths. And these give the, when you dissect them, they look fatty
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and white. And so it's called white matter, as opposed to the actual neuro pill, which does the
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computation constituted largely by neurons. And that's known as gray matter. So the gray matter
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is a surface or a skin that sits on top of this big ball, now we are talking magic soup, but it's
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big ball of connections like spaghetti, very carefully structured with sparse connectivity
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that preserves this deep hierarchical structure. But all the action takes place on the surface,
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on the cortex of the onion. And that means that you have to supply the right amount of blood flow,
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the right amount of nutrient, which is rapidly absorbed and used by neural cells that don't
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have the same capacity that your leg muscles would have to basically spend their energy budget and
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then claim it back later. So one peculiar thing about cerebral metabolism, brain metabolism,
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is it really needs to be driven in the moment, which means you basically have to turn on the taps.
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So if there's lots of neural activity in one part of the brain, a little patch of a few millimeters,
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even less possibly, you really do have to water that piece of the garden now and quickly. And
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that by quickly, I mean within a couple of seconds. So that contains a lot of that.
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00:26:24.160
Hence the imaging could tell you a story of what's happening. Absolutely. But it is slightly
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00:26:31.280
compromised in terms of the resolution. So the deployment of these little micro vessels that
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00:26:37.760
water the garden to enable the activity to the neural activity to play out. The spatial resolution
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00:26:45.200
is in order of a few millimeters. And crucially, the temporal resolution is the order of a few
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00:26:51.200
seconds. So you can't get right down and dirty into the actual spatial and temporal scale of
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00:26:57.360
neural activity in and of itself. To do that, you'd have to turn to the other big imaging
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00:27:01.920
modality, which is the recording of electromagnetic signals as they're generated in real time.
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00:27:07.600
So here the temporal bandwidth, if you like, or the low limit on the temporal resolution
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00:27:12.880
is incredibly small. You're talking about, you know, Nala seconds, milliseconds. And then you
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00:27:18.400
can get into the phasic fast responses that is in of itself the neural activity and start to
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00:27:30.320
see the succession or cascade of hierarchical recurrent message passing evoked by a particular
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00:27:36.240
stimulus. But the problem is you're looking at electromagnetic signals that have passed through
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00:27:42.720
an enormous amount of magic soup or spaghetti of collectivity and through the scalp and the skull.
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00:27:50.640
And it's become spatially very diffuse. It's very difficult to know where you are.
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00:27:54.800
So you've got this sort of catch 22. You can either use an imaging modality. It tells you
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00:28:00.880
within millimeters, which part of the brain is activated, we don't know when. Or you've got these
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00:28:06.800
electromagnetic EEG MEG setups that tell you to within a few milliseconds when something has
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00:28:17.200
responded, be aware. So you've got these two complementary measures, either indirect via
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00:28:24.640
the blood flow or direct via the electromagnetic signals caused by neural activity. These are
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00:28:31.200
the two big imaging devices. And then the second level of responding to your question, what are
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00:28:37.440
the, you know, from the outside, what are the big ways of using this technology? So once you've
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00:28:45.040
chosen the kind of neuroimaging they want to use to answer your set questions, and sometimes it would
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00:28:51.040
have to be both. Then you've got a whole raft of analyses, time series analyses, usually that you
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00:28:59.840
can bring to bear in order to answer your questions or address your hypotheses about those data.
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00:29:06.880
And interestingly, they've both fallen to the same two camps we're talking about before,
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00:29:10.880
you know, this dialectic between specialization and integration, differentiation and integration.
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00:29:17.040
So it's the cartography, the blobology analyses.
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00:29:20.720
I apologize. I probably shouldn't interrupt so much, but just heard a fun word.
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00:29:24.640
The blobology. It's a neologism, which means the study of blobs.
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00:29:34.320
Are you being woody and humorous? Or is there an actual, does the word blobology ever appear
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00:29:39.440
in a textbook somewhere? It would appear in a popular book. It would not appear in a worthy
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00:29:46.560
specialist journal. But it's the fond word for the study of literally little blobs on
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00:29:53.920
brain maps showing activations. So the kind of thing that you'd see in the newspapers on
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00:30:00.720
ABC or BBC reporting the latest finding from brain imaging. Interestingly, though, the maths
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00:30:08.480
involved in that stream of analysis does actually call upon the mathematics of blobs.
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00:30:16.880
So seriously, they're actually called Euler characteristics and they have a lot of fancy
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00:30:25.600
names in mathematics.
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00:30:27.360
We'll talk about it, but your ideas in free energy principle, I mean,
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00:30:30.560
there's a echoes of blobs there when you consider sort of entities, so mathematically speaking.
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00:30:37.920
Yes, absolutely. Well, circumscribed, well defined. You entities of,
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00:30:44.400
well, from the free energy point of view, entities of anything, but from the point of view of
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00:30:51.440
the analysis, the cartography of the brain. These are the entities that constitute the
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00:30:58.640
evidence for this functional segregation. You have segregated this function in this blob,
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00:31:04.400
and it is not outside of the blob. And that's basically the, if you were a map maker of America
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00:31:10.800
and you did not know its structure, the first thing you're doing constituting or creating a map
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00:31:17.520
would be to identify the cities, for example, or the mountains or the rivers. All of these
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00:31:23.040
uniquely spatially localizable features, possibly topological features, have to be placed somewhere
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00:31:30.560
because that requires a mathematics of identifying what does a city look like on the satellite image
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00:31:35.920
or what does a river look like or what does a mountain look like. What would it, what data
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00:31:41.680
features would it, would evidence that particular top, that particular thing that you wanted to
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00:31:48.960
put on the map. And they normally are characterized in terms of literally these blobs or these sort of,
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00:31:55.600
now the way of looking at this is that a certain statistical measure of the degree of activation
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00:32:02.800
crosses a threshold and in crossing that threshold in the spatially restricted part of the brain,
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00:32:09.520
it creates a blob. And that's basically what statistical parametric mapping does. It's basically
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00:32:16.000
mathematically finessed blobology. Okay, so those, you kind of describe these two methodologies for
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00:32:23.920
one is temporally noisy, one is spatially noisy, and you kind of have to play and figure out what
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00:32:28.960
can be useful. It'd be great if you can sort of comment, I got a chance recently to spend a day
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00:32:34.800
at a company called Neuralink that uses brain computer interfaces. And their dream is to,
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00:32:42.000
well, there's a bunch of sort of dreams, but one of them is to understand the brain by sort of,
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00:32:49.120
you know, getting in there past the so called sort of factory while getting in there and be
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00:32:54.400
able to listen, communicate both directions. What are your thoughts about this, the future of this
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00:32:59.920
kind of technology of brain computer interfaces to be able to now have a, have a window or direct
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00:33:07.280
contact within the brain to be able to measure some of the signals to be able to send signals to
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00:33:11.360
understand some of the functionality of the brain. I'm bivalent. My sense is ambivalent. So it's a
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00:33:18.080
mixture of good and bad. And I acknowledge that freely. So the good bits, if you just look at
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00:33:23.760
the legacy of that kind of reciprocal but invasive brain stimulation, I didn't paint a complete picture
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00:33:32.960
when I was talking about some of the ways we understand the brain prior to neuroimaging.
