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Francis Collins: National Institutes of Health (NIH) | Lex Fridman Podcast #238


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The following is a conversation with Francis Collins, director of the NIH, the National
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Institutes of Health, appointed and reappointed to the role by three presidents, Obama, Trump,
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and Biden. He oversees 27 separate institutes and centers, including NIAID, which makes
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him Anthony Fauci's boss. At the NIH, Francis helped launch and led a huge number of projects
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that pushed the frontiers of science, health, and medicine, including one of my favorites,
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the BRAIN Initiative, that seeks to map the human brain and understand how the function
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arises from the neural circuitry. Before the NIH, Francis led the Human Genome Project,
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one of the largest and most ambitious efforts in the history of science. Given all that,
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Francis is a humble, thoughtful, kind man, and because of this, to me, he's one of the
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best representatives of science in the world. He is a man of God, and yet, also a friend
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of the late Christopher Hitchens, who called him, quote, one of the greatest living Americans.
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This is a Lex Friedman podcast. To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description.
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And now, here's my conversation with Francis Collins.
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Science at its best is a source of hope. So for me, it's been difficult to watch, as it
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has during the pandemic, become at times a source of division. What I would love to do
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in this conversation with you is touch some difficult topics, and do so with empathy and
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humility so that we may begin to regain a sense of trust in science, and that it may
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once again become a source of hope. I hope that's okay with you.
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I love the goal.
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Let's start with some hard questions. You called for, quote, thorough, expert driven,
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and objective inquiry into the origins of COVID 19. So let me ask, is there a reasonable
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chance that COVID 19 leaked from a lab?
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I can't exclude that. I think it's fairly unlikely. I wish we had more ability to be
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able to ask questions of the Chinese government and learn more about what kind of records
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might have been in the lab that we've never been able to see. But most likely, this was
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a natural origin of a virus, probably starting in a bat, perhaps traveling through some other
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intermediate, yet to be identified host, and finding its way into humans.
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Is answering this question within the realm of science, do you think, will we ever know?
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I think we might know if we find that intermediate host. And there has not yet been a thorough
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enough investigation to say that that's not going to happen. And remember, it takes a
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while to do this. With SARS, it was 14 years before we figured out it was the civet cat
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that was the intermediate host. With MERS, it was a little quicker to discover it was
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the camel. With SARS COVID 2, there's been some looking, but especially now with everything
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really tense between the US and China, if there's looking going on, we're not getting
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told about it.
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Do you think it's a scientific question or a political question?
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It's a scientific question, but it has political implications.
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So the world is full of scientists that are working together, but in the political space,
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in the political science space, there's tensions. What is it like to do great science in a time
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of a pandemic when there's political tensions?
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It's very unfortunate. Pasteur said science knows no one country. He was right about that.
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My whole career in genetics, especially, has depended upon international collaboration between
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scientists as a way to make discoveries, get things done. Scientists, by their nature,
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like to be involved in international collaborations. The Human Genome Project, for heaven's sake,
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2,400 scientists in six countries working together, not worrying who is going to get
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the credit, giving all the data away. I was the person who was supposed to keep all that
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coordinated. It was a wonderful experience, and that included China. That was sort of
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their first real entry into a big international, big science kind of project, and they did
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their part. It's very different now.
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Continuing the line of difficult questions, especially difficult ethical questions. In
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2014, U.S. put a hold on gain of function research in response to a number of laboratory
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biosecurity incidents, including anthrax, smallpox, and influenza. In December 2017,
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NIH lifted this ban because, quote, gain of function research is important in helping
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us identify, understand, and develop strategies and effective countermeasures against rapidly
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evolving pathogens that pose a threat to public health. All difficult questions have arguments
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on both sides. Can you argue the pros and cons of gain of function research with viruses?
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I can, and first let me say this term, gain of function, is causing such confusion that
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I need to take a minute and just sort of talk about what the common scientific use of that
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term is and where it is very different when we're talking about the current oversight
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of potentially dangerous human pathogens. As you know, in science, we're doing gain
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of function experiments all the time. We support a lot of cancer immunotherapy at NIH. Right
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here in our clinical center, there are trials going on where people's immune cells are taken
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out of their body, treated with a genetic therapy that revs up their ability to discover
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the cancer that that patient currently has, maybe even at stage four, and then give them
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back as those little ninja warriors go after the cancer. It sometimes works dramatically.
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That's gain of function. You gave that patient a gain in their immune function that may have
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saved their life. We've got to be careful not to say, oh, gain of function is bad. Most
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of what we do in science that's good involves quite a bit of that. We are all living with
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gains of function every day. I have a gain of function because I'm wearing these eyeglasses.
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Otherwise, I would not be seeing you as clearly. I'm happy for that gain of function. That's
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where a lot of confusion has happened. The kind of gain of function which is now subject
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to very rigorous and very carefully defined oversight is when you are working with an
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established human pathogen that is known to be potentially causing a pandemic and you
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are enhancing or potentially enhancing its transmissibility or its virulence. We call
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that EPPP, enhanced potential pandemic pathogen. That requires this very stringent oversight
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worked out over three years by the National Science Advisory Board on Biosecurity that
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needs to be looked at by a panel that goes well beyond NIH to decide are the benefits
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worth the risks in that situation. Most of the time, it's not worth the risk. Only three
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times in the last three or four years have experiments been given permission to go forward.
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They were all on influenza. So I will argue that if you're worried about the next pandemic,
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the more you know about the coming enemy, the better chance you have to recognize when
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trouble is starting. And so if you can do it safely, studying influenza or coronaviruses
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like SARS, MERS, and SARS CoV2 would be a good thing to be able to know about. But you
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have to be able to do it safely because we all know lab accidents can happen. I mean,
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look at SARS where there have been lab accidents and people have gotten sick as a result. We
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don't want to take that chance unless there's a compelling scientific reason. That's why
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we have this very stringent oversight. The experiments being done at the Wuhan Institute
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of Virology as a subaward to our grant to EcoHealth in New York did not meet that standard
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of requiring that kind of stringent oversight. I want to be really clear about that because
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there's been so much thrown around about it. Was it gain of function? Well, in the standard
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use of that term that you would use in science in general, you might say it was. But in the
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use of that term that applies to this very specific example of a potential pandemic pathogen,
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absolutely not. So nothing went on there that should not have happened based upon the oversight.
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There was an instance where the grantee institution failed to notify us about the result of an
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experiment that they were supposed to tell us where they mixed and matched some viral
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genomes and got a somewhat larger viral load as a result. But it was not EPPP. It was not
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getting into that zone that would have required this higher level of scrutiny. It was all
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bat viruses. These were not human pathogens.
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So they didn't cross a threshold within that gray area that makes for an EPPP?
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They did not. And anybody who's willing to take the time to look at what EPPP means and
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what those experiments were would have to agree with what I just said.
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What is the biggest reason it didn't cross that threshold? Is it because it wasn't jumping
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to humans? Is it because it did not have a sufficient increase in virulence or transmissibility?
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What's your sense?
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EPPP only applies to agents that are known human pathogens of pandemic potential. These
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were all bat viruses derived in the wild, not shown to be infectious to humans. Just
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looking at what happened if you took four different bat viruses and you tried moving
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the spike protein gene from one into one of the others to see whether it would bind better
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to the ACE2 receptor. That doesn't get across that threshold.
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And let me also say, for those who are trying to connect the dots here, which is the most
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troubling part of this, and say, well, this is how SARS CoV2 got started. That is absolutely
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demonstrably false. These bat viruses that were being studied had only about 80% similarity
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in their genomes to SARS CoV2. They were like decades away in evolutionary terms. And it
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is really irresponsible for people to claim otherwise.
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Speaking of people who claim otherwise, Rand Paul, what do you make of the battle of words
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between Senator Rand Paul and Dr. Anthony Fauci over this particular point?
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I don't want to talk about specific members of Congress, but I will say it's really unfortunate
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that Tony Fauci, who is the epitome of a dedicated public servant, has now somehow been targeted
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for political reasons as somebody that certain figures are trying to discredit, perhaps to
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try to distract from their own failings. This never should have happened. Here's a person
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who's dedicated his whole life to trying to prevent illnesses from infectious diseases,
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including HIV in the 1980s and 90s, and now probably the most knowledgeable infectious
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disease physician in the world, and also a really good communicator, is out there telling
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the truth about where we are with SARS CoV2 to certain political figures who don't want
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to hear it, and who are therefore determined to discredit him. And that is disgraceful.
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So with politicians, they often play games with black and white. They try to sort of
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use the gray areas of science and then paint their own picture. But I have a question about
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the gray areas of science. So like you mentioned, gain of function is a term that has very specific
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scientific meaning, but it also has a more general term. And it's very possible to argue
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that the, not to argue, not the way politicians argue, but just as human beings and scientists,
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that there was a gain of function achieved at the Wuhan Institute of Virology, but it
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didn't cross a threshold. I mean, there's a, it's a, but it could have too. So here's
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the thing. When you do these kinds of experiments, unexpected results may be achieved. And that's
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the gray area of science. You're taking risks with such experiments. And I am very uncomfortable
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that we can't discuss the uncertainty in the gray area of this.