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00:33:36.960
It wasn't just lesion deficit studies. Some of the early work, in fact, literally 100 yards from
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00:33:42.720
where we're sitting at the Institute of Neurology was done by stimulating the brain of, say, dogs
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00:33:49.840
and looking at how they responded with their muscles or with their salivation. And imputing
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00:33:58.320
what that part of the brain must be doing that if I stimulate it and I vote this kind of response,
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00:34:05.840
then that tells me quite a lot about the functional specialization. So there's a long
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00:34:09.760
history of brain stimulation, which continues to enjoy a lot of attention nowadays.
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00:34:16.000
Oh, yes, absolutely. Deep brain stimulation for Parkinson's disease is now a standard treatment
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00:34:23.440
and also a wonderful vehicle to try and understand the neuronal dynamics underlie movement disorders
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00:34:30.400
like Parkinson's disease. Even interest in magnetic stimulation, stimulating the magnetic
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00:34:38.800
fields and will it work in people who are depressed, for example? Quite a crude level
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00:34:44.000
of understanding what you're doing. But there is historical evidence that these kinds of
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00:34:50.160
brute thought interventions do change things. A little bit like banging the TV when the valves
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00:34:57.280
aren't working properly, but it still works. So there is a long history. Brain computer
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00:35:04.960
interfacing or BCI, I think is a beautiful example of that. It's sort of carved out its own
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00:35:12.240
niche and its own aspirations and there have been enormous advances within limits.
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00:35:20.640
Advances in terms of our ability to understand how the brain, the embodied brain,
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00:35:29.760
engages with the world. I'm thinking here of sensory substitution, the augmenting our sensory
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00:35:36.480
capacities by giving ourselves extra ways of sensing and sampling the world, ranging from
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00:35:44.400
sort of trying to replace lost visual signals through to giving people completely new signals.
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00:35:54.480
One of the, I think, most engaging examples of this is equipping people with a sense of
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00:35:58.960
magnetic fields. So you can actually give them magnetic sensors that enable them to feel,
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00:36:05.280
should we say, tactile pressure around their tummy, where they are in relation to the magnetic
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00:36:12.080
field of the earth. And after a few weeks, they take it for granted, they integrate it,
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00:36:18.400
they embody this, simulate this new sensory information into the way that they literally
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00:36:24.000
feel their world, but now equipped with this sense of magnetic direction. So that tells you
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00:36:30.400
something about the brain's plastic potential to remodel and its plastic capacity to suddenly
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00:36:40.320
try to explain the sensory data at hand by augmenting the sensory sphere and the kinds of
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00:36:49.040
things that you can measure. Clearly, that's purely for entertainment and understanding the
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00:36:56.080
other nature and the power of our brains. I would imagine that most BCI is pitched at solving
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00:37:05.280
clinical and human problems such as locked in syndrome, such as paraplegia, or replacing lost
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00:37:14.480
sensory capacities like blindness and deafness. So then we come to the more negative part of my
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00:37:23.360
ambivalence, the other side of it. So I don't want to be deflationary because
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00:37:31.360
much of my deflationary comments are probably large out of ignorance than anything else. But
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00:37:39.120
generally speaking, the bandwidth and the bit rates that you get from
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00:37:45.600
brain computer interfaces as we currently know them, we're talking about bits per second.
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00:37:50.720
So that would be like me only being able to communicate with any world or with you using very,
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00:37:59.600
very, very slow Morse code. And it is not even within an order of magnitude near what we actually
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00:38:14.560
need for an inactive realization of what people aspire to when they think about sort of curing
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00:38:23.520
people with paraplegia or replacing sight, despite heroic efforts. So one has to ask,
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00:38:31.600
is there a lower bound on the kinds of recurrent information exchange between a brain and some
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00:38:43.440
augmented or artificial interface? And then we come back to, interestingly, what I was talking
link |
00:38:52.080
about before, which is if you're talking about function in terms of inference, and I presume
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00:38:59.200
we'll get to that later on in terms of the free energy principle, then the moment there may be
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00:39:04.000
fundamental reasons to assume that is the case, we're talking about ensemble activity, we're
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00:39:08.640
talking about basically, for example, let's paint the challenge facing brain computer
link |
00:39:19.440
interfacing in terms of controlling another system that is highly and deeply structured,
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00:39:26.960
very relevant to our lives, very nonlinear, that rests upon the kind of non equilibrium
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00:39:34.320
steady states and dynamics that the brain does, the weather. So good example, yeah.
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00:39:41.200
Imagine you had some very aggressive satellites that could produce signals that could perturb
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00:39:48.240
some little parts of the of the weather system. And then what you're asking now is,
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00:39:55.040
can I meaningfully get into the weather and change it meaningfully and make the weather
link |
00:40:00.400
respond in a way that I want it to, you're talking about chaos control on a scale, which is almost
link |
00:40:07.600
unimaginable. So there may be fundamental reasons why BCI, as you might read about it in a science
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00:40:16.160
fiction novel, aspirational BCI may never actually work in the sense that to really be integrated
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00:40:26.880
and be part of the system is a requirement that requires you to have evolved with that system.
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00:40:38.000
You have to be part of a very delicately structured, deeply structured dynamic ensemble
link |
00:40:46.640
activity that is not like rewiring a broken computer or plugging in a peripheral interface
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00:40:53.600
adapter. It is much more like getting into the weather patterns or a come back to your magic
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00:40:59.600
soup is getting into the active matter and meaningfully relate that to the outside world.