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Oh, I'm comfortable discussing the gray area. What I'm uncomfortable with is people deciding
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to define for themselves what that threshold is based on sort of some political argument.
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The threshold was very explicitly laid out. Everybody agreed to that in the basis of this
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three years of deliberation. So that's what it is. If that threshold needs to be reconsidered,
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let's reconsider it, but let's not try to take an experiment that's already been done
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and decide that the threshold isn't what it was, because that really is doing a disservice
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to the whole process.
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I wish there was a discussion, even in response to Rand Paul, I know we're not talking about
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specific senators, but just that particular case, I'm saying stuff here. I wish there
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was an opportunity to talk about, given the current threshold, this is not gain of function.
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But maybe we need to reconsider the threshold and have an action. That's an opportunity
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for discussion about the ethics of gain of function. You said that there was three studies
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that passed that threshold with influenza. That's a fascinating human question, scientific
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question about ethics, because like you said, there's pros and cons. You're taking risks
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here to prevent horribly destructive viruses in the future, but you also are risking creating
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such viruses in the future. With nuclear weapons and nuclear energy, nuclear energy promises
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a lot of positive effects, and yet you're taking risks here. With mutually shared destruction,
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nations possessing nuclear weapons, a lot of people argue that nuclear weapons is the
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reason we've prevented world wars, and yet they also have the risk of starting world
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wars. And this is what we have to be honest about with the benefits and risks of science,
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that you have to make that calculation. What are the pros and what are the cons?
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I'm totally with you, but I want to reassure you, Lex, that this is not an issue that's
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been ignored. That this issue about the kind of gain of function that might result in a
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serious human pathogen has been front and center in many deliberations for a decade
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or more, involved a lot of my time along the way, by the way, and has been discussed publicly
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on multiple occasions, including two major meetings of the National Academy of Sciences,
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getting input from everybody and ultimately arriving at our current framework. Now, we
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actually back in January of 2020, just before COVID 19 changed everything, had planned and
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even charged that same National Science Advisory Board on Biosecurity to reconvene and look
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at the current framework and say, do we have it right? Let's look at the experience over
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those three years and say, is the threshold too easy, too hard? Do we need to reconsider
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it? Let's look at the experience. COVID came along, the members of the board said, please,
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we're all infectious disease experts. We don't have time for this right now. But I think
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the time is right to do this. I'm totally supportive of that. And that should be just
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as public a discussion as you can imagine about what are the benefits and the risks.
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And if somebody decided, ultimately, this came together and said, we just shouldn't
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be doing these experiments under any circumstances. If that was the conclusion, well, that would
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be the conclusion. But it hasn't been so far.
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If we can briefly look out into the next hundred years on this. I apologize for the existential
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questions. But it seems obvious to me that as gain of function type of research and development
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becomes easier and cheaper, it will become greater and greater risk. So if it doesn't
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no longer need to be contained within laboratories of high security, it feels like this is one
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of the greatest threats facing human civilization. Do you worry that at some point in the future
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a leaked manmade virus may destroy most of human civilization?
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I do worry about the risks. And at the moment where we have the greatest control, the greatest
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oversight is when this is federally funded research. But as you're alluding, there's
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no reason to imagine that's the only place that this kind of activity would go on. If
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there was an evil source that wished to create a virus that was highly pathogenic in their
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garage, the technology does get easier. And there is no international oversight about
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this either that you could say has the same stringency as what we have in the United States.
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So yes, that is a concern. It would take a seriously deranged group or person to undertake
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this on purpose, given the likelihood that they too would go down. We don't imagine there
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are going to be bioweapons that only kill your enemies and don't kill you. Sorry, we're
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too much alike for that to work. So I don't see it as an imminent risk. There's lots of
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scary novels and movies written about it. But I do think it's something we have to consider.
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What are all the things that ought to be watched? You may not know that if somebody is ordering
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a particular oligonucleotide from one of the main suppliers, and it happens to match smallpox,
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they're going to get caught. So there is effort underway to try to track any nefarious actions
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that might be going on.
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In the United States or internationally? Is there an international collaboration of try
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to track this stuff?
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There is some. I wish it were stronger. This is a general issue, Lex, in terms of do we
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have a mechanism, particularly when it comes to ethical issues, to be able to decide what's
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allowable and what's not and enforce it. I mean, look where we are with germline genome
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editing for humans, for instance. There is no enforcement mechanism. There's just bully
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pulpits and governments that get to decide for themselves.
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You talked about evil. What about incompetence? Does that worry you? I was born in the Soviet
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Union. My dad, a physicist, worked at Chernobyl. That comes to mind. That wasn't evil. I don't
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know what word you want to put it. Maybe incompetence is too harsh. Maybe it's the inherent incompetence
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of bureaucracy. I don't know. But for whatever reason, there was an accident. Does that worry
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you?
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Of course it does. We know that SARS, for instance, did manage to leak out of a lab
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in China two or three times. At least in some instances, people died, fortunately quickly
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contained. All one can do in that circumstance, because you need to study the virus and understand
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it in order to keep it from causing a broader pandemic, but you need to insist upon the
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kind of biosecurity, the BSL 2, 3, and 4 framework under which those experiments have to be done.
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Certainly at NIH, we're extremely rigorous about that, but you can't count on every human
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being to always do exactly what they're supposed to. There's a risk there, which is another
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reason why if we're contemplating supporting research on pathogens that might be the next
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pandemic, you have to factor that in, not just whether people are going to do something
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that we couldn't have predicted, where all of a sudden they created a virus that's much
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worse without knowing they were going to do that, but also just having an accident. That's
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in the mix when those estimates are done about whether the risk is worth it or not.
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Continuing on line of difficult questions.
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We're going to get to fun stuff after a while.
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We will soon, I promise. You are the director of the NIH. You are Dr. Anthony Fauci's, technically
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his boss.
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Yep.
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You have stood behind him. You have supported him, just like you did already in this conversation.
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It is painful for me to see division and distrust, but many people in politics and elsewhere
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have called for Anthony Fauci to be fired. When there are such calls of distrust in public
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about a leader like Anthony Fauci, who should garner trust, do you think he should be fired?
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Probably not. To do so would be basically to give the opportunity for those who want
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to make up stories about anybody to destroy them. There is nothing in the ways in which
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Tony Fauci has been targeted that is based upon truth. How could we then accept those
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cries for his firing as having legitimacy? It's a circular argument. They've decided
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they don't like Tony, so they make up stuff and they twist comments that he's made about
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things like gain of function, where he's referring to the very specific gain of function that's
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covered by this policy, and they're trying to say he lied to the Congress. That's simply
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not true. They don't like the fact that Tony changes the medical recommendations about
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what to do with COVID 19 over the space of more than a year. They call that flip flopping
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and you can't trust the guy because he says one thing last year and one thing this year.
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Well, the science has changed. Delta variant has changed everything. You don't want him
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to be saying the same thing he did a year ago. That would be wrong now. It was the best
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we could do then. People don't understand that or else they don't want to understand
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it. So when you basically whip up a largely political argument against a scientist and
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hammer at it over and over again to the point where he now has to have 24 seven security
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to protect him against people who really want to do violence to him. For that to be a reason
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to say that then he should be fired is to hand the evil forces the victory. I will not
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do that. Yet there's something difficult I'm going to try to express to you. So it may
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be your guitar playing. It may be something else, but there's a humility to you. It may
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be because you're a man of God. There's a humility to you that garners trust. And when
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00:23:45.920
you're in a leadership position representing science, especially in catastrophic events
link |
00:23:51.400
like the pandemic, it feels like as a leader, you have to go far above and beyond your usual
link |
00:23:59.800
duties. And I think there's no question that Anthony Fauci has delivered on his duties,
link |
00:24:07.080
but it feels like he needs to go above as a science communicator. And if there's a large
link |
00:24:11.840
number of people that are distrusting him, it's also his responsibility to garner their
link |
00:24:20.080
trust to gain their trust as a person who's the face of science. Do you, are you torn
link |
00:24:27.400
on this? The responsibility of Anthony Fauci of yourself to represent science, not just
link |
00:24:34.160
the communication of advising what should be done, but giving people hope, giving people
link |
00:24:41.400
trust in science and alleviating division. Do you think that's also responsibility of
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00:24:47.320
a leader or is that unfair to ask?
link |
00:24:50.640
I think the best way you give people trust is to tell them the truth. And so they recognize
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00:24:55.380
that when you're sharing information, it's the best you've got at that point. And Tony
link |
00:24:59.920
Fauci does that at every moment. I don't think him expressing more humility would change
link |
00:25:06.920
the fact that they're looking for a target of somebody to blame, to basically distract
link |
00:25:12.740
people from the failings of their own political party. Maybe I'm less targeted, not because
link |
00:25:19.480
of a difference in the way in which I convey the information. I'm less visible. If Tony
link |
00:25:25.640
were out of the scene and I was placed in that role, I'd probably be seeing a ratcheting
link |
00:25:31.320
up of that same targeting.
link |
00:25:34.480
I would like to believe that if Tony Fauci said that when I originally made recommendations
link |
00:25:42.600
not to wear masks, that was given on the, on the, our best available data. And now we
link |
00:25:48.320
know that is a mistake. So admit with humility that there's an error. That's not, that's
link |
00:25:54.620
not actually correct, but that's a, that's a statement of humility. And I would like
link |
00:26:00.520
to believe, despite the attacks, he would win a lot of people over with that. So a lot
link |
00:26:07.760
of people, as you're saying, would use that, see that here we go, here's that Dr. Anthony
link |
00:26:13.720
Fauci making mistakes. How can we trust them on anything? I believe if he was that public
link |
00:26:20.880
display of humility to say that I made an error, that would win a lot of people over.
link |
00:26:28.240
That's my, that's kind of my sense to face the fire of the attacks from politics. You
link |
00:26:34.680
have to, like politicians will attack no matter what, but the question is the people, to win
link |
00:26:40.960
over the people. The biggest concern I've had is that there was this, this stress of
link |
00:26:47.240
science that's been brewing and I'm, maybe you can correct me, but I'm a little bit unwilling
link |
00:26:53.360
to fully blame the politicians because politicians play their games no matter what. It just feels
link |
00:27:00.520
like this was an opportunity to inspire people with the power of science. The development
link |
00:27:05.880
of the vaccines, no matter what you think of those vaccines is one of the greatest accomplishments
link |
00:27:11.440
in the history of science. And the fact that that's not inspiring, listen, I host a podcast.
link |
00:27:19.360
Whenever I say positive stuff about the vaccine, I get to hear a lot of different opinions.
link |
00:27:25.840
The fact that I do is a big problem to me because it's an incredible, an incredible
link |
00:27:31.080
accomplishment of science. And so I, I, I, I, I'm sorry, but I have to put responsibility
link |
00:27:38.840
on the leaders, even if it's not their mistakes. That's what the leadership is. That's what
link |
00:27:44.120
leadership is. You take responsibility for the situation. I wonder if there's something
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00:27:48.640
that could have been done better to give people hope that science will save us as opposed
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00:27:56.480
to science will divide us.
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00:28:00.840
I think you have more confidence in the ability to get beyond our current divisions than I
link |
00:28:07.120
do after seeing just how deep and dark they have become. Tony Fauci has said multiple
link |
00:28:14.000
times the recommendation about not wearing masks was for two reasons, a shortage of masks,
link |
00:28:20.560
which were needed in hospitals and a lack of realization early in the course of the
link |
00:28:26.000
epidemic that this was a virus that could heavily infect asymptomatic people. As that
link |
00:28:34.760
changed, he changed. Now, did he make an error? No, he was making a judgment based on the
link |
00:28:40.080
data available at the time, but he certainly made that clear over and over again. It has
link |
00:28:45.520
not stopped those who would like to demonize him from saying, well, he just flip flopped.
link |
00:28:51.680
You can't trust a guy. He says one thing today and one thing tomorrow.
link |
00:28:55.480
Well, masks is a tricky one. So I'm actually early on, I'm a coauthor on a paper, one of
link |
00:29:02.800
many, but this was a survey paper overlooking the, the evidence. It's a summary of the evidence
link |
00:29:09.400
we have for the effectiveness of masks. It seems that it's difficult to do rigorous scientific
link |
00:29:17.120
study on masks.
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00:29:18.120
It is difficult.
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00:29:19.120
There's a lot of philosophical and ethical questions I want to ask you, but within this,
link |
00:29:26.000
it's back to your words and Anthony Fauci's words. When you're dealing with so much uncertainty
link |
00:29:33.760
and so much potential uncertainty about how catastrophic this virus is in the early days,
link |
00:29:40.960
and knowing that each word you say may create panic, how do you communicate science with
link |
00:29:47.800
the world? It's a philosophical, it's an ethical, it's a practical question. There was a discussion
link |
00:29:56.520
about masks a century ago and that too led to panic. So, I mean, I'm trying to put myself
link |
00:30:06.480
in the mind, in your mind, in the mind of Anthony Fauci in those early days, knowing
link |
00:30:10.700
that there's limited supply of masks. Like, what do you say? Do you fully convey the uncertainty
link |
00:30:17.220
of the situation of the, of the challenges of the supply chain? Or do you say that masks
link |
00:30:23.960
don't work? That's a complicated calculation. How do you make that calculation?
link |
00:30:32.600
It is a complicated calculation. As a scientist, your temptation would be to give a full brain
link |
00:30:41.060
dump of all the details of the information about what's known and what isn't known and
link |
00:30:46.080
what experiments need to be done. Most of the time that's not going to play well in
link |
00:30:51.160
a soundbite on the evening news. So you have to kind of distill it down to a recommendation
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00:30:55.960
that is the best you can do at that time with the information you've got.
link |
00:31:01.340
So you're a man of God. And we'll return to that to talk about some, some also unanswerable
link |
00:31:08.740
philosophical questions. But first let's linger on the vaccine because in the, in the religious,
link |
00:31:15.580
in the Christian community, there was some hesitancy with the vaccine.
link |
00:31:19.200
Still is.
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00:31:20.200
There's a lot of data showing high efficacy and safety of vaccines, of COVID vaccines,
link |
00:31:27.900
but still they are far from perfect as all vaccines are. Can you empathize with people
link |
00:31:33.120
who are hesitant to take the COVID vaccine or to have their children take the COVID vaccine?
link |
00:31:39.000
I can totally empathize, especially when people are barraged by conflicting information coming
link |
00:31:44.980
at them from all kinds of directions. I've spent a lot of my time in the last year trying
link |
00:31:50.920
to figure out how to do a better job of listening because I think we have all got the risk of
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00:31:59.100
assuming we know the basis for somebody's hesitancy. And that often doesn't turn out
link |
00:32:06.240
to be what you thought. And the variety of reasons is quite broad. I think a big concern
link |
00:32:14.780
is just this sense of uncertainty about whether this was done too fast and that corners were
link |
00:32:20.180
cut and there are good answers to that. Along with that, a sense that maybe this vaccine
link |
00:32:28.100
will have longterm effects that we won't know about for years to come. And one can say that
link |
00:32:33.920
hasn't been seen with other vaccines and there's no particular reason to think this one's going
link |
00:32:38.080
to be different than the dozens of others that we have experience with. But you can't
link |
00:32:41.980
absolutely say, no, there's no chance of that. So it does come down to listening and then
link |
00:32:49.540
trying in a fashion that doesn't convey a message that you're smarter than the person
link |
00:32:57.460
you're talking to because that isn't going to help to really address what the substance
link |
00:33:02.580
is of the concerns. But my heart goes out to so many people who are fearful about this
link |
00:33:09.540
because of all the information that has been dumped on them. Some of it by politicians,
link |
00:33:16.220
a lot of it by the internet, some of it by parts of the media that seem to take pleasure
link |
00:33:24.380
in stirring up this kind of fear for their own reasons. And that is shameful. I'm really
link |
00:33:31.700
sympathetic with the people who are confused and fearful. I am not sympathetic with people
link |
00:33:38.220
who are distributing information that's demonstrably false and continue to do so. They're taking
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00:33:44.060
lives. I didn't realize how strong that sector of disinformation would be. And it's been
link |
00:33:54.740
in many ways more effective than the means of spreading the truth. This is going to take
link |
00:34:00.740
us into another place. But Lex, if there's something I'm really worried about in this
link |
00:34:06.260
country, and it's not just this country, but it's the one I live in, is that we have another
link |
00:34:10.980
epidemic besides COVID 19. And it's an epidemic of the loss of the anchor of truth. That truth
link |
00:34:20.740
as a means of making decisions, truth as a means of figuring out how to wrestle with
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00:34:27.100
a question like, should I get this vaccine for myself or my children, seems to have lost
link |
00:34:33.300
its primacy. And instead, it's an opinion of somebody who expressed it very strongly,
link |
00:34:42.780
or some Facebook post that I read two hours ago. And for those to become substitutes for
link |
00:34:51.440
objective truth, not just, of course, for vaccines, but for many other issues, like
link |
00:34:58.820
was the 2020 election actually fair? This worries me deeply. It's bad enough to have
link |
00:35:06.020
polarization and divisions, but to have no way of resolving those by actually saying,
link |
00:35:12.660
okay, what's true here, makes me very worried about the path we're on. And I'm usually an
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00:35:18.180
optimist.
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00:35:19.180
Well, to give you an optimistic angle on this, I actually think that the sense that there's
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00:35:27.220
no one place for truth is just a thing that will inspire leaders and science communicators
link |
00:35:35.100
to speak, not from a place of authority, but from a place of humility. I think it's just
link |
00:35:39.740
challenging people to communicate in a new way, to be listeners first. I think the problem
link |
00:35:46.940
isn't that there's a lot of misinformation. I think that the internet and the world are
link |
00:35:59.380
distrustful of people who speak as if they possess the truth with an authoritarian kind
link |
00:36:06.340
of tone, which was, I think, defining for what science was in the 20th century. I just
link |
00:36:12.780
think it has to sound different in the 21st. In the battle of ideas, I think humility and
link |
00:36:20.100
love wins. And that's how science wins, not through having quote unquote truth. Because
link |
00:36:27.260
now everybody can just say, I have the truth. I think you have to speak, like I said, from
link |
00:36:34.300
humility, not authority. And so it's just challenges our leaders to go back and learn
link |
00:36:40.480
to be, pardon my French, less assholes and more kind. And like you said, to listen, to
link |
00:36:48.260
listen to the experiences of people that are good people, not the ones who are trying to
link |
00:36:52.580
manipulate the system or play a game and so on, but real people who are just afraid of
link |
00:36:58.380
uncertainty of hurting those they loved and so on. So I think it's just an opportunity
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00:37:03.700
for leaders to go back and take a class on effective communication.
link |
00:37:09.020
I'm with you on shifting more from where we are to humility and love. That's got to be
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00:37:14.780
the right answer. That's very biblical, by the way.