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00:41:07.040
So I think there are enormous challenges there. So I think the example of the weather is a brilliant
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00:41:12.400
one. And I think you paint a really interesting picture. And it wasn't as negative as I thought.
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00:41:17.280
It's essentially saying that it's it might be incredibly challenging, including the low bound
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00:41:21.920
of the bandwidth and so on. So just to full disclosure, I come from the machine learning world.
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00:41:28.560
So my natural thought is the hardest part is the engineering challenge of controlling the
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00:41:34.400
weather, of getting those satellites up and running and so on. And once they are, then the rest
link |
00:41:39.760
is fundamentally the same approaches that allow you to win in the game of go will allow you to
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00:41:47.520
potentially play in this soup in this chaos. So I have I have a hope that sort of machine
link |
00:41:53.600
learning methods will will help us play in this soup. But perhaps you're right that it is a biology
link |
00:42:04.080
in the brain is just an incredible, incredible system that may be almost impossible to get in.
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00:42:12.080
But for me, what seems impossible is is the incredible mess of blood vessels that you also
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00:42:20.240
described without, you know, we also value the brain. You can't make any mistakes. You can't
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00:42:26.080
damage things. So to me, that engineering challenge seems nearly impossible. One of the things I was
link |
00:42:32.160
really impressed by at Neuralink is just just talking to brilliant neurosurgeons and the roboticists
link |
00:42:40.400
that made me realize that even though it seems impossible, if anyone can do it, it's some of
link |
00:42:47.600
these world class engineers that are trying to take it on. So so I think the conclusion of our
link |
00:42:54.240
discussion here is of this part is basically that the problem is really hard, but hopefully not
link |
00:43:01.600
impossible. Absolutely. So if it's okay, let's start with the basics. So you've also formulated a
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00:43:11.040
fascinating principle, the free energy principle. Can we maybe start at the basics and what is
link |
00:43:17.280
the free energy principle? Well, in fact, the free energy principle
link |
00:43:21.920
inherits a lot from the building of these data analytic approaches to these very high dimensional
link |
00:43:33.520
time series you get get from the brain. So I think it's interesting to acknowledge that. And in
link |
00:43:38.080
particular, the analysis tools that try to address the other side, which is the functional
link |
00:43:43.680
integrations and the connectivity analysis. On the one hand, but I should also acknowledge it
link |
00:43:51.920
inherits an awful lot from machine learning as well. So the free energy principle is just a
link |
00:44:01.200
formal statement that the existential imperatives are any system that manages to survive in a
link |
00:44:10.160
changing world is can be cast as an inference problem, in the sense that you can interpret
link |
00:44:21.120
the probability of existing as the evidence that you exist. And if you can write down that problem
link |
00:44:28.000
of existence as a statistical problem, then you can use all the maths that has been developed
link |
00:44:33.200
for inference to understand and characterize the ensemble dynamics that must be in play in the
link |
00:44:43.200
service of that inference. So technically, what that means is you can always interpret anything
link |
00:44:49.760
that exists in virtue of being separate from the environment in which it exists as trying to
link |
00:44:59.360
minimize variational free energy. And if you're from the machine learning community, you will
link |
00:45:05.760
know that as a negative evidence lower bound or a negative elbow, which is the same as saying
link |
00:45:13.040
you're trying to maximize or it will look as if all your dynamics are trying to maximize the
link |
00:45:20.960
complement of that which is the marginal likelihood or the evidence for your own existence. So that's
link |
00:45:26.720
basically the free energy principle. But to even take a sort of a small step backwards,
link |
00:45:34.000
you said the existential imperative. There's a lot of beautiful poetic words here, but to put
link |
00:45:41.280
it crudely, it's a fascinating idea of basically just of trying to describe if you're looking at a
link |
00:45:50.240
blob, how do you know this thing is alive? What does it mean to be alive? What does it mean to
link |
00:45:56.240
be to exist? And so you can look at the brain, you can look at parts of the brain or you this is
link |
00:46:01.520
just a general principle that applies to almost any system. That's just a fascinating sort of
link |
00:46:08.560
philosophically at every level question and a methodology to try to answer that question.
link |
00:46:14.160
What does it mean to be alive? Yes. So that's a huge endeavor and it's nice that there's at least
link |
00:46:22.240
some from some perspective a clean answer. So maybe can you talk about that optimization
link |
00:46:28.800
view of it? So what's trying to be minimized to maximize a system that's alive? What is it trying
link |
00:46:35.440
to minimize? Right, you've made a big move there. First of all, it's good to make big moves.
link |
00:46:43.680
But you've assumed that the things, the thing exists in a state that could be living or non
link |
00:46:53.760
living. So I may ask you, what licenses you to say that something exists? That's why I use the
link |
00:47:00.720
word existential. It's beyond living, it's just existence. So if you drill down onto the definition
link |
00:47:07.920
of things that exist, then they have certain properties. If you borrow the maths from non
link |
00:47:16.960
equilibrium steady state physics that enable you to interpret their existence in terms of this
link |
00:47:27.600
optimization procedure. So it's good you introduce the word optimization. So what the free energy
link |
00:47:35.040
principle in its sort of most ambitious but also most deflationary and simplest says is that if
link |
00:47:45.280
something exists, then it must buy the mathematics of non equilibrium steady state exhibit properties
link |
00:47:58.560
that make it look as if it is optimizing a particular quantity. And it turns out that particular
link |
00:48:05.120
quantity happens to be exactly the same as the evidence lower bound in machine learning,
link |
00:48:11.280
or Bayesian model evidence in Bayesian statistics, or I can list a whole other list of ways of
link |
00:48:19.280
understanding this key quantity, which is abound on surprises, self information, if you
link |
00:48:29.760
know information theory, there are a number of different perspectives on this quantity.
link |
00:48:34.560
It's just basically the log probability of being in a particular state. I'm telling this story
link |
00:48:41.680
as an honest attempt to answer your question. And I'm answering it as if I was pretending
link |
00:48:49.200
to be a physicist who was trying to understand the fundamentals of non equilibrium steady state.
link |
00:48:57.840
And I shouldn't really be doing that because the last time I was taught physics, I was in my 20s.
link |
00:49:03.680
What kind of systems when you think about the free energy principle, what kind of systems
link |
00:49:07.040
are you imagining as a sort of more specific kind of case study?
link |
00:49:10.720
Yeah, I'm imagining a range of systems, but at its simplest, a single celled organism
link |
00:49:23.360
that can be identified from its eco niche or its environment. So at its simplest,
link |
00:49:30.400
that's basically what I always imagined in my head. And you may ask, well, how on earth
link |
00:49:37.280
can you even elaborate questions about the existence of a single drop of oil, for example?
link |
00:49:48.240
But there are deep questions there. Why doesn't the thing, the interface between the drop of oil
link |
00:49:55.360
that contains an interior and the thing that is not the drop of oil, which is the solvent in
link |
00:50:02.240
which it is immersed? How does that interface persist over time? Why doesn't the oil just dissolve
link |
00:50:09.120
into solvent? So what's special properties of the exchange between the surface of the oil drop
link |
00:50:18.560
and the external states in which it's immersed? If you're a physicist, say it would be the heat
link |
00:50:23.840
path. You've got a physical system, an ensemble again, we're talking about density dynamics,
link |
00:50:29.360
ensemble dynamics, an ensemble of atoms or molecules immersed in the heat path. But the
link |
00:50:36.480
question is, how did the heat path get there? And why is it not dissolved?
link |
00:50:41.200
How's it maintaining itself? Exactly. What actions is it? I mean, it's such a fascinating idea of a
link |
00:50:46.400
drop of oil and I guess it would dissolve in water. It wouldn't dissolve in water. So what?
link |
00:50:52.160
Precisely. So why not? So why not? Why not? And how do you mathematically describe it? I mean,
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00:50:57.120
it's such a beautiful idea and also the idea of where does the drop of oil end and where does it
link |
00:51:06.080
begin? Right. So I mean, you're asking deep questions, deep in a non millennial sense here.
link |
00:51:16.320
But what you can do, so this is a deflationary part of it. Can I just qualify my answer by
link |
00:51:23.200
saying that normally when I'm asked this question, I answer from the point of view of a psychologist
link |
00:51:26.640
when we talk about predictive processing and predictive coding and the brain as an inference
link |
00:51:31.120
machine. But you have asked me from that perspective, I'm answering from the point of view of a
link |
00:51:35.360
physicist. So the question is not so much why, but if it exists, what properties must it display?
link |
00:51:44.480
So that's the deflationary part of the free energy principle. The free energy principle
link |
00:51:48.320
does not supply an answer as to why. It's saying, if something exists, then it must display these
link |
00:51:56.480
properties. That's the thing that's on offer. And it so happens that these properties, it must
link |
00:52:04.080
display are actually intriguing and have this inferential gloss, this sort of self evidencing
link |
00:52:13.360
gloss that inherits on the fact that the very preservation of the boundary between the oil
link |
00:52:20.640
drop and the not oil drop requires an optimization of a particular function or a functional
link |
00:52:28.160
that defines the presence of the existence of this oil drop, which is why I started with
link |
00:52:34.320
existential imperatives. It is a necessary condition for existence that this must occur,
link |
00:52:40.800
because the boundary basically defines the thing that's existing. So it is that self assembly
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00:52:47.600
aspect that you were hinting at in biology, sometimes known as auto poesis in computational
link |
00:52:58.400
chemistry with self assembly. What does it look like? Sorry, how would you describe things that
link |
00:53:06.160
configure themselves out of nothing? The way they clearly demarcate themselves from the states or the
link |
00:53:14.640
soup in which they are immersed. So from the point of view of computational chemistry, for example,
link |
00:53:22.160
you would just understand that as a configuration of a macromolecule to minimize its free energy,
link |
00:53:27.040
its thermodynamic free energy. It's exactly the same principle that we've been talking about,
link |
00:53:31.520
that thermodynamic free energy is just the negative elbow. It's the same mathematical construct.
link |
00:53:38.240
So the very emergence of existence, of structure, of form that can be distinguished from the environment
link |
00:53:45.120
or the thing that is not the thing necessitates the existence of an objective function that it
link |
00:53:56.480
looks as if it is minimizing. It's finding a free energy minima. And so just to clarify,
link |
00:54:02.320
I'm trying to wrap my head around, so the free energy principle says that if something exists,
link |
00:54:09.680
these are the properties it should display. So what that means is we can't just go into a soup
link |
00:54:19.600
and there's no mechanism. A free energy principle doesn't give us a mechanism to find the things
link |
00:54:24.880
that exist. Is that what's implying is being applied that you can use it to reason, to think about
link |
00:54:36.000
study a particular system and say, does this exhibit these qualities?
link |
00:54:41.760
That's an excellent question. But to answer that, I'd have to return to your previous question
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00:54:46.880
about what's the difference between living and nonliving things.
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Yes, actually, sorry. So yeah, maybe we can go there. You drew a line, and forgive me for
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the stupid questions, but you drew a line between living and existing. Is there an
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interesting distinction? I think there is. So things do exist, grains of sand, rocks on the
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moon, trees, you. So all of these things can be separated from the environment in which
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they are immersed. And therefore, they must at some level be optimizing their free energy,
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00:55:32.160
taking this sort of model evidence interpretation of this quantity that basically means they're
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self evidencing. Another nice little twist of phrase here is that you are your own existence
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00:55:44.480
proof. And statistically speaking, which I don't think I said that, somebody did, but I love that
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phrase. You are your own existence proof. Yeah. So it's so existential, isn't it?
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00:55:59.040
I'm going to have to think about that for a few days. That's a beautiful line.