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00:37:18.500
We'll get there. I have to bring up Joe Rogan. I don't know if you know who he is.
link |
00:37:24.060
I do.
link |
00:37:25.060
He's a podcaster, comedian, fighting commentator, and my now friend.
link |
00:37:30.460
And Iver Mecton believer too.
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00:37:32.700
Yes. That is the question I have to ask you about. He has gotten some flack in the mainstream
link |
00:37:38.620
media for not getting vaccinated. And when he got COVID recently, taking Iver Mecton
link |
00:37:44.540
as part of a cocktail of treatments. The NIH actually has a nice page on Iver Mecton saying
link |
00:37:50.380
quote, there's insufficient evidence to recommend either for or against the use of Iver Mecton
link |
00:37:57.100
for the treatment of COVID 19 results from adequately powered, well designed and well
link |
00:38:02.860
conducted clinical trials are needed to provide more specific evidence based guidance on the
link |
00:38:07.900
role of Iver Mecton in the treatment of COVID 19.
link |
00:38:12.500
So let me ask, why do you think there has been so much attack on Joe Rogan and anyone
link |
00:38:17.460
else that's talking about Iver Mecton when there's insufficient evidence for or against?
link |
00:38:24.980
Well let's unpack that. First of all, I think the concerns about Joe are not limited to
link |
00:38:30.120
his taking Iver Mecton. Much more seriously, his being fairly publicly negative about vaccines
link |
00:38:37.260
at a time where people are dying. 700,000 people have died from COVID 19 estimates by
link |
00:38:44.420
Kaiser or at least 100,000 of those were unnecessary deaths of unvaccinated people. And for Joe
link |
00:38:50.900
to promote that further, even as this pandemic rages through our population is simply irresponsible.
link |
00:39:00.840
So yeah, the Iver Mecton is just one other twist. Obviously Iver Mecton has been controversial
link |
00:39:05.900
for months and months. The reason that it got particular attention is because of the
link |
00:39:11.540
way in which it seemed to have captured the imagination of a lot of people and to the
link |
00:39:16.740
point where they were taking doses that were intended for livestock and some of them got
link |
00:39:21.780
pretty sick as a result from overdosing on this stuff. That was not good judgment. The
link |
00:39:28.940
drug itself remains uncertain. There's a recent review that looks at all of the studies of
link |
00:39:35.500
Iver Mecton and basically concludes that it probably doesn't work. We are running a study
link |
00:39:41.540
right now. I looked at that data this morning in a trial called active six, which is one
link |
00:39:47.660
of the ones that my public private partnership is running. We're up to about 400 patients
link |
00:39:52.980
who've been randomized to Iver Mecton or placebo and should know perhaps as soon as a month
link |
00:39:58.820
from now in a very carefully controlled trial, did it help or did it not? So there will be
link |
00:40:04.620
an answer coming back to Joe again. I don't think the fact that he took the Iver Mecton
link |
00:40:11.020
and hoping it might work, uh, is that big a knock against him. It's more the conveying
link |
00:40:16.140
of we don't trust what science says, which is vaccines are going to save your life. We're
link |
00:40:21.240
going to trust what's on the internet that says Iver Mecton and hydroxychloroquine really
link |
00:40:25.340
do work, even though the scientific community says probably not.
link |
00:40:28.260
So let me push back in that a little bit. So he doesn't, he doesn't say, let's not listen
link |
00:40:34.080
to science. He doesn't say the vaccine don't get vaccinated. He says it's okay to ask questions.
link |
00:40:44.020
I'm okay with that. How risky is the vaccine for certain populations? What are the benefits
link |
00:40:50.600
and risks? There's other friends of Joe and friends of mine, like Sam Harris, who says,
link |
00:40:57.800
if you look at the data, it's obvious that the benefits outweigh the risks. And what Joe says
link |
00:41:04.780
is yes, but let's still openly talk about risks. And he often brings up anecdotal evidence
link |
00:41:11.960
of people who've had, uh, highly negative effects from vaccines. Science is not done
link |
00:41:18.780
with anecdotal evidence. And so you could infer a lot of stuff from the way he expresses
link |
00:41:24.780
it, but he also communicates a lot of interesting questions. Uh, and that's something maybe
link |
00:41:30.260
you can comment on this. You know, there's certain groups that are healthy. They have,
link |
00:41:36.660
they're younger, they have, they exercise a lot. They get the all, you know, nutrition
link |
00:41:41.740
and all those kinds of things. He shows skepticism on whether it's so obvious that they should
link |
00:41:48.960
get vaccinated. And the same is he makes this, he kind of presents the same kind of skepticism
link |
00:41:55.240
for kids, for young kids. So with empathy and, uh, you know, listening my Russian ineliquent
link |
00:42:07.480
description of what Joe believes, what, what is your kind of response to that? Why should
link |
00:42:13.680
certain categories of healthy and young people still get vaccinated? Do you think?
link |
00:42:18.320
Well, first just to say it's great for Joe to be a skeptic, to ask questions. We should
link |
00:42:22.380
all be doing that. But then the next step is to go and see what the data says and see
link |
00:42:26.760
if they're actually answers to those questions. So coming to healthy people, I've done a bunch
link |
00:42:32.740
of podcasts besides this one. The one I think I remember most was a podcast with a worldwide
link |
00:42:40.820
wrestling superstar. Very nice. He's about six foot six and just absolutely solid muscle.
link |
00:42:48.240
And he got COVID and he almost died. And recovering from that, he said, I've got to let my supporters
link |
00:42:57.800
know because you can imagine worldwide wrestling fans are probably not big embracers of the
link |
00:43:04.320
need for vaccines. And he want, he just turned himself into a spokesperson for the fact that
link |
00:43:13.060
this virus doesn't care how healthy you are, how much you exercise, what a great specimen
link |
00:43:18.920
you are. It wiped him out. And we see that, you know, the average person in the ICU right
link |
00:43:26.520
now with COVID 19 is under age 50. I think there's a lot of people still thinking, Oh,
link |
00:43:31.880
it's just those old people in the nursing homes. That's not going to be about me. They're
link |
00:43:35.080
wrong. And there are plenty of instances of people who were totally healthy with no underlying
link |
00:43:40.680
diseases, taking good care of themselves, not obese exercising who have died from this
link |
00:43:46.200
disease. 700 children have died from this disease. Yes. Some of them had underlying
link |
00:43:54.500
factors like obesity, but a lot of them did not. So it's fair to say younger people are
link |
00:44:00.400
less susceptible to serious illness, kids even less so, and then young adults, but it
link |
00:44:07.900
ain't zero. And if the vaccine is really safe and really effective, then you probably want
link |
00:44:15.540
everybody to take advantage of that. Even though some are dropping their risks more
link |
00:44:20.240
than others, everybody's dropping their risks. Some, are you worried about variants? So looking
link |
00:44:26.520
out into the future, what's your vision for all the possible trajectories that this virus
link |
00:44:33.000
takes in human society? I'm totally worried about the variants. Delta was such an impressive
link |
00:44:40.800
arrival on the scene in all the wrong ways. I mean, it took over the world in the space
link |
00:44:47.460
of just a couple months because of its extremely contagious ability. Viruses would be beautiful
link |
00:44:53.960
if they weren't terrifying. Yeah, exactly. I mean, this whole story of viral evolution
link |
00:44:58.460
scientifically is just amazingly elegant. Anybody who really wanted to understand how
link |
00:45:03.360
evolution works in real time, study SARS CoV 2, because it's not just Delta, it's Alpha,
link |
00:45:09.920
it's Beta, and it's Gamma, and it's the fact that these sweep through the world's population
link |
00:45:16.520
by fairly minor differences in fitness. So the real question many people are wrestling
link |
00:45:23.280
is, is Delta it? Is it such a fit virus that nothing else will be able to displace it?
link |
00:45:30.280
I don't know. I mean, there's now Delta AY4, which is a variant of Delta that at least
link |
00:45:37.520
in the UK seems to be taking over the Delta population as though it's maybe even a little
link |
00:45:43.800
more contagious. That might be the first hint that we're seeing something new here. It's
link |
00:45:49.320
not a completely different virus. It's still Delta, but it's Delta Plus. You know, the
link |
00:45:55.720
big worry is what's out there that is so different that the vaccine protection doesn't work.
link |
00:46:07.480
And we don't know how different it needs to be for the vaccine to start working. That's
link |
00:46:12.440
the terrifying thing about each of these variants. It's like, it's always a pleasant surprise
link |
00:46:18.120
that a vaccine seems to still have efficacy.