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00:56:06.000
So the step through to answer your question about what's it good for,
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00:56:11.200
well, we go along the following lines. First of all, you have to define what it means to exist,
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00:56:19.600
which down as you've rightly pointed out, you have to define what probabilistic properties
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00:56:24.960
must the states of something possess so that it has so it knows where it finishes. And then you
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write down that down in terms of statistical independence is again sparsity. Again, it's not
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what's connected or what's correlated or what depends upon what it's what's not
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00:56:42.800
correlated and what doesn't depend upon something. Again, it comes down to the deep structures,
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not in this instance hierarchical, but the certainly the structures that emerge from removing
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connectivity and dependency. And in this instance, basically being able to identify the surface of
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00:57:01.440
the oil drop from the water in which it is immersed. And when you do that, you start to realise, well,
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there are actually four kinds of states in any given universe that contains anything,
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00:57:15.520
the things that are internal to the surface, the things that are external to the surface and
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00:57:20.720
the surface in and of itself, which is why I use a metaphor, a little single celled organism that
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00:57:25.440
has an interior and exterior and then the surface of the cell. And that's mathematically a Markov
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blanket. Just to pause, I'm in awe of this concept that there's the stuff outside the surface stuff
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inside the surface and the surface itself, the Markov blanket. It's just the most beautiful
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kind of notion about trying to explore what it means to exist, mathematically. I apologize,
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00:57:48.720
this is the beautiful idea. I came out of California. I changed my mind. I take it all back. So
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you were just talking about the surface, about the Markov blanket.
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00:58:01.280
So this surface or this blanket, these blanket states that are the
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00:58:05.920
because they are now defined in relation to these dependencies and what different states internal
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00:58:20.800
or blanket or external states can, which ones can influence each other and which cannot influence
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00:58:26.640
each other, you can now apply standard results that you would find in non equilibrium physics
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or steady state or thermodynamics or hydrodynamics, usually out of equilibrium solutions and apply
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00:58:42.000
them to this partition. And what it looks like is if all the normal, normal gradient flows that
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00:58:48.080
you would associate with any non equilibrium system, apply in such a way that two part of the
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Markov blanket and the internal states seem to be hill climbing or doing a gradient descent on
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00:59:03.760
the same quantity. And that means that you can now describe the very existence of this oil drop.
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00:59:12.960
You can write down the existence of this oil drop in terms of flows, dynamics, equations of motion
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00:59:19.760
where the blanket states or part of them, we call them active states and the internal states
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00:59:28.000
now seem to be and must be trying to look as if they're minimizing the same function,
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00:59:35.280
which is a lot of probability of occupying these states. The interesting thing is that
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what would they be called if you were trying to describe these things? So
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what we're talking about are internal states, external states and blanket states. Now let's
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carve the blanket states into two sensory states and active states. Operationally, it has to be
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the case that in order for this carving up into different sets of states to exist, the active
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01:00:05.360
states, the Markov blanket cannot be influenced by the external states. And we already know
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01:00:10.480
that the internal states can't be influenced by the external states because the blanket separates
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01:00:15.040
them. So what does that mean? Well, it means the active states, the internal states are now
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01:00:20.000
jointly not influenced by external states. They only have autonomous dynamics. So now you've got
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01:00:26.800
a picture of an oil drop that has autonomy. It has autonomous states. It has autonomous states
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01:00:34.800
in the sense that there must be some parts of the surface of the oil drop that are not influenced
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01:00:39.280
by the external states and all the interior. And together, those two states endow even a
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01:00:44.720
little oil drop with autonomous states that look as if they are optimizing their variational free
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01:00:52.320
energy or their negative elbow, their model evidence. And that would be an interesting
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01:01:01.760
intellectual exercise. And you could say you could even go into the realms of panpsychism,
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01:01:06.400
that everything that exists is implicitly making inferences on self evidencing.
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01:01:11.760
Now, we make the next move. But what about living things? I mean, so let me ask you,
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01:01:19.120
what's the difference between an oil drop and a little tadpole or a little lava or plankton?
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01:01:27.040
The picture was just painted of an oil drop. Just immediately, in a matter of minutes,
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01:01:32.720
took me into the world of panpsychism, where you just convinced me, made me feel like an
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01:01:38.960
oil drop is a living, certainly an autonomous system, but almost a living system. So it has
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01:01:45.440
a sensor capabilities and acting capabilities and it maintains something. So what is the
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01:01:51.840
difference between that and something that we traditionally think of as a living system?
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01:01:59.680
That it could die? Or it can't, I mean, yeah, mortality? I'm not exactly sure. I'm not sure
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01:02:05.680
what the right answer there is, because it can move, like movement seems like an essential
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01:02:11.280
element to being able to act in the environment, but the oil drop is doing that. So I don't know.
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01:02:16.320
Is it? The oil drop will be moved, but does it in and of itself move autonomously?
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01:02:22.480
Well, the surface is performing actions that maintain its structure.
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01:02:29.520
Yeah, you're being too clever. I had in mind a passive little oil drop that's sitting there.
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01:02:35.360
Yeah. At the bottom of the top of a glass of water.
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01:02:39.120
Sure, I guess.
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01:02:40.400
What I'm trying to say is you're absolutely right. You've nailed it. It's movement.
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01:02:45.680
So where does that movement come from? If it comes from the inside,
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01:02:49.280
then then you've got, I think, something that's living.
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01:02:53.200
What do you mean from the inside?
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01:02:54.480
What I mean is that the internal states that can influence the active states,
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01:03:00.960
where the active states can influence, but they're not influenced by the external states,
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01:03:05.040
can cause movement. So there are two types of oil drops, if you like.
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01:03:10.320
There are oil drops where the internal states are so random that they average themselves away,
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01:03:20.240
and the thing cannot balance on average when you do the averaging move.
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01:03:25.840
So a nice example of that would be the sun. The sun certainly has internal states.
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01:03:30.960
There's lots of intrinsic autonomous activity going on, but because it's not coordinated,
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01:03:35.680
because it doesn't have the deep in the millennial sense, a hierarchical structure that the brain
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01:03:39.600
does, there is no overall mode or pattern or organization that expresses itself on the surface
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01:03:48.000
that allows it to actually swim. It can certainly have a very active surface, but on mass at the
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01:03:55.440
scale of the actual surface of the sun, the average position of that surface cannot in itself move,
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01:04:02.880
because the internal dynamics are more like a hot gas. They are literally like a hot gas,
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01:04:08.400
whereas your internal dynamics are much more structured and deeply structured,
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01:04:12.800
and now you can express on your mark of, on your active states with your muscles and
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01:04:18.400
your secretory organs, your autonomic nervous system, and its effectors.
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01:04:22.880
You can actually move, and that's all you can do. And that's something which, you know,
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01:04:28.160
if you haven't thought of it like this before, I think it's nice to just realize there is no other
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01:04:33.280
way that you can change the universe other than simply moving. Whether that moving is
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01:04:40.320
articulating my, with my voice box, or walking around, or squeezing juices out of my secretory
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01:04:47.440
organs, there's only one way you can change the universe. It's moving. And the fact that you do
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01:04:54.720
so non randomly makes you alive. Yeah. So it's that non randomness. And that would be manifested,
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01:05:04.800
we realize in terms of essentially swimming, essentially moving, changing one shape, a morphogenesis
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01:05:11.840
that is dynamic, and possibly adaptive. So that that's what I was trying to get up between the
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01:05:18.160
difference from the oil drop and the little tadpole, that the tadpole is moving around.
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01:05:22.880
Its active states are actually changing the external states. And there's now a cycle,
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01:05:28.400
an action perception cycle, if you like, a recurrent dynamic that's going on that depends upon this
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01:05:34.960
deeply structured autonomous behavior that rests upon internal dynamics that are not only
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01:05:47.600
modeling, the data impressed upon their surface or the blanket states, but they are actively
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01:05:56.080
resampling those data by moving, they're moving towards chemical gradients and chemotaxis.
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01:06:02.240
So they've gone beyond just being good little models of the kind of world they live in. For
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01:06:11.280
example, an oil droplet could, in a panpsychic sense, be construed as a little being that has
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01:06:18.960
now perfectly inferred. It's a passive non living oil drop living in a bowl of water. No problem.
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01:06:26.080
But to now equip that oil drop with the ability to go out and test that hypothesis about different
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01:06:32.960
states of beings, so you can actually push its surface over there, over there, and test for
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01:06:37.520
chemical gradients, or then you start to move to much more lifelike form. This is all fun,
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01:06:44.000
theoretically interesting, but it actually is quite important in terms of reflecting what I
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01:06:49.200
have seen since the turn of the millennium, which is this move towards an inactive and embodied
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01:06:57.360
understanding of intelligence. And you say you're from machine learning. So what that means,
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01:07:07.040
the central importance of movement, I think has yet to really hit machine learning. It certainly
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01:07:14.960
has now diffused itself throughout robotics. And perhaps you could say certain problems in
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01:07:22.480
active vision where you actually have to move the camera to sample this and that. But machine
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01:07:27.760
learning of the data mining deep learning sort simply hasn't contended with this issue. What
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01:07:34.160
it's done instead of dealing with the movement problem and the active sampling of data, it's
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01:07:39.280
just said, we don't need to worry about we can see all the data because we've got big data.
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01:07:43.040
So we need to ignore movement. So that, for me, is an important omission in current machine
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01:07:51.840
learning. The current machine learning is much more like the oil drop. Yes. But an oil drop that
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01:07:57.120
enjoys exposure to nearly all the data it will ever need to be exposed to, as opposed to the
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01:08:04.560
tapels swimming out to find the right data. For example, it likes food. That's a good hypothesis.
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01:08:11.200
Let's test it out. Let's go and move and ingest food, for example, and see what that is that
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01:08:17.120
evidence that I'm the kind of thing that likes this kind of food. So the next natural question,
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01:08:22.560
and forgive this question, but if we think of sort of even artificial intelligence systems,
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01:08:27.440
which has just painted a beautiful picture of existence and life. So do you ascribe,
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01:08:37.280
but do you find within this framework a possibility of defining consciousness or exploring the idea
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01:08:46.400
of consciousness, like what self awareness and expanded to consciousness? How can we start
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01:08:57.600
to think about consciousness within this framework? Is it possible?
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01:09:00.240
Well, I think it's possible to think about it, whether you'll get anywhere. It's another question.
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01:09:06.240
And again, I'm not sure that I'm licensed to answer that question. I think you'd have to
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01:09:13.520
speak to a qualified philosopher to get a definitive answer there. But certainly,
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01:09:17.680
there's a lot of interest in using not just these ideas, but related ideas from information theory
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01:09:24.800
to try and tie down the maths and the calculus and the geometry of consciousness,
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01:09:33.840
either in terms of sort of a minimal consciousness, even less than a minimal
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01:09:41.520
selfhood. And what I'm talking about is the ability effectively to plan, to have agency.
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01:09:50.880
So you could argue that a virus does have a form of agency in virtue of the way that it selectively
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01:09:59.040
finds hosts and cells to live in and moves around. But you wouldn't endow it with the capacity to think
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01:10:08.640
about planning and moving in a purposeful way where it countens as the future. Whereas you might
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01:10:16.720
an ant, you might think an ant's not quite as unconscious as a virus. It certainly seems to
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01:10:24.640
have a purpose. It talks to its friends on route during its foraging. It has a different kind of
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01:10:33.440
autonomy, which is biotic, but beyond a virus.
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01:10:38.000
So there's something about, so there's some line that has to do with the complexity of planning
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01:10:44.160
that may contain an answer. I mean, it would be beautiful if we can find a line beyond which
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01:10:52.560
we can say a being is conscious. These are wonderful lines that we've drawn with existence,
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01:11:00.720
life and consciousness. It will be very nice. One little wrinkle there, and this is something
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01:11:07.680
I've only learned in the past few months, is the philosophical notion of vagueness.
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01:11:11.520
So you're saying it would be wonderful to draw a line. I had always assumed that that line at some
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01:11:17.680
point would be drawn until about four months ago, and the philosopher taught me about vagueness.
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01:11:24.720
So I don't know if you've come across this, but it's a technical concept and I think most
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01:11:30.400
revealingly illustrated with at what point does a pile of sand become a pile?
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01:11:36.080
Is it one grain, two grains, three grains or four grains? So at what point would you draw
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01:11:43.360
the line between being a pile of sand and a collection of grains of sand? In the same way,
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01:11:51.920
is it right to ask, where would I draw the line between conscious and unconscious?
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01:11:56.560
And it might be a vague concept. Having said that, I agree with you entirely.
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01:12:01.280
So systems that have the ability to plan. So just technically what that means is
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01:12:10.000
your inferential self evidencing by which I simply mean the dynamics, literally the
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01:12:17.760
thermodynamics and gradient flows that underwrite the preservation of your oil droplet like form
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01:12:23.920
are described as an optimization of log Bayesian model evidence, your elbow.
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01:12:36.560
That self evidencing must be evidence for a model of what's causing the sensory impressions on the
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01:12:44.560
sensory part of your surface or your Markov blanket. If that model is capable of planning,
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01:12:51.040
it must include a model of the future consequences of your active states or your action just planning.