link |
00:46:21.200
And hooray for our immune system, may I say, because the vaccine immunized you against
link |
00:46:27.080
that original Wuhan virus. Now we can see that especially after two doses and even more
link |
00:46:35.840
so after a booster, your immune system is so clever that it's also making a diversity
link |
00:46:42.080
of antibodies to cover some other things that might happen to that virus to make it a little
link |
00:46:47.760
different. And you're still getting really good coverage. Even for beta, which was South
link |
00:46:54.440
Africa B1351, which is the most different, it looks pretty good. But that doesn't mean
link |
00:47:00.680
it will always be as good as that if something gets really far away from the original virus.
link |
00:47:06.200
Now the good news is we would know what to do in that situation. The mRNA vaccines allow
link |
00:47:11.720
you to redesign the vaccine like that and to quickly get it through a few thousand participants
link |
00:47:19.160
in a clinical trial to be sure it's raising antibodies and then bang, you could go. But
link |
00:47:23.200
I don't want to have to do that. There will be people's lives at risk in the meantime.
link |
00:47:28.720
And what's the best way to keep that from happening? Well, try to cut down the number
link |
00:47:32.240
of infections because you don't get variants unless the virus is replicating in a person.
link |
00:47:37.400
So how do we solve this thing? How do we get out of this pandemic? What's like, if you
link |
00:47:44.200
had a, like a wand or something, or you could really implement policies, what's the full
link |
00:47:51.080
cocktail of solutions here? It's a full cocktail. It's not just one thing. In our own country
link |
00:47:56.800
here in the US, it would be getting those 64 million reluctant people to actually go
link |
00:48:01.920
ahead and get vaccinated. There's 64 million people who didn't get vaccinated? Adults.
link |
00:48:05.840
Yes. Not even counting the kids. 64 million. Isn't that astounding? Get the kids vaccinated.
link |
00:48:13.640
Hopefully their parents will see that as a good thing too. Get those of us who are due
link |
00:48:18.240
for boosters boosted because that's going to reduce our likelihood of having breakthrough
link |
00:48:22.060
infections and keep spreading it. Convince people that until we're really done with this,
link |
00:48:27.600
and we're not now, that social distancing and mask wearing indoors are still critical
link |
00:48:32.880
to cut down the number of new infections. But of course, that's our country. This is
link |
00:48:39.200
a worldwide pandemic. I worry greatly about the fact that low and middle income countries
link |
00:48:45.400
have for the most part, not even gotten started with access to vaccines. And we have to figure
link |
00:48:50.480
out a way to speed that up because otherwise that's where the next variant will probably
link |
00:48:56.880
arrive. And who knows how bad it will be. And it will cross the world quickly as we've
link |
00:49:01.820
seen happen repeatedly in the last 22 months.
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00:49:05.960
I think I'm really surprised, annoyed, frustrated that rapid at home testing from the very beginning
link |
00:49:14.540
wasn't a big, big part of the solution. First of all, nobody's against it. That's one huge
link |
00:49:20.780
plus for testing. Everybody supports. Second of all, that's what America is good at is
link |
00:49:28.400
mask manufacturer stuff, like stepping up, engineers stepping up and really deploying
link |
00:49:33.680
it. Plus, without the collection of data is giving people freedom, is giving them information
link |
00:49:39.680
and then freedom to decide what to do with that information. It's such a powerful solution.
link |
00:49:44.040
I don't understand. Well, now I think the Biden administration is, I think, emphasized
link |
00:49:49.520
like the scaling of testing manufacturers. But I just feel like it's an obvious solution.
link |
00:49:54.120
Get a test that costs less than a dollar to manufacture, costs less than a dollar to buy.
link |
00:49:59.480
And just everybody gets tested every single day. Don't share that data with anyone. You
link |
00:50:03.980
just make the decisions. And I believe in the intelligence of people to make the right
link |
00:50:08.280
decision to stay at home when the test is positive.
link |
00:50:11.120
I am so completely with you on that. And NIH has been smack in the middle of trying to
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00:50:15.720
make that dream come true. We're running a trial right now in Georgia, Indiana, Hawaii.
link |
00:50:25.440
And where is the other one? Oh, Kentucky. Basically blanketing a community with free
link |
00:50:32.000
testing.
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00:50:33.000
That's beautiful.
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00:50:34.000
And look to see what happens as far as stemming the spread of the epidemic and measuring it
link |
00:50:39.100
by wastewater because you can really tell whether you've cut back the amount of infection
link |
00:50:43.460
in the community. Yeah, I'm so with you. We got off to such a bad start with testing.
link |
00:50:50.780
And of course, all the testing was being done for the first several months in big box laboratories
link |
00:50:55.840
where you had to send the sample off and put it through the mail somehow and get the result
link |
00:50:59.940
back sometimes five days later after you've already infected a dozen people. It was just
link |
00:51:04.320
a completely wrong model. But it's what we had. And everybody was like, oh, we got to
link |
00:51:08.720
stick with PCR because if you start using those home tests that are based on antigens,
link |
00:51:13.480
lateral flow, probably there's going to be false positives and false negatives. Okay,
link |
00:51:18.280
sure. No test is perfect. But having a test that's not acceptable or accessible is the
link |
00:51:24.960
worst setting.
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00:51:26.220
So we, NIH, with some requests from Congress, got a billion dollars to create this program
link |
00:51:32.560
called Rapid Acceleration of Diagnostics, RADx. And we turned into a venture capital
link |
00:51:39.040
organization, and we invited every small business or academic lab that had a cool idea about
link |
00:51:42.920
how to do home testing to bring it forward. And we threw them into what we called our
link |
00:51:47.040
shark tank of business experts, engineers, technology people, people who understood how
link |
00:51:52.600
to deal with supply chains and manufacturing. And right now today, there are about two million
link |
00:51:59.760
tests being done based on what came out of that program, including most of the home tests
link |
00:52:05.600
that you can now buy on the pharmacy shelves. We did that. And I wish we had done it faster,
link |
00:52:10.400
but it was an amazingly speedy effort. And you're right, companies are really good. Once
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00:52:15.640
they've got an FDA emergency use authorization, and we helped a lot of them get that, they
link |
00:52:20.440
can scale up their manufacturing. I think in December, we should have about 410 million
link |
00:52:28.000
tests for that month ready to go. And if we can get one or two more platforms approved,
link |
00:52:34.080
and by the way, we are now helping FDA by being their validation lab. If we can get
link |
00:52:39.400
a couple more of these approved, we could be in the half a billion tests a month, which
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00:52:44.880
is really getting where we need to be.
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00:52:47.040
Wow. Yeah, that's a dream. That's a dream for me. It seems like an obvious solution,
link |
00:52:52.160
engineering solution. Everybody's behind it, at least to hope versus division. I love it.
link |
00:52:57.720
Yeah.
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00:52:58.720
A happy story.
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00:52:59.720
A happy story.
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00:53:00.720
I was waiting for one.
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00:53:02.680
Yeah. All right. Well, one last dive into the not happy, but you won't even have to
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00:53:07.480
comment on it. Well, comment on the broader philosophical question. So NIH, again, I said,
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00:53:15.240
Joe Rogan is the first one who pointed me to this. NIH was recently accused of funding
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00:53:20.480
research of a paper that had images of sedated puppies with their heads inserted into small
link |
00:53:25.720
enclosures containing disease carrying sand flies. So I can just say that this story is
link |
00:53:32.720
not true, or at least the... I think it is true that the paper that showed those images
link |
00:53:40.280
cited NIH as a funding source, but that citation is not correct.
link |
00:53:45.160
That was not correct.
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00:53:46.720
Yeah. But that brings up a bigger philosophical question, that it could have been correct.