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01:12:56.560
So we're now in the game of planning as inference. Now notice what we've made though.
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01:13:00.400
We've made quite a big move away from big data and machine learning because again,
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01:13:05.840
it's the consequences of moving. It's the consequences of selecting those data or those
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01:13:11.440
data or looking over there. And that tells you immediately that even to be a contender for
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01:13:18.320
a conscious artifact or a strong AI or general, then you've got to have movement in the game.
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01:13:29.120
And furthermore, you've got to have a generative model of the sort you might find in say a variation
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01:13:34.560
autoencoder that is thinking about the future conditioned upon different courses of action.
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01:13:41.680
Now that brings a number of things to the table, which which now you start to think,
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01:13:45.200
well, those have got all the right ingredients to talk about consciousness. I've now got to
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01:13:49.040
select among a number of different courses of action into the future as part of planning.
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01:13:54.720
I've now got free will. The act of selecting this course of action or that policy or that
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01:13:59.600
policy or that action suddenly makes me into an inference machine, a self evidencing artifact
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01:14:08.640
that now looks as if it's selecting amongst different alternative ways forward as I actively
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01:14:14.160
swim here or swim there or look over here, look over there. So I think you've now got to a situation
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01:14:19.840
if there is planning in the mix, you're now getting much closer to that line if that line
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01:14:25.680
wherever to exist. I don't think it gets you quite as far as self aware, though. I think
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01:14:32.320
and then you're you have to I think grapple with the question.
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01:14:37.680
How would formally write down a calculus or a maths of self awareness? I don't think it's
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01:14:45.040
impossible to do. But I think you would be pressure on you to actually commit to a formal
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01:14:52.720
definition of what you mean by self awareness. I think most people that I know would probably
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01:14:59.440
say that a goldfish, a pet fish was not self aware. They would probably argue about their
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01:15:08.320
favorite cat, but would be quite happy to say that their mum was self aware.
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01:15:15.440
But that might very well connect to some level of complexity with planning. It seems like
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01:15:21.680
self awareness is essential for complex planning.
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01:15:26.320
Yeah. Do you want to take that further? I think you're absolutely right.
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01:15:29.200
Again, the line is unclear, but it seems like integrating yourself into the world,
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01:15:36.240
into your planning, is essential for constructing complex plans.
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01:15:42.080
Yes.
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01:15:43.520
So mathematically describing that in the same elegant way as you have with the free energy
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01:15:49.120
principle might be difficult.
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01:15:51.040
Well, yes and no. I don't think that perhaps we should just, can we just go back? That's
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01:15:57.040
a very important answer you gave. And I think if I just unpacked it, you'd see the truisms
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01:16:02.960
that you've just exposed for us. But let me, sorry, I'm mindful that I didn't answer your
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01:16:10.640
question before. What's the free energy principle good for? Is it just a pretty
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01:16:14.560
theoretical exercise to explain nonequilibrium in steady states? Yes, it is. It does nothing
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01:16:19.840
more for you than that. It can be regarded, it's going to sound very arrogant, but it is of the
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01:16:25.200
sort of theory of natural selection or a hypothesis of natural selection.
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01:16:32.720
Beautiful, undeniably true, but tells you absolutely nothing about why you have legs
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01:16:40.560
and eyes. It tells you nothing about the actual phenotype and it wouldn't allow you to build
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01:16:46.800
something. So the free energy principle by itself is as vacuous as most
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01:16:53.440
tautological theories. And by tautological, of course, I'm talking to the theory of
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01:16:57.760
natural survival of the fittest. What's the fittest survival? Why are the cycles the fitter?
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01:17:02.880
It discorrected circles. In a sense, the free energy principle has that same deflationary
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01:17:09.040
tautology under the hood. It's a characteristic of things that exist. Why do they exist? Because
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01:17:18.480
they minimise their free energy. Why do they minimise their free energy? Because they exist.
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01:17:22.240
And you just keep on going round and round and round. But the practical thing which you
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01:17:30.400
don't get from natural selection, but you could say has now manifest in things like differential
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01:17:36.320
evolution or genetic algorithms and MCMC, for example, in machine learning. The practical
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01:17:41.760
thing you can get is if it looks as if things that exist are trying to have density dynamics
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01:17:49.200
and look as though they're optimising a variational free energy. And a variational free energy has
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01:17:54.480
to be a functional of a generative model, probabilistic description of causes and
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01:18:00.560
consequences, causes out there, consequences in the sensorium on the sensory parts of the
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01:18:05.520
Markov Planckin. Then it should, in theory, impossible to write down the generative model,
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01:18:10.320
work out the gradients, and then cause it to autonomously self evidence. So you should be
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01:18:16.400
able to write down oil droplets. You should be able to create artefacts where you have supplied
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01:18:22.400
the objective function that supplies the gradients that supplies the self organising dynamics to
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01:18:28.560
non equilibrium steady state. So there is actually a practical application, the free energy principle,
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01:18:34.080
when you can write down your required evidence in terms of, well, when you can write down the
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01:18:40.400
generative model, that is the thing that has the evidence, the probability of these sensory data
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01:18:46.640
or this data, given that given that model is effectively the thing that the elbow of the
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01:18:54.240
variational free energy bounds or approximates. That means that you can actually write down the
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01:19:00.160
model. And the kind of thing that you want to engineer the kind of AGI artificial general
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01:19:06.880
intelligence that you want to manifest probabilistically. And then you engineer a robot and a computer
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01:19:19.680
to perform a gradient descent on that objective function. So it does have a practical implication.
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01:19:26.000
Now, why am I wittering on about that? It did seem relevant to, yes. So what kinds of, so the
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01:19:31.920
answer to, would it be easy or would it be hard? Well, mathematically, it's easy. I've just told
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01:19:37.040
you all you need to do is write down your perfect artefact probabilistically in the form of a
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01:19:45.280
probabilistic generative model, a probability distribution over the causes and consequences
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01:19:49.760
of the world in which this thing is immersed. And then you just engineer a computer and a robot
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01:19:57.920
to form a gradient descent on that objective function. No problem. But of course, the big
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01:20:03.680
problem is writing down the generative model. So that's where the heavy lifting comes in.