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00:53:54.760
How difficult is it as a director of NIH or just NIH as an organization that's funding
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00:53:59.240
so many amazing deep research studies to ensure the ethical fortitude of those studies when
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00:54:07.600
the ethics of science is... There's such a gray area between what is and what isn't ethical.
link |
00:54:14.000
Well, tough issues. Certainly animal research is a tough issue.
link |
00:54:19.920
I was going to bring up as a good example of that tough issue is in 2015, you announced
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00:54:26.320
that NIH will no longer support any biomedical research involving chimpanzees. So that's
link |
00:54:32.160
like one example of looking in the mirror, thinking deeply about what is and isn't ethical.
link |
00:54:39.480
And there was a conclusion that biomedical research on chimps is not ethical.
link |
00:54:45.120
That was the conclusion. That was based on a lot of deep thinking and a lot of input
link |
00:54:49.120
from people who have considered this issue and a panel of the National Academy of Sciences
link |
00:54:54.840
that was asked to review the issue. I mean, the question that I wanted them to look at
link |
00:55:00.880
was, are we actually learning anything that's really essential from chimpanzee invasive
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00:55:06.800
research at this point? Or is it time to say that these closest relatives of ours should
link |
00:55:14.080
not be subjected to that any further and ought to be retired to a sanctuary?
link |
00:55:19.240
And that was the conclusion that there was really no kind of medical experimentation
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00:55:24.520
that needed to be done on chimps in order to proceed. So why are we still doing this?
link |
00:55:29.840
Many of these were chimpanzees that were purchased because we thought they would be good hosts
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00:55:36.640
for HIV AIDS, and they sort of weren't. And they were kept around in these primate laboratories
link |
00:55:43.140
with people coming up with other things to do, but they weren't compelling scientifically.
link |
00:55:48.420
So I think that was the right decision. I took a lot of flak from some of the scientific
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00:55:52.960
community said, well, you're caving in to the animal rights people. And now that you've
link |
00:55:57.320
said no more research on chimps, what's next? Certainly when it comes to companion animals,
link |
00:56:05.520
everybody's heart starts to be hurting when you see anything done that seems harmful to
link |
00:56:12.520
a dog or a cat. I have a cat, I don't have a dog. And I understand that completely. That's
link |
00:56:18.320
why we have these oversight groups that decide before you do any of that kind of research,
link |
00:56:24.500
is it justified? And what kind of provision is going to be made to avoid pain and suffering?
link |
00:56:32.500
And those have input from the public as well as the scientific community. Is that completely
link |
00:56:39.300
saying that every step that's happening there is ethical by some standard that would be
link |
00:56:47.400
hard for anybody to agree to? No, but at least it's a consensus of what people think is acceptable.
link |
00:56:54.740
Dogs are the only host for some diseases like leishmaniasis, which was that paper that we
link |
00:57:02.040
were not responsible for, but I know why they were doing the experiment, or like lymphatic
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00:57:06.400
filariasis, which is an experiment that we are supporting in Georgia that involves dogs
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00:57:13.040
getting infected with a parasite, because that's the only model we have to know whether
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00:57:16.940
a treatment is going to work or not. So I will defend that. I am not in the place of
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00:57:23.600
those who think all animal research is evil, because I think if there's something that's
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00:57:28.440
going to be done to save a child from a terrible disease or an adult, and it involves animal
link |
00:57:33.820
research that's been carefully reviewed, then I think ethically why it doesn't make me comfortable,
link |
00:57:39.400
it still seems like it's the right choice. I think to say all animal research should
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00:57:45.280
be taken off the table is also very unethical, because that means you have basically doomed
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00:57:50.960
a lot of people for whom that research might have saved their lives to having no more hope.
link |
00:57:58.200
And to me personally, there's far greater concerns ethically in terms of factory farming,
link |
00:58:03.480
for example, the treatment of animals in other contexts.
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00:58:06.800
There's so much that goes on outside of medical research that is much more troubling.
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00:58:12.560
That said, I think all cats have to go. That's just my off the record opinion. That's why
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00:58:17.860
I'm not involved with any ethical decisions. I'm just joking internet ethic. I love cats.
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00:58:22.360
You're a dog person.
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00:58:23.360
I'm a dog person. I'm sorry.
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00:58:24.360
Have you seen the New Yorker cartoon where there are two dogs in the bar having a martini
link |
00:58:29.920
and one is saying they're dressed up in their business suits and one says to the other,
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00:58:34.200
you know, it's not enough for the dogs to win. The cats have to lose.
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00:58:39.680
That's beautiful. So a few weeks ago, you've announced that you're resigning from the NIH
link |
00:58:47.680
at the end of the year.
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00:58:48.920
I'm stepping down. I'm still going to be at NIH at a different capacity.
link |
00:58:53.660
Right. And it's over a decade of an incredible career overseeing the NIH as its director.
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00:59:02.360
What are the things you're most proud of, of the NIH in your time here as its director
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00:59:07.660
may be memorable moments?
link |
00:59:12.920
There's a lot in 12 years. Science has just progressed in amazing ways over those 12 years.
link |
00:59:22.680
Think about where we are right now. Something like gene editing, being able to make changes
link |
00:59:28.040
in DNA, even for therapeutic purposes, which is now curing sickle cell disease. Unthinkable
link |
00:59:35.040
when I became director in 2009. The ability to study single cells and ask them what they're
link |
00:59:42.400
doing and get an answer. Single cell biology just has emerged in this incredibly powerful
link |
00:59:48.800
way. Having the courage to be able to say we could actually understand the human brain
link |
00:59:57.000
seemed like so far out there. And we're in the process of doing that with the Brain Initiative.
link |
01:00:04.400
Taking all that we've learned about the genome and applying it to cancer to make individual
link |
01:00:09.920
cancer treatment really precision. And developing cancer immunotherapy, which seemed like sort
link |
01:00:15.880
of a backwater into some of the hottest science around. All those things sort of erupting.
link |
01:00:22.640
And much more to come, I'm sure. We're on an exponential curve of medical research advances,
link |
01:00:28.080
and that's glorious to watch. And of course, COVID 19, as a beneficiary of decades of basic
link |
01:00:35.400
science, understanding what mRNA is, understanding basics about coronaviruses and spike proteins
link |
01:00:41.080
and how to combine structural biology and immunology and genomics into this package
link |
01:00:46.320
that allows you to make a vaccine in 11 months. Just I would never have imagined that possible
link |
01:00:52.160
in 2009. So to have been able to kind of be the midwife, helping all of those things get
link |
01:00:57.800
birthed, that's been just an amazing 12 years. And as NIH director, you have this convening
link |
01:01:05.200
power and this ability to look across the whole landscape of biomedical research and
link |
01:01:10.340
identify areas that are just like ready for something big to happen. But it isn't going
link |
01:01:16.240
to happen spontaneously without some encouragement, without pulling people together from different
link |
01:01:21.120
disciplines who don't know each other and maybe don't know how to quite understand each
link |
01:01:24.940
other's scientific language and create an environment for that to happen. That has been
link |
01:01:29.880
just an amazing experience. I mean, I mentioned the Brain Initiative as one of those. The
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01:01:35.400
Brain Initiative right now, I think there's about 600 investigators working on this. Last
link |
01:01:41.280
week, the whole issue of Nature magazine was about the output of the Brain Initiative basically
link |
01:01:46.320
now giving us a cell census of what those cells in the brain are doing, which has just
link |
01:01:51.760
never been imaginable. And interestingly, more than half of the investigators in the
link |
01:01:59.040
Brain Initiative are engineers. They're not biologists in a traditional sense. I love
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01:02:04.460
that. Maybe partly because my PhD is in quantum mechanics. So I think it's really a good idea
link |
01:02:10.640
to bring disciplines together and see what happens. That's an exciting thing. And I will
link |
01:02:16.600
not ever forget having the chance to announce that program in the East Room in that White
link |
01:02:23.000
House with President Obama, who totally got it and totally loved science and working with
link |
01:02:29.560
him in some of those rare moments of sort of one on one conversation in the Oval Office,
link |
01:02:35.240
just him and me about science. That's a gift.
link |
01:02:38.120
What's it like talking to Barack Obama about science? He seems to be a sponge. I've heard
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01:02:44.600
him. I'm an artificial intelligence person. And I've heard him talk about AI. And it was
link |
01:02:49.800
like, it made me think, is somebody like whispering in his ear or something? Because he was saying
link |
01:02:54.000
stuff that totally passed the BS test, like he really understands stuff.
link |
01:02:58.600
He does.
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01:02:59.600
That means he listened to a bunch of experts on AI. He was explaining the difference between
link |
01:03:04.240
narrow artificial intelligence and strong AI. He was saying all this, both technical
link |
01:03:08.920
and philosophical stuff. And it just made me, I don't know, it made me hopeful about
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01:03:14.940
the depth of understanding that a human being in political office can attain.
link |
01:03:18.680
That gave me hope as well, and having those experiences. Oftentimes in a group, I mean,
link |
01:03:24.340
another example was trying to figure out, how do we take what we've learned about the
link |
01:03:28.380
genome and really apply it at scale to figure out how to prevent illness, not just treat
link |
01:03:34.080
it, but prevent it, out of which came this program called All of Us, this million strong
link |
01:03:40.160
American cohort of participants who make their electronic health records and their genome
link |
01:03:45.280
sequences and everything else available for researchers to look at. That came out of a
link |
01:03:50.120
couple of conversations with Obama and others in his office, and he asked the best questions.
link |
01:03:58.720
That was what struck me so much. I mean, a room full of scientists, and we'd be talking
link |
01:04:03.440
about the possible approaches, and he would come up with this incredibly insightful penetrating
link |
01:04:09.400
question. Not that he knew what the answer was going to be, but he knew what the right
link |
01:04:12.060
question was.
link |
01:04:13.360
I think the core to that is curiosity. I don't think he's even like, he's trying to be a
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01:04:19.760
good leader. He's legit curious.
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01:04:22.120
Yes.
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01:04:23.120
Legit.
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01:04:24.120
That he, almost like a kid in a candy store, gets to talk to the world experts. He somehow
link |
01:04:29.520
sneaked into this office and gets to talk to the world experts. That's the kind of energy
link |
01:04:35.520
that I think leads to beautiful leadership in the space of science.
link |
01:04:40.640
Indeed. Another thing I've been able to do as director is to try to break down some of
link |
01:04:45.000
the boundaries that seem to be traditional between the public and the private sectors.
link |
01:04:49.360
When it comes to areas of science that really could and should be open access anyway, why
link |
01:04:54.000
don't we work together? That was obvious early on. After identifying a few possible collaborators
link |
01:05:03.160
who are chief scientists of pharmaceutical companies, it looked like we might be able
link |
01:05:08.740
to do something in that space.
link |
01:05:10.560
Out of that was born something called the Accelerating Medicines Partnership, AMP. It
link |
01:05:16.320
took a couple of years of convening people who usually didn't talk to each other. There
link |
01:05:21.640
was a lot of suspicion. Academic scientists saying, oh, those scientists in pharma, they're
link |
01:05:27.220
not that smart. They're just trying to make money. The academic scientists getting the
link |
01:05:32.280
rap from the pharmaceutical scientists, all they want to do is publish papers. They don't
link |
01:05:36.160
really care about helping anybody.
link |
01:05:38.360
We found out both of those stereotypes were wrong. Over the course of that couple of years,
link |
01:05:44.400
we built a momentum behind three starting projects, one on Alzheimer's, one on diabetes,
link |
01:05:50.120
one on rheumatoid arthritis and lupus. Very different, each one of them trying to identify
link |
01:05:54.280
what is an area that we both really need to see advance and we could do better together.
link |
01:06:00.520
It's going to have to be open access, otherwise NIH is not going to play. Guess what, industry?
link |
01:06:05.400
If you really want to do this, you got to have skin in the game. We'll cover half the
link |
01:06:08.960
cost. You got to cover the other half.
link |
01:06:10.720
I love it. Enforcing open access, resulting in open science.
link |
01:06:16.600
Millions of dollars gone into this and it has been a wild success. After many people
link |
01:06:21.000
were skeptical, a couple of years later, we had another project on Parkinson's. More recently,
link |
01:06:27.880
we added one on schizophrenia. Just this week, we added one on gene therapy, on bespoke gene
link |
01:06:35.520
therapy for ultra rare diseases, which otherwise aren't going to have enough commercial appeal.
link |
01:06:41.320
If we did this together, especially with FDA at the table, and they have been, we could
link |
01:06:45.800
make something happen, turn this into a standardized approach where everything didn't have to be
link |
01:06:51.080
a one off. I'm really excited about that.
link |
01:06:54.760
What began as three projects is six and it's about to be seven next year with a heart failure
link |
01:06:59.680
and all of us have gotten to know each other. If it weren't for that background when COVID
link |
01:07:06.040
came along, it would have been a lot harder to build the partnership called ACTIV, which
link |
01:07:11.160
has been my passion for the last 20 months, accelerating COVID 19 therapeutic interventions
link |
01:07:17.440
and vaccines.
link |
01:07:18.440
We just had our leadership team meeting this morning. It was amazing what's been accomplished.
link |
01:07:23.320
That's pretty much 100 people who dropped everything just to work on this, about half
link |
01:07:28.380
from industry and half from government and academia. That's how we got vaccine master
link |
01:07:34.520
protocols designed. We all agreed about what the endpoints had to be and you wondered why
link |
01:07:40.520
are there 30,000 participants in each of these trials? That's because of ACTIV's group mapping
link |
01:07:46.440
out what the power needed to be for this to be convincing.
link |
01:07:51.240
Same with therapeutics. We have run at least 20 therapeutic agents through trials that
link |
01:07:58.080
ACTIV supported in record time. That's how we got monoclonal antibodies that we know
link |
01:08:02.880
work. That would not have been possible if I didn't already have a sense of how to work
link |
01:08:12.200
with the private sector that came out of AMP. AMP took two years to get started. ACTIV took
link |
01:08:17.680
two weeks. We just kept the lawyers.
link |
01:08:20.600
Wow, to get 100 people over?
link |
01:08:21.920
Yeah, kept the lawyers out of the room and away we went.
link |
01:08:25.920
Now you're going to get yourself in trouble. I do hope one day the story of this incredible
link |
01:08:34.120
vaccine development of vaccine protocols and trials and all this kind of details, the messy
link |
01:08:38.080
beautiful details of science and engineering that led to the manufacturing, the deployment
link |
01:08:44.280
and the scientific test. It's such a nice dance between engineering in the space of
link |
01:08:48.960
manufacturing the vaccines. You start before the studies are complete, you start making
link |
01:08:53.840
the vaccines just in case that if the studies proved to be positive, then you can start
link |
01:08:59.160
deploying them just like so many parties, like you said, private and public playing
link |
01:09:05.280
together. That's just a beautiful dance that is one of the, for me, the sources of hope
link |
01:09:11.840
in this very tricky time where there's a lot of things to be cynical about in terms of
link |
01:09:20.800
the games politicians play and the hardship experience of the economy and all those kinds
link |
01:09:24.480
of things. That to me, this dance was a vaccine development was done just beautifully and
link |
01:09:31.800
it gives me hope.
link |
01:09:33.240
It does me as well. And it was in many ways the finest hour that science has had in a
link |
01:09:38.880
long time being called upon when every day counted and making sure that time was not
link |
01:09:44.960
wasted and things were done rigorously, but quickly.
link |
01:09:50.240
So, you're incredibly good as a leader of the NIH. It seems like you're having a heck
link |
01:09:56.360
of a lot of fun. Why step down from this role after so much fun?
link |
01:10:02.320
Well, no other NIH director has served more than one president after being appointed by
link |
01:10:09.640
one. You're sort of done. And the idea of being carried over for a second presidency
link |
01:10:14.160
with Trump and now a third one with Biden is unheard of. I just think, Lex, that scientific
link |
01:10:20.440
organizations benefit from new vision and 12 years is a really long time to have the
link |
01:10:26.720
same leader. And if I wasn't going to stick it out for the entire Biden four year term,
link |
01:10:33.440
it's good not to wait too late during that to signal an intent to step down because the
link |
01:10:39.120
president's got to find the right person, got to nominate them, got to get the Senate
link |
01:10:43.080
to confirm them, which is an unpredictable process right now.
link |
01:10:47.680
And you don't want to try to do that in the second half of somebody's term as president.
link |
01:10:52.840
This has got to happen now. So, I kind of decided back at the end of May that this should
link |
01:10:56.860
be my final year. And I'm okay with that. I do have some mixed emotions because I love
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01:11:04.840
the NIH. I love the job. It's exhausting. I'm traditionally for the last 20 months anyway,
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working 100 hours a week. It's just, that's what it takes to juggle all of this. And that
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keeps me from having a lot of time for anything else. And I wouldn't mind because I don't
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think I'm done yet. I wouldn't mind having some time to really think about what the next
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chapter should be. And I have none of that time right now. Do I have another calling?
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Is there something else I could contribute that's different than this? I'd like to find
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that out.
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I think the right answer is you're just stepping down to focus on your music career.
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That might not be a good plan for anything very sustainable.
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But I think that is a sign of a great leader as George Washington did stepping down at
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the right time.
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01:12:00.080
Ted Williams.
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01:12:01.080
Yes.
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He quit when I think he hit a home run on his last at bat and his average was 400 at
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the time.
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No one to walk away. I mean, it's hard, but it's beautiful to see in a leader. You also
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oversaw the human genome project. You mentioned the brain initiative, which has, it's a dream
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to map the human brain. And there's the dream to map the human code, which was the human
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genome project. And you have said that it is humbling for me and awe inspiring to realize
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that we have caught the first glimpse of our own instruction book, previously known only
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to God. How does that, if you can just kind of wax poetic for a second, how does it make
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you feel that we were able to map this instruction book, look into our own code, and be able
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to reverse engineer it?
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It's breathtaking. It's so fundamental. And yet, for all of human history, we're ignorant
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of the details of what that instruction book looked like. And then we crossed a bridge
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into the territory of the known. And we had that in front of us still written in a language
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that we had to learn how to read. And we're in the process of doing that and will be for
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decades to come. But we owned it, we had it. And it has such profound consequences. It's
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it's both a book about our history. It's a book of sort of the parts list of a human
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being, the genes that are in there and how they're regulated. And it's also a medical
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textbook that can teach us things that will provide answers to illnesses we don't understand,
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and alleviate suffering and premature death. So it's a pretty amazing thing to contemplate.
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And it has utterly transformed the way we do science. And it is in the process of transforming
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the way we do medicine, although much of that still lies ahead. You know, while we were
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working on the Genome Project, it was sort of hard to get this sense of a wellness, because
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it was just hard work. And you were getting, you know, another mega base, okay, this is
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good. But when did you actually step back and say, we did it? It's the profoundness
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of that. I mean, there were two points, I guess. One was the announcement on that June
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26, 2000, where the whole world heard, well, we don't quite have it, but we got a pretty
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good draft. And suddenly, people are like realizing, oh, this is this a big deal. For
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me, it was more when we got the full analysis of it, published it in February 2001. And
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that issue of Nature paper that Eric Lander and Bob Waterston and I were the main authors,
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and we toiled over and tried to get as much insight as we could in there about what the
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meaning of all this was. But you also had this sense that we are such beginning readers
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here. We are still in kindergarten, trying to make sense out of this 3 billion letter
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book. And we're going to be at this for generations to come.