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01:20:07.920
So it's the form and the structure of that generative model, which basically defines the
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01:20:14.080
artefact that you will create or indeed the kind of artefact that has self awareness.
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01:20:19.520
So that's where all the hard work comes in very much like natural selection doesn't tell you in
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01:20:24.640
the slightest why you have eyes. So you have to drill down on the actual phenotype, the actual
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01:20:29.840
generative model. So with that in mind, what did you tell me that tells me immediately the kinds
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01:20:38.960
of generative models I would have to write down in order to have self awareness? What you said to me
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01:20:44.240
was I have to have a model that is effectively fit for purpose for this kind of world in which I
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01:20:52.160
operate. And if I now make the observation that this kind of world is effectively largely populated
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by other things like me, i.e. you, then it makes enormous sense that if I can develop a hypothesis
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that we are similar kinds of creatures, in fact, the same kind of creature, but I am me and you
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are you, then it becomes again mandated to have a sense of self. So if I live in a world
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that is constituted by things like me, basically a social world or community,
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then it becomes necessary now for me to infer that it's me talking and not you talking. I wouldn't
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need that if it was on Mars by myself or if I was in the jungle as a feral child. If there was
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nothing like me around, there would be no need to have an inference that a hypothesis, oh yes,
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it is me that is experiencing or causing these sounds and it is not you. It's only when there's
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ambiguity in play induced by the fact that there are others in that world. So I think that the
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special thing about self aware artifacts is that they have learned to or they have acquired,
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or at least not equipped with, possibly by evolution, generative models that allow for the
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fat. There are lots of copies of things like them around and therefore they have to work out it's
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you and not me. That's brilliant. I've never thought of that. I never thought of that,
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that the purpose of the really usefulness of consciousness or self awareness in the context
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of planning existing in the world is so you can operate with other things like you. It doesn't
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have to necessarily be human, it could be other kind of similar creatures. Absolutely. Well,
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we view a lot of our attributes into our pets, don't we? Or we try to make our robots humanoid.
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And I think there's a deep reason for that, that it's just much easier to read the world
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if you can make the simplifying assumption that basically you're me and it's just your turn to
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talk. I mean, when we talk about planning, when you talk specifically about planning, the highest
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if like manifestation or realization of that planning is what we're doing now. I mean,
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the human condition doesn't get any higher than this talking about the philosophy of existence
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and the conversation. But in that conversation, there is a beautiful art of turn taking
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and mutual inference, theory of mind. I have to know when you want to listen,
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I have to know when you want to interrupt, I have to make sure that you're online,
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I have to have a model in my head of your model in your head. That's the highest,
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the most sophisticated form of generative model, where the generative model actually has a
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generative model, somebody else's generative model. And I think that and what we are doing now
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evinces the kinds of generative models that would support self awareness. Because without that,
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we'd both be talking over each other, or we'd be singing together in a choir. That's not a
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brilliant analogy for what I'm trying to say, but we wouldn't have this discourse.
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Yeah, the dance of it. Yeah, that's right. You get to have as I interrupt. I mean, that's
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beautifully put. I'll re listen to this conversation many times. There's so much
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poetry in this and mathematics. Let me ask the silliest or perhaps the biggest question
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as a last kind of question. We've talked about living in existence and the objective function
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under which these objects would operate. What do you think is the objective function of our
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existence? What's the meaning of life? What do you think is the for you perhaps, the purpose, the
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source of fulfillment, the source of meaning for your existence as one blob in the soup?
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I'm tempted to answer that again as a physicist. Free energy, I expect consequent upon my behavior.
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So technically, we can get a really interesting conversation about
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what that comprises in terms of searching for information, resolving uncertainty about the
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kind of thing that I am. But I suspect that you want a slightly more personal and fun answer.
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But which is can be consistent with that. And I think it's reassuringly simple and
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harps back to what you were taught as a child, that you have certain beliefs about the kind of
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creature and the kind of person you are. And all that self evidencing means, all that minimizing
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variational free energy in an inactive and embodied way means is fulfilling the beliefs
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about what kind of thing you are. And of course, we're all given those scripts, those narratives
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very early age, usually in the former bedtime stories or fairy stories that I'm a princess
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and I'm going to make a beast who's going to transform. The narratives are all around you
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from your parents to the friends, to the society feeds these stories. And then your objective
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function is to fulfill. Exactly. That narrative that has been encultured by your immediate family,
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but as you say also, the sort of the culture in which you grew up. And you create for yourself.
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I mean, again, because of this active inference, this inactive aspect of self evidencing, you know,
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not only am I modeling my environment, my economy, my my external states out there,
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but I'm actively changing them all the time. And external states are doing the same back,
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we're doing it together. So there's a synchrony that means that I'm creating my own culture
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over different timescales. So the question now is for me being very selfish, what scripts were I
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given? It basically was a mixture between Einstein and shark homes. So I smoke as heavily as possible,
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try to avoid too much interpersonal contact. Yeah, enjoy the fantasy that you're a popular
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01:27:20.320
scientist who's going to make a difference in a slightly quirky way. So that's what I grew up on.
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My father was an engineer and loved science and he loved, you know, sort of things like Sir Arthur
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Edwards, Space, Time and Gravitation, which was the first understandable version of general
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relativity. And so all the fairy stories I was told as I was growing up were all about these
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characters. I'm keeping the hobbit out of this because that was quite fit my narrative. There's
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a journey of exploration, I suppose, of sorts. So yeah, I've just grown up to be what I imagine
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a mild mannered Sherlock Holmes slash Albert Einstein would would do in my shoes.
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And you did it elegantly and beautifully. Carl was a huge honor talking today. It was fun.
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Thank you so much for your time. Thank you, Shane. Thank you for listening to this conversation
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with Carl Friston. And thank you to our presenting sponsor, Cash App. Please consider supporting
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01:28:22.320
the podcast by downloading Cash App and using code Lex podcast. If you enjoy this podcast,
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01:28:28.320
subscribe on YouTube, review it with five stars and Apple podcast, support on Patreon,
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01:28:33.280
or simply connect with me on Twitter at Lex Friedman. And now let me leave you with some words
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from Carl Friston. Your arm moves because you predict it will. And your motor system seeks
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01:28:46.000
to minimize prediction error. Thank you for listening. I hope to see you next time.