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01:15:19.320
You are a man of faith, Christian, and you are a man of science. What is the role of
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religion and of science in society and in the individual human mind and heart like yours?
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Well, I was not a person of faith when I was growing up. I became a believer in my 20s,
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influenced as a medical student by a recognition that I hadn't really thought through the
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issues of what's the meaning of life? Why are we all here? What happens when you die?
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01:15:55.440
Is there a God? Science is not so helpful in answering those questions. So I had to
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look around in other places and ultimately came to my own conclusion that atheism, which
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is where I had been, was the least supportable of the choices because it was the assertion
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of a universal negative, which scientists aren't supposed to do. And agnosticism came
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as an attractive option but felt a little bit like a cop out, so I had to keep going
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01:16:24.640
trying to figure out why do believers actually believe this stuff? And I came to realize
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it was all pretty compelling, that there's no proof. I can't prove to you or anybody
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else that God exists, but I can say it's pretty darn plausible.
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And ultimately, what kind of God is it that caused me to search through various religions
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and see, well, what do people think about that? And to my surprise, encountered the
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person of Jesus Christ as unique in every possible way and answering a lot of the questions
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I couldn't otherwise answer. And somewhat kicking and screaming, I became a Christian,
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01:17:06.880
even though at the time, as a medical student already interested in genetics, people predicted
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my head would then explode because these were incompatible worldviews. They really have
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not been for me. I am so fortunate, I think, that in a given day, wrestling with an issue,
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it can have both the rigorous scientific component and it can have the spiritual component. COVID
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19 is a great example. These vaccines are both an amazing scientific achievement and
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01:17:39.760
an answer to prayer. When I'm wrestling with vaccine hesitancy and trying to figure out
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01:17:45.880
what answers to come up with, I get so frustrated sometimes and I'm comforted by reassurances
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01:17:53.020
that God is aware of that. I don't have to do this alone.
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01:17:58.720
So I know there are people like your friend, Sam Harris, who feel differently. Sam wrote
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01:18:05.200
a rather famous op ed in the New York Times when I was nominated as the NIH director saying,
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this is a terrible mistake. You can't have somebody who believes in God running the NIH.
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He's just going to completely ruin the place.
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01:18:23.560
Well, I have a testimonial. Christopher Hitchens, a devout atheist, if I could say so, was a
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friend of yours and referred to you as, quote, one of the greatest living Americans and stated
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01:18:37.120
that you were one of the most devout believers he has ever met. He further stated that you
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01:18:41.880
were sequencing the genome of the cancer that would ultimately claim his life and that your
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01:18:46.440
friendship, despite their differing opinions on religion, was an example of the greatest
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confirmed truth in modern times.
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What did you learn from Christopher Hitchens about life or perhaps what is a fond memory
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you have of this man with whom you've disagreed, but who is also your friend?
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01:19:05.800
Yeah, I loved Hitch. I'm sorry he's gone. Iron sharpens iron. There's nothing better
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for trying to figure out where you are with your own situation and your own opinions,
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01:19:19.200
your own worldviews, than encountering somebody who's completely in another space and who's
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01:19:24.720
got the gift, as Hitch did, of challenging everything and doing so over a glass of scotch
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or two or three.
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01:19:33.200
We got off to a rough start in an interaction we had at a rather highbrow dinner. He was
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really deeply insulting of a question I was asking. I was like, okay, that's fine. Let's
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figure out how we could have a more civil conversation. Then I really learned to greatly
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01:19:53.320
admire his intellect and to find the jousting with him. It wasn't all about faith, although
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01:20:00.320
it often was. It was really inspiring and innovating, energizing.
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01:20:05.720
Then when he got cancer, I became his ally, trying to help him find pathways through the
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various options and maybe helped him to stay around on this planet for an extra six months
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01:20:19.120
or so. I have the warmest feelings of being in his apartment downtown over a glass of
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01:20:28.520
wine talking about whatever. Sometimes it was science. He was fascinated by science.
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Sometimes it was Thomas Jefferson. Sometimes it was faith. I knew it would always be really
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interesting.
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He's now gone. Do you think about your own mortality? Are you afraid of death?
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I'm not afraid. I'm not looking forward to it. I don't want to rush it because I feel
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like I got some things I can still do here. As a person of faith, I don't think I'm afraid.
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01:21:02.480
I'm 71. I know I don't have an infinite amount of time left. I want to use the time I've
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01:21:08.560
got in some sort of way that matters. I'm not ready to become a full time golfer, but
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01:21:17.840
I don't quite know what that is. I do feel that I've had a chance to do amazingly powerful
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things as far as experiences, and maybe God has something else in mind.
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01:21:31.640
I wrote this book 16 years ago, The Language of God, about science and faith, trying to
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01:21:37.440
explain how, from my perspective, these are compatible. These are in harmony. They're
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complementary if you are careful about which kind of question you're asking. To my surprise,
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a lot of people seem to be interested in that. They were tired of hearing the extreme voices
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01:21:56.480
like Dawkins at one end and people like Ken Ham and Answers in Genesis on the other end
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01:22:02.760
saying, if you trust science, you're going to hell. They thought there must be a way
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01:22:07.480
that these things could get along, and that's what I tried to put forward.
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01:22:10.720
Then I started a foundation, BioLogos, which then I had to step away from to become NIH
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01:22:16.440
director, which has just flourished, maybe because I stepped away. I don't know. It
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01:22:21.320
now has millions of people who come to that website and they run amazing meetings. I think
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01:22:26.640
a lot of people have really come to a sense that this is okay. I can love science and
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01:22:31.320
I can love God, and that's not a bad thing. So maybe there's something more I can do in
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01:22:36.000
that space. Maybe that book is ready for a second edition.
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01:22:39.680
I think so. But when you look back, life is finite. What do you hope your legacy is?
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01:22:47.920
I don't know. This whole legacy thing is a little bit hard to embrace. It feels a little
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self promoting, doesn't it? I sort of feel like in many ways, I went to my own funeral
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01:22:59.520
on October 5th when I announced that I was stepping down and I got the most amazing responses
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01:23:05.760
from people, some of whom I knew really well, some of whom I didn't know at all, who were
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01:23:10.240
just telling me stories about something that I had contributed to that made a difference
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01:23:16.000
to them. That was incredibly heartwarming, and that's enough. I don't want to build
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01:23:21.640
an edifice. I don't have a plan for a monument or a statue. God help us.
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01:23:27.600
I do feel like I've been incredibly fortunate. I've had the chance to play a role in things
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01:23:33.200
that were pretty profound from the Genome Project to NIH to COVID vaccines, and I ought
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01:23:39.840
to be plenty satisfied that I've had enough experiences here to feel pretty good about
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01:23:46.520
the way in which my life panned out.
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01:23:50.720
We did a bunch of difficult questions in this conversation. Let me ask the most difficult
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one, that perhaps is the reason you turned to God. What is the meaning of life? Have
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01:24:03.160
you figured it out yet?
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01:24:07.400
Expect me to put that into three sentences.
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01:24:09.400
We only have a couple of minutes. At least hurry up.
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01:24:15.640
Well that's not a question that I think science helps me with, so you're going to push me
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01:24:19.280
into the faith zone, which is where I'd want to go with that. What is the meaning? Why
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01:24:25.120
are we here? What are we put here to do? I do believe we're here for just a blink of
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01:24:30.780
an eye and that our existence somehow goes on beyond that in a way that I don't entirely
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01:24:37.000
understand despite efforts to do so. I think we are called upon in this blink of an eye
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01:24:43.920
to try to make the world a better place, to try to love people, to try to do a better
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01:24:50.200
job of our more altruistic instincts and less of our selfish instincts, to try to be what
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01:25:01.480
God calls us to be, people who are holy, not people who are driven by self indulgence.
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01:25:12.040
And sometimes I'm better at that than others. But I think that for me as a Christian is
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01:25:17.720
a pretty clear, I mean, it's to live out the Sermon on the Mount. Once I read that,
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01:25:24.520
I couldn't unread it. All those beatitudes, all the blessings, that's what we're supposed
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01:25:32.360
to do. And the meaning of life is to strive for that standard, recognizing you're going
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01:25:37.320
to fail over and over again, and that God forgives you. Hopefully to put a little bit
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01:25:44.020
of love out there into the world. That's what it's about. Francis, I'm truly humbled and
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01:25:51.480
inspired by both your brilliance and your humility and that you would spend your extremely
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01:25:58.120
valuable time with me today. It was really an honor. Thank you so much for talking today.
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01:26:02.040
I was glad to. And you asked a really good question. So your reputation as the best podcaster
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01:26:08.760
has borne itself out here this afternoon. Thank you so much. Thanks for listening to
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this conversation with Francis Collins. To support this podcast, please check out our
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01:26:17.320
sponsors in the description. And now let me leave you with some words from Isaac Newton
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01:26:22.880
reflecting on his life and work. I seem to have been only like a boy playing on the seashore
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01:26:29.680
and diverting myself in now and then finding a smoother pebble or prettier shell than ordinary.
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01:26:35.960
Whilst the great ocean of truth lay all undiscovered before me. Thank you for listening and hope
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01:26:43.200
to see you next time